259
closed trades
37%
win rate
-851.48
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=61 wr=36% pnl=-173.42
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:31:38 (18.8d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 187
· wr: 42.8%
· total_bps: -1380.1
· mean_bps: -7.38
· sharpe: -0.06
· max_dd_bps: -2274.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 10:04 | APT | Buy | 0.666667→0.664834 | -5.50 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.16045→0.16033 | -2.39 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:14 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78905→1.79945 | +7.39 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:38 | OP | Buy | 0.100415→0.102594 | +31.14 | take_profit |
| 06-22 01:25 | SUI | Buy | 0.695474→0.710442 | +30.92 | take_profit |
| 06-21 22:23 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76724→1.76116 | -6.54 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.16173→0.15944 | -22.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 16:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.16055→0.16161 | +8.71 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:11 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78645→1.77296 | -12.66 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:10 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78265→1.77386 | -8.51 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23366→6.22724 | -2.97 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.162641→0.162359 | -3.99 | timeout |
| 06-21 00:53 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79515→1.79595 | -0.70 | timeout |
| 06-20 20:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.16175→0.16121 | -6.42 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:15 | INJ | Buy | 5.01345→4.96946 | -14.47 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:52 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78485→1.79195 | +4.64 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:36 | OP | Buy | 0.101325→0.0998151 | -23.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 13:15 | SUI | Buy | 0.716749→0.714921 | -5.20 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:09 | INJ | Buy | 5.07707→5.07153 | -3.02 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.163051→0.162379 | -7.49 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:47 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79595→1.78575 | -9.70 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:43 | APT | Buy | 0.625756→0.635541 | +22.07 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.162161→0.162809 | +4.61 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:30 | OP | Buy | 0.104426→0.102893 | -23.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 02:12 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80255→1.78875 | -12.74 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.16161→0.16072 | -9.42 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:45 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80585→1.84474 | +30.96 | take_profit |
| 06-19 13:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.15985→0.16127 | +12.04 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.16125→0.158881 | -23.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:55 | NEAR | Buy | 2.12403→2.09313 | -23.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.81045→1.80285 | -7.49 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.30788→6.21504 | -23.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 03:06 | OP | Buy | 0.105996→0.104512 | -22.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 22:03 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78285→1.79485 | +8.74 | timeout |
| 06-18 18:44 | OP | Buy | 0.104446→0.106823 | +32.76 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.164811→0.162458 | -22.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:40 | APT | Buy | 0.650863→0.641619 | -22.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 11:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.166852→0.164517 | -22.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 09:08 | AVAX | Buy | 6.57704→6.65764 | +17.08 | timeout |
| 06-18 09:03 | SUI | Buy | 0.741825→0.751212 | +17.56 | timeout |
| 06-18 08:02 | ATOM | Buy | 1.85576→1.85484 | -2.12 | timeout |
| 06-18 07:47 | OP | Buy | 0.104316→0.106703 | +32.95 | take_profit |
| 06-18 04:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.168082→0.165726 | -22.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 02:02 | AVAX | Buy | 6.71208→6.77371 | +12.50 | timeout |
| 06-18 00:31 | ARB | Buy | 0.0847012→0.0865284 | +30.96 | take_profit |
| 06-17 22:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.166142→0.163767 | -22.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 22:03 | OP | Buy | 0.107117→0.105611 | -22.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 15:16 | APT | Buy | 0.662166→0.677531 | +33.39 | take_profit |
| 06-17 14:47 | OP | Buy | 0.107477→0.10597 | -22.40 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 14:22 | ATOM | Buy | 1.96239→2.0049 | +31.10 | take_profit |
