xv_wide_tail_conviction_short · strategy

424

closed trades

44%

win rate

-706.31

total pnl ($)

1.917

weight

7d window — n=68 wr=49% pnl=+116.02 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-06-03 15:31:37 (23.9d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings

n: 463 · wr: 43.2% · total_bps: -7741.4 · mean_bps: -16.72 · sharpe: -0.13 · max_dd_bps: -8939.7

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 11:57	ATOM	Sell	1.5811→1.6055	-40.99	stop_loss
06-27 11:04	OP	Sell	0.104794→0.103606	+25.80	timeout
06-27 09:04	LTC	Sell	42.1675→42.7631	-37.67	stop_loss
06-27 02:21	ARB	Sell	0.0740615→0.0751063	-37.46	stop_loss
06-26 19:32	NEAR	Sell	1.81515→1.84078	-37.45	stop_loss
06-26 18:01	ATOM	Sell	1.5906→1.61341	-38.13	stop_loss
06-26 13:59	INJ	Sell	4.52027→4.58414	-37.58	stop_loss
06-26 11:44	LTC	Sell	41.8205→40.9052	+52.54	take_profit
06-26 10:39	LINK	Sell	7.31727→7.15979	+51.64	take_profit
06-26 09:52	NEAR	Sell	1.84414→1.80445	+51.59	take_profit
06-26 09:51	ARB	Sell	0.0739515→0.0723481	+51.97	take_profit
06-26 09:51	OP	Sell	0.107653→0.105266	+53.11	take_profit
06-26 06:39	APT	Sell	0.589253→0.597548	-37.49	stop_loss
06-26 02:30	INJ	Sell	4.20195→4.26209	-38.04	stop_loss
06-25 20:05	ARB	Sell	0.0733217→0.0725381	+24.40	timeout
06-25 16:55	INJ	Sell	4.20985→4.11423	+54.59	take_profit
06-25 16:20	APT	Sell	0.586053→0.594846	-39.78	stop_loss
06-25 15:57	ATOM	Sell	1.6086→1.63252	-39.47	stop_loss
06-25 12:05	ATOM	Sell	1.65539→1.62311	+46.20	timeout
06-25 11:41	NEAR	Sell	1.96521→1.92268	+51.51	take_profit
06-25 11:11	INJ	Sell	4.26163→4.16714	+53.25	take_profit
06-25 04:35	ATOM	Sell	1.63989→1.64051	-3.42	timeout
06-25 04:35	APT	Sell	0.627043→0.620155	+25.23	timeout
06-25 04:03	ARB	Sell	0.075971→0.0755289	+12.31	timeout
06-24 20:01	SUI	Sell	0.671212→0.68077	-37.92	stop_loss
06-24 17:22	ATOM	Sell	1.63679→1.6007	+52.80	take_profit
06-24 16:51	APT	Sell	0.615346→0.60195	+52.14	take_profit
06-24 16:51	ARB	Sell	0.0754111→0.0737884	+51.51	take_profit
06-24 16:22	OP	Sell	0.0985254→0.100095	-42.09	stop_loss
06-24 13:12	APT	Sell	0.644639→0.630758	+51.53	take_profit
06-24 12:01	SUI	Sell	0.701824→0.700675	+1.66	timeout
06-24 12:01	ARB	Sell	0.0782604→0.0784596	-8.56	timeout
06-24 11:31	OP	Sell	0.101485→0.100635	+18.66	timeout
06-24 10:52	ATOM	Sell	1.69208→1.65551	+51.73	take_profit
06-24 04:23	OP	Sell	0.101915→0.099915	+46.33	timeout
06-24 04:17	APT	Sell	0.648938→0.63876	+36.92	timeout
06-24 04:04	ARB	Sell	0.0791302→0.0779595	+34.42	timeout
06-23 20:05	NEAR	Sell	1.9816→1.9887	-11.18	timeout
06-23 20:04	ATOM	Sell	1.72297→1.72083	+0.80	timeout
06-23 20:02	APT	Sell	0.631842→0.64098	-38.42	stop_loss
06-23 19:54	INJ	Sell	4.51237→4.57693	-38.26	stop_loss
06-23 18:45	BNB	Sell	574.146→573.003	+2.42	timeout
06-23 12:43	BNB	Sell	574.106→573.923	-1.92	timeout
06-23 12:08	ATOM	Sell	1.76226→1.77184	-15.91	timeout
06-23 11:45	INJ	Sell	4.53976→4.60495	-38.43	stop_loss
06-23 11:32	OP	Sell	0.0965059→0.0979434	-39.41	stop_loss
06-23 08:28	ADA	Sell	0.154191→0.150868	+51.61	take_profit
06-23 04:07	ARB	Sell	0.0829693→0.0827507	+4.02	timeout
06-23 04:01	SOL	Sell	71.8842→71.9518	-4.87	timeout
06-22 22:38	SUI	Sell	0.729358→0.713588	+51.71	take_profit
06-22 20:30	OP	Sell	0.102274→0.101535	+15.94	timeout
