385
closed trades
38%
win rate
-1757.23
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=78 wr=32% pnl=-485.98
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-03 15:31:37 (23.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_xv_funding_wide_tail_siblings
n: 261
· wr: 46.4%
· total_bps: -1323.7
· mean_bps: -5.07
· sharpe: -0.04
· max_dd_bps: -3150.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 08:04 | INJ | Buy | 4.93873→5.04504 | +51.60 | take_profit |
| 06-27 07:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0753188→0.0749713 | -13.60 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:37 | APT | Buy | 0.603051→0.602049 | -6.53 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.147507→0.148053 | +6.90 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:33 | OP | Buy | 0.105906→0.104362 | -38.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 00:32 | INJ | Buy | 4.91603→4.84696 | -37.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 00:01 | ETH | Buy | 1578.06→1577.74 | -2.73 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:14 | INJ | Buy | 4.75709→4.86378 | +53.81 | take_profit |
| 06-26 18:00 | ETH | Buy | 1569.76→1580.74 | +15.14 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:55 | SUI | Buy | 0.674209→0.688808 | +51.81 | take_profit |
| 06-26 12:40 | APT | Buy | 0.587847→0.579565 | -37.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:40 | ADA | Buy | 0.145256→0.143223 | -37.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:05 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6133→1.6024 | -19.26 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:01 | ARB | Buy | 0.0728882→0.0718561 | -37.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.141625→0.143224 | +25.97 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:17 | APT | Buy | 0.586647→0.59935 | +51.93 | take_profit |
| 06-25 14:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.02576→1.04794 | +51.83 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:40 | AVAX | Buy | 6.35999→6.27079 | -37.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.149307→0.14721 | -37.40 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:07 | BNB | Buy | 569.182→561.219 | -37.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:02 | INJ | Buy | 4.25506→4.19515 | -37.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 09:04 | OP | Buy | 0.107127→0.107863 | +14.98 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:48 | ATOM | Buy | 1.64421→1.65419 | +13.18 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.147337→0.150512 | +51.68 | take_profit |
| 06-25 03:00 | INJ | Buy | 4.22116→4.18195 | -25.59 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.141475→0.144524 | +51.73 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:26 | ARB | Buy | 0.0742886→0.075921 | +52.70 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:01 | OP | Buy | 0.0985146→0.100675 | +52.54 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:25 | LTC | Buy | 40.4631→39.8951 | -37.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:20 | SOL | Buy | 66.384→65.4644 | -36.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | ATOM | Buy | 1.64131→1.61599 | -40.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:45 | AVAX | Buy | 6.30948→6.22073 | -37.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.146927→0.144871 | -37.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:11 | OP | Buy | 0.102126→0.100694 | -37.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:16 | ARB | Buy | 0.0783296→0.077222 | -37.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 09:03 | INJ | Buy | 4.52033→4.51587 | -4.33 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.152438→0.151192 | -22.57 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.43891→6.42699 | -6.88 | timeout |
| 06-24 02:15 | ATOM | Buy | 1.72973→1.72137 | -14.04 | timeout |
| 06-24 02:02 | ARB | Buy | 0.0789397→0.0785903 | -13.05 | timeout |
| 06-23 23:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.149907→0.151252 | +20.05 | timeout |
| 06-23 17:06 | SOL | Buy | 68.8173→68.6327 | -8.77 | timeout |
| 06-23 17:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.150268→0.150662 | +4.35 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:50 | LTC | Buy | 42.4306→41.8236 | -38.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 12:17 | SOL | Buy | 68.3913→69.0826 | +23.27 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:15 | OP | Buy | 0.0985146→0.0970871 | -38.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78275→1.75768 | -37.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:18 | SUI | Buy | 0.699835→0.690042 | -37.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 01:59 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79655→1.79135 | -9.42 | timeout |
| 06-22 22:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.15935→0.157082 | -37.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | OP | Buy | 0.101035→0.0995953 | -37.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 19:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.32598→6.23632 | -37.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 15:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.16169→0.15942 | -37.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 14:31 | INJ | Buy | 4.96374→4.89083 | -38.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 12:58 | AVAX | Buy | 6.26377→6.3984 | +51.48 | take_profit |
