538
closed trades
40%
win rate
-263.69
total pnl ($)
1.112
weight
7d window — n=87 wr=44% pnl=-19.00
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:31:38 (23.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 496
· wr: 42.9%
· total_bps: -5181.2
· mean_bps: -10.45
· sharpe: -0.08
· max_dd_bps: -6737.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 10:59 | BNB | Buy | 565.341→563.919 | -0.86 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:46 | APT | Buy | 0.603851→0.602749 | -0.58 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:48 | INJ | Buy | 4.90383→4.85928 | -2.49 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.147527→0.148223 | +0.95 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:10 | OP | Sell | 0.106183→0.107781 | -3.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 19:09 | INJ | Buy | 4.71868→4.82649 | +5.49 | take_profit |
| 06-26 18:04 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5927→1.61721 | -4.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 14:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0715479→0.0731217 | +5.27 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:55 | SUI | Buy | 0.674118→0.688628 | +5.15 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:18 | APT | Buy | 0.586947→0.577966 | -4.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:08 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6162→1.5996 | -2.81 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:14 | ARB | Buy | 0.0723981→0.0739815 | +5.24 | take_profit |
| 06-25 23:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.141955→0.143184 | +1.94 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:04 | ATOM | Sell | 1.62159→1.5845 | +5.49 | take_profit |
| 06-25 16:19 | APT | Sell | 0.585354→0.593645 | -3.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.02556→1.04764 | +5.16 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | BNB | Buy | 561.1→552.875 | -3.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:32 | AVAX | Buy | 6.3903→6.29917 | -3.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:40 | NEAR | Sell | 1.96971→1.92548 | +5.36 | take_profit |
| 06-25 11:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.149307→0.14721 | -3.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:04 | INJ | Sell | 4.28093→4.18695 | +5.27 | take_profit |
| 06-25 09:18 | ATOM | Buy | 1.67112→1.64766 | -3.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 07:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.147817→0.149193 | +2.12 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:02 | ATOM | Sell | 1.64859→1.64631 | +0.10 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:02 | ARB | Sell | 0.076061→0.0755489 | +1.46 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:01 | INJ | Buy | 4.23036→4.17965 | -3.23 | timeout |
| 06-24 22:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.144956→0.148183 | +5.35 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:25 | LTC | Buy | 40.4361→39.8681 | -3.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:20 | SOL | Buy | 66.3169→65.4015 | -3.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.14754→6.06115 | -3.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | ATOM | Buy | 1.64191→1.61599 | -4.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | APT | Sell | 0.616346→0.603051 | +5.16 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:22 | OP | Sell | 0.0986053→0.100095 | -4.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:47 | LINK | Buy | 7.47037→7.36547 | -3.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | ARB | Buy | 0.0780495→0.0769223 | -3.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.148157→0.14604 | -3.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:36 | OP | Sell | 0.101175→0.100645 | +1.08 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:58 | ATOM | Sell | 1.69148→1.65481 | +5.19 | take_profit |
| 06-24 10:05 | ADA | Buy | 0.151538→0.149893 | -2.92 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:14 | OP | Sell | 0.102544→0.100295 | +5.21 | take_profit |
| 06-24 04:14 | APT | Sell | 0.648738→0.63926 | +3.42 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:11 | ATOM | Buy | 1.71763→1.69323 | -3.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 03:05 | ARB | Buy | 0.0788797→0.0780105 | -2.95 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.150098→0.152952 | +4.52 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:06 | BNB | Sell | 574.856→576.314 | -0.88 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:01 | ARB | Buy | 0.0784796→0.0786603 | +0.35 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:13 | SOL | Buy | 68.7623→68.8737 | +0.20 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.151088→0.150172 | -1.74 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:43 | LTC | Buy | 42.3626→41.7687 | -3.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 13:02 | BNB | Sell | 574.146→573.283 | +0.11 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:23 | SOL | Buy | 68.5103→69.0736 | +1.86 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:56 | INJ | Sell | 4.54286→4.60865 | -3.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:28 | ADA | Sell | 0.154191→0.150868 | +5.16 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:15 | OP | Buy | 0.0985046→0.0970871 | -3.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77574→1.74899 | -3.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | SUI | Buy | 0.692633→0.682458 | -3.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:12 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830792→0.0825206 | +1.43 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:01 | INJ | Buy | 4.8116→4.83739 | +1.11 | timeout |
