270
closed trades
43%
win rate
-612.77
total pnl ($)
0.810
weight
7d window — n=48 wr=46% pnl=-68.84
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:56:16 (23.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 253
· wr: 44.7%
· total_bps: -1826.4
· mean_bps: -7.22
· sharpe: -0.06
· max_dd_bps: -3267.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 19:08 | INJ | Buy | 4.71528→4.8188 | +31.58 | take_profit |
| 06-26 17:48 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5872→1.60971 | -22.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 14:00 | SUI | Buy | 0.676119→0.690757 | +31.08 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:46 | ARB | Buy | 0.0723081→0.0738815 | +31.28 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.143296→0.141224 | -22.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 18:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.02686→1.04224 | +21.24 | timeout |
| 06-25 16:19 | APT | Sell | 0.585354→0.593645 | -22.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | BNB | Buy | 562.501→554.584 | -22.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:40 | AVAX | Buy | 6.36169→6.26969 | -23.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:03 | ATOM | Sell | 1.65539→1.62201 | +28.76 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:40 | NEAR | Sell | 1.96971→1.92608 | +31.78 | take_profit |
| 06-25 03:02 | INJ | Buy | 4.23236→4.17965 | -20.10 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:57 | ADA | Buy | 0.146947→0.147883 | +8.32 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:01 | SUI | Sell | 0.670862→0.68051 | -22.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:25 | LTC | Buy | 40.4581→39.8841 | -22.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:20 | SOL | Buy | 66.3349→65.4075 | -22.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:03 | OP | Sell | 0.0962259→0.0977232 | -24.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:46 | LINK | Buy | 7.45086→7.34629 | -22.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:03 | ARB | Sell | 0.0783404→0.0785796 | -5.89 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:58 | ATOM | Sell | 1.69138→1.65481 | +31.07 | take_profit |
| 06-24 04:24 | AVAX | Buy | 6.45201→6.36123 | -22.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 04:23 | APT | Sell | 0.648238→0.636959 | +24.74 | timeout |
| 06-24 02:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.151908→0.152552 | +4.93 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:48 | OP | Sell | 0.0994651→0.0981045 | +19.18 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:50 | LTC | Buy | 42.4366→41.8236 | -23.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 13:02 | INJ | Sell | 4.59065→4.56084 | +8.26 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:01 | BNB | Sell | 573.866→573.393 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:21 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77564→1.74899 | -23.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | SUI | Buy | 0.694384→0.684666 | -22.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:04 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830692→0.0826807 | +5.51 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:04 | SOL | Sell | 71.8632→71.8668 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 06-23 03:02 | AVAX | Buy | 6.20735→6.27653 | +15.44 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.15978→0.157502 | -22.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:30 | OP | Sell | 0.102274→0.101535 | +9.56 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:01 | INJ | Buy | 4.87352→4.88848 | +3.18 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:01 | APT | Buy | 0.666667→0.664934 | -5.20 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:25 | SUI | Buy | 0.694614→0.709543 | +30.84 | take_profit |
| 06-21 20:15 | OP | Sell | 0.102494→0.101655 | +10.80 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.16083→0.16178 | +7.70 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:06 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77394→1.76756 | -6.77 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:00 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78775→1.76158 | -23.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 13:15 | SUI | Buy | 0.716749→0.714921 | -5.20 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.162429 | -5.84 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:08 | ARB | Sell | 0.084019→0.083901 | +0.75 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:30 | OP | Buy | 0.104366→0.102893 | -22.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 05:11 | APT | Buy | 0.624956→0.63894 | +32.19 | take_profit |
| 06-20 05:11 | INJ | Sell | 5.09243→5.16387 | -22.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 04:11 | NEAR | Sell | 2.17496→2.16544 | +5.16 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:45 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80925→1.84814 | +30.89 | take_profit |
| 06-19 12:02 | LTC | Sell | 43.4371→43.5749 | -6.16 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:02 | SUI | Sell | 0.711012→0.711678 | -2.86 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:02 | ARB | Sell | 0.0829193→0.0828307 | +0.22 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:02 | LINK | Sell | 7.84164→7.81885 | +2.99 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:14 | ADA | Sell | 0.163339→0.16195 | +11.42 | timeout |
