305
closed trades
43%
win rate
-203.83
total pnl ($)
1.308
weight
7d window — n=7 wr=57% pnl=+11.63
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 13:40:54 (34.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 326
· wr: 44.2%
· total_bps: -4048.9
· mean_bps: -12.42
· sharpe: -0.11
· max_dd_bps: -4227.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 21:47 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0821445→0.0832962 | +9.16 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:46 | BTC | Buy | 62805.1→62899.9 | +0.46 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:32 | APT | Buy | 0.622856→0.643039 | +22.02 | take_profit |
| 06-18 20:20 | ARB | Buy | 0.0819305→0.0845788 | +21.97 | take_profit |
| 06-18 20:01 | AVAX | Sell | 6.25434→6.37618 | -14.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:28 | AVAX | Buy | 6.86982→6.73884 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:27 | ETH | Buy | 1809.08→1775.23 | -13.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:14 | LINK | Buy | 8.35969→8.20075 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:49 | ARB | Buy | 0.0870518→0.0853959 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:31 | APT | Buy | 0.683571→0.670397 | -14.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:06 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9975→1.95969 | +12.53 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:48 | ADA | Sell | 0.188003→0.181725 | +22.72 | take_profit |
| 06-15 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 7.02756→6.88923 | -14.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:18 | ARB | Buy | 0.0896124→0.087904 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:18 | APT | Sell | 0.712922→0.690273 | +21.64 | take_profit |
| 06-10 20:26 | BNB | Buy | 592.448→588.403 | -5.41 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:26 | ETH | Buy | 1645.96→1633.94 | -5.70 | timeout |
| 06-10 19:17 | OP | Sell | 0.0951662→0.092163 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-10 17:32 | BTC | Buy | 62810.1→61642.1 | -13.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 17:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.163451→0.16031 | -14.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 15:30 | INJ | Sell | 5.25419→5.35481 | -14.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 14:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.16132→0.163149 | +7.38 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80575→1.78985 | -6.81 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:45 | ARB | Sell | 0.0796301→0.0811508 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 13:43 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52997→6.65459 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 09:20 | APT | Buy | 0.654063→0.641519 | -14.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 00:22 | BNB | Buy | 594.149→596.251 | +1.84 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | DOGE | Sell | 0.083968→0.0851093 | -10.10 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49642→6.65704 | +16.78 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | BTC | Buy | 61315.1→62016.9 | +7.42 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:19 | APT | Sell | 0.647338→0.659995 | -14.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:17 | ARB | Sell | 0.0787903→0.0802902 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 15:35 | OP | Sell | 0.0949663→0.0930833 | +13.18 | timeout |
| 06-09 13:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0864016→0.0853477 | -9.16 | timeout |
| 06-09 13:06 | BTC | Buy | 63325.2→62641.9 | -8.17 | timeout |
| 06-09 12:03 | BNB | Sell | 602.559→597.629 | +5.12 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:01 | APT | Sell | 0.662334→0.664566 | -2.99 | timeout |
| 06-09 09:28 | SUI | Buy | 0.75969→0.745151 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 06:44 | XRP | Sell | 1.15641→1.17199 | -10.09 | timeout |
| 06-09 06:43 | ETH | Sell | 1669.03→1687.57 | -8.41 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:42 | BNB | Buy | 603.161→603.849 | +0.17 | timeout |
| 06-09 04:40 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0847648→0.0863938 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 04:35 | AVAX | Sell | 6.62384→6.74996 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:36 | SOL | Sell | 67.6479→65.5018 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:33 | NEAR | Sell | 2.13837→2.07062 | +21.55 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:31 | OP | Sell | 0.0972857→0.0942035 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:27 | BTC | Buy | 63557.2→62833.9 | -8.62 | timeout |
| 06-08 22:44 | SUI | Sell | 0.763979→0.75886 | +4.11 | timeout |
| 06-08 22:44 | BNB | Buy | 604.551→604.829 | -0.36 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:01 | LTC | Buy | 43.2658→43.2802 | -0.45 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:01 | APT | Buy | 0.68107→0.684129 | +2.46 | timeout |
