535
closed trades
45%
win rate
-1048.47
total pnl ($)
2.005
weight
7d window — n=91 wr=53% pnl=+119.60
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:31:38 (25.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 492
· wr: 44.1%
· total_bps: -3170.3
· mean_bps: -6.44
· sharpe: -0.04
· max_dd_bps: -5791.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 17:26 | OP | Buy | 0.101785→0.0998351 | -30.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-28 15:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.145526→0.144494 | -12.10 | timeout |
| 06-28 14:53 | LTC | Sell | 42.8923→43.1528 | -10.43 | timeout |
| 06-28 12:06 | INJ | Buy | 4.66757→4.67913 | +2.32 | timeout |
| 06-28 12:05 | APT | Buy | 0.581745→0.586453 | +10.96 | timeout |
| 06-28 09:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.145076→0.145754 | +5.71 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:05 | ATOM | Sell | 1.57571→1.56119 | +12.26 | timeout |
| 06-28 02:09 | OP | Buy | 0.099885→0.101585 | +24.32 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:49 | INJ | Buy | 4.74789→4.65651 | -30.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:48 | SUI | Sell | 0.709313→0.686172 | +47.47 | take_profit |
| 06-27 19:37 | NEAR | Sell | 1.89773→1.83746 | +46.21 | take_profit |
| 06-27 19:25 | ATOM | Buy | 1.601→1.56982 | -30.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:25 | OP | Buy | 0.103076→0.101084 | -30.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:22 | APT | Buy | 0.60155→0.589458 | -31.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 15:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.147207→0.148473 | +11.63 | timeout |
| 06-27 14:32 | LTC | Sell | 42.4524→43.1568 | -26.26 | timeout |
| 06-27 14:13 | OP | Sell | 0.104704→0.103416 | +16.94 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:38 | INJ | Buy | 5.03786→4.93989 | -30.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 08:47 | APT | Buy | 0.603951→0.60055 | -9.91 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:44 | INJ | Buy | 4.86642→4.96346 | +28.61 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:01 | NEAR | Sell | 1.82164→1.79545 | +20.33 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:00 | ARB | Sell | 0.0745114→0.0745086 | -1.18 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:00 | ETH | Buy | 1574.66→1574.84 | -1.18 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:14 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5943→1.5869 | +5.61 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:04 | OP | Sell | 0.106183→0.105456 | +9.03 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:16 | INJ | Buy | 4.72098→4.87008 | +46.01 | take_profit |
| 06-26 15:37 | SUI | Buy | 0.672548→0.693916 | +46.20 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:19 | APT | Buy | 0.588847→0.577067 | -31.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:29 | ARB | Buy | 0.0728982→0.0715063 | -30.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.141725→0.143034 | +12.46 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:04 | ATOM | Sell | 1.62099→1.6059 | +12.69 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:01 | XRP | Buy | 1.02066→1.03834 | +24.81 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:13 | APT | Sell | 0.585354→0.596747 | -30.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:51 | INJ | Sell | 4.26313→4.12103 | +48.52 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:51 | BNB | Buy | 561.24→550.467 | -30.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:40 | AVAX | Buy | 6.3879→6.2661 | -29.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.149317→0.14641 | -30.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:56 | NEAR | Sell | 1.96441→1.90238 | +45.80 | take_profit |
| 06-25 10:30 | ATOM | Buy | 1.67352→1.64147 | -29.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 09:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.147817→0.149163 | +12.27 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:27 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63989→1.67195 | -30.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:00 | INJ | Buy | 4.22986→4.14769 | -30.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 02:01 | ARB | Buy | 0.0748287→0.075971 | +21.54 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:21 | OP | Buy | 0.103586→0.106993 | +47.98 | take_profit |
| 06-24 22:02 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63539→1.66041 | -24.32 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.140785→0.145234 | +46.06 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:21 | NEAR | Sell | 1.91082→1.94756 | -30.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:46 | SOL | Buy | 66.2169→64.9697 | -29.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:33 | LTC | Buy | 40.5131→39.7422 | -29.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.15854→6.03887 | -30.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | APT | Sell | 0.614746→0.595149 | +46.45 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:47 | LINK | Buy | 7.47407→7.3294 | -30.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:23 | OP | Sell | 0.0983254→0.100325 | -31.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.148027→0.145201 | -29.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:23 | ARB | Buy | 0.0780095→0.0764326 | -31.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:02 | OP | Sell | 0.101175→0.103267 | -32.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:46 | ATOM | Sell | 1.69138→1.63661 | +47.17 | take_profit |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.151968→0.148978 | -30.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 06:38 | OP | Sell | 0.102544→0.100985 | +21.09 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:14 | APT | Sell | 0.649238→0.646462 | +5.11 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:18 | ARB | Buy | 0.0790998→0.0775918 | -29.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 04:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.72513→1.70067 | -22.38 | timeout |
