392
closed trades
42%
win rate
-1044.68
total pnl ($)
1.315
weight
7d window — n=66 wr=45% pnl=+17.16
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:31:38 (23.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 446
· wr: 38.8%
· total_bps: -3045.3
· mean_bps: -6.83
· sharpe: -0.04
· max_dd_bps: -5767.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 13:19 | ARB | Sell | 0.0739615→0.0707377 | +64.13 | take_profit |
| 06-26 12:03 | ARB | Sell | 0.0733217→0.0714479 | +37.21 | timeout |
| 06-26 12:03 | AVAX | Sell | 6.23154→6.13383 | +21.96 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.141725→0.144884 | +32.14 | timeout |
| 06-26 04:04 | ATOM | Sell | 1.62199→1.64031 | -18.06 | timeout |
| 06-26 02:04 | XRP | Buy | 1.02686→1.03044 | +3.92 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:20 | APT | Sell | 0.585354→0.60085 | -41.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:53 | BNB | Buy | 560.88→546.72 | -39.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.147717→0.143902 | -40.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:45 | NEAR | Sell | 1.96911→1.88327 | +63.99 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:44 | AVAX | Buy | 6.36629→6.20724 | -38.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:35 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63989→1.6089 | +26.46 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:17 | ATOM | Buy | 1.66982→1.62778 | -38.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:02 | INJ | Buy | 4.22856→4.20465 | -9.78 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:29 | OP | Buy | 0.103616→0.108133 | +63.92 | take_profit |
| 06-25 04:03 | ATOM | Sell | 1.63679→1.64621 | -10.41 | timeout |
| 06-24 22:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.141635→0.147813 | +64.17 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:49 | SUI | Sell | 0.671212→0.688016 | -38.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:06 | ARB | Sell | 0.0737316→0.0756467 | -40.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:48 | SOL | Buy | 66.3149→64.6699 | -38.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:45 | LTC | Buy | 40.5131→39.4914 | -39.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:22 | APT | Sell | 0.615446→0.588647 | +63.93 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | LINK | Buy | 7.44916→7.26025 | -39.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | AVAX | Buy | 6.29787→6.1272 | -42.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | OP | Sell | 0.101175→0.0967442 | +63.85 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:38 | ARB | Buy | 0.0779695→0.076003 | -39.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:30 | ATOM | Sell | 1.69138→1.6171 | +64.45 | take_profit |
| 06-24 12:14 | APT | Sell | 0.648738→0.64166 | +15.01 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.152738→0.148898 | -38.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:01 | ARB | Buy | 0.0788897→0.0782304 | -14.04 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:24 | ATOM | Buy | 1.72513→1.68154 | -38.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 03:04 | LTC | Buy | 42.3626→41.9335 | -16.51 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.150218→0.152682 | +23.04 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:01 | BNB | Sell | 573.866→575.934 | -7.14 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:28 | INJ | Sell | 4.52727→4.59215 | -23.21 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:21 | SOL | Buy | 68.7403→68.8947 | +2.37 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77554→1.7304 | -39.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:24 | AVAX | Buy | 6.20215→6.04716 | -38.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | OP | Buy | 0.0983946→0.095918 | -39.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:15 | SOL | Sell | 71.9212→68.7653 | +64.15 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830692→0.0793498 | +65.64 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.15963→0.155563 | -39.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:27 | OP | Sell | 0.102184→0.101125 | +14.42 | timeout |
| 06-22 19:04 | INJ | Buy | 4.89102→4.84159 | -16.08 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.16045→0.1595 | -9.84 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:01 | APT | Buy | 0.666867→0.669533 | +4.42 | timeout |
| 06-22 16:14 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78905→1.79865 | +6.85 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:04 | SUI | Buy | 0.695284→0.709842 | +29.83 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:23 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76574→1.80365 | +30.91 | timeout |
| 06-22 04:02 | INJ | Sell | 4.98305→4.89692 | +24.55 | timeout |
| 06-21 23:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.16073→0.156682 | -38.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 22:11 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78645→1.76016 | -23.54 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:41 | OP | Sell | 0.102564→0.100825 | +23.99 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:10 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78265→1.76756 | -14.17 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:53 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79515→1.77586 | -17.09 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.16173→0.162519 | +5.96 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:00 | OP | Buy | 0.101385→0.103994 | +37.23 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:15 | INJ | Buy | 5.01345→5.02624 | +2.64 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:52 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78545→1.78675 | -0.24 | timeout |
