547
closed trades
42%
win rate
-956.53
total pnl ($)
1.405
weight
7d window — n=102 wr=43% pnl=+30.34
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:31:38 (23.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 496
· wr: 42.9%
· total_bps: -5181.2
· mean_bps: -10.45
· sharpe: -0.08
· max_dd_bps: -6737.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 12:01 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5891→1.6061 | -17.60 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:01 | LINK | Sell | 7.37566→7.35864 | +2.11 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:01 | AVAX | Sell | 6.55336→6.56694 | -4.46 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:00 | LTC | Sell | 42.3934→42.4746 | -4.29 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:02 | INJ | Buy | 5.03126→4.96028 | -22.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 07:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0753188→0.0749613 | -8.49 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:50 | APT | Buy | 0.604051→0.605149 | +1.30 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:13 | OP | Buy | 0.105606→0.104072 | -22.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 04:40 | INJ | Buy | 4.86422→4.86968 | +0.35 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.147687→0.148113 | +2.98 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:03 | NEAR | Sell | 1.81555→1.81845 | -3.68 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:02 | ATOM | Sell | 1.6017→1.6025 | -2.27 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:10 | OP | Sell | 0.106153→0.107781 | -24.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 19:08 | INJ | Buy | 4.71718→4.81899 | +31.02 | take_profit |
| 06-26 14:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0715579→0.0731217 | +31.40 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:57 | SUI | Buy | 0.675799→0.690347 | +30.88 | take_profit |
| 06-26 10:39 | LINK | Sell | 7.31217→7.15399 | +31.15 | take_profit |
| 06-26 09:52 | NEAR | Sell | 1.84294→1.80295 | +31.22 | take_profit |
| 06-26 09:52 | OP | Sell | 0.107313→0.104986 | +31.12 | take_profit |
| 06-26 09:51 | APT | Sell | 0.602949→0.589947 | +31.00 | take_profit |
| 06-26 07:14 | ARB | Buy | 0.0723581→0.0739915 | +32.49 | take_profit |
| 06-25 23:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.141725→0.143164 | +13.88 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:04 | ATOM | Sell | 1.62199→1.587 | +30.96 | take_profit |
| 06-25 18:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.02636→1.04234 | +22.14 | timeout |
| 06-25 16:19 | APT | Sell | 0.585354→0.593645 | -22.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:48 | BNB | Buy | 560.92→552.875 | -22.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:40 | AVAX | Buy | 6.36159→6.26969 | -23.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.149127→0.14698 | -22.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:41 | NEAR | Sell | 1.96451→1.92218 | +30.70 | take_profit |
| 06-25 11:11 | INJ | Sell | 4.26163→4.16714 | +31.91 | take_profit |
| 06-25 09:22 | ATOM | Buy | 1.66892→1.64487 | -22.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 07:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.147717→0.149233 | +14.16 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:35 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63989→1.64051 | -2.05 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:03 | ARB | Sell | 0.075971→0.0755289 | +7.38 | timeout |
| 06-25 02:41 | INJ | Buy | 4.23796→4.17866 | -22.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 23:04 | OP | Buy | 0.103586→0.105844 | +31.34 | take_profit |
| 06-24 22:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.145106→0.148263 | +31.31 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:25 | LTC | Buy | 40.5091→39.94 | -22.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:22 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63679→1.6007 | +31.68 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:20 | SOL | Buy | 66.3159→65.3965 | -22.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:16 | AVAX | Buy | 6.16424→6.07644 | -22.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | APT | Sell | 0.615446→0.60195 | +31.52 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ARB | Sell | 0.0754411→0.0737984 | +31.29 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:22 | OP | Sell | 0.0985254→0.100095 | -25.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:00 | LINK | Buy | 7.45846→7.35198 | -22.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.148027→0.14594 | -22.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:37 | OP | Sell | 0.101175→0.100855 | +3.38 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:52 | ATOM | Sell | 1.69208→1.65551 | +31.04 | take_profit |
| 06-24 09:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.151978→0.149778 | -23.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 04:25 | AVAX | Buy | 6.44711→6.35623 | -22.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 04:22 | APT | Sell | 0.647238→0.636959 | +22.46 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:21 | OP | Sell | 0.102364→0.100025 | +32.70 | take_profit |