| 06-22 10:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.16026→0.16026 | -2.36 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:00 | INJ | Buy | 4.90042→4.90417 | -0.46 | timeout |
| 06-22 08:00 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77784→1.80025 | +29.33 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:40 | OP | Buy | 0.100545→0.102744 | +52.32 | take_profit |
| 06-22 07:21 | APT | Buy | 0.657864→0.672132 | +52.00 | take_profit |
| 06-22 01:25 | SUI | Buy | 0.695304→0.710282 | +51.53 | take_profit |
| 06-21 23:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.1589→0.156523 | -39.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:54 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76444→1.75736 | -12.38 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:57 | ADA | Buy | 0.16111→0.1615 | +3.79 | timeout |
| 06-21 14:07 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78545→1.77496 | -16.92 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.16124→0.16138 | -0.12 | timeout |
| 06-21 08:06 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78245→1.77536 | -12.09 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:04 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23806→6.22344 | -8.23 | timeout |
| 06-21 02:25 | ADA | Buy | 0.162991→0.162419 | -11.00 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:10 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79785→1.79215 | -10.10 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.1619→0.16115 | -13.92 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:46 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78845→1.79145 | +1.90 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:35 | INJ | Buy | 5.03626→4.96457 | -37.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 17:35 | OP | Buy | 0.101385→0.099955 | -37.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 13:12 | SUI | Buy | 0.716629→0.715511 | -6.21 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:12 | INJ | Buy | 5.07417→5.08073 | +1.24 | timeout |
| 06-20 13:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.162429 | -9.77 | timeout |
| 06-20 12:36 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79545→1.78605 | -15.12 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:30 | OP | Buy | 0.104426→0.102893 | -38.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 05:11 | APT | Buy | 0.625456→0.63894 | +51.63 | take_profit |
| 06-20 03:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.16182→0.161989 | +0.31 | timeout |
| 06-20 02:13 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80155→1.78745 | -21.81 | timeout |
| 06-19 23:00 | APT | Buy | 0.631758→0.629443 | -11.43 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:57 | ADA | Buy | 0.16076→0.1618 | +14.07 | timeout |
| 06-19 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.1595→0.16145 | +28.40 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:45 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80605→1.84494 | +51.60 | take_profit |
| 06-19 04:34 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13173→2.10182 | -37.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.16195→0.15968 | -37.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:06 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80915→1.79955 | -15.26 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:06 | OP | Buy | 0.105996→0.104512 | -37.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 01:01 | ARB | Buy | 0.0847212→0.0856986 | +26.47 | timeout |
| 06-18 22:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78365→1.79275 | +10.49 | timeout |
| 06-18 18:44 | OP | Buy | 0.104516→0.106823 | +52.91 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.165251→0.162918 | -37.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:44 | ARB | Buy | 0.0851113→0.0838371 | -39.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:40 | APT | Buy | 0.650563→0.641019 | -38.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 12:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.166192→0.165009 | -20.12 | timeout |
| 06-18 10:06 | ATOM | Buy | 1.85836→1.83223 | -37.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 09:08 | AVAX | Buy | 6.57194→6.65784 | +30.50 | timeout |
| 06-18 09:01 | SUI | Buy | 0.742336→0.752182 | +30.79 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
385
closed
38%
win rate
-1757.23
total pnl ($)
-18.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OP | 68 | 35% | -25.5 | -431.50 |
| ADA | 62 | 40% | -19.8 | -305.89 |
| ATOM | 54 | 39% | -12.1 | -160.93 |
| APT | 42 | 36% | -10.3 | -109.39 |
| INJ | 38 | 45% | +12.2 | +116.57 |
| ARB | 26 | 50% | +1.1 | +8.02 |
| AVAX | 19 | 32% | -28.1 | -133.36 |
| SUI | 18 | 22% | -69.5 | -313.70 |
| NEAR | 13 | 15% | -94.8 | -308.16 |
| SOL | 12 | 25% | -58.3 | -173.41 |
| XRP | 9 | 44% | +24.8 | +55.93 |
| LINK | 6 | 50% | +16.3 | +24.12 |
| BNB | 5 | 80% | -2.1 | -2.34 |
| DOGE | 4 | 75% | +75.0 | +75.18 |
| LTC | 4 | 25% | -109.8 | -109.71 |
| ETH | 3 | 33% | -16.2 | -12.17 |
| BTC | 2 | 100% | +47.1 | +23.50 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 4)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 13:10 | ARB | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 13:10 | ARB | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 12:10 | OP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 12:10 | OP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||