| 06-17 12:34 | INJ | Buy | 5.43876→5.36078 | -22.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 06:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.173963→0.171391 | -23.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 00:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.172393→0.172257 | -2.50 | timeout |
| 06-16 21:31 | INJ | Buy | 5.71713→5.63517 | -22.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 18:01 | BNB | Buy | 606.272→607.398 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 06-16 13:11 | OP | Buy | 0.108637→0.10692 | -25.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 10:05 | OP | Buy | 0.106887→0.107533 | +7.77 | timeout |
| 06-16 10:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.177374→0.179285 | +14.78 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:02 | AVAX | Buy | 6.87322→6.8151 | -13.99 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.180085→0.177537 | -22.57 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 18:53 | AVAX | Buy | 6.94484→6.98545 | +7.35 | timeout |
| 06-14 20:30 | ATOM | Buy | 1.96979→1.97811 | +5.19 | timeout |
| 06-14 10:03 | ATOM | Buy | 1.94489→1.93632 | -8.00 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:51 | ATOM | Buy | 1.95469→1.93682 | -15.01 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:18 | INJ | Buy | 5.1878→5.23499 | +12.22 | timeout |
| 06-13 04:01 | OP | Buy | 0.0995649→0.100525 | +13.11 | timeout |
| 06-12 20:00 | AVAX | Buy | 6.55564→6.58025 | +4.34 | timeout |
| 06-12 20:00 | ETH | Buy | 1662.47→1665.43 | +1.34 | timeout |
| 06-12 20:00 | NEAR | Buy | 2.02981→2.0012 | -22.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 15:14 | INJ | Buy | 5.2125→5.32757 | +31.74 | take_profit |
| 06-12 00:59 | OP | Buy | 0.0951138→0.0957261 | +8.34 | timeout |
| 06-11 23:09 | ATOM | Buy | 2.02261→1.9938 | -22.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 17:12 | OP | Buy | 0.0938134→0.0924606 | -23.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 15:00 | AVAX | Buy | 6.56624→6.53787 | -7.84 | timeout |
| 06-11 15:00 | LINK | Buy | 7.82546→7.74636 | -16.55 | timeout |
| 06-11 15:00 | APT | Buy | 0.630558→0.634141 | +7.21 | timeout |
| 06-11 08:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.166112→0.166738 | +4.30 | timeout |
| 06-11 03:56 | APT | Buy | 0.624756→0.63834 | +31.26 | take_profit |
| 06-11 00:17 | ATOM | Buy | 1.75714→1.79545 | +31.34 | take_profit |
| 06-10 21:54 | OP | Buy | 0.0909227→0.0895728 | -23.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 21:13 | NEAR | Buy | 1.96769→1.93395 | -27.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 21:05 | ADA | Buy | 0.16152→0.159231 | -22.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 19:04 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79805→1.79225 | -6.22 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:42 | APT | Buy | 0.643961→0.634924 | -22.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:46 | XRP | Buy | 1.12718→1.11137 | -22.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 15:48 | INJ | Buy | 5.31043→5.23607 | -22.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 12:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.15942→0.162869 | +31.19 | take_profit |
| 06-10 11:04 | OP | Buy | 0.0947037→0.09331 | -23.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 11:04 | APT | Buy | 0.643761→0.634324 | -23.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:19 | OP | Buy | 0.0932833→0.0953861 | +32.47 | take_profit |
| 06-09 16:39 | AVAX | Buy | 6.52693→6.43527 | -22.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 12:48 | INJ | Buy | 5.79245→5.71041 | -22.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 09:38 | OP | Buy | 0.095994→0.094649 | -22.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 08:39 | INJ | Buy | 5.57659→5.69848 | +31.38 | take_profit |
| 06-09 05:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.165751→0.169318 | +30.93 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:36 | ETH | Buy | 1688.67→1665.5 | -21.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:32 | OP | Buy | 0.0953138→0.0939395 | -22.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 21:26 | INJ | Buy | 5.71473→5.83954 | +31.43 | take_profit |
| 06-08 19:28 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77284→1.79025 | +13.63 | timeout |
| 06-08 18:13 | OP | Buy | 0.0979745→0.0981854 | +1.80 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
259
closed
37%
win rate
-851.48
total pnl ($)
-22.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OP | 55 | 36% | -26.4 | -217.09 |
| ATOM | 45 | 42% | +6.2 | +43.53 |
| ADA | 42 | 36% | -37.6 | -235.61 |
| APT | 29 | 31% | -22.7 | -99.18 |
| INJ | 24 | 50% | +32.1 | +115.70 |
| AVAX | 13 | 31% | -62.6 | -121.92 |
| NEAR | 12 | 25% | -63.3 | -113.77 |
| SUI | 12 | 17% | -89.6 | -161.62 |
| ARB | 7 | 43% | +15.3 | +16.08 |
| SOL | 4 | 25% | -28.2 | -16.74 |
| XRP | 4 | 50% | +28.7 | +17.17 |
| DOGE | 3 | 33% | -30.0 | -13.53 |
| LTC | 2 | 50% | -68.9 | -20.63 |
| BNB | 2 | 100% | +32.1 | +9.71 |
| LINK | 2 | 0% | -136.0 | -40.84 |
| ETH | 2 | 50% | -68.7 | -20.55 |
| BTC | 1 | 100% | +52.2 | +7.82 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 04:30 | ATOM | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 04:16 | OP | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||