522
closed trades
43%
win rate
-302.12
total pnl ($)
1.401
weight
7d window — n=87 wr=49% pnl=+29.30
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:31:38 (24.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 496
· wr: 42.9%
· total_bps: -5181.2
· mean_bps: -10.45
· sharpe: -0.08
· max_dd_bps: -6737.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 13:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.147207→0.147243 | -0.31 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:32 | LTC | Sell | 42.4524→42.5816 | -1.98 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:03 | OP | Sell | 0.104994→0.103906 | +4.69 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:37 | APT | Buy | 0.60185→0.593055 | -7.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 09:02 | INJ | Buy | 5.03126→4.96048 | -7.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 06:46 | APT | Buy | 0.603851→0.604249 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:45 | INJ | Buy | 4.86542→4.86978 | +0.01 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.147687→0.148113 | +0.98 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:08 | INJ | Buy | 4.71528→4.8188 | +10.53 | take_profit |
| 06-26 17:48 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5872→1.60971 | -7.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 15:25 | ARB | Buy | 0.0716079→0.0731717 | +10.45 | take_profit |
| 06-26 14:00 | SUI | Buy | 0.676119→0.690757 | +10.36 | take_profit |
| 06-26 12:40 | APT | Buy | 0.588847→0.580464 | -7.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:46 | ARB | Buy | 0.0723081→0.0738815 | +10.43 | take_profit |
| 06-25 23:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.141725→0.143164 | +4.63 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:04 | ATOM | Sell | 1.62199→1.5854 | +10.82 | take_profit |
| 06-25 18:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.02686→1.04224 | +7.08 | timeout |
| 06-25 16:19 | APT | Sell | 0.585354→0.593645 | -7.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | BNB | Buy | 562.501→554.584 | -7.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:40 | AVAX | Buy | 6.36169→6.26969 | -7.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:40 | NEAR | Sell | 1.96971→1.92608 | +10.59 | take_profit |
| 06-25 11:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.149307→0.14721 | -7.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:04 | INJ | Sell | 4.28013→4.18695 | +10.45 | take_profit |
| 06-25 10:29 | ATOM | Buy | 1.66682→1.64267 | -7.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 07:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.147817→0.149493 | +5.20 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:01 | ARB | Sell | 0.076011→0.0755289 | +2.73 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:01 | ATOM | Sell | 1.64799→1.64511 | +0.38 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:02 | INJ | Buy | 4.23236→4.17965 | -6.70 | timeout |
| 06-24 23:04 | OP | Buy | 0.103636→0.105954 | +10.73 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.141475→0.144574 | +10.52 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:01 | SUI | Sell | 0.670862→0.68051 | -7.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:25 | LTC | Buy | 40.4581→39.8841 | -7.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | ATOM | Buy | 1.64201→1.61599 | -8.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | APT | Sell | 0.615446→0.60195 | +10.51 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ARB | Sell | 0.0754711→0.0737984 | +10.62 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:46 | LINK | Buy | 7.45086→7.34629 | -7.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:46 | AVAX | Buy | 6.29447→6.20504 | -7.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.147907→0.145821 | -7.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:03 | ARB | Sell | 0.0783404→0.0785796 | -1.96 | timeout |
| 06-24 11:37 | OP | Sell | 0.101175→0.100855 | +1.14 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:58 | ATOM | Sell | 1.69138→1.65481 | +10.36 | take_profit |
| 06-24 09:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.151958→0.149778 | -7.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 04:23 | APT | Sell | 0.648238→0.636959 | +8.25 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:22 | OP | Sell | 0.101725→0.099925 | +8.29 | timeout |
| 06-24 02:59 | ARB | Buy | 0.0790998→0.0779715 | -7.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 02:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.72513→1.72427 | -0.66 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.151138→0.153462 | +7.21 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:48 | OP | Sell | 0.0994651→0.0981045 | +6.39 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:07 | BNB | Sell | 575.476→576.324 | -1.23 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:02 | ARB | Buy | 0.0783596→0.0787003 | +1.72 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:13 | SOL | Buy | 68.7723→68.8417 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.150608→0.150082 | -2.19 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:50 | LTC | Buy | 42.4366→41.8236 | -7.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 13:02 | INJ | Sell | 4.59065→4.56084 | +2.75 | timeout |
