558
closed trades
39%
win rate
-1246.80
total pnl ($)
0.895
weight
7d window — n=97 wr=42% pnl=-54.57
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:56:15 (24.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 472
· wr: 43.4%
· total_bps: -5056.9
· mean_bps: -10.71
· sharpe: -0.08
· max_dd_bps: -6429.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 00:06 | SUI | Buy | 0.685311→0.684719 | -1.71 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:16 | INJ | Buy | 4.74729→4.67939 | -15.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.146877→0.144791 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | OP | Buy | 0.101335→0.099885 | -15.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:22 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6003→1.57792 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 17:16 | APT | Buy | 0.602451→0.593854 | -15.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 17:02 | OP | Buy | 0.103566→0.102274 | -13.36 | timeout |
| 06-27 13:09 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5863→1.5942 | +4.21 | timeout |
| 06-27 13:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.147297→0.147273 | -1.01 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:32 | LTC | Sell | 42.4524→42.5816 | -3.98 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:28 | APT | Buy | 0.602251→0.593555 | -15.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 10:59 | BNB | Buy | 565.341→563.919 | -3.45 | timeout |
| 06-27 08:06 | INJ | Buy | 4.95224→5.05873 | +20.63 | take_profit |
| 06-27 07:01 | OP | Buy | 0.105306→0.104754 | -5.97 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:45 | APT | Buy | 0.603851→0.602749 | -2.77 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:42 | INJ | Buy | 4.86292→4.87028 | +0.63 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.147687→0.148113 | +1.99 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:32 | NEAR | Sell | 1.81465→1.84078 | -15.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 19:08 | INJ | Buy | 4.71628→4.8188 | +20.83 | take_profit |
| 06-26 18:04 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5943→1.61721 | -15.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 18:01 | ETH | Buy | 1565.96→1581.94 | +9.26 | timeout |
| 06-26 14:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0715479→0.0731217 | +21.07 | take_profit |
| 06-26 14:00 | SUI | Buy | 0.676129→0.690757 | +20.70 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:18 | APT | Buy | 0.586947→0.577966 | -16.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:14 | ARB | Buy | 0.0723481→0.0739115 | +20.70 | take_profit |
| 06-25 23:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.141955→0.143184 | +7.76 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:04 | ATOM | Sell | 1.62029→1.5852 | +20.73 | take_profit |
| 06-25 18:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.03446→1.04264 | +7.10 | timeout |
| 06-25 16:17 | APT | Sell | 0.585154→0.593445 | -15.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:48 | BNB | Buy | 560.77→552.875 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:31 | AVAX | Buy | 6.3956→6.30527 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.149127→0.14698 | -15.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:06 | ARB | Sell | 0.0771507→0.075979 | +14.27 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:41 | NEAR | Sell | 1.96291→1.92038 | +20.59 | take_profit |
| 06-25 11:09 | INJ | Sell | 4.27803→4.18375 | +21.13 | take_profit |
| 06-25 09:21 | ATOM | Buy | 1.66982→1.64586 | -15.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 07:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.147897→0.149843 | +12.33 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:35 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63989→1.64051 | -1.37 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:03 | ARB | Sell | 0.075971→0.0755289 | +4.92 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:03 | INJ | Buy | 4.22986→4.17965 | -12.82 | timeout |
| 06-24 23:04 | OP | Buy | 0.103556→0.105844 | +21.19 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.141495→0.144574 | +20.88 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:01 | SUI | Sell | 0.670642→0.68051 | -15.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:25 | LTC | Buy | 40.4261→39.8331 | -15.57 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:22 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63679→1.6007 | +21.12 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:20 | SOL | Buy | 66.3159→65.3965 | -14.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | APT | Sell | 0.615346→0.60195 | +20.86 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ARB | Sell | 0.0754411→0.0737984 | +20.86 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:46 | LINK | Buy | 7.45596→7.35148 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:22 | OP | Sell | 0.0985254→0.100095 | -16.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:46 | AVAX | Buy | 6.29447→6.20504 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.148027→0.14594 | -14.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:36 | OP | Sell | 0.101175→0.100645 | +4.33 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:58 | ATOM | Sell | 1.69138→1.65481 | +20.71 | take_profit |
