xv_wide_tail_horizon_2h · strategy

561

closed trades

42%

win rate

-1138.25

total pnl ($)

1.375

weight

7d window — n=106 wr=50% pnl=+27.44 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 15:31:38 (23.5d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings

n: 500 · wr: 44.8% · total_bps: -5120.4 · mean_bps: -10.24 · sharpe: -0.09 · max_dd_bps: -6351.3

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 02:21	INJ	Buy	4.85321→4.94846	+28.06	take_profit
06-26 23:40	ADA	Buy	0.147687→0.148293	+4.80	timeout
06-26 22:00	ARB	Sell	0.0745114→0.0738985	+11.00	timeout
06-26 22:00	ETH	Buy	1577.06→1573.54	-4.70	timeout
06-26 19:07	INJ	Buy	4.71108→4.8092	+29.88	take_profit
06-26 18:03	NEAR	Sell	1.81395→1.81525	-2.39	timeout
06-26 18:02	ATOM	Sell	1.6017→1.6126	-11.54	timeout
06-26 18:01	OP	Sell	0.106113→0.105666	+5.01	timeout
06-26 12:40	APT	Buy	0.586847→0.579065	-21.23	stop_loss
06-26 12:01	SUI	Buy	0.673918→0.676711	+4.83	timeout
06-26 09:52	ARB	Buy	0.0728982→0.071926	-21.35	stop_loss
06-26 08:05	ATOM	Buy	1.6133→1.6185	+3.44	timeout
06-26 02:03	SUI	Sell	0.685229→0.674419	+22.34	timeout
06-26 02:02	LTC	Sell	40.9418→40.8872	+0.64	timeout
06-26 02:02	ARB	Sell	0.0732617→0.0725181	+13.85	timeout
06-26 02:02	AVAX	Sell	6.22334→6.12453	+22.45	timeout
06-25 21:00	ADA	Buy	0.141725→0.141325	-5.60	timeout
06-25 16:56	ATOM	Sell	1.62199→1.5902	+28.01	take_profit
06-25 16:17	APT	Sell	0.585354→0.593245	-21.58	stop_loss
06-25 14:33	XRP	Buy	1.02606→1.04614	+28.02	take_profit
06-25 13:38	AVAX	Buy	6.36629→6.28289	-21.00	stop_loss
06-25 13:09	BNB	Buy	560.56→563.389	+6.18	timeout
06-25 11:18	ADA	Buy	0.149147→0.14721	-20.84	stop_loss
06-25 10:04	INJ	Sell	4.26283→4.24996	+3.21	timeout
06-25 10:04	NEAR	Sell	1.96831→1.94629	+15.14	timeout
06-25 08:40	ATOM	Buy	1.66982→1.65329	-16.07	timeout
06-25 07:01	OP	Buy	0.107127→0.109253	+28.38	take_profit
06-25 07:00	SOL	Buy	68.3302→69.4786	+23.86	timeout
06-25 05:03	ADA	Buy	0.147817→0.149643	+17.24	timeout
06-25 02:35	ATOM	Sell	1.63989→1.64051	-2.00	timeout
06-25 01:02	INJ	Buy	4.23206→4.21904	-6.00	timeout
06-24 23:04	OP	Buy	0.103616→0.105754	+29.60	take_profit
06-24 20:06	ADA	Buy	0.140785→0.143594	+28.58	take_profit
06-24 20:06	ARB	Buy	0.0742786→0.0757411	+28.19	take_profit
06-24 17:25	LTC	Buy	40.5091→39.97	-21.31	stop_loss
06-24 17:20	SOL	Buy	66.3169→65.4644	-20.63	stop_loss
06-24 16:51	ATOM	Sell	1.63679→1.6047	+28.04	take_profit
06-24 16:51	APT	Sell	0.615346→0.602851	+29.09	take_profit
06-24 16:18	OP	Sell	0.0985254→0.0998548	-21.60	stop_loss
06-24 15:47	LINK	Buy	7.45716→7.35888	-21.15	stop_loss
06-24 15:45	AVAX	Buy	6.29487→6.21294	-20.89	stop_loss
06-24 13:12	ARB	Buy	0.0780595→0.0770422	-20.90	stop_loss
06-24 13:10	ADA	Buy	0.148027→0.14609	-20.96	stop_loss
06-24 10:02	ATOM	Sell	1.69138→1.66762	+19.71	timeout
06-24 09:36	OP	Sell	0.101175→0.102026	-14.02	timeout
06-24 07:53	ADA	Buy	0.151968→0.149977	-20.79	stop_loss
06-24 04:02	AVAX	Buy	6.44941→6.4162	-9.09	timeout
06-24 02:23	OP	Sell	0.101965→0.101345	+7.73	timeout
06-24 02:06	APT	Sell	0.647938→0.649362	-4.62	timeout
06-24 01:03	ARB	Buy	0.0790998→0.0789103	-4.87	timeout
06-24 00:01	ATOM	Buy	1.72513→1.71767	-7.87	timeout
06-23 23:09	ADA	Buy	0.150318→0.150752	+2.99	timeout
06-23 18:17	INJ	Sell	4.53197→4.53463	-2.33	timeout
06-23 18:08	BNB	Sell	575.596→573.183	+4.84	timeout
06-23 18:02	APT	Sell	0.631442→0.633158	-5.42	timeout
06-23 17:14	SOL	Buy	68.7313→68.6407	-3.27	timeout
06-23 17:04	ADA	Buy	0.151068→0.150142	-10.58	timeout
06-23 15:50	LTC	Buy	42.3626→41.7946	-21.46	stop_loss
06-23 11:02	INJ	Sell	4.59075→4.55844	+9.11	timeout
06-23 11:01	BNB	Sell	573.866→572.013	+3.36	timeout
06-23 10:22	SOL	Buy	68.6753→68.8847	+3.32	timeout
06-23 08:27	ADA	Sell	0.154191→0.151148	+28.24	take_profit
06-23 08:21	SUI	Buy	0.68215→0.68132	-3.11	timeout
06-23 08:15	OP	Buy	0.0984046→0.0970871	-21.45	stop_loss
06-23 06:21	ATOM	Buy	1.77554→1.74899	-23.78	stop_loss
06-23 02:05	ARB	Sell	0.0830192→0.0828507	+1.59	timeout
06-23 02:05	SOL	Sell	71.9132→71.7078	+2.84	timeout
06-23 01:03	AVAX	Buy	6.20425→6.26623	+13.75	timeout
06-22 22:37	ADA	Buy	0.15978→0.157502	-22.72	stop_loss
06-22 22:28	OP	Buy	0.100965→0.0995953	-21.71	stop_loss
06-22 13:02	OP	Buy	0.102166→0.103344	+15.92	timeout
06-22 11:01	SUI	Buy	0.710948→0.710412	-2.52	timeout
06-22 10:02	LINK	Sell	7.95531→7.9892	-7.71	timeout
06-22 09:03	INJ	Buy	4.88272→4.89718	+3.05	timeout
06-22 08:04	APT	Buy	0.666667→0.671132	+8.66	timeout
06-22 08:02	ADA	Buy	0.16045→0.16143	+7.77	timeout
06-22 06:14	ATOM	Buy	1.78905→1.80095	+8.64	timeout
06-22 06:01	OP	Buy	0.100415→0.101235	+10.86	timeout
06-22 01:04	SUI	Buy	0.695474→0.704454	+18.05	timeout
06-21 20:44	ADA	Buy	0.16173→0.16097	-8.42	timeout
06-21 20:23	ATOM	Buy	1.76724→1.76656	-1.92	timeout
06-21 18:15	OP	Sell	0.102544→0.101085	+19.85	timeout
06-21 18:03	INJ	Sell	4.98565→4.90483	+22.89	timeout
06-21 16:34	NEAR	Sell	2.19965→2.15554	+28.72	take_profit
06-21 14:15	ADA	Buy	0.16055→0.16135	+6.11	timeout
06-21 12:11	ATOM	Buy	1.78645→1.77196	-13.48	timeout
06-21 06:10	ATOM	Buy	1.78265→1.77896	-4.43	timeout
06-21 02:02	LINK	Sell	7.97541→7.95889	+1.79	timeout
06-21 01:37	APT	Sell	0.644939→0.65369	-21.73	stop_loss
06-21 01:05	AVAX	Buy	6.23366→6.25814	+4.50	timeout
06-21 00:22	NEAR	Sell	2.19025→2.21926	-21.21	stop_loss
06-21 00:18	ADA	Buy	0.162641→0.163329	+5.01	timeout
06-20 22:53	ATOM	Buy	1.79515→1.80115	+3.63	timeout
06-20 18:01	ADA	Buy	0.16175→0.16099	-8.42	timeout
06-20 17:35	OP	Buy	0.101325→0.099955	-21.52	stop_loss
06-20 17:15	INJ	Buy	5.01345→5.02074	+0.86	timeout
06-20 16:52	ATOM	Buy	1.78485→1.77916	-6.10	timeout
06-20 11:15	SUI	Buy	0.716749→0.716931	-0.98	timeout
06-20 11:08	ADA	Buy	0.163051→0.162539	-6.04	timeout
06-20 10:47	ATOM	Buy	1.79595→1.78745	-8.39	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