| 06-08 18:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863646→0.0868743 | +3.49 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:11 | AVAX | Sell | 6.72582→6.85494 | -14.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 15:10 | XRP | Sell | 1.15841→1.18048 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 12:43 | INJ | Sell | 5.62269→5.7301 | -14.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 12:29 | NEAR | Sell | 2.12767→2.16933 | -14.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:03 | BTC | Buy | 62774.1→63046.8 | +2.41 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:51 | XRP | Buy | 1.14219→1.14291 | -0.18 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:45 | ETH | Buy | 1656.37→1670.63 | +5.39 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:44 | SOL | Sell | 65.3702→66.2279 | -9.90 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:38 | LTC | Buy | 42.1905→42.9972 | +12.78 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | BNB | Buy | 604.491→597.9 | -8.27 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | AVAX | Sell | 6.7988→6.62986 | +16.78 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | ARB | Sell | 0.0831592→0.0817904 | +10.93 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | APT | Sell | 0.672532→0.662566 | +9.65 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:29 | ATOM | Sell | 1.71447→1.72263 | -3.99 | timeout |
| 06-07 01:03 | ARB | Sell | 0.0790502→0.0805904 | -14.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 01:02 | ETH | Sell | 1555.64→1567.06 | -5.76 | timeout |
| 06-07 00:32 | LINK | Buy | 7.32683→7.41205 | +7.46 | timeout |
| 06-06 23:33 | LTC | Sell | 42.0525→41.0933 | +15.34 | timeout |
| 06-06 23:33 | BTC | Sell | 60727→60673 | -0.03 | timeout |
| 06-06 19:00 | AVAX | Sell | 6.75431→6.62866 | +12.36 | timeout |
| 06-06 18:27 | BNB | Sell | 572.757→575.464 | -3.94 | timeout |
| 06-06 18:10 | ETH | Sell | 1562.14→1552.56 | +3.59 | timeout |
| 06-06 17:13 | BTC | Sell | 60614→60704 | -1.67 | timeout |
| 06-06 17:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6107→1.62389 | +5.18 | timeout |
| 06-06 12:24 | BNB | Buy | 576.734→572.747 | -5.40 | timeout |
| 06-06 12:21 | LINK | Sell | 7.33916→7.31533 | +1.59 | timeout |
| 06-06 11:50 | ETH | Sell | 1564.14→1562.06 | +0.26 | timeout |
| 06-06 11:08 | BTC | Buy | 59952→60670 | +7.77 | timeout |
| 06-06 09:33 | AVAX | Buy | 6.61615→6.82629 | +21.64 | take_profit |
| 06-06 06:33 | ATOM | Buy | 1.57209→1.62199 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-06 06:02 | NEAR | Sell | 1.91902→1.95597 | -14.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 06:00 | LTC | Buy | 40.8942→42.1924 | +21.60 | take_profit |
| 06-06 05:22 | XRP | Sell | 1.05764→1.07811 | -14.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 05:21 | SUI | Sell | 0.668713→0.681431 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:27 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0815126→0.0789327 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-06 04:18 | BNB | Buy | 576.254→565.226 | -14.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:09 | ETH | Buy | 1572.96→1543.27 | -13.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:07 | LTC | Sell | 43.5961→42.2206 | +21.36 | take_profit |
| 06-06 03:33 | OP | Sell | 0.0986653→0.0955239 | +21.55 | take_profit |
| 06-06 02:19 | ADA | Sell | 0.16146→0.156339 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-06 01:00 | AVAX | Buy | 6.69467→6.90597 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-06 00:22 | BNB | Sell | 570.987→576.294 | -7.08 | timeout |
| 06-05 23:33 | ATOM | Buy | 1.66282→1.62968 | -14.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 23:33 | SUI | Sell | 0.713132→0.690633 | +21.46 | take_profit |
| 06-05 23:30 | NEAR | Buy | 1.9892→1.94984 | -14.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 21:42 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0819925→0.0835626 | -14.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 19:46 | INJ | Sell | 4.86398→4.95732 | -14.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 19:46 | ARB | Sell | 0.0781904→0.0797097 | -14.23 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
305
closed
43%
win rate
-203.83
total pnl ($)
-9.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAX | 35 | 40% | -33.9 | -83.55 |
| APT | 29 | 45% | -1.2 | -2.33 |
| BNB | 24 | 42% | -29.3 | -49.31 |
| ADA | 23 | 48% | -9.7 | -16.14 |
| ATOM | 23 | 48% | +12.9 | +20.71 |
| ETH | 22 | 23% | -54.1 | -83.51 |
| BTC | 20 | 45% | -5.4 | -7.66 |
| ARB | 20 | 40% | -38.2 | -53.77 |
| DOGE | 17 | 47% | +7.0 | +8.35 |
| NEAR | 15 | 47% | +46.7 | +49.13 |
| LTC | 15 | 60% | +102.1 | +106.87 |
| OP | 14 | 71% | +148.8 | +145.47 |
| SUI | 13 | 31% | -99.7 | -90.78 |
| INJ | 11 | 27% | -61.9 | -47.78 |
| LINK | 10 | 50% | -60.6 | -42.45 |
| SOL | 7 | 29% | -60.5 | -29.97 |
| XRP | 7 | 29% | -55.1 | -27.12 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||