06-22 11:49	APT	Sell	0.670932→0.68071	-38.65	stop_loss
06-22 09:54	ATOM	Sell	1.79785→1.82387	-38.44	stop_loss
06-22 00:57	OP	Sell	0.099925→0.101356	-38.03	stop_loss
06-21 20:41	INJ	Sell	4.90917→4.94654	-21.31	timeout
06-21 20:12	OP	Sell	0.102694→0.101795	+19.46	timeout
06-21 12:21	OP	Sell	0.102414→0.102396	-1.93	timeout
06-21 10:10	INJ	Sell	4.99605→5.067	-37.77	stop_loss
06-21 04:03	OP	Sell	0.103404→0.104146	-20.18	timeout
06-21 04:03	LINK	Sell	7.97501→7.97089	-0.89	timeout
06-21 04:02	ATOM	Sell	1.79865→1.78065	+22.69	timeout
06-21 01:38	APT	Sell	0.644939→0.65399	-37.39	stop_loss
06-21 00:22	NEAR	Sell	2.18815→2.21926	-37.78	stop_loss
06-20 20:01	ARB	Sell	0.0836491→0.0832208	+10.57	timeout
06-20 20:01	APT	Sell	0.635741→0.635059	+0.28	timeout
06-20 20:01	ATOM	Sell	1.78195→1.80375	-32.76	timeout
06-20 20:01	LTC	Sell	44.2049→44.194	-1.66	timeout
06-20 14:46	OP	Sell	0.0994651→0.101126	-44.06	stop_loss
06-20 12:04	NEAR	Sell	2.13897→2.13673	+0.18	timeout
06-20 12:03	ARB	Sell	0.083919→0.0837309	+3.33	timeout
06-20 12:02	OP	Sell	0.102974→0.100665	+53.48	take_profit
06-20 09:45	APT	Sell	0.633242→0.642281	-38.01	stop_loss
06-20 05:11	ARB	Sell	0.0834491→0.0847535	-41.53	stop_loss
06-20 05:11	INJ	Sell	5.09243→5.16387	-37.37	stop_loss
06-20 04:11	NEAR	Sell	2.17736→2.16524	+11.57	timeout
06-19 21:26	OP	Sell	0.102244→0.102126	+0.53	timeout
06-19 21:01	ATOM	Sell	1.80735→1.80505	+0.69	timeout
06-19 17:59	AVAX	Sell	6.11487→5.98099	+52.51	take_profit
06-19 12:07	LTC	Sell	43.4181→43.5169	-8.01	timeout
06-19 12:07	APT	Sell	0.618645→0.623156	-20.59	timeout
06-19 12:02	LINK	Sell	7.84124→7.81695	+5.47	timeout
06-19 12:01	ARB	Sell	0.0829393→0.0827507	+3.39	timeout
06-19 12:01	OP	Sell	0.101465→0.100715	+16.06	timeout
06-19 04:10	ADA	Sell	0.163339→0.16176	+21.95	timeout
06-19 02:02	ARB	Sell	0.0851387→0.0863647	-38.19	stop_loss
06-18 20:01	LINK	Sell	7.83204→7.94185	-37.31	stop_loss
06-18 20:00	ATOM	Sell	1.79155→1.80245	-17.53	timeout
06-18 19:44	APT	Sell	0.626243→0.635176	-37.89	stop_loss
06-18 19:42	INJ	Sell	5.12582→5.1978	-37.45	stop_loss
06-18 03:25	APT	Sell	0.675131→0.660565	+51.79	take_profit
06-18 03:21	ATOM	Sell	1.89663→1.85576	+51.47	take_profit
06-17 19:38	LTC	Sell	45.7326→44.6922	+54.65	take_profit
06-17 18:05	INJ	Sell	5.54711→5.41925	+55.41	take_profit
06-17 17:40	NEAR	Sell	2.3823→2.33098	+51.66	take_profit
06-17 12:12	ATOM	Sell	1.97591→1.97949	-6.78	timeout
06-17 09:00	INJ	Sell	5.50742→5.38895	+51.48	take_profit
06-16 20:04	ATOM	Sell	1.9847→1.9896	-8.42	timeout
06-16 19:17	NEAR	Sell	2.34331→2.29277	+51.53	take_profit
06-16 18:04	OP	Sell	0.106703→0.108431	-42.78	stop_loss
06-16 18:02	APT	Sell	0.667333→0.676707	-37.44	stop_loss

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

424

closed

44%

win rate

-706.31

total pnl ($)

-6.4 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
INJ	60	37%	-26.3	-399.05
ATOM	56	45%	-13.1	-186.83
ARB	55	51%	+13.3	+180.44
OP	55	47%	+1.6	+17.50
NEAR	47	36%	-29.6	-348.75
APT	46	46%	-2.5	-31.26
ADA	23	48%	+5.6	+31.05
LINK	18	44%	-0.3	-2.01
LTC	16	38%	+4.0	+14.62
AVAX	15	40%	+20.4	+75.25
SUI	11	45%	-6.6	-18.92
DOGE	8	62%	+3.6	+6.38
BNB	6	67%	+48.4	+71.21
SOL	5	40%	-25.5	-32.57
ETH	3	0%	-110.9	-83.37

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…