536
closed trades
44%
win rate
-1089.30
total pnl ($)
2.019
weight
7d window — n=77 wr=51% pnl=+133.62
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:56:16 (23.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 572
· wr: 44.9%
· total_bps: -6359.9
· mean_bps: -11.12
· sharpe: -0.09
· max_dd_bps: -6872.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 10:00 | LTC | Sell | 42.3154→42.6157 | -16.09 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:53 | APT | Sell | 0.597251→0.605854 | -30.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 02:40 | ARB | Sell | 0.0743814→0.0754365 | -30.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 02:26 | OP | Sell | 0.104184→0.105679 | -30.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 20:06 | NEAR | Sell | 1.81575→1.81595 | -1.93 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:59 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5876→1.61011 | -30.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:27 | INJ | Sell | 4.46318→4.52639 | -30.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:51 | OP | Sell | 0.107563→0.105246 | +41.24 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:13 | INJ | Sell | 4.28043→4.18535 | +42.58 | take_profit |
| 06-25 16:19 | APT | Sell | 0.585354→0.593645 | -30.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:59 | INJ | Sell | 4.24324→4.30633 | -31.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:58 | ATOM | Sell | 1.57511→1.53838 | +44.82 | take_profit |
| 06-25 12:08 | XRP | Sell | 1.08333→1.07087 | +21.20 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:41 | NEAR | Sell | 1.96541→1.92268 | +41.44 | take_profit |
| 06-25 11:16 | ATOM | Sell | 1.65799→1.63461 | +26.14 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:04 | INJ | Sell | 4.27923→4.18695 | +41.38 | take_profit |
| 06-25 10:21 | OP | Sell | 0.108743→0.106287 | +43.42 | take_profit |
| 06-25 04:35 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63989→1.64051 | -2.73 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:03 | ARB | Sell | 0.075971→0.0755289 | +9.86 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:03 | APT | Sell | 0.629842→0.622956 | +20.08 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:01 | SUI | Sell | 0.671242→0.68077 | -30.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:01 | LINK | Sell | 7.1895→7.29287 | -30.57 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:22 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63509→1.5997 | +41.43 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | NEAR | Sell | 1.91282→1.87117 | +41.76 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ADA | Sell | 0.143834→0.140625 | +42.82 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | APT | Sell | 0.614746→0.60085 | +43.38 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ARB | Sell | 0.0754111→0.0737884 | +41.21 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:43 | INJ | Sell | 4.34351→4.24776 | +42.25 | take_profit |
| 06-24 13:15 | ATOM | Sell | 1.67168→1.63571 | +41.17 | take_profit |
| 06-24 12:25 | APT | Sell | 0.645739→0.64116 | +12.39 | timeout |
| 06-24 11:48 | SUI | Sell | 0.696376→0.706359 | -30.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:29 | OP | Sell | 0.101335→0.100625 | +12.20 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:06 | INJ | Sell | 4.53926→4.53103 | +1.76 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:24 | AVAX | Sell | 6.51357→6.37129 | +41.97 | take_profit |
| 06-24 04:21 | OP | Sell | 0.101575→0.100175 | +25.36 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:07 | APT | Sell | 0.648738→0.64016 | +24.60 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:07 | ARB | Sell | 0.0792102→0.0778795 | +31.58 | timeout |
| 06-24 00:15 | SUI | Sell | 0.699605→0.709632 | -30.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 20:09 | LINK | Sell | 7.63429→7.6016 | +6.62 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:09 | NEAR | Sell | 1.9902→1.9939 | -5.49 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:01 | INJ | Sell | 4.51927→4.58364 | -30.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 20:01 | APT | Sell | 0.631442→0.64038 | -30.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 18:41 | BNB | Sell | 574.836→573.343 | +3.16 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:27 | BNB | Sell | 572.487→574.164 | -8.03 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:08 | ATOM | Sell | 1.76066→1.77184 | -14.54 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:45 | INJ | Sell | 4.53906→4.60495 | -31.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 11:32 | OP | Sell | 0.0965259→0.0979434 | -31.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 09:20 | SUI | Sell | 0.675411→0.684983 | -30.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:28 | ADA | Sell | 0.154211→0.150868 | +41.55 | take_profit |
| 06-23 04:07 | ARB | Sell | 0.0829693→0.0827507 | +3.25 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:01 | SOL | Sell | 71.9272→71.9798 | -3.46 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:50 | NEAR | Sell | 2.06598→2.02071 | +42.06 | take_profit |
