558
closed trades
41%
win rate
-1313.07
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=101 wr=40% pnl=-459.05
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:56:15 (25.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 472
· wr: 43.4%
· total_bps: -5056.9
· mean_bps: -10.71
· sharpe: -0.08
· max_dd_bps: -6429.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 12:49 | LTC | Sell | 42.9403→43.1738 | -12.67 | timeout |
| 06-28 12:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.145026→0.145474 | +4.44 | timeout |
| 06-28 10:43 | APT | Buy | 0.579045→0.580655 | +3.92 | timeout |
| 06-28 10:02 | INJ | Buy | 4.67437→4.68123 | +1.08 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.145536→0.144454 | -16.48 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:01 | OP | Buy | 0.101665→0.101315 | -8.64 | timeout |
| 06-28 04:07 | ATOM | Sell | 1.57061→1.57049 | -1.70 | timeout |
| 06-28 00:00 | SUI | Buy | 0.685201→0.684019 | -5.07 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:16 | INJ | Buy | 4.74469→4.67179 | -32.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.146897→0.144791 | -30.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | OP | Buy | 0.101285→0.0998651 | -29.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:06 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5966→1.5839 | -17.59 | timeout |
| 06-27 17:27 | APT | Buy | 0.60055→0.591756 | -31.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:31 | NEAR | Sell | 1.89523→1.92234 | -30.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:01 | OP | Buy | 0.103796→0.103164 | -13.68 | timeout |
| 06-27 13:08 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5856→1.594 | +9.05 | timeout |
| 06-27 13:01 | APT | Buy | 0.60115→0.597051 | -15.54 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:02 | LTC | Sell | 42.3734→42.5006 | -7.84 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.147737→0.147163 | -9.42 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:00 | INJ | Buy | 5.04336→4.97217 | -30.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 07:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0753188→0.0749613 | -11.27 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:49 | APT | Buy | 0.603951→0.605049 | +1.91 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:13 | OP | Buy | 0.105606→0.104072 | -30.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 03:59 | INJ | Buy | 4.91893→4.84896 | -30.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 01:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.147687→0.148113 | +3.94 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:09 | INJ | Buy | 4.72938→4.83179 | +41.49 | take_profit |
| 06-26 17:59 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5876→1.61011 | -30.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:55 | SUI | Buy | 0.674058→0.688628 | +41.36 | take_profit |
| 06-26 12:40 | APT | Buy | 0.588847→0.580464 | -30.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:06 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6159→1.6004 | -21.09 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:01 | ARB | Buy | 0.0728882→0.0718561 | -30.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:30 | APT | Buy | 0.591148→0.582163 | -32.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:29 | OP | Buy | 0.106177→0.104611 | -31.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.141725→0.143164 | +18.52 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:04 | ATOM | Sell | 1.62029→1.5845 | +42.32 | take_profit |
| 06-25 18:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.02676→1.04284 | +29.70 | timeout |
| 06-25 16:19 | APT | Sell | 0.585354→0.593645 | -30.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | BNB | Buy | 563.081→555.163 | -29.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:38 | AVAX | Buy | 6.37339→6.28289 | -30.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:40 | NEAR | Sell | 1.97041→1.92708 | +41.90 | take_profit |
| 06-25 11:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.149327→0.14722 | -30.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:04 | INJ | Sell | 4.28063→4.18695 | +41.99 | take_profit |
| 06-25 09:21 | ATOM | Buy | 1.66962→1.64586 | -30.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 08:59 | SOL | Buy | 68.4253→68.9737 | +14.13 | timeout |
| 06-25 07:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.147717→0.149733 | +25.65 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:35 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63989→1.64051 | -2.73 | timeout |