| 06-24 09:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.151978→0.149778 | -15.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 04:25 | AVAX | Buy | 6.44801→6.35723 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 04:14 | OP | Sell | 0.102554→0.100345 | +20.52 | take_profit |
| 06-24 02:59 | ARB | Buy | 0.0790998→0.0779715 | -15.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 02:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.72513→1.72427 | -1.41 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:31 | APT | Sell | 0.646838→0.656092 | -15.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 01:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.150328→0.152692 | +14.78 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:07 | BNB | Sell | 575.826→576.324 | -1.87 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:02 | ARB | Buy | 0.0783396→0.0788003 | +4.98 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:14 | SOL | Buy | 68.7223→68.8717 | +1.35 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.151098→0.149992 | -8.20 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:43 | LTC | Buy | 42.3626→41.7687 | -14.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 13:01 | BNB | Sell | 573.866→573.393 | -0.26 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:23 | SOL | Buy | 68.5143→69.0526 | +7.08 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:56 | INJ | Sell | 4.54286→4.60715 | -15.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:28 | ADA | Sell | 0.154191→0.150868 | +20.65 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:15 | OP | Buy | 0.0984046→0.0970072 | -15.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77564→1.74899 | -15.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | SUI | Buy | 0.693873→0.684067 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:05 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830192→0.0827307 | +2.44 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:04 | SOL | Sell | 71.9022→71.8978 | -0.94 | timeout |
| 06-23 03:04 | AVAX | Buy | 6.20215→6.27713 | +11.25 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.15981→0.157502 | -15.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:28 | OP | Sell | 0.102184→0.101415 | +6.68 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:10 | SUI | Buy | 0.711838→0.727878 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-22 11:05 | INJ | Buy | 4.89602→4.88448 | -3.31 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:04 | OP | Buy | 0.101585→0.102084 | +3.96 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:03 | APT | Buy | 0.666767→0.664934 | -3.66 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.16045→0.16033 | -1.60 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:16 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78895→1.79985 | +5.26 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | SUI | Buy | 0.695764→0.710812 | +20.72 | take_profit |
| 06-21 22:25 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76624→1.75986 | -4.53 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.16169→0.15941 | -15.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:15 | OP | Sell | 0.102434→0.101715 | +6.05 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:03 | INJ | Sell | 4.98565→4.94834 | +6.55 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:34 | NEAR | Sell | 2.19805→2.15074 | +20.62 | take_profit |
| 06-21 16:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.16083→0.16178 | +5.11 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:11 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78645→1.77296 | -8.44 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:11 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78145→1.77386 | -5.00 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:03 | LINK | Sell | 7.97161→7.97089 | -0.78 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23216→6.22654 | -1.85 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.162571→0.162449 | -1.68 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:38 | APT | Sell | 0.644939→0.65399 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 00:54 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79545→1.79595 | -0.62 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.16167→0.16121 | -3.79 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:52 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78485→1.79095 | +2.53 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
558
closed
39%
win rate
-1246.80
total pnl ($)
-22.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OP | 81 | 40% | -21.5 | -174.23 |
| ATOM | 70 | 47% | +5.5 | +39.03 |
| ADA | 69 | 42% | -24.8 | -170.66 |
| INJ | 67 | 39% | -13.8 | -93.18 |
| APT | 65 | 35% | -23.3 | -152.33 |
| NEAR | 51 | 24% | -72.1 | -367.94 |
| ARB | 48 | 44% | -9.0 | -43.76 |
| AVAX | 26 | 27% | -50.5 | -131.72 |
| SUI | 21 | 24% | -53.1 | -111.82 |
| LINK | 12 | 42% | -23.9 | -28.88 |
| BNB | 11 | 45% | +0.8 | +0.42 |
| LTC | 11 | 36% | -23.4 | -26.03 |
| SOL | 9 | 33% | -37.4 | -33.43 |
| XRP | 8 | 50% | +1.6 | +1.38 |
| DOGE | 6 | 83% | +78.0 | +46.75 |
| ETH | 2 | 50% | -27.3 | -5.56 |
| BTC | 1 | 100% | +51.6 | +5.15 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 3)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 00:11 | ATOM | Sell | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 00:05 | ADA | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 22:08 | INJ | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||