288
closed trades
41%
win rate
-488.68
total pnl ($)
1.234
weight
7d window — n=5 wr=60% pnl=+2.70
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 13:40:54 (34.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 313
· wr: 41.9%
· total_bps: -5507.8
· mean_bps: -17.60
· sharpe: -0.18
· max_dd_bps: -5711.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 21:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822296→0.0832962 | +8.43 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:46 | BTC | Buy | 62794.1→62888.9 | +0.46 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:28 | ARB | Buy | 0.0820205→0.0846388 | +21.69 | take_profit |
| 06-18 20:01 | AVAX | Sell | 6.25664→6.37618 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:18 | SOL | Buy | 74.6842→73.2753 | -13.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 23:19 | ETH | Buy | 1818.68→1784.63 | -13.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:11 | BNB | Buy | 628.297→619.585 | -10.25 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:11 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9969→1.95919 | +12.49 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:48 | ADA | Sell | 0.187703→0.181725 | +21.64 | take_profit |
| 06-15 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 7.02876→6.89483 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 21:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.51913→6.3953 | -13.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:52 | ATOM | Sell | 1.78875→1.75794 | +11.48 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:33 | BNB | Buy | 591.258→587.623 | -4.93 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:09 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0843631→0.0827579 | -13.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 14:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.16137→0.163199 | +7.37 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | BNB | Sell | 586.823→591.288 | -5.95 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | BTC | Buy | 61590.1→61884.9 | +2.71 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:43 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52997→6.65459 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 01:02 | BNB | Buy | 593.838→596.251 | +2.21 | timeout |
| 06-10 00:10 | BTC | Buy | 61753.1→62016.9 | +2.39 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49972→6.65704 | +16.42 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | ETH | Buy | 1627.86→1655.63 | +11.28 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:19 | APT | Sell | 0.646838→0.659294 | -14.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:17 | ARB | Sell | 0.0787403→0.0802902 | -14.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:21 | SUI | Buy | 0.752318→0.737946 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 12:17 | NEAR | Buy | 2.15804→2.16946 | +3.02 | timeout |
| 06-09 12:03 | APT | Buy | 0.664166→0.670032 | +5.51 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.75994→1.7265 | -13.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 08:12 | OP | Buy | 0.0941135→0.0953562 | +8.69 | timeout |
| 06-09 06:09 | ARB | Sell | 0.0819095→0.0818505 | -0.22 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:42 | BNB | Buy | 603.191→603.619 | -0.14 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:32 | INJ | Buy | 5.45936→5.63149 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:38 | APT | Sell | 0.677031→0.655664 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:24 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13723→2.09603 | -14.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 23:29 | XRP | Sell | 1.16731→1.17169 | -3.32 | timeout |
| 06-08 23:29 | BNB | Buy | 604.881→602.249 | -3.73 | timeout |
| 06-08 23:21 | ARB | Buy | 0.0830708→0.0820095 | -9.57 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:52 | LINK | Sell | 8.05039→8.10573 | -5.44 | timeout |
| 06-08 17:21 | ATOM | Sell | 1.74836→1.75624 | -3.98 | timeout |
| 06-08 17:21 | BNB | Buy | 600.69→603.609 | +2.72 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:45 | LINK | Buy | 7.89547→8.03469 | +11.74 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:06 | ADA | Sell | 0.166608→0.169817 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:04 | ETH | Buy | 1657.27→1667.03 | +3.47 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:04 | AVAX | Buy | 6.60165→6.69183 | +8.92 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:04 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0849792→0.0854926 | +3.55 | timeout |
| 06-08 09:35 | LINK | Sell | 7.86443→7.86867 | -0.95 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | ATOM | Sell | 1.71197→1.72283 | -5.10 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830292→0.0818305 | +9.52 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | APT | Sell | 0.672432→0.662566 | +9.54 | timeout |
| 06-08 01:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.165661→0.162498 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 23:52 | LTC | Sell | 42.0375→41.2503 | +12.48 | timeout |
| 06-06 23:33 | ARB | Buy | 0.0794098→0.0794701 | -0.08 | timeout |
