282
closed trades
40%
win rate
-462.68
total pnl ($)
1.014
weight
7d window — n=12 wr=42% pnl=-10.52
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 13:40:54 (33.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 301
· wr: 46.8%
· total_bps: -599.9
· mean_bps: -1.99
· sharpe: -0.02
· max_dd_bps: -1342.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 21:54 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0819905→0.0832362 | +9.98 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:53 | BTC | Buy | 62509.1→62870.9 | +3.46 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:20 | ETH | Sell | 1683.93→1717.03 | -14.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 20:04 | ARB | Buy | 0.0816804→0.0842689 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-16 04:15 | LTC | Buy | 45.8395→45.7286 | -2.37 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:18 | SOL | Buy | 74.7042→73.2833 | -13.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:14 | LINK | Buy | 8.35969→8.20075 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:47 | NEAR | Buy | 2.45581→2.40909 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:06 | BTC | Buy | 67144.4→66397.7 | -8.43 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:06 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9975→1.95969 | +12.53 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:48 | ADA | Sell | 0.188143→0.181725 | +23.22 | take_profit |
| 06-15 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 7.03136→6.89483 | -14.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 21:06 | BNB | Buy | 591.938→585.854 | -7.82 | timeout |
| 06-10 21:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.51913→6.3953 | -13.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:28 | LTC | Sell | 42.6933→41.7714 | +14.46 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:09 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0843371→0.0826989 | -14.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 14:21 | BTC | Buy | 61605.1→61842.9 | +2.06 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:21 | BNB | Sell | 586.653→591.008 | -5.82 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | LINK | Sell | 7.75726→7.76944 | -1.73 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:43 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52647→6.65079 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 01:43 | BTC | Buy | 61838.1→62016.9 | +1.43 | timeout |
| 06-10 01:02 | LINK | Buy | 7.85606→7.87193 | +0.83 | timeout |
| 06-09 23:17 | ETH | Buy | 1645.86→1655.63 | +3.49 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:19 | APT | Sell | 0.646938→0.659294 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:17 | ARB | Sell | 0.0787203→0.0803502 | -15.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:16 | SUI | Sell | 0.735496→0.749492 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:08 | BNB | Sell | 599.6→589.387 | +11.35 | timeout |
| 06-09 16:49 | BTC | Sell | 62649.9→61281.1 | +14.69 | timeout |
| 06-09 12:16 | NEAR | Buy | 2.16204→2.17106 | +2.24 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:01 | SOL | Sell | 67.0179→66.399 | +5.79 | timeout |
| 06-09 10:47 | BTC | Sell | 63298.8→62673.1 | +6.27 | timeout |
| 06-09 08:11 | OP | Buy | 0.0942436→0.0954061 | +8.09 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:22 | ADA | Sell | 0.166438→0.169727 | -14.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 04:50 | APT | Sell | 0.652337→0.664798 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 04:20 | BTC | Buy | 63247.2→62816.9 | -5.39 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:49 | LINK | Sell | 8.06658→7.81105 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:35 | BNB | Buy | 605.721→594.084 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:32 | SUI | Buy | 0.755769→0.741264 | -14.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:05 | INJ | Buy | 5.71473→5.60569 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 23:06 | ARB | Buy | 0.0831108→0.0824794 | -5.95 | timeout |
| 06-08 22:06 | BNB | Buy | 605.251→606.588 | +0.86 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:59 | LINK | Sell | 8.0169→8.06942 | -5.22 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:43 | LTC | Sell | 42.9932→43.4519 | -8.05 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:50 | LINK | Buy | 7.90968→8.03729 | +10.69 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:10 | XRP | Sell | 1.15841→1.18048 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 15:05 | ADA | Sell | 0.166528→0.169697 | -13.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 12:29 | NEAR | Sell | 2.12837→2.16933 | -14.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:03 | ETH | Buy | 1658.27→1667.13 | +3.09 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:03 | BTC | Buy | 62774.1→63046.8 | +2.41 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0849852→0.0855046 | +3.60 | timeout |