| 06-25 02:41 | INJ | Buy | 4.23756→4.17796 | -30.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 23:04 | OP | Buy | 0.103676→0.105954 | +42.14 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.141635→0.144714 | +41.71 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:01 | SUI | Sell | 0.671212→0.68077 | -30.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:01 | ARB | Sell | 0.0737316→0.0748361 | -31.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:25 | LTC | Buy | 40.4501→39.8841 | -29.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:20 | SOL | Buy | 66.3129→65.3965 | -29.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | NEAR | Sell | 1.91272→1.87117 | +41.66 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | APT | Sell | 0.614746→0.60085 | +43.38 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ATOM | Buy | 1.64131→1.61599 | -32.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:18 | OP | Sell | 0.0983654→0.0997848 | -30.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:46 | LINK | Buy | 7.47657→7.37047 | -30.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:45 | AVAX | Buy | 6.30988→6.22073 | -30.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:11 | ARB | Buy | 0.0782896→0.0771921 | -29.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.148277→0.1462 | -29.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:36 | OP | Sell | 0.101175→0.100625 | +9.06 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:52 | ATOM | Sell | 1.69208→1.65551 | +41.39 | take_profit |
| 06-24 10:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.151768→0.149903 | -26.21 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:06 | AVAX | Buy | 6.44041→6.43609 | -3.21 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:21 | OP | Sell | 0.102364→0.100025 | +43.55 | take_profit |
| 06-24 04:15 | APT | Sell | 0.649438→0.63906 | +30.12 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:11 | ATOM | Buy | 1.71703→1.69183 | -30.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 03:01 | ARB | Buy | 0.0789697→0.0781005 | -23.60 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.150238→0.152552 | +28.91 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:06 | APT | Sell | 0.635041→0.64166 | -22.63 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0784796→0.0786003 | +1.27 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:14 | SOL | Buy | 68.7203→68.8727 | +2.78 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.151088→0.150172 | -13.89 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:43 | LTC | Buy | 42.3626→41.7697 | -29.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 13:02 | INJ | Sell | 4.59075→4.56084 | +11.05 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:01 | BNB | Sell | 573.866→573.393 | -0.53 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:22 | SOL | Buy | 68.6723→69.0526 | +9.52 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:28 | ADA | Sell | 0.154181→0.150808 | +41.94 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:15 | OP | Buy | 0.0985846→0.0971571 | -30.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77334→1.74599 | -32.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | SUI | Buy | 0.693493→0.683307 | -31.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:11 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830292→0.0826507 | +7.10 | timeout |
| 06-23 03:04 | AVAX | Buy | 6.19985→6.27513 | +22.58 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.15959→0.157332 | -30.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | OP | Buy | 0.101115→0.0995953 | -31.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 14:47 | ADA | Buy | 0.16172→0.15944 | -30.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:36 | OP | Buy | 0.102056→0.104354 | +43.18 | take_profit |
| 06-22 11:10 | SUI | Buy | 0.710948→0.726458 | +41.78 | take_profit |
| 06-22 11:00 | INJ | Buy | 4.87772→4.89038 | +3.29 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.15979→0.16053 | +7.55 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:06 | APT | Buy | 0.666467→0.665134 | -5.76 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:16 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78895→1.79985 | +10.43 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:00 | OP | Buy | 0.101165→0.101165 | -1.91 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | SUI | Buy | 0.695654→0.710652 | +41.29 | take_profit |
| 06-21 23:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.15841→0.156193 | -29.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 22:25 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76624→1.75986 | -9.04 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:08 | OP | Sell | 0.102804→0.101855 | +16.52 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:03 | INJ | Sell | 4.98565→4.94834 | +13.10 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.162491→0.162199 | -5.38 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
558
closed
41%
win rate
-1313.07
total pnl ($)
-11.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OP | 81 | 37% | -15.3 | -248.57 |
| ATOM | 80 | 50% | -0.5 | -7.33 |
| ADA | 71 | 38% | -27.9 | -394.38 |
| INJ | 69 | 46% | +8.4 | +115.13 |
| APT | 66 | 33% | -33.0 | -436.53 |
| NEAR | 49 | 37% | -19.0 | -186.64 |
| ARB | 45 | 42% | -7.7 | -70.33 |
| AVAX | 24 | 38% | -11.6 | -56.26 |
| SUI | 19 | 21% | -68.9 | -262.30 |
| LTC | 14 | 29% | -25.9 | -73.12 |
| BNB | 9 | 56% | +20.7 | +36.70 |
| LINK | 9 | 67% | +26.8 | +48.05 |
| SOL | 8 | 50% | -16.1 | -25.36 |
| DOGE | 7 | 100% | +147.6 | +206.48 |
| XRP | 5 | 60% | +60.4 | +60.61 |
| BTC | 1 | 100% | +52.8 | +10.56 |
| ETH | 1 | 0% | -148.2 | -29.78 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 16:15 | APT | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||