579
closed trades
40%
win rate
-1704.62
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=112 wr=43% pnl=-389.78
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:31:38 (18.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 613
· wr: 42.6%
· total_bps: -6466.2
· mean_bps: -10.55
· sharpe: -0.08
· max_dd_bps: -8928.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 01:32 | ATOM | Buy | 1.75574→1.78065 | +19.93 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:25 | SUI | Buy | 0.695184→0.710282 | +31.21 | take_profit |
| 06-22 00:57 | ARB | Sell | 0.0819695→0.0831323 | -22.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 23:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.15851→0.156273 | -22.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 22:25 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76624→1.75986 | -6.78 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.16173→0.15944 | -22.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:03 | INJ | Sell | 4.98565→4.94834 | +9.83 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.162261→0.162179 | -2.10 | timeout |
| 06-21 17:16 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77774→1.76866 | -8.99 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:34 | NEAR | Sell | 2.19805→2.15074 | +30.92 | take_profit |
| 06-21 16:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.16083→0.16178 | +7.67 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:12 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78595→1.77296 | -12.24 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:11 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78115→1.77876 | -3.29 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.16124→0.16131 | -0.72 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:43 | NEAR | Sell | 2.21725→2.24909 | -22.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 08:11 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78145→1.77386 | -7.51 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:14 | OP | Sell | 0.103504→0.103826 | -6.02 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:13 | APT | Sell | 0.645239→0.654591 | -23.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 01:43 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79765→1.79085 | -7.06 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.162121→0.162829 | +5.17 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:47 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79245→1.79915 | +4.19 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:28 | OP | Buy | 0.101785→0.104174 | +33.84 | take_profit |
| 06-20 21:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.16118→0.16182 | +4.57 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:09 | OP | Sell | 0.101165→0.101685 | -9.25 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:17 | INJ | Buy | 5.00285→4.96946 | -11.31 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:53 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78455→1.79195 | +4.88 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.16021→0.16111 | +7.01 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:09 | INJ | Buy | 5.07707→5.07153 | -3.02 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.162429 | -5.84 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:47 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79595→1.78575 | -9.70 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:04 | NEAR | Sell | 2.13897→2.13673 | +0.11 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:03 | ARB | Sell | 0.083919→0.0837309 | +2.00 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:43 | APT | Buy | 0.625756→0.635541 | +22.07 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.162121→0.163109 | +7.76 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:30 | OP | Buy | 0.104636→0.102893 | -26.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 05:11 | INJ | Sell | 5.09243→5.16387 | -22.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 05:10 | ARB | Sell | 0.0828993→0.084093 | -23.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 04:11 | NEAR | Sell | 2.17836→2.16394 | +8.52 | timeout |
| 06-20 02:13 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80155→1.78745 | -12.99 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.16168→0.16114 | -6.17 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:52 | ATOM | Buy | 1.83776→1.81124 | -22.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 16:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.16002→0.16105 | +8.23 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:45 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80675→1.84584 | +31.11 | take_profit |
| 06-19 13:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.16005→0.16113 | +8.84 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:02 | LINK | Sell | 7.84124→7.81695 | +3.28 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:01 | OP | Sell | 0.101465→0.100715 | +9.64 | timeout |
| 06-19 10:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.16063→0.15952 | -11.58 | timeout |