| 06-24 03:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.150338→0.152292 | +18.04 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:14 | SOL | Buy | 68.7353→69.0516 | +5.72 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.151098→0.150352 | -8.69 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:04 | LTC | Buy | 42.3626→41.8785 | -18.41 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:08 | INJ | Sell | 4.50727→4.59394 | -30.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 20:07 | APT | Sell | 0.631142→0.643282 | -30.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 15:01 | BNB | Sell | 573.866→573.433 | -0.52 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:28 | INJ | Sell | 4.54286→4.56684 | -9.41 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:22 | SOL | Buy | 68.6663→69.3436 | +13.66 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:07 | ADA | Sell | 0.154191→0.151078 | +29.05 | timeout |
| 06-23 11:06 | SUI | Buy | 0.682761→0.704374 | +46.18 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:17 | OP | Buy | 0.0984046→0.0964876 | -30.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77554→1.74169 | -29.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:06 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830292→0.0815604 | +25.02 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:05 | SOL | Sell | 71.9132→70.8546 | +20.55 | timeout |
| 06-23 05:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.20385→6.28263 | +17.75 | timeout |
| 06-23 04:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.15959→0.15974 | +0.16 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:28 | OP | Sell | 0.102184→0.0997149 | +34.98 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:05 | INJ | Buy | 4.89602→4.98035 | +24.40 | timeout |
| 06-22 13:04 | OP | Buy | 0.101585→0.103294 | +23.77 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:03 | APT | Buy | 0.666767→0.68153 | +31.83 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.16045→0.16169 | +10.19 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:16 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78895→1.82314 | +27.37 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:04 | SUI | Buy | 0.695764→0.703674 | +15.59 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:25 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76624→1.76036 | -6.46 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:15 | OP | Sell | 0.102494→0.100805 | +23.24 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.16166→0.158481 | -30.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | INJ | Sell | 4.98565→4.82721 | +46.28 | take_profit |
| 06-21 20:50 | NEAR | Sell | 2.19615→2.12553 | +46.86 | take_profit |
| 06-21 18:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.16083→0.16102 | +0.43 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:12 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78595→1.76686 | -17.44 | timeout |
| 06-21 10:10 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78265→1.78505 | +0.75 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:03 | NEAR | Sell | 2.18815→2.22086 | -23.76 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:03 | LINK | Sell | 7.97501→7.92298 | +8.47 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.162611→0.16168 | -9.95 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:21 | APT | Sell | 0.644939→0.657293 | -30.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 02:54 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79545→1.78455 | -10.43 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.16162→0.16181 | +0.34 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
535
closed
45%
win rate
-1048.47
total pnl ($)
-13.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OP | 76 | 46% | -4.9 | -56.62 |
| ATOM | 72 | 50% | -12.0 | -127.36 |
| INJ | 68 | 44% | -6.4 | -67.22 |
| ADA | 67 | 51% | -7.9 | -77.83 |
| APT | 66 | 39% | -24.3 | -241.35 |
| NEAR | 53 | 32% | -53.4 | -424.93 |
| ARB | 43 | 56% | +5.7 | +36.47 |
| AVAX | 22 | 36% | -34.2 | -112.98 |
| SUI | 16 | 44% | +2.7 | +5.67 |
| LINK | 12 | 58% | -6.7 | -11.97 |
| LTC | 9 | 33% | -9.7 | -13.18 |
| SOL | 9 | 67% | +33.2 | +45.39 |
| BNB | 8 | 38% | -18.9 | -23.08 |
| DOGE | 6 | 67% | +80.1 | +71.95 |
| XRP | 5 | 40% | -38.7 | -28.82 |
| ETH | 2 | 0% | -103.6 | -31.15 |
| BTC | 1 | 100% | +57.1 | +8.55 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 17:46 | INJ | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-28 15:11 | OP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||