xv_wide_tail_micro_size · strategy

1215

closed trades

42%

win rate

-407.77

total pnl ($)

0.853

weight

7d window — n=212 wr=47% pnl=-27.05 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 15:31:38 (18.9d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings

n: 1876 · wr: 43.0% · total_bps: -20304.3 · mean_bps: -10.82 · sharpe: -0.12 · max_dd_bps: -22110.6

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-22 13:04	DOGE	Sell	0.0836661→0.0846292	-3.10	timeout
06-22 11:11	SOL	Buy	73.8791→73.9899	+0.15	timeout
06-22 09:32	INJ	Buy	4.92863→4.87968	-2.71	timeout
06-22 09:18	ADA	Buy	0.1614→0.16043	-1.73	timeout
06-22 09:12	NEAR	Sell	2.18685→2.15174	+3.79	timeout
06-22 08:51	LTC	Sell	44.8418→44.8842	-0.46	timeout
06-22 07:18	AVAX	Sell	6.29553→6.28927	+0.02	timeout
06-22 07:04	DOGE	Buy	0.0831848→0.0833112	+0.15	timeout
06-22 06:05	ETH	Sell	1730.43→1734.77	-0.85	timeout
06-22 06:04	BTC	Buy	63935.2→64136.8	+0.56	timeout
06-22 05:05	SOL	Buy	73.7001→73.8179	+0.17	timeout
06-22 04:14	APT	Sell	0.668533→0.661265	+2.49	timeout
06-22 03:21	ATOM	Buy	1.77534→1.78135	+0.62	timeout
06-22 03:01	SUI	Buy	0.709057→0.699555	-3.58	stop_loss
06-22 02:56	INJ	Buy	5.01385→4.94819	-3.50	stop_loss
06-22 01:25	NEAR	Sell	2.13547→2.16362	-3.52	stop_loss
06-22 01:23	BNB	Sell	584.304→591.944	-3.49	stop_loss
06-22 01:10	AVAX	Buy	6.12253→6.19465	+2.73	timeout
06-22 01:10	LINK	Buy	7.82416→7.87673	+1.46	timeout
06-22 00:24	ARB	Buy	0.0823506→0.0823594	-0.18	timeout
06-21 23:24	DOGE	Buy	0.0826987→0.0826443	-0.39	timeout
06-21 21:09	ATOM	Buy	1.77264→1.74829	-3.66	stop_loss
06-21 21:09	SOL	Buy	73.423→72.4779	-3.44	stop_loss
06-21 21:09	APT	Buy	0.657264→0.648613	-3.52	stop_loss
06-21 20:48	NEAR	Sell	2.18615→2.14164	+4.86	take_profit
06-21 20:12	LTC	Sell	45.1287→45.1993	-0.61	timeout
06-21 19:25	OP	Sell	0.101695→0.101905	-0.75	timeout
06-21 19:08	AVAX	Sell	6.27583→6.25516	+0.60	timeout
06-21 18:20	ARB	Sell	0.084109→0.0834008	+1.88	timeout
06-21 18:03	LINK	Sell	7.9848→7.91198	+2.06	timeout
06-21 16:19	DOGE	Buy	0.0832708→0.0833112	-0.10	timeout
06-21 15:27	INJ	Sell	4.99945→4.99605	-0.07	timeout
06-21 15:16	ATOM	Buy	1.77774→1.77186	-1.05	timeout
06-21 14:12	LTC	Sell	45.0047→45.1463	-1.01	timeout
06-21 14:01	SOL	Buy	73.183→73.9409	+2.36	timeout
06-21 13:15	OP	Sell	0.103364→0.102736	+1.30	timeout
06-21 13:05	AVAX	Buy	6.29117→6.26723	-1.17	timeout
06-21 09:37	ARB	Sell	0.0827593→0.0838428	-3.49	stop_loss
06-21 09:30	XRP	Buy	1.14749→1.14551	-0.66	timeout
06-21 09:10	ATOM	Buy	1.78115→1.77975	-0.41	timeout
06-21 08:38	NEAR	Sell	2.22834→2.21755	+0.99	timeout
06-21 08:12	INJ	Sell	5.02804→5.00395	+0.96	timeout
06-21 07:14	OP	Buy	0.103076→0.103104	-0.15	timeout
06-21 07:04	AVAX	Buy	6.23106→6.23064	-0.25	timeout
06-21 06:24	LINK	Sell	7.96601→7.93038	+0.90	timeout
06-21 06:05	SOL	Sell	73.536→73.086	+1.31	timeout
06-21 04:01	BNB	Buy	589.407→589.992	+0.02	timeout
06-21 03:26	XRP	Sell	1.14641→1.14979	-0.96	timeout
06-21 03:09	ATOM	Buy	1.79305→1.78215	-1.74	timeout
06-21 02:34	NEAR	Sell	2.21015→2.17264	+4.02	timeout
06-21 01:37	APT	Sell	0.644839→0.65369	-3.66	stop_loss
06-21 01:09	OP	Buy	0.104306→0.103214	-2.85	timeout
06-21 01:01	AVAX	Buy	6.23736→6.24954	+0.26	timeout
06-21 00:19	LINK	Sell	7.95221→7.98109	-1.13	timeout
06-20 22:13	ARB	Buy	0.0831908→0.083819	+1.66	timeout
06-20 21:05	ATOM	Buy	1.79505→1.79885	+0.30	timeout
06-20 20:59	ADA	Buy	0.16081→0.16126	+0.47	timeout
06-20 20:16	NEAR	Sell	2.14556→2.15604	-1.45	timeout
06-20 20:03	INJ	Buy	4.99755→4.99445	-0.38	timeout
06-20 18:21	LINK	Sell	7.94261→7.91868	+0.53	timeout
06-20 18:14	ETH	Sell	1734.53→1727.27	+0.82	timeout
06-20 18:01	DOGE	Buy	0.0835789→0.0830442	-1.83	timeout
06-20 17:35	APT	Buy	0.635159→0.62683	-3.50	stop_loss
06-20 15:02	ATOM	Buy	1.78045→1.78285	+0.12	timeout
06-20 14:46	ARB	Buy	0.0818905→0.0834991	+4.68	take_profit
06-20 14:10	SUI	Sell	0.715211→0.700905	+4.78	take_profit
06-20 14:05	ADA	Buy	0.162541→0.16043	-3.47	stop_loss
06-20 13:14	SOL	Sell	71.4673→71.5047	-0.35	timeout
06-20 12:58	LTC	Sell	44.2559→44.2881	-0.41	timeout
06-20 12:53	APT	Sell	0.63834→0.636459	+0.51	timeout
06-20 12:14	LINK	Sell	7.97331→7.94869	+0.55	timeout
06-20 11:03	XRP	Sell	1.14681→1.14969	-0.86	timeout
06-20 09:14	AVAX	Sell	6.13487→6.21566	-3.51	stop_loss
06-20 09:00	ATOM	Buy	1.80195→1.79445	-1.26	timeout
06-20 08:54	ADA	Buy	0.163531→0.162519	-1.78	timeout
06-20 08:06	NEAR	Sell	2.17866→2.13613	+4.64	take_profit
06-20 07:36	INJ	Sell	5.11912→5.08547	+1.41	timeout
06-20 06:51	APT	Buy	0.628257→0.634341	+2.19	timeout
06-20 06:03	OP	Buy	0.102716→0.104764	+4.76	take_profit
06-20 05:07	SOL	Sell	70.3814→71.2833	-3.43	stop_loss
06-20 05:04	XRP	Sell	1.13862→1.14379	-1.36	timeout
06-20 04:39	LINK	Sell	7.87243→7.91058	-1.44	timeout
06-20 03:51	AVAX	Buy	5.95029→5.93622	-0.81	timeout
06-20 03:35	ETH	Sell	1709.93→1706.57	+0.27	timeout
06-20 02:10	DOGE	Sell	0.0834541→0.0833298	+0.14	timeout
06-20 02:05	NEAR	Sell	2.18345→2.16704	+1.65	timeout
06-20 01:26	INJ	Sell	5.10542→5.08397	+0.81	timeout
06-20 00:50	APT	Buy	0.629957→0.632542	+0.80	timeout
06-20 00:00	OP	Sell	0.102674→0.104238	-4.03	stop_loss
06-19 23:57	BNB	Sell	579.795→581.915	-1.13	timeout
06-19 23:02	XRP	Sell	1.13302→1.13278	-0.17	timeout
06-19 22:05	SOL	Sell	68.9517→68.9793	-0.33	timeout
06-19 22:05	ARB	Sell	0.0831692→0.0830508	+0.14	timeout
06-19 21:34	ETH	Sell	1698.83→1704.77	-1.10	timeout
06-19 20:39	ATOM	Sell	1.79925→1.79655	+0.14	timeout
06-19 19:21	INJ	Sell	5.07523→5.06217	+0.42	timeout
06-19 18:48	APT	Sell	0.635641→0.630458	+1.82	timeout
06-19 18:47	OP	Sell	0.103034→0.102296	+1.56	timeout
06-19 17:57	BNB	Sell	578.425→579.535	-0.71	timeout
06-19 16:06	DOGE	Sell	0.0831172→0.0832288	-0.55	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