| 06-23 03:06 | AVAX | Buy | 6.20635→6.27873 | +2.70 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.15968→0.157402 | -3.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:30 | OP | Sell | 0.102274→0.101535 | +1.59 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:10 | SUI | Buy | 0.711998→0.727588 | +5.24 | take_profit |
| 06-22 11:01 | OP | Buy | 0.101215→0.102064 | +1.86 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:01 | INJ | Buy | 4.87352→4.88848 | +0.53 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:01 | APT | Buy | 0.666867→0.665034 | -0.91 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.16047→0.16027 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:18 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79085→1.79895 | +0.91 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:25 | SUI | Buy | 0.695184→0.710282 | +5.20 | take_profit |
| 06-22 00:57 | ARB | Sell | 0.0819695→0.0831323 | -3.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 23:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.15851→0.156273 | -3.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 22:25 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76624→1.75986 | -1.13 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:15 | OP | Sell | 0.102434→0.101715 | +1.51 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:03 | INJ | Sell | 4.98565→4.94834 | +1.64 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.162511→0.162079 | -0.89 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:34 | NEAR | Sell | 2.19805→2.15074 | +5.15 | take_profit |
| 06-21 14:12 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78595→1.77296 | -2.04 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.16124→0.16131 | -0.12 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:43 | NEAR | Sell | 2.21725→2.24909 | -3.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 08:11 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78145→1.77386 | -1.25 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:14 | OP | Sell | 0.103504→0.103826 | -1.00 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:13 | APT | Sell | 0.645239→0.654591 | -3.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 02:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.162611→0.162449 | -0.48 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:54 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79545→1.79595 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:09 | OP | Sell | 0.101165→0.101685 | -1.54 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.16188→0.16126 | -1.19 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:17 | INJ | Buy | 5.00285→4.96946 | -1.89 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:53 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78455→1.79195 | +0.81 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:15 | SUI | Buy | 0.716779→0.714921 | -0.88 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:09 | INJ | Buy | 5.07707→5.07153 | -0.50 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.162429 | -0.97 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:47 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79595→1.78575 | -1.62 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:04 | NEAR | Sell | 2.13897→2.13673 | +0.02 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:43 | APT | Buy | 0.625756→0.635541 | +3.68 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.162121→0.163109 | +1.29 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:30 | OP | Buy | 0.104636→0.102893 | -4.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 05:11 | INJ | Sell | 5.09243→5.16387 | -3.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 05:10 | ARB | Sell | 0.0828993→0.084093 | -3.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 04:11 | NEAR | Sell | 2.17836→2.16394 | +1.42 | timeout |
| 06-20 02:13 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80155→1.78745 | -2.17 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.16002→0.16105 | +1.37 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
538
closed
40%
win rate
-263.69
total pnl ($)
-19.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OP | 76 | 39% | -24.2 | -46.18 |
| ATOM | 74 | 46% | -2.1 | -3.81 |
| INJ | 66 | 39% | -19.5 | -32.37 |
| ADA | 65 | 42% | -15.1 | -24.57 |
| APT | 62 | 39% | -15.0 | -23.31 |
| NEAR | 50 | 32% | -41.9 | -52.40 |
| ARB | 43 | 40% | -16.4 | -17.79 |
| AVAX | 25 | 32% | -41.4 | -26.00 |
| SUI | 20 | 20% | -72.3 | -36.25 |
| BNB | 12 | 50% | -3.3 | -1.12 |
| LINK | 12 | 58% | -8.5 | -2.63 |
| LTC | 12 | 33% | -25.9 | -7.85 |
| XRP | 8 | 38% | -9.8 | -1.95 |
| SOL | 6 | 50% | -5.0 | -0.69 |
| DOGE | 5 | 100% | +125.9 | +15.73 |
| BTC | 1 | 100% | +51.9 | +1.30 |
| ETH | 1 | 0% | -150.0 | -3.77 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||