532
closed trades
42%
win rate
-1396.65
total pnl ($)
1.360
weight
7d window — n=98 wr=43% pnl=+22.47
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 16:25:19 (24.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 478
· wr: 44.6%
· total_bps: -6343.9
· mean_bps: -13.27
· sharpe: -0.08
· max_dd_bps: -8357.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 12:02 | ARB | Sell | 0.0748813→0.0747887 | +0.53 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:02 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5892→1.6011 | -12.77 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:02 | LTC | Sell | 42.3774→42.5006 | -5.76 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:02 | AVAX | Sell | 6.55316→6.56464 | -3.91 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:01 | LINK | Sell | 7.37656→7.35924 | +2.19 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:45 | APT | Buy | 0.603851→0.602749 | -4.16 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:46 | INJ | Buy | 4.88592→4.86628 | -7.35 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.147497→0.148093 | +4.70 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:14 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5943→1.6025 | -9.21 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:04 | NEAR | Sell | 1.81455→1.82196 | -7.40 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:26 | INJ | Buy | 4.71998→4.88908 | +52.38 | take_profit |
| 06-26 16:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0714179→0.0738915 | +50.58 | take_profit |
| 06-26 14:03 | SUI | Buy | 0.673688→0.686408 | +26.92 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:02 | APT | Buy | 0.588147→0.587353 | -3.38 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6139→1.6014 | -13.05 | timeout |
| 06-26 04:03 | LTC | Sell | 40.9488→41.2263 | -11.52 | timeout |
| 06-26 02:13 | ARB | Sell | 0.0733517→0.0707677 | +51.45 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:13 | AVAX | Sell | 6.22944→6.0115 | +51.10 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:13 | SUI | Sell | 0.685319→0.661225 | +51.38 | take_profit |
| 06-25 23:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.141725→0.143164 | +13.88 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:03 | ATOM | Sell | 1.62029→1.594 | +22.98 | timeout |
| 06-25 18:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.02516→1.04224 | +23.78 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:15 | APT | Sell | 0.585154→0.598148 | -34.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:53 | BNB | Buy | 560.75→548.698 | -33.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:43 | AVAX | Buy | 6.37109→6.23642 | -33.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.149117→0.14595 | -33.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:07 | INJ | Sell | 4.27193→4.17624 | +32.32 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:56 | NEAR | Sell | 1.97081→1.90238 | +50.53 | take_profit |
| 06-25 10:31 | ATOM | Buy | 1.67142→1.63537 | -33.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 07:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.147397→0.149333 | +18.47 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:35 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63989→1.64051 | -2.04 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:03 | APT | Sell | 0.629443→0.622556 | +15.06 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:03 | INJ | Buy | 4.23146→4.18215 | -18.90 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:03 | OP | Buy | 0.103556→0.105464 | +26.21 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.145106→0.147373 | +22.28 | timeout |
| 06-24 17:47 | SOL | Buy | 66.2669→64.8888 | -32.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:41 | LTC | Buy | 40.5131→39.6433 | -33.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:22 | ARB | Sell | 0.0754711→0.0728382 | +50.90 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:52 | APT | Sell | 0.615346→0.593348 | +52.25 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | AVAX | Buy | 6.29507→6.15998 | -33.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:48 | OP | Buy | 0.0995349→0.0973869 | -33.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:47 | LINK | Buy | 7.49367→7.33599 | -32.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.147907→0.144791 | -32.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:02 | ATOM | Sell | 1.69148→1.64911 | +36.20 | timeout |
| 06-24 11:36 | OP | Sell | 0.101175→0.100625 | +6.80 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:05 | ADA | Buy | 0.151538→0.149893 | -17.51 | timeout |
| 06-24 09:01 | INJ | Buy | 4.50943→4.51107 | -0.70 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:46 | ATOM | Buy | 1.71703→1.70087 | -15.30 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:32 | OP | Sell | 0.102394→0.099855 | +35.53 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:14 | APT | Sell | 0.649238→0.63926 | +21.66 | timeout |
