585
closed trades
39%
win rate
-1508.78
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=101 wr=42% pnl=-194.83
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:31:38 (26.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 501
· wr: 42.5%
· total_bps: -5635.3
· mean_bps: -11.25
· sharpe: -0.16
· max_dd_bps: -6132.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 12:00 | OP | Buy | 0.101435→0.100805 | -10.69 | timeout |
| 06-29 09:14 | ATOM | Sell | 1.57341→1.56939 | +2.44 | timeout |
| 06-29 08:50 | INJ | Sell | 4.67733→4.74205 | -22.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 06:18 | APT | Buy | 0.575044→0.583454 | +20.58 | take_profit |
| 06-29 04:50 | OP | Buy | 0.102236→0.101825 | -7.40 | timeout |
| 06-29 01:00 | ATOM | Sell | 1.56501→1.58119 | -16.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 00:03 | APT | Buy | 0.568942→0.571757 | +6.09 | timeout |
| 06-28 18:43 | INJ | Buy | 4.59005→4.57796 | -5.29 | timeout |
| 06-28 15:54 | OP | Buy | 0.101975→0.100954 | -16.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-28 14:23 | AVAX | Buy | 6.30938→6.32072 | +1.33 | timeout |
| 06-28 10:25 | ADA | Buy | 0.145626→0.144092 | -17.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-28 09:50 | LTC | Sell | 42.8993→43.0268 | -5.82 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:54 | INJ | Buy | 4.66147→4.72992 | +20.67 | take_profit |
| 06-28 06:14 | APT | Buy | 0.582746→0.576667 | -16.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-28 04:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.144906→0.145344 | +3.19 | timeout |
| 06-28 03:05 | OP | Buy | 0.101795→0.101395 | -7.23 | timeout |
| 06-28 01:05 | ATOM | Sell | 1.57551→1.57129 | +2.60 | timeout |
| 06-27 22:16 | INJ | Buy | 4.74789→4.69757 | -17.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | OP | Buy | 0.101285→0.099995 | -20.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.147067→0.146483 | -7.24 | timeout |
| 06-27 17:03 | SUI | Sell | 0.709453→0.706016 | +5.91 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:26 | NEAR | Sell | 1.89843→1.91904 | -17.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:19 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6045→1.6032 | -2.49 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:05 | APT | Buy | 0.60155→0.605249 | +7.86 | timeout |
| 06-27 14:00 | OP | Buy | 0.103656→0.103194 | -8.00 | timeout |
| 06-27 13:59 | ARB | Buy | 0.0750988→0.0755211 | +7.07 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.147157→0.146833 | -4.62 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:09 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5863→1.581 | -6.30 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:05 | APT | Buy | 0.602351→0.602749 | -0.38 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:32 | LTC | Sell | 42.4524→42.8407 | -15.10 | timeout |
| 06-27 08:57 | INJ | Buy | 5.03786→4.98746 | -16.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 04:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0753188→0.0753012 | -1.72 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:00 | OP | Buy | 0.105606→0.105454 | -3.50 | timeout |
| 06-27 03:50 | APT | Buy | 0.604051→0.60185 | -6.84 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:00 | INJ | Buy | 4.86422→4.93637 | +20.89 | take_profit |
| 06-26 22:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.147687→0.14621 | -16.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 19:06 | INJ | Buy | 4.71718→4.7867 | +20.75 | take_profit |
| 06-26 17:03 | NEAR | Sell | 1.81555→1.80685 | +5.85 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:03 | OP | Sell | 0.106153→0.105916 | +2.02 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:02 | ATOM | Sell | 1.6017→1.5978 | +2.30 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:11 | ARB | Buy | 0.0715579→0.0714221 | -4.21 | timeout |
| 06-26 11:07 | SUI | Buy | 0.675799→0.68129 | +10.82 | timeout |
| 06-26 09:01 | OP | Sell | 0.107313→0.106307 | +12.71 | timeout |
| 06-26 09:01 | LINK | Sell | 7.31217→7.24791 | +11.85 | timeout |
| 06-26 08:52 | NEAR | Sell | 1.84294→1.81615 | +20.47 | take_profit |
| 06-26 08:50 | APT | Sell | 0.602949→0.594148 | +20.55 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:39 | ARB | Buy | 0.0723581→0.0734116 | +20.48 | take_profit |
| 06-25 20:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.141725→0.141585 | -2.85 | timeout |
| 06-25 16:33 | ATOM | Sell | 1.62199→1.5981 | +20.71 | take_profit |
| 06-25 16:10 | APT | Sell | 0.585354→0.591443 | -16.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:10 | XRP | Buy | 1.02636→1.04124 | +20.40 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:35 | AVAX | Buy | 6.36159→6.29528 | -16.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:09 | BNB | Buy | 560.92→562.519 | +2.91 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.149127→0.147913 | -13.56 | timeout |
| 06-25 09:05 | NEAR | Sell | 1.96451→1.94979 | +9.74 | timeout |
