192
closed trades
38%
win rate
-292.98
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=61 wr=34% pnl=-182.13
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 13:40:54 (39.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 194
· wr: 44.8%
· total_bps: -1691.9
· mean_bps: -8.72
· sharpe: -0.09
· max_dd_bps: -2251.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 07:17 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