1215

closed

42%

win rate

-407.77

total pnl ($)

-13.4 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
APT	99	43%	-19.9	-49.46
ATOM	95	40%	-22.0	-52.44
ADA	84	38%	-23.9	-50.14
BTC	81	43%	-8.2	-16.61
OP	81	40%	-13.5	-27.52
AVAX	76	50%	+2.0	+3.63
DOGE	76	39%	-8.9	-16.89
ETH	74	45%	-10.0	-18.43
SOL	70	40%	-16.5	-29.03
INJ	68	40%	-19.7	-33.74
ARB	66	35%	-27.8	-46.05
NEAR	61	43%	-18.6	-28.41
LTC	60	48%	+4.4	+6.58
XRP	59	39%	-10.3	-15.36
BNB	57	39%	-17.2	-24.63
LINK	56	43%	-11.0	-15.39
SUI	52	54%	+4.8	+6.12

Recent bounces (last 20 of 25)

time	sym	side	reason
06-22 12:22	LINK	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 12:22	LINK	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 11:51	OP	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 11:51	OP	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 11:29	AVAX	Buy	trigger_already_opened
06-22 11:25	DOGE	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 05:37	AVAX	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 04:20	ETH	Sell	trigger_already_opened
06-22 04:19	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 04:19	BTC	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 03:20	SOL	Buy	trigger_already_opened
06-22 02:46	SUI	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 02:27	APT	Sell	below_min_notional_skip
06-22 01:50	INJ	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 01:50	INJ	Buy	stale_intent
06-22 01:33	ATOM	Buy	trigger_already_opened
06-22 00:30	BNB	Sell	stale_intent
06-22 00:30	BNB	Sell	stale_intent
06-21 23:33	LINK	Buy	stale_intent
06-21 23:33	AVAX	Buy	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…