| 06-23 00:30 | APT | Sell | 0.662034→0.656464 | +15.01 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:24 | SUI | Sell | 0.725429→0.71855 | +17.20 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:30 | OP | Sell | 0.102274→0.101535 | +12.75 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:04 | INJ | Sell | 4.8093→4.87676 | -29.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 01:26 | NEAR | Sell | 2.13567→2.16662 | -30.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 01:24 | ARB | Sell | 0.0832092→0.0844033 | -30.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 01:23 | LINK | Sell | 7.82144→7.93175 | -30.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 00:46 | OP | Sell | 0.0997251→0.101126 | -29.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:08 | OP | Sell | 0.102804→0.101855 | +16.51 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:03 | LTC | Sell | 45.8065→45.2153 | +24.11 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:03 | ATOM | Sell | 1.76796→1.77064 | -4.86 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:02 | INJ | Sell | 4.98305→4.95354 | +10.00 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:34 | NEAR | Sell | 2.19915→2.15144 | +41.57 | take_profit |
| 06-21 12:01 | ATOM | Sell | 1.77496→1.77264 | +0.70 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:01 | ADA | Sell | 0.1614→0.16087 | +4.76 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:12 | OP | Sell | 0.102124→0.103748 | -33.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 10:23 | ARB | Sell | 0.0834891→0.0846835 | -30.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 09:18 | INJ | Sell | 5.03554→4.97254 | +23.23 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:43 | NEAR | Sell | 2.21615→2.24768 | -30.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 04:03 | OP | Sell | 0.103374→0.104146 | -16.73 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:03 | LINK | Sell | 7.97161→7.97089 | -1.56 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:38 | APT | Sell | 0.644839→0.65399 | -30.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 22:28 | NEAR | Sell | 2.15286→2.18464 | -31.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 20:07 | APT | Sell | 0.635741→0.635759 | -1.98 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:46 | OP | Sell | 0.0995851→0.101126 | -32.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 12:02 | NEAR | Sell | 2.13717→2.13453 | +0.52 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:02 | ATOM | Sell | 1.79395→1.78315 | +10.05 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:02 | ARB | Sell | 0.083999→0.0837209 | +4.80 | timeout |
| 06-20 09:45 | APT | Sell | 0.632542→0.641481 | -30.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 09:40 | INJ | Sell | 5.06173→5.13445 | -30.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 05:05 | ATOM | Sell | 1.80245→1.79805 | +3.11 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:59 | ARB | Sell | 0.0836191→0.0833808 | +3.67 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:38 | APT | Sell | 0.634341→0.626857 | +21.90 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:11 | INJ | Sell | 5.11322→5.06727 | +16.11 | timeout |
| 06-20 04:05 | NEAR | Sell | 2.18375→2.16474 | +15.54 | timeout |
| 06-19 21:09 | OP | Sell | 0.102604→0.101735 | +14.96 | timeout |
| 06-19 21:02 | ATOM | Sell | 1.81045→1.80445 | +4.63 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:34 | BNB | Sell | 579.325→579.385 | -2.15 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:26 | APT | Sell | 0.63934→0.625056 | +42.95 | take_profit |
| 06-19 17:59 | AVAX | Sell | 6.11487→5.98099 | +42.00 | take_profit |
| 06-19 12:07 | LTC | Sell | 43.4181→43.5169 | -6.41 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:07 | APT | Sell | 0.618645→0.623156 | -16.47 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:01 | ARB | Sell | 0.0829393→0.0827507 | +2.72 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:01 | LINK | Sell | 7.84374→7.81695 | +5.01 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:01 | OP | Sell | 0.101465→0.100715 | +12.85 | timeout |
| 06-19 06:05 | ATOM | Sell | 1.79425→1.81946 | -29.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:12 | ADA | Sell | 0.163299→0.16189 | +15.48 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:01 | APT | Sell | 0.64134→0.631458 | +29.04 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
536
closed
44%
win rate
-1089.30
total pnl ($)
-10.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATOM | 67 | 45% | -14.6 | -198.73 |
| INJ | 66 | 42% | -9.6 | -130.30 |
| ARB | 64 | 50% | +1.4 | +16.22 |
| OP | 60 | 43% | -20.7 | -250.70 |
| APT | 60 | 43% | -15.3 | -185.22 |
| NEAR | 57 | 37% | -23.7 | -271.02 |
| ADA | 35 | 57% | +14.6 | +101.18 |
| LTC | 23 | 43% | +7.5 | +33.63 |
| AVAX | 22 | 41% | +15.1 | +65.81 |
| LINK | 20 | 35% | -20.4 | -82.53 |
| SUI | 19 | 32% | -45.5 | -173.30 |
| BNB | 13 | 38% | -3.0 | -9.37 |
| DOGE | 13 | 62% | +43.0 | +111.07 |
| SOL | 8 | 62% | +28.2 | +44.46 |
| ETH | 4 | 0% | -122.9 | -98.49 |
| XRP | 4 | 25% | -55.1 | -44.37 |
| BTC | 1 | 0% | -87.6 | -17.64 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 10:23 | ATOM | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||