| 06-18 19:43 | INJ | Sell | 5.13132→5.205 | -22.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 18:44 | OP | Buy | 0.104446→0.106823 | +32.75 | take_profit |
| 06-18 17:12 | NEAR | Buy | 2.22176→2.19036 | -22.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:36 | APT | Buy | 0.652363→0.643117 | -22.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 10:06 | ATOM | Buy | 1.85796→1.83193 | -22.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 09:01 | SUI | Buy | 0.744356→0.752382 | +14.75 | timeout |
| 06-18 02:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.65906→6.77371 | +24.53 | timeout |
| 06-17 23:29 | ARB | Buy | 0.084151→0.0859685 | +31.02 | take_profit |
| 06-17 22:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.166142→0.163767 | -22.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 15:16 | APT | Buy | 0.661265→0.677731 | +35.93 | take_profit |
| 06-17 14:47 | OP | Buy | 0.107117→0.105481 | -24.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 12:47 | ATOM | Sell | 1.96741→1.97509 | -7.20 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:00 | INJ | Sell | 5.51082→5.39155 | +31.13 | take_profit |
| 06-16 18:06 | BNB | Buy | 606.742→609.198 | +4.67 | timeout |
| 06-16 11:25 | ADA | Buy | 0.180815→0.178266 | -22.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 10:31 | NEAR | Sell | 2.49888→2.5339 | -22.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 10:01 | OP | Buy | 0.107137→0.107643 | +5.74 | timeout |
| 06-16 08:51 | APT | Buy | 0.676669→0.691227 | +30.87 | take_profit |
| 06-16 04:05 | ARB | Sell | 0.0861185→0.0864116 | -6.45 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:04 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0904854→0.0890773 | +21.90 | timeout |
| 06-15 18:49 | AVAX | Buy | 6.96034→7.00315 | +7.81 | timeout |
| 06-15 17:03 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9931→1.94679 | +33.49 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:18 | LTC | Sell | 45.5966→46.2547 | -23.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 10:54 | ADA | Sell | 0.180235→0.182787 | -22.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 01:17 | OP | Sell | 0.107753→0.109502 | -25.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 22:36 | NEAR | Sell | 2.20575→2.23668 | -22.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:17 | INJ | Sell | 4.97246→5.04358 | -23.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 20:39 | ATOM | Buy | 1.97019→1.9918 | +15.27 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:33 | LINK | Sell | 7.9797→7.89277 | +14.97 | timeout |
| 06-14 04:12 | ARB | Sell | 0.0848888→0.084001 | +14.34 | timeout |
| 06-14 04:01 | APT | Sell | 0.669533→0.666867 | +4.60 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:14 | INJ | Buy | 5.1899→5.24239 | +13.75 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:27 | ATOM | Sell | 1.95891→1.95479 | +1.78 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:14 | ADA | Sell | 0.173627→0.172183 | +11.00 | timeout |
| 06-13 04:00 | OP | Buy | 0.0996449→0.100525 | +11.90 | timeout |
| 06-12 20:29 | NEAR | Sell | 2.04249→2.0159 | +18.09 | timeout |
| 06-12 17:06 | SUI | Sell | 0.749023→0.759719 | -22.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 15:12 | INJ | Buy | 5.2054→5.31957 | +31.52 | take_profit |
| 06-12 09:17 | APT | Sell | 0.64014→0.649187 | -22.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 23:09 | ATOM | Buy | 2.02351→1.9947 | -22.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 18:22 | OP | Buy | 0.0965741→0.0951886 | -22.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:41 | ARB | Sell | 0.0775506→0.078649 | -22.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 21:10 | NEAR | Buy | 1.9825→1.95453 | -22.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:47 | LTC | Sell | 42.3754→41.6604 | +23.91 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:05 | LINK | Sell | 7.75656→7.5889 | +30.89 | take_profit |
| 06-10 19:06 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79085→1.78845 | -3.40 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
270
closed
43%
win rate
-612.77
total pnl ($)
-15.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OP | 32 | 44% | -11.2 | -53.80 |
| ATOM | 30 | 40% | -20.3 | -91.82 |
| ADA | 29 | 41% | -44.8 | -194.58 |
| INJ | 28 | 39% | -26.0 | -110.21 |
| APT | 27 | 37% | +5.5 | +22.22 |
| ARB | 23 | 48% | -9.8 | -34.21 |
| NEAR | 22 | 50% | +19.5 | +64.15 |
| AVAX | 15 | 47% | -8.2 | -18.39 |
| SUI | 15 | 27% | -49.4 | -111.53 |
| LTC | 12 | 33% | -32.1 | -58.25 |
| LINK | 10 | 70% | +27.2 | +40.58 |
| DOGE | 7 | 57% | -8.1 | -8.57 |
| BNB | 6 | 67% | +28.1 | +24.85 |
| XRP | 6 | 33% | -17.6 | -15.61 |
| SOL | 6 | 17% | -59.2 | -53.45 |
| BTC | 1 | 100% | +53.4 | +8.00 |
| ETH | 1 | 0% | -147.0 | -22.15 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 7)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 16:34 | ATOM | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-25 13:07 | AVAX | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 17:25 | SOL | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 17:24 | SOL | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 14:16 | LINK | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 08:18 | ATOM | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-24 08:18 | ARB | Sell | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||