xv_wide_tail_tiny_thresh_1h · strategy

1520

closed trades

40%

win rate

-1466.28

total pnl ($)

0.250

weight

7d window — n=327 wr=39% pnl=-382.12 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 16:25:19 (18.9d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings

n: 1979 · wr: 40.6% · total_bps: -21859.5 · mean_bps: -11.05 · sharpe: -0.18 · max_dd_bps: -21927.8

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 12:40	ATOM	Sell	1.83134→1.83266	-1.21	timeout
06-22 12:10	LTC	Sell	44.9678→45.2743	-5.78	timeout
06-22 12:10	DOGE	Sell	0.083928→0.0842501	-3.55	timeout
06-22 11:58	INJ	Buy	4.88922→4.93877	+6.92	timeout
06-22 11:37	AVAX	Buy	6.27117→6.36341	+10.36	take_profit
06-22 11:03	APT	Buy	0.665266→0.665434	-0.48	timeout
06-22 10:38	SUI	Buy	0.709457→0.710302	+0.21	timeout
06-22 09:26	ADA	Buy	0.16159→0.16042	-6.11	timeout
06-22 09:06	XRP	Sell	1.13322→1.13638	-2.77	timeout
06-22 08:19	NEAR	Sell	2.18185→2.14994	+10.30	take_profit
06-22 07:23	LINK	Sell	7.93432→7.97559	-4.58	timeout
06-22 07:23	OP	Buy	0.101015→0.102534	+10.60	take_profit
06-22 07:03	ARB	Sell	0.083839→0.084171	-3.65	timeout
06-22 06:36	ATOM	Buy	1.80205→1.80205	-0.67	timeout
06-22 06:03	AVAX	Sell	6.26883→6.29407	-3.71	timeout
06-22 05:56	INJ	Buy	4.89492→4.89618	-0.49	timeout
06-22 05:02	BTC	Buy	63884.2→64079.8	+1.62	timeout
06-22 04:29	SUI	Buy	0.703156→0.701575	-2.37	timeout
06-22 04:10	SOL	Buy	73.461→73.552	+0.25	timeout
06-22 03:01	ADA	Buy	0.16038→0.158721	-8.44	stop_loss
06-22 02:27	NEAR	Sell	2.17846→2.17884	-0.81	timeout
06-22 01:26	APT	Sell	0.669433→0.676307	-8.37	stop_loss
06-22 01:04	BNB	Sell	584.154→588.147	-5.80	timeout
06-22 00:38	DOGE	Sell	0.0823394→0.0831894	-8.42	stop_loss
06-22 00:37	XRP	Sell	1.12672→1.13815	-8.29	stop_loss
06-22 00:36	LINK	Sell	7.78865→7.8669	-8.22	stop_loss
06-22 00:34	ATOM	Buy	1.75054→1.76436	+5.24	timeout
06-21 23:24	INJ	Sell	4.86368→4.84391	+2.36	timeout
06-21 23:01	AVAX	Buy	6.16894→6.10642	-8.28	stop_loss
06-21 22:40	ARB	Buy	0.0825006→0.0820295	-4.96	timeout
06-21 22:25	SUI	Buy	0.699585→0.698615	-1.71	timeout
06-21 22:07	BTC	Buy	63757.2→63691.8	-1.44	timeout
06-21 21:09	SOL	Buy	73.261→72.5428	-8.03	stop_loss
06-21 21:09	ETH	Buy	1720.27→1703.48	-8.00	stop_loss
06-21 21:09	ADA	Buy	0.16167→0.15991	-8.84	stop_loss
06-21 20:18	NEAR	Sell	2.19285→2.16084	+10.27	take_profit
06-21 19:19	LTC	Sell	45.1287→45.2753	-3.10	timeout
06-21 18:33	OP	Sell	0.100965→0.102006	-8.42	stop_loss
06-21 18:32	ATOM	Buy	1.76594→1.76796	+0.17	timeout
06-21 17:21	INJ	Sell	4.96696→4.92663	+5.40	timeout
06-21 17:15	XRP	Buy	1.14579→1.14561	-0.79	timeout
06-21 17:09	AVAX	Sell	6.31682→6.28137	+3.53	timeout
06-21 16:28	APT	Sell	0.657736→0.655464	+1.92	timeout
06-21 16:23	SUI	Buy	0.711608→0.709793	-2.60	timeout
06-21 16:01	ARB	Buy	0.084051→0.084179	+0.47	timeout
06-21 15:07	ADA	Buy	0.1617→0.162259	+1.91	timeout
06-21 15:02	ETH	Buy	1724.27→1727.93	+0.92	timeout
06-21 14:23	NEAR	Sell	2.18545→2.18155	+0.66	timeout
06-21 13:17	LTC	Sell	44.9438→45.1973	-4.90	timeout
06-21 13:06	OP	Sell	0.102624→0.102686	-1.12	timeout
06-21 12:29	ATOM	Buy	1.77674→1.77506	-1.38	timeout
06-21 10:18	SUI	Buy	0.706697→0.711282	+4.18	timeout
06-21 10:10	INJ	Sell	5.02794→5.08361	-8.98	stop_loss
06-21 10:03	DOGE	Buy	0.0830838→0.0832782	+1.07	timeout
06-21 09:50	APT	Sell	0.656936→0.663597	-8.28	stop_loss
06-21 09:10	XRP	Buy	1.14689→1.14341	-2.96	timeout
06-21 08:35	ADA	Buy	0.16149→0.15978	-8.60	stop_loss
06-21 08:02	ETH	Buy	1734.27→1731.13	-2.03	timeout
06-21 07:39	NEAR	Sell	2.21695→2.23928	-8.23	stop_loss
06-21 07:13	LTC	Sell	44.5019→44.7352	-4.61	timeout
06-21 07:03	OP	Buy	0.103046→0.103254	+0.85	timeout
06-21 06:14	ATOM	Buy	1.77954→1.78095	-0.08	timeout
06-21 06:04	AVAX	Buy	6.23106→6.21805	-2.25	timeout
06-21 06:04	BNB	Buy	589.047→589.223	-0.46	timeout
06-21 05:33	BTC	Sell	64528.8→64288.2	+2.12	timeout
06-21 05:04	ARB	Buy	0.0837209→0.0828678	-8.32	stop_loss
06-21 04:09	INJ	Sell	5.05953→5.11033	-8.21	stop_loss
06-21 03:16	APT	Sell	0.650637→0.654464	-5.08	timeout
06-21 03:05	XRP	Sell	1.14921→1.14599	+1.43	timeout
06-21 03:00	ADA	Buy	0.162951→0.162219	-4.05	timeout
06-21 01:45	NEAR	Sell	2.20225→2.20345	-1.09	timeout
06-21 01:12	LTC	Sell	44.4769→44.5201	-1.41	timeout
06-21 01:03	OP	Sell	0.103374→0.103466	-1.33	timeout
06-21 01:03	LINK	Sell	7.97161→7.97539	-1.02	timeout
06-21 01:02	ETH	Sell	1737.63→1737.07	-0.43	timeout
06-21 00:10	ATOM	Buy	1.80045→1.80385	+0.73	timeout
06-21 00:01	AVAX	Buy	6.23736→6.24044	-0.31	timeout
06-20 23:24	ARB	Buy	0.084021→0.0846788	+5.19	timeout
06-20 23:03	BTC	Sell	63956.8→64259.2	-4.22	timeout
06-20 22:00	INJ	Buy	5.00335→5.01994	+1.82	timeout
06-20 21:13	APT	Sell	0.635341→0.63856	-4.48	timeout
06-20 20:00	DOGE	Buy	0.0831018→0.0832772	+0.90	timeout
06-20 20:00	BNB	Buy	585.116→585.554	-0.12	timeout
06-20 20:00	SUI	Buy	0.702896→0.704854	+1.41	timeout
06-20 19:16	NEAR	Sell	2.14556→2.14194	+0.58	timeout
06-20 19:03	LINK	Sell	7.91402→7.89597	+1.03	timeout
06-20 18:11	ATOM	Buy	1.78245→1.79035	+2.66	timeout
06-20 18:10	OP	Sell	0.101025→0.101035	-0.78	timeout
06-20 17:45	ETH	Sell	1731.43→1725.77	+1.77	timeout
06-20 17:13	ARB	Sell	0.0835291→0.0833208	+1.20	timeout
06-20 17:07	LTC	Sell	44.2379→44.2341	-0.61	timeout
06-20 17:01	BTC	Buy	63993.2→63950.8	-1.17	timeout
06-20 14:46	INJ	Buy	4.93923→5.01625	+11.02	take_profit
06-20 14:45	APT	Sell	0.626743→0.633475	-8.73	stop_loss
06-20 14:02	ADA	Buy	0.162401→0.160729	-8.39	stop_loss
06-20 13:11	NEAR	Sell	2.13976→2.15644	-6.53	timeout
06-20 13:00	LINK	Sell	7.93622→7.92648	+0.24	timeout
06-20 12:26	SUI	Buy	0.717899→0.71883	+0.30	timeout
06-20 12:15	XRP	Sell	1.14651→1.14869	-2.10	timeout
06-20 12:09	ATOM	Buy	1.78625→1.78275	-2.12	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