| 06-19 09:19 | OP | Buy | 0.101075→0.100525 | -9.39 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:04 | NEAR | Buy | 2.11983→2.11937 | -1.65 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.16126→0.158941 | -22.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:30 | ATOM | Buy | 1.81245→1.79775 | -13.36 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:11 | ADA | Sell | 0.163369→0.16189 | +12.25 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:06 | OP | Buy | 0.106027→0.104512 | -22.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 01:15 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79845→1.81055 | +8.82 | timeout |
| 06-19 01:01 | ARB | Buy | 0.0847212→0.0856986 | +15.88 | timeout |
| 06-18 22:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78365→1.79275 | +6.30 | timeout |
| 06-18 19:43 | INJ | Sell | 5.13891→5.21191 | -22.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 18:44 | OP | Buy | 0.104416→0.106823 | +33.18 | take_profit |
| 06-18 17:12 | NEAR | Buy | 2.22096→2.18896 | -22.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:37 | ATOM | Buy | 1.83136→1.80475 | -23.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.164611→0.162238 | -22.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:36 | APT | Buy | 0.652563→0.643417 | -22.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 12:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.166282→0.164799 | -14.79 | timeout |
| 06-18 10:06 | ATOM | Buy | 1.85846→1.83242 | -22.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 09:06 | AVAX | Buy | 6.58265→6.65734 | +15.72 | timeout |
| 06-18 09:01 | SUI | Buy | 0.743206→0.752012 | +16.35 | timeout |
| 06-18 08:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.85156→1.85604 | +2.24 | timeout |
| 06-18 07:47 | OP | Buy | 0.104286→0.106703 | +33.39 | take_profit |
| 06-18 04:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.168082→0.165726 | -22.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 03:19 | ATOM | Sell | 1.89913→1.85806 | +30.94 | take_profit |
| 06-18 02:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.166882→0.168168 | +10.22 | timeout |
| 06-17 22:03 | OP | Buy | 0.106877→0.105351 | -22.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 22:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.166132→0.163767 | -22.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 17:59 | INJ | Sell | 5.53332→5.62031 | -24.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 15:16 | APT | Buy | 0.662366→0.677731 | +33.38 | take_profit |
| 06-17 14:47 | OP | Buy | 0.107377→0.105861 | -22.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 12:47 | ATOM | Sell | 1.96741→1.97509 | -7.20 | timeout |
| 06-17 12:34 | INJ | Buy | 5.43876→5.36078 | -22.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:00 | INJ | Sell | 5.50892→5.38895 | +31.33 | take_profit |
| 06-17 04:19 | APT | Buy | 0.68177→0.671596 | -23.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 03:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.172473→0.173417 | +6.91 | timeout |
| 06-17 02:00 | APT | Buy | 0.667967→0.682329 | +30.83 | take_profit |
| 06-17 00:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.172643→0.172527 | -2.27 | timeout |
| 06-16 22:04 | INJ | Buy | 5.70633→5.63359 | -20.44 | timeout |
| 06-16 20:08 | ATOM | Sell | 1.984→1.9915 | -7.02 | timeout |
| 06-16 18:02 | OP | Sell | 0.106453→0.108171 | -25.57 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 18:01 | BNB | Buy | 606.422→607.828 | +2.07 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:14 | NEAR | Sell | 2.42849→2.37599 | +31.10 | take_profit |
| 06-16 13:10 | OP | Buy | 0.109377→0.107759 | -23.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 12:05 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9888→1.9836 | +2.48 | timeout |
| 06-16 10:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.177804→0.179315 | +11.39 | timeout |
| 06-16 10:03 | OP | Buy | 0.107017→0.107533 | +5.92 | timeout |
| 06-16 09:02 | ARB | Sell | 0.0866883→0.0879159 | -22.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 08:21 | INJ | Sell | 5.78675→5.8683 | -22.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 04:27 | ATOM | Sell | 1.95501→1.94589 | +5.51 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:02 | ARB | Sell | 0.0861385→0.0862416 | -3.13 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:28 | ADA | Buy | 0.177834→0.175328 | -22.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:01 | AVAX | Buy | 6.87402→6.82189 | -12.70 | timeout |
| 06-16 01:18 | ATOM | Sell | 1.95281→1.94969 | +1.01 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.179955→0.177327 | -23.26 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
579
closed
40%
win rate
-1704.62
total pnl ($)
-19.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OP | 98 | 36% | -27.8 | -408.36 |
| ATOM | 81 | 48% | +4.0 | +48.80 |
| ADA | 70 | 43% | -22.6 | -237.22 |
| APT | 70 | 40% | -17.0 | -179.35 |
| INJ | 70 | 41% | -6.9 | -73.86 |
| NEAR | 62 | 37% | -24.5 | -228.18 |
| ARB | 39 | 31% | -41.9 | -246.11 |
| AVAX | 26 | 31% | -52.1 | -203.81 |
| SUI | 19 | 16% | -93.7 | -267.30 |
| LTC | 12 | 50% | +12.8 | +22.54 |
| LINK | 9 | 44% | -20.5 | -27.94 |
| BNB | 8 | 75% | +29.5 | +35.23 |
| DOGE | 5 | 80% | +90.8 | +67.91 |
| XRP | 5 | 40% | +2.9 | +2.22 |
| SOL | 3 | 33% | +12.0 | +5.50 |
| BTC | 1 | 100% | +52.7 | +7.90 |
| ETH | 1 | 0% | -150.0 | -22.59 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 3)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 00:14 | ARB | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-21 23:15 | SUI | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-21 23:15 | ADA | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||