500
closed trades
36%
win rate
-2594.11
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=105 wr=31% pnl=-813.12
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:31:38 (25.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 375
· wr: 44.0%
· total_bps: -3173.2
· mean_bps: -8.46
· sharpe: -0.07
· max_dd_bps: -5857.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 15:13 | APT | Buy | 0.583146→0.583054 | -1.80 | timeout |
| 06-28 14:52 | AVAX | Buy | 6.31888→6.32292 | -0.62 | timeout |
| 06-28 09:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.144366→0.145454 | +13.36 | timeout |
| 06-28 09:36 | INJ | Buy | 4.67467→4.72072 | +17.85 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:39 | APT | Buy | 0.581445→0.578755 | -10.92 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:16 | AVAX | Buy | 6.3895→6.29927 | -30.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-28 06:07 | OP | Buy | 0.101765→0.101075 | -15.32 | timeout |
| 06-28 03:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.145096→0.145064 | -2.17 | timeout |
| 06-28 00:02 | SUI | Buy | 0.686382→0.684659 | -6.75 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:16 | APT | Buy | 0.586147→0.577567 | -31.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 22:16 | INJ | Buy | 4.77589→4.70377 | -32.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:33 | OP | Buy | 0.101075→0.0996352 | -30.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.147327→0.145261 | -29.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 17:02 | OP | Buy | 0.103566→0.102113 | -29.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:16 | ATOM | Buy | 1.61→1.6033 | -9.80 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:15 | INJ | Buy | 4.91053→4.83957 | -30.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 15:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.147287→0.148283 | +11.80 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:03 | ARB | Buy | 0.0743486→0.0751112 | +18.62 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:28 | APT | Buy | 0.602251→0.593654 | -30.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 11:17 | INJ | Buy | 4.98034→4.91061 | -29.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 10:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5927→1.5824 | -14.46 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.148257→0.147133 | -17.06 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0753188→0.0749613 | -11.32 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:10 | APT | Buy | 0.597649→0.60125 | +10.15 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.147307→0.148123 | +9.24 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:33 | INJ | Buy | 4.91483→4.84556 | -29.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 00:32 | OP | Buy | 0.106107→0.104621 | -29.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 00:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.05136→1.04924 | -5.81 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:01 | ETH | Buy | 1578.66→1578.74 | -1.69 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:14 | INJ | Buy | 4.75769→4.86258 | +42.27 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:55 | SUI | Buy | 0.674419→0.688928 | +41.15 | take_profit |
| 06-26 12:40 | APT | Buy | 0.587747→0.579065 | -31.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:40 | ARB | Buy | 0.072058→0.0710067 | -31.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:01 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0742386→0.0739315 | -10.17 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:00 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6139→1.6016 | -17.15 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:05 | ADA | Buy | 0.142516→0.145584 | +41.26 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:46 | ARB | Buy | 0.0723181→0.0738815 | +41.39 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:46 | APT | Buy | 0.588147→0.60085 | +41.41 | take_profit |
| 06-26 01:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.143936→0.141864 | -30.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:01 | XRP | Buy | 1.03246→1.04134 | +15.51 | timeout |
| 06-25 23:00 | SOL | Buy | 66.0739→67.1249 | +30.01 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.142896→0.140894 | -29.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 18:04 | XRP | Buy | 1.02686→1.04184 | +27.56 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:16 | APT | Buy | 0.585646→0.59825 | +41.29 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:42 | ARB | Buy | 0.075929→0.0748238 | -30.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:40 | SOL | Buy | 68.1682→67.2233 | -29.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:31 | AVAX | Buy | 6.3974→6.30737 | -29.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:53 | INJ | Buy | 4.18425→4.27743 | +42.70 | take_profit |
| 06-25 11:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.149327→0.14722 | -30.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:32 | ATOM | Buy | 1.65561→1.63178 | -30.57 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 09:01 | SOL | Buy | 68.4533→69.0536 | +15.64 | timeout |