1520

closed

40%

win rate

-1466.28

total pnl ($)

-12.8 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
APT	115	41%	-13.3	-115.47
ADA	111	45%	-6.5	-53.94
ATOM	105	40%	-14.5	-114.82
ARB	102	38%	-18.3	-140.09
OP	100	41%	-7.5	-56.80
INJ	99	45%	-5.6	-41.71
AVAX	92	36%	-10.8	-74.38
XRP	92	40%	-19.6	-135.49
NEAR	90	46%	-9.8	-65.98
SUI	86	41%	-24.0	-155.29
LTC	83	36%	-11.6	-72.22
ETH	78	33%	-17.1	-100.33
BTC	77	38%	-9.5	-54.97
DOGE	77	42%	-13.0	-75.53
SOL	76	38%	-11.5	-65.84
LINK	72	46%	-6.6	-35.67
BNB	65	32%	-22.0	-107.73

Recent bounces (last 20 of 27)

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 11:57	ATOM	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 11:56	ATOM	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 11:25	LTC	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 11:25	AVAX	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 09:54	SUI	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 06:46	OP	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 06:24	ARB	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 05:44	ATOM	Buy	trigger_already_opened
06-22 05:15	INJ	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 05:15	INJ	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 04:18	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 03:47	SUI	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 03:45	SUI	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 03:25	SOL	Buy	trigger_already_opened
06-22 01:50	NEAR	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 01:23	APT	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 00:30	XRP	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 00:30	LINK	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 00:30	DOGE	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 00:30	BNB	Sell	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…