561

closed

42%

win rate

-1138.25

total pnl ($)

-13.5 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
OP	81	46%	-9.5	-116.77
ATOM	75	49%	+6.9	+78.00
INJ	70	44%	+2.3	+23.13
ADA	67	45%	-13.5	-135.48
APT	62	37%	-25.2	-235.33
NEAR	50	38%	-20.6	-155.27
ARB	43	33%	-29.6	-191.62
AVAX	29	38%	-27.8	-121.05
SUI	21	33%	-47.8	-150.88
LINK	15	40%	-16.5	-37.53
LTC	14	21%	-47.8	-100.78
BNB	9	78%	+29.0	+38.84
SOL	9	56%	-4.0	-5.21
XRP	7	43%	+18.0	+18.87
DOGE	5	40%	-30.0	-22.48
ETH	3	33%	-47.6	-21.41
BTC	1	0%	-21.9	-3.28

Recent bounces (last 20 of 21)

time	sym	side	reason
06-27 03:15	OP	Buy	stale_intent
06-26 21:55	ADA	Buy	trigger_already_opened
06-26 20:15	ETH	Buy	stale_intent
06-26 11:23	APT	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 13:06	AVAX	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 11:17	BNB	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 10:04	ADA	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 05:09	OP	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 03:07	ADA	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-24 20:05	ARB	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-24 20:05	ADA	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-24 17:27	SOL	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-24 16:18	OP	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 16:18	ATOM	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 16:18	APT	Sell	stale_intent
06-24 14:17	LINK	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-24 14:17	AVAX	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-24 13:19	ARB	Buy	stale_intent
06-24 12:17	ADA	Buy	stale_intent
06-24 08:18	ATOM	Sell	stale_intent

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…