| 06-25 09:05 | INJ | Sell | 4.26163→4.23276 | +8.82 | timeout |
| 06-25 07:09 | ATOM | Buy | 1.66892→1.65146 | -17.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.147717→0.147133 | -7.24 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:35 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63989→1.63771 | +0.62 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:03 | ARB | Sell | 0.075971→0.075979 | -1.52 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:03 | INJ | Buy | 4.23796→4.24214 | +0.14 | timeout |
| 06-24 23:04 | OP | Buy | 0.103586→0.105094 | +20.48 | take_profit |
| 06-24 22:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.145106→0.147243 | +20.77 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:20 | LTC | Buy | 40.5091→40.0689 | -17.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:20 | SOL | Buy | 66.3159→65.6623 | -16.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:13 | AVAX | Buy | 6.16424→6.10252 | -16.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63679→1.6105 | +22.72 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:23 | ARB | Sell | 0.0754411→0.0761971 | -16.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:22 | APT | Sell | 0.615446→0.621766 | -16.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:17 | OP | Sell | 0.0985254→0.0995746 | -17.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:03 | LINK | Buy | 7.45846→7.47633 | +2.22 | timeout |
| 06-24 13:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.148027→0.147593 | -5.74 | timeout |
| 06-24 09:01 | ATOM | Sell | 1.69208→1.68242 | +7.15 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:37 | OP | Sell | 0.101175→0.101275 | -2.95 | timeout |
| 06-24 07:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.151978→0.150812 | -12.85 | timeout |
| 06-24 03:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.44711→6.42799 | -5.81 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:34 | OP | Sell | 0.102364→0.102226 | +0.63 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:16 | APT | Sell | 0.649138→0.650563 | -4.65 | timeout |
| 06-24 00:03 | ARB | Buy | 0.0790998→0.0790802 | -1.73 | timeout |
| 06-23 23:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.72513→1.71907 | -6.62 | timeout |
| 06-23 22:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.150308→0.151632 | +11.87 | timeout |
| 06-23 17:46 | OP | Sell | 0.0997251→0.0990748 | +8.38 | timeout |
| 06-23 17:09 | BNB | Sell | 575.866→573.573 | +4.57 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:13 | SOL | Buy | 68.7553→69.1816 | +7.98 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:09 | INJ | Sell | 4.50727→4.55411 | -16.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 16:08 | APT | Sell | 0.631142→0.637678 | -16.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 16:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.151098→0.150582 | -6.49 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:47 | LTC | Buy | 42.3626→41.9285 | -16.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 10:01 | BNB | Sell | 573.866→571.893 | +3.76 | timeout |
| 06-23 09:23 | SOL | Buy | 68.5593→68.9117 | +6.41 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:34 | INJ | Sell | 4.53976→4.58524 | -16.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:24 | ADA | Sell | 0.154191→0.151928 | +20.65 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:06 | OP | Buy | 0.0983946→0.0980455 | -6.69 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:21 | SUI | Buy | 0.693893→0.686895 | -16.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77664→1.75868 | -16.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 03:00 | INJ | Buy | 4.8038→4.8014 | -2.11 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:12 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830792→0.0832108 | -3.80 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:00 | SOL | Sell | 71.9362→71.8828 | -0.28 | timeout |
| 06-23 00:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.20085→6.23424 | +6.77 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:28 | ADA | Buy | 0.15959→0.157971 | -16.55 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
585
closed
39%
win rate
-1508.78
total pnl ($)
-17.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OP | 90 | 38% | -16.5 | -223.15 |
| ATOM | 76 | 47% | -3.6 | -40.85 |
| INJ | 72 | 36% | -24.0 | -259.42 |
| ADA | 69 | 45% | -4.5 | -46.22 |
| APT | 65 | 34% | -22.2 | -217.27 |
| NEAR | 54 | 33% | -34.7 | -281.07 |
| ARB | 46 | 28% | -16.7 | -115.57 |
| AVAX | 29 | 31% | -33.6 | -146.31 |
| SUI | 22 | 45% | -25.0 | -82.53 |
| LTC | 13 | 15% | -48.3 | -94.30 |
| LINK | 13 | 54% | -7.2 | -14.17 |
| BNB | 12 | 58% | +10.7 | +19.17 |
| XRP | 8 | 38% | -15.3 | -18.39 |
| SOL | 8 | 62% | +7.0 | +8.57 |
| DOGE | 6 | 50% | +11.0 | +9.80 |
| BTC | 1 | 0% | -7.0 | -1.05 |
| ETH | 1 | 0% | -39.8 | -6.03 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 08:50 | INJ | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||