| 06-25 07:09 | INJ | Buy | 4.24186→4.18236 | -29.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 06:56 | ATOM | Buy | 1.64041→1.67088 | +35.53 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:37 | APT | Buy | 0.626757→0.630742 | +10.88 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.147687→0.149553 | +23.58 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:02 | INJ | Buy | 4.22856→4.17965 | -25.03 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.141635→0.144714 | +41.71 | take_profit |
| 06-24 19:03 | OP | Buy | 0.0978645→0.099975 | +41.32 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:25 | LTC | Buy | 40.5131→39.94 | -30.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0747957→0.0737457 | -29.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | ATOM | Buy | 1.64201→1.61599 | -33.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | SOL | Buy | 67.5231→66.5607 | -30.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:47 | SUI | Buy | 0.68122→0.671586 | -30.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:41 | LINK | Buy | 7.51458→7.40784 | -30.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | OP | Buy | 0.101625→0.100175 | -30.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:12 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4089→6.31876 | -29.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.148047→0.14594 | -30.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:15 | ARB | Buy | 0.0785196→0.0774119 | -30.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 09:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.151968→0.149778 | -30.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 09:05 | INJ | Buy | 4.51133→4.51267 | -1.11 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:24 | AVAX | Buy | 6.45261→6.36203 | -29.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 03:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.151108→0.151502 | +3.32 | timeout |
| 06-24 02:01 | ARB | Buy | 0.0788897→0.0785903 | -9.11 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:43 | ATOM | Buy | 1.72883→1.72847 | -2.32 | timeout |
| 06-24 00:31 | OP | Buy | 0.100055→0.102234 | +41.91 | take_profit |
| 06-23 21:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.150308→0.150442 | +0.05 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:09 | SOL | Buy | 68.7603→68.9017 | +2.45 | timeout |
| 06-23 18:43 | LTC | Buy | 42.3626→41.7687 | -29.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 14:14 | ARB | Buy | 0.0786897→0.0803899 | +41.40 | take_profit |
| 06-23 12:56 | ADA | Buy | 0.152868→0.150717 | -29.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | ETH | Buy | 1680.77→1655.01 | -32.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:15 | OP | Buy | 0.0984946→0.0970871 | -30.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:13 | SOL | Buy | 69.9605→68.9552 | -30.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78195→1.75518 | -31.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:14 | SUI | Buy | 0.706327→0.696447 | -29.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | INJ | Buy | 4.65586→4.58996 | -30.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 01:57 | ADA | Buy | 0.15897→0.15855 | -6.72 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:28 | OP | Buy | 0.100965→0.0994953 | -30.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 19:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.32428→6.23582 | -29.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 14:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.16195→0.15961 | -30.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:01 | INJ | Buy | 4.87582→4.98085 | +41.23 | take_profit |
| 06-22 12:58 | AVAX | Buy | 6.25486→6.3896 | +41.27 | take_profit |
| 06-22 11:10 | SUI | Buy | 0.710928→0.726418 | +41.72 | take_profit |
| 06-22 11:04 | OP | Buy | 0.101585→0.102084 | +7.93 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:01 | APT | Buy | 0.666867→0.665034 | -7.34 | timeout |
| 06-22 09:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.16045→0.16024 | -4.30 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:08 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78385→1.79765 | +13.58 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:01 | INJ | Buy | 4.99015→4.91701 | -31.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 01:35 | SUI | Buy | 0.699885→0.708293 | +22.15 | timeout |
| 06-21 23:59 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76974→1.75246 | -21.25 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
500
closed
36%
win rate
-2594.11
total pnl ($)
-26.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 77 | 35% | -36.6 | -561.79 |
| OP | 74 | 38% | -21.5 | -315.16 |
| ATOM | 61 | 28% | -32.2 | -389.69 |
| APT | 53 | 36% | -9.4 | -100.23 |
| INJ | 46 | 37% | -10.9 | -99.45 |
| ARB | 40 | 40% | -22.2 | -178.03 |
| SUI | 27 | 30% | -41.7 | -225.94 |
| AVAX | 27 | 33% | -22.5 | -121.76 |
| SOL | 18 | 44% | -39.0 | -139.61 |
| NEAR | 17 | 29% | -48.5 | -164.97 |
| XRP | 17 | 59% | +12.1 | +41.65 |
| DOGE | 12 | 42% | -42.2 | -101.17 |
| BNB | 11 | 36% | -22.3 | -48.55 |
| LTC | 6 | 17% | -113.4 | -136.12 |
| LINK | 6 | 33% | -35.4 | -42.71 |
| BTC | 5 | 80% | +27.0 | +26.70 |
| ETH | 3 | 0% | -62.0 | -37.28 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 16:58 | INJ | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 15:11 | OP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||