| 06-24 03:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0789997→0.0781105 | -18.05 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.150528→0.153662 | +29.80 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:04 | INJ | Sell | 4.50897→4.58725 | -27.51 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:04 | APT | Sell | 0.631142→0.64146 | -25.85 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:16 | SOL | Buy | 68.7213→68.8797 | +2.22 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.150478→0.150282 | -3.28 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:02 | LTC | Buy | 42.4126→41.9875 | -16.32 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:02 | INJ | Sell | 4.59065→4.56084 | +8.27 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:01 | BNB | Sell | 573.866→573.393 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:23 | SOL | Buy | 68.4343→69.0706 | +12.78 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:08 | ADA | Sell | 0.154181→0.152798 | +12.17 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:17 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77694→1.73959 | -32.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | OP | Buy | 0.0985246→0.0963777 | -34.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | SUI | Buy | 0.693133→0.678541 | -32.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 05:53 | ARB | Sell | 0.0826593→0.0815204 | +19.21 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:41 | INJ | Buy | 4.8009→4.68948 | -36.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:02 | APT | Sell | 0.660735→0.658365 | +4.05 | timeout |
| 06-23 02:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.1595→0.15859 | -9.71 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:00 | AVAX | Buy | 6.26577→6.22864 | -10.10 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0835909→0.0830792 | -10.31 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:00 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78745→1.79535 | +5.28 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:28 | OP | Sell | 0.102184→0.101415 | +10.01 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:36 | SUI | Buy | 0.710938→0.736036 | +51.56 | take_profit |
| 06-22 11:04 | OP | Buy | 0.101585→0.102084 | +5.94 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.16026→0.16026 | -1.28 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:00 | INJ | Buy | 4.89782→4.90417 | +0.52 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:00 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77764→1.80025 | +17.76 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:00 | APT | Buy | 0.657864→0.672832 | +32.78 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:03 | SUI | Buy | 0.695184→0.702584 | +14.54 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.15851→0.15936 | +6.64 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:21 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76734→1.76206 | -5.85 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:12 | OP | Sell | 0.102694→0.101795 | +11.67 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.162051→0.16194 | -2.38 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:15 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78445→1.77256 | -11.32 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:41 | OP | Sell | 0.102564→0.103496 | -14.92 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:18 | APT | Buy | 0.665566→0.651311 | -33.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 11:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.16122→0.16131 | -0.53 | timeout |
| 06-21 09:00 | NEAR | Sell | 2.21825→2.2652 | -33.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 08:11 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78034→1.77926 | -2.05 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:03 | LINK | Sell | 7.97161→7.97089 | -1.17 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:22 | APT | Sell | 0.644839→0.658594 | -33.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 03:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23906→6.22534 | -4.72 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.162541→0.162349 | -3.15 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:57 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79555→1.79545 | -1.43 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.162111→0.16124 | -9.46 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:05 | OP | Sell | 0.101095→0.101575 | -8.66 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:21 | INJ | Buy | 5.03896→4.96926 | -22.05 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:54 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78485→1.79095 | +3.75 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:09 | INJ | Buy | 5.07707→5.07153 | -3.02 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.162429 | -5.84 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
532
closed
42%
win rate
-1396.65
total pnl ($)
-17.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OP | 74 | 42% | -27.3 | -303.93 |
| ATOM | 73 | 47% | -4.9 | -53.19 |
| ADA | 68 | 43% | -24.9 | -253.22 |
| INJ | 67 | 39% | -30.3 | -305.83 |
| APT | 63 | 46% | +5.3 | +49.13 |
| NEAR | 49 | 31% | -62.3 | -458.40 |
| ARB | 44 | 50% | +23.3 | +152.88 |
| AVAX | 26 | 35% | -20.9 | -81.82 |
| SUI | 18 | 39% | -20.2 | -55.23 |
| LINK | 11 | 45% | -22.5 | -36.98 |
| BNB | 9 | 56% | -27.5 | -37.47 |
| LTC | 9 | 22% | -44.4 | -60.23 |
| SOL | 8 | 50% | +38.6 | +46.94 |
| DOGE | 6 | 83% | +57.8 | +51.85 |
| XRP | 4 | 50% | -9.8 | -5.81 |
| ETH | 2 | 0% | -177.0 | -53.17 |
| BTC | 1 | 100% | +52.2 | +7.82 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 14:21 | ATOM | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 14:21 | APT | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||