| 06-23 13:01 | BNB | Sell | 573.866→573.393 | -0.13 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:24 | SOL | Buy | 68.2452→69.0576 | +5.56 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:28 | ADA | Sell | 0.154191→0.150868 | +10.32 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:16 | OP | Buy | 0.0983246→0.0969173 | -7.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77564→1.74899 | -7.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | SUI | Buy | 0.694384→0.684666 | -7.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:04 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830692→0.0826807 | +1.84 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:04 | SOL | Sell | 71.8632→71.8668 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 06-23 03:02 | AVAX | Buy | 6.20735→6.27653 | +5.15 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.15978→0.157502 | -7.57 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:30 | OP | Sell | 0.102274→0.101535 | +3.19 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:10 | SUI | Buy | 0.711118→0.726418 | +10.29 | take_profit |
| 06-22 11:01 | INJ | Buy | 4.87352→4.88848 | +1.06 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:00 | OP | Buy | 0.101305→0.102004 | +2.98 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:01 | APT | Buy | 0.666667→0.664934 | -1.73 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.16059→0.16016 | -1.77 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:18 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79115→1.79815 | +1.54 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:25 | SUI | Buy | 0.694614→0.709543 | +10.28 | take_profit |
| 06-21 22:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76664→1.76206 | -1.75 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.16171→0.15944 | -7.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:15 | OP | Sell | 0.102494→0.101655 | +3.60 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.16083→0.16178 | +2.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:23 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78515→1.76916 | -4.92 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:11 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78145→1.77386 | -2.50 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:14 | OP | Sell | 0.103504→0.103826 | -2.01 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:11 | APT | Sell | 0.645039→0.65409 | -7.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 02:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.162611→0.162449 | -0.97 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:54 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79545→1.79595 | -0.31 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:01 | ARB | Sell | 0.0836491→0.0832208 | +2.11 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:01 | APT | Sell | 0.635741→0.635059 | +0.06 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.16172→0.1613 | -1.77 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:14 | INJ | Buy | 5.00365→4.96946 | -3.85 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:49 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78755→1.79205 | +0.80 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:15 | SUI | Buy | 0.716749→0.714921 | -1.73 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:09 | INJ | Buy | 5.07707→5.07153 | -1.01 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.162429 | -1.95 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:47 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79595→1.78575 | -3.23 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:03 | NEAR | Sell | 2.13707→2.13683 | -0.43 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:30 | OP | Buy | 0.104366→0.102893 | -7.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 05:11 | APT | Buy | 0.624956→0.63894 | +10.73 | take_profit |
| 06-20 05:11 | INJ | Sell | 5.09243→5.16387 | -7.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 05:10 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830292→0.0842131 | -7.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 04:11 | NEAR | Sell | 2.17496→2.16544 | +1.72 | timeout |
| 06-20 02:14 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80255→1.78685 | -4.77 | timeout |
| 06-19 23:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.16101→0.16157 | +1.31 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.15957→0.1611 | +4.32 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
522
closed
43%
win rate
-302.12
total pnl ($)
-11.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OP | 74 | 45% | -7.0 | -26.03 |
| ATOM | 73 | 52% | +13.1 | +47.97 |
| ADA | 67 | 45% | -19.8 | -65.97 |
| INJ | 64 | 44% | -6.5 | -21.07 |
| APT | 61 | 34% | -21.4 | -65.61 |
| ARB | 45 | 42% | -1.3 | -3.10 |
| NEAR | 44 | 34% | -31.6 | -69.77 |
| AVAX | 23 | 35% | -30.0 | -34.65 |
| SUI | 19 | 26% | -55.1 | -52.46 |
| LTC | 12 | 33% | -24.6 | -14.92 |
| LINK | 11 | 64% | +10.8 | +5.88 |
| BNB | 8 | 50% | +19.1 | +7.39 |
| DOGE | 7 | 57% | -5.3 | -1.89 |
| SOL | 7 | 43% | -1.9 | -0.55 |
| XRP | 5 | 40% | -10.7 | -2.61 |
| BTC | 1 | 100% | +53.4 | +2.67 |
| ETH | 1 | 0% | -147.0 | -7.38 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 5)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 14:21 | ATOM | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 14:21 | APT | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 13:10 | ARB | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 08:48 | LTC | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-27 08:48 | INJ | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||