| 06-20 16:04 | ARB | Sell | 0.0828993→0.0837609 | -16.95 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.162161→0.16164 | -6.12 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:01 | INJ | Sell | 5.09693→4.96914 | +35.91 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:09 | NEAR | Sell | 2.18525→2.14334 | +27.11 | timeout |
| 06-20 10:12 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80255→1.79605 | -6.56 | timeout |
| 06-20 03:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.16189→0.162229 | +1.67 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:01 | LINK | Sell | 7.84374→7.88927 | -10.04 | timeout |
| 06-19 16:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.16192→0.1615 | -5.35 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:29 | OP | Sell | 0.101465→0.104038 | -39.40 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 12:19 | ATOM | Buy | 1.81215→1.81415 | +0.41 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:03 | APT | Sell | 0.64074→0.625156 | +34.98 | timeout |
| 06-19 06:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78365→1.81085 | +21.80 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:39 | INJ | Sell | 5.34306→5.11008 | +64.12 | take_profit |
| 06-19 03:15 | OP | Buy | 0.105996→0.103282 | -39.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 20:04 | INJ | Sell | 5.14771→5.28116 | -40.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 20:01 | OP | Buy | 0.104416→0.109123 | +66.19 | take_profit |
| 06-18 17:27 | NEAR | Buy | 2.21675→2.16118 | -38.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:44 | ADA | Buy | 0.164751→0.160609 | -39.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:40 | ARB | Buy | 0.0846812→0.082558 | -38.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:23 | APT | Buy | 0.651863→0.635223 | -39.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.167062→0.162878 | -38.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 14:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.167652→0.164049 | -33.61 | timeout |
| 06-18 10:08 | ATOM | Buy | 1.85836→1.81144 | -39.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 10:05 | ARB | Buy | 0.084201→0.0853787 | +19.40 | timeout |
| 06-18 09:45 | OP | Buy | 0.104286→0.108923 | +65.27 | take_profit |
| 06-18 08:05 | ADA | Buy | 0.166242→0.166048 | -3.32 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.75939→6.58975 | -38.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 05:01 | OP | Buy | 0.107117→0.104432 | -39.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 00:01 | OP | Buy | 0.107047→0.108793 | +22.89 | timeout |
| 06-17 22:03 | INJ | Sell | 5.54711→5.30453 | +64.26 | take_profit |
| 06-17 20:41 | ATOM | Sell | 1.96481→1.92848 | +25.97 | timeout |
| 06-17 20:06 | INJ | Sell | 5.50632→5.41875 | +22.55 | timeout |
| 06-17 18:05 | NEAR | Sell | 2.3826→2.27757 | +64.81 | take_profit |
| 06-17 15:48 | APT | Buy | 0.662166→0.691227 | +64.41 | take_profit |
| 06-17 08:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.172393→0.170867 | -14.85 | timeout |
| 06-17 04:04 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9847→1.9995 | -12.75 | timeout |
| 06-17 02:00 | APT | Sell | 0.666233→0.683012 | -38.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 20:38 | ARB | Sell | 0.0866983→0.0858715 | +12.65 | timeout |
| 06-16 20:01 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9878→1.9908 | -3.66 | timeout |
| 06-16 18:05 | OP | Buy | 0.106887→0.108263 | +18.11 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.177674→0.17319 | -39.20 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
392
closed
42%
win rate
-1044.68
total pnl ($)
-17.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATOM | 58 | 47% | -1.1 | -9.84 |
| OP | 57 | 40% | -9.1 | -77.60 |
| INJ | 52 | 35% | -36.8 | -288.67 |
| ADA | 51 | 41% | -33.9 | -260.29 |
| APT | 45 | 44% | -14.7 | -101.31 |
| NEAR | 34 | 29% | -80.9 | -413.40 |
| ARB | 33 | 58% | +50.5 | +248.95 |
| AVAX | 16 | 38% | -102.8 | -246.74 |
| SUI | 11 | 18% | -122.6 | -202.77 |
| SOL | 8 | 75% | +113.1 | +135.77 |
| LINK | 7 | 29% | -35.3 | -36.91 |
| DOGE | 6 | 83% | +220.7 | +198.13 |
| BNB | 5 | 60% | +115.8 | +85.95 |
| LTC | 4 | 25% | +10.3 | +6.21 |
| XRP | 3 | 33% | -124.5 | -55.88 |
| BTC | 1 | 0% | -94.0 | -14.22 |
| ETH | 1 | 0% | -80.1 | -12.07 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 18)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 16:31 | ATOM | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-26 06:21 | ATOM | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-26 06:19 | ATOM | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 19:03 | ADA | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 13:07 | AVAX | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 11:17 | BNB | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 08:03 | NEAR | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 19:06 | SUI | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 19:06 | ARB | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 19:06 | ADA | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 17:27 | SOL | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 16:18 | ATOM | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-24 16:18 | APT | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-24 14:16 | LINK | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 14:16 | AVAX | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-24 13:19 | ARB | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 13:19 | ARB | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-24 07:47 | OP | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||