| 06-06 22:27 | ATOM | Sell | 1.6184→1.6136 | +1.40 | timeout |
| 06-06 22:14 | SUI | Sell | 0.715901→0.708247 | +6.78 | timeout |
| 06-06 16:34 | LINK | Buy | 7.2168→7.30817 | +8.31 | timeout |
| 06-06 16:34 | BTC | Buy | 60322→60537 | +1.88 | timeout |
| 06-06 15:19 | LTC | Buy | 42.7967→41.9705 | -14.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 15:11 | OP | Buy | 0.0965841→0.0947189 | -14.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 13:45 | ARB | Sell | 0.0791502→0.0806605 | -14.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 10:31 | BTC | Buy | 59831→60222 | +3.94 | timeout |
| 06-06 10:30 | OP | Buy | 0.0957039→0.0938296 | -14.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 10:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.75519→6.61903 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 09:28 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0809488→0.0825098 | -14.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 08:32 | ETH | Sell | 1562.74→1592.35 | -13.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 07:08 | INJ | Sell | 5.04404→5.14085 | -14.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 06:00 | LTC | Buy | 40.8942→42.1924 | +21.60 | take_profit |
| 06-06 05:23 | LINK | Buy | 7.03566→7.25918 | +21.62 | take_profit |
| 06-06 05:21 | APT | Sell | 0.621944→0.634075 | -14.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:19 | ARB | Buy | 0.0781895→0.0766725 | -14.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:06 | ETH | Buy | 1580.46→1550.77 | -13.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 03:26 | LTC | Sell | 43.848→42.8647 | +14.94 | timeout |
| 06-06 03:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.157719→0.154694 | -13.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 02:52 | BNB | Buy | 577.214→577.776 | -0.00 | timeout |
| 06-05 23:32 | ARB | Buy | 0.0810102→0.0794404 | -14.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 23:20 | LINK | Buy | 7.50718→7.36297 | -14.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 21:41 | AVAX | Sell | 6.85209→6.98273 | -13.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 21:36 | SOL | Sell | 64.0254→65.2324 | -13.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 20:50 | BTC | Sell | 60367→61490.8 | -13.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 20:49 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6124→1.66328 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-05 20:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0795739→0.0820795 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-05 19:25 | OP | Sell | 0.0916571→0.0934901 | -14.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 19:17 | ETH | Sell | 1590.74→1539.75 | +21.79 | take_profit |
| 06-05 18:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.16074→0.157682 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 18:44 | BTC | Buy | 60707→59578.2 | -13.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 18:26 | SUI | Buy | 0.708457→0.694919 | -14.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:15 | ARB | Sell | 0.08017→0.0817012 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:12 | LINK | Buy | 7.30773→7.16812 | -14.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:11 | BNB | Buy | 581.955→570.722 | -14.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 15:47 | AVAX | Sell | 7.07863→6.85421 | +21.56 | take_profit |
| 06-05 15:39 | SOL | Buy | 65.1718→63.9434 | -13.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:55 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084113→0.0825091 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:55 | ETH | Buy | 1657.07→1625.92 | -13.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:36 | BNB | Sell | 590.512→594.439 | -5.23 | timeout |
| 06-05 13:33 | BTC | Sell | 62276.9→62152.1 | +0.78 | timeout |
| 06-05 11:44 | APT | Buy | 0.705376→0.691781 | -14.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 11:15 | ATOM | Buy | 1.74494→1.71042 | -14.52 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 08:37 | AVAX | Buy | 7.29932→7.16003 | -13.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 07:27 | OP | Sell | 0.103014→0.105119 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 07:27 | LTC | Sell | 42.8283→43.6557 | -14.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 07:02 | NEAR | Buy | 2.08002→2.04017 | -14.04 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
288
closed
41%
win rate
-488.68
total pnl ($)
-24.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATOM | 29 | 45% | -8.0 | -16.21 |
| ADA | 28 | 54% | +5.7 | +10.63 |
| AVAX | 27 | 44% | -34.2 | -65.07 |
| ARB | 26 | 27% | -45.9 | -84.00 |
| APT | 26 | 38% | -43.6 | -79.05 |
| BNB | 25 | 44% | -32.5 | -57.08 |
| OP | 16 | 44% | -27.4 | -30.39 |
| DOGE | 16 | 50% | +22.2 | +24.74 |
| ETH | 15 | 27% | -55.1 | -57.86 |
| BTC | 15 | 60% | +5.2 | +5.47 |
| LTC | 14 | 36% | +1.8 | +1.44 |
| LINK | 13 | 38% | -27.6 | -25.05 |
| NEAR | 12 | 58% | +24.7 | +20.56 |
| INJ | 10 | 30% | -68.5 | -48.23 |
| SUI | 6 | 17% | -121.2 | -51.08 |
| XRP | 6 | 33% | +13.8 | +5.76 |
| SOL | 4 | 0% | -154.4 | -43.27 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||