| 06-08 09:41 | LINK | Sell | 7.85923→7.87997 | -2.42 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:29 | BNB | Buy | 603.781→597.89 | -7.47 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:29 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830792→0.0817904 | +10.27 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:29 | ATOM | Sell | 1.71537→1.72263 | -3.62 | timeout |
| 06-08 01:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.165521→0.162348 | -14.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 01:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.08257→1.11672 | +21.46 | take_profit |
| 06-07 01:12 | APT | Buy | 0.649362→0.669932 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-07 01:03 | ARB | Sell | 0.0790502→0.0805904 | -14.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 00:31 | LINK | Sell | 7.28388→7.42356 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 22:19 | ETH | Sell | 1559.44→1560.16 | -0.98 | timeout |
| 06-06 20:50 | APT | Sell | 0.661135→0.646862 | +14.46 | timeout |
| 06-06 19:00 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0819165→0.0809242 | +7.78 | timeout |
| 06-06 18:59 | BTC | Sell | 61006.9→60608 | +3.93 | timeout |
| 06-06 16:08 | BNB | Sell | 573.537→576.244 | -3.92 | timeout |
| 06-06 14:02 | ATOM | Sell | 1.62059→1.64241 | -10.05 | timeout |
| 06-06 12:56 | BTC | Buy | 60775→61078.9 | +2.89 | timeout |
| 06-06 12:47 | ADA | Sell | 0.154571→0.157548 | -14.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 10:17 | NEAR | Sell | 1.94021→1.87887 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-06 10:01 | APT | Buy | 0.661565→0.648913 | -14.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 08:28 | ARB | Sell | 0.0783304→0.0798899 | -14.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 08:26 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0803139→0.0818614 | -14.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 07:08 | INJ | Sell | 5.04404→5.14085 | -14.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 06:00 | LTC | Buy | 40.8682→42.1815 | +21.87 | take_profit |
| 06-06 05:02 | OP | Sell | 0.0927968→0.0897624 | +22.24 | take_profit |
| 06-06 04:31 | BNB | Buy | 571.043→560.14 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.07917→1.05821 | -14.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.153148→0.150207 | -14.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:04 | BNB | Buy | 573.703→573.157 | -1.35 | timeout |
| 06-06 03:57 | LTC | Sell | 43.891→42.7437 | +17.55 | timeout |
| 06-06 03:35 | OP | Sell | 0.0981655→0.0950238 | +21.59 | take_profit |
| 06-06 03:02 | XRP | Sell | 1.11592→1.09347 | +13.44 | timeout |
| 06-05 21:50 | ADA | Sell | 0.16071→0.163793 | -14.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 21:39 | SOL | Sell | 64.1054→65.3154 | -13.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 20:39 | APT | Sell | 0.659435→0.672504 | -14.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 20:20 | ETH | Sell | 1567.34→1596.76 | -13.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 19:17 | SUI | Buy | 0.683051→0.669757 | -14.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 19:16 | LTC | Buy | 43.0558→42.2373 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 19:00 | BNB | Sell | 577.006→558.77 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-05 18:44 | ARB | Buy | 0.0811603→0.0795903 | -14.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 18:29 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0828217→0.081247 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:58 | AVAX | Sell | 6.94136→7.0746 | -14.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:11 | XRP | Buy | 1.10588→1.08459 | -14.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 15:04 | XRP | Sell | 1.12892→1.10518 | +14.10 | timeout |
| 06-05 14:16 | APT | Sell | 0.674931→0.688216 | -14.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 14:06 | SUI | Sell | 0.715071→0.692453 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-05 14:01 | BTC | Buy | 61775.1→60626.6 | -13.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:20 | ARB | Buy | 0.0811703→0.0837691 | +21.81 | take_profit |
| 06-05 12:53 | SOL | Buy | 64.9237→65.5202 | +5.90 | timeout |
| 06-05 11:44 | ATOM | Buy | 1.73853→1.70472 | -14.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 11:37 | OP | Sell | 0.106363→0.102986 | +21.58 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
282
closed
40%
win rate
-462.68
total pnl ($)
-23.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARB | 27 | 37% | -23.9 | -45.48 |
| BNB | 27 | 33% | -33.0 | -62.74 |
| BTC | 26 | 58% | +20.8 | +37.75 |
| ADA | 25 | 40% | -45.9 | -80.94 |
| DOGE | 20 | 60% | +23.1 | +32.26 |
| APT | 20 | 40% | -26.8 | -37.41 |
| AVAX | 20 | 30% | -90.6 | -126.97 |
| XRP | 17 | 41% | -4.5 | -5.27 |
| LTC | 17 | 35% | +4.1 | +4.63 |
| ATOM | 15 | 47% | -15.2 | -16.51 |
| ETH | 14 | 29% | -53.2 | -52.23 |
| LINK | 12 | 42% | -0.7 | -0.60 |
| NEAR | 11 | 36% | -60.5 | -46.76 |
| INJ | 10 | 20% | -97.9 | -68.46 |
| SOL | 7 | 43% | -21.9 | -10.62 |
| SUI | 7 | 14% | -102.2 | -50.12 |
| OP | 7 | 71% | +136.6 | +66.80 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||