| 06-24 02:59 | ARB | Buy | 0.0790998→0.0779715 | -22.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 02:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.72513→1.72427 | -2.11 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.150308→0.152492 | +20.37 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:01 | APT | Sell | 0.631142→0.64038 | -23.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 19:30 | INJ | Sell | 4.50727→4.57263 | -23.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 19:13 | SOL | Buy | 68.7553→68.8587 | +1.02 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.151098→0.149992 | -12.30 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:43 | LTC | Buy | 42.3626→41.7687 | -22.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 13:01 | BNB | Sell | 573.866→573.393 | -0.40 | timeout |
| 06-23 12:23 | SOL | Buy | 68.5593→69.0756 | +10.13 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:45 | INJ | Sell | 4.53976→4.60495 | -23.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:28 | ADA | Sell | 0.154191→0.150868 | +30.97 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:15 | OP | Buy | 0.0983946→0.0970072 | -22.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77664→1.74899 | -24.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | SUI | Buy | 0.693893→0.684067 | -22.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:41 | INJ | Buy | 4.8038→4.72445 | -26.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:12 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830792→0.0825206 | +8.54 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:00 | SOL | Sell | 71.9362→71.9668 | -2.15 | timeout |
| 06-23 03:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.20085→6.28013 | +17.91 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.15959→0.157292 | -22.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:27 | OP | Sell | 0.102184→0.101375 | +10.60 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:10 | SUI | Buy | 0.712208→0.727868 | +31.59 | take_profit |
| 06-22 11:05 | INJ | Buy | 4.89602→4.88448 | -4.96 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:04 | OP | Buy | 0.101585→0.102084 | +5.94 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:05 | APT | Buy | 0.666267→0.665034 | -4.11 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:05 | ADA | Buy | 0.16023→0.16022 | -1.37 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:18 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79115→1.79815 | +4.61 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:25 | SUI | Buy | 0.695474→0.710442 | +30.92 | take_profit |
| 06-21 22:25 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76624→1.75986 | -6.79 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.16168→0.15941 | -22.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:15 | OP | Sell | 0.102434→0.101715 | +9.08 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:03 | INJ | Sell | 4.98565→4.94834 | +9.82 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:34 | NEAR | Sell | 2.19805→2.15074 | +30.93 | take_profit |
| 06-21 16:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.16083→0.16178 | +7.67 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:12 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78595→1.77296 | -12.24 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:11 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78145→1.77386 | -7.51 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:12 | OP | Sell | 0.103404→0.104176 | -12.55 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23216→6.22654 | -2.78 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.162541→0.162449 | -2.24 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:38 | APT | Sell | 0.644839→0.65399 | -22.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 00:54 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79545→1.79595 | -0.92 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:07 | APT | Sell | 0.635741→0.635759 | -1.48 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.16162→0.16116 | -5.68 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:52 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78485→1.79195 | +4.64 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:36 | INJ | Buy | 5.01705→4.94629 | -22.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 17:35 | OP | Buy | 0.101385→0.099955 | -22.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 13:15 | SUI | Buy | 0.716779→0.714921 | -5.26 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:09 | INJ | Buy | 5.07707→5.07153 | -3.02 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
547
closed
42%
win rate
-956.53
total pnl ($)
-11.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OP | 83 | 41% | -15.3 | -190.81 |
| ATOM | 72 | 50% | +13.0 | +140.60 |
| INJ | 67 | 36% | -25.1 | -253.75 |
| ADA | 66 | 44% | -17.0 | -168.14 |
| APT | 61 | 41% | -11.9 | -110.23 |
| NEAR | 49 | 33% | -38.6 | -284.25 |
| ARB | 43 | 44% | +3.9 | +24.64 |
| AVAX | 28 | 39% | -7.8 | -33.39 |
| SUI | 19 | 21% | -65.9 | -188.27 |
| LINK | 13 | 62% | +2.0 | +3.80 |
| BNB | 11 | 55% | +9.9 | +15.92 |
| LTC | 11 | 36% | -17.3 | -28.78 |
| XRP | 8 | 50% | +27.5 | +33.19 |
| SOL | 8 | 38% | -25.8 | -30.47 |
| DOGE | 6 | 100% | +142.1 | +127.84 |
| BTC | 1 | 100% | +51.9 | +7.78 |
| ETH | 1 | 0% | -147.5 | -22.23 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 10:30 | ADA | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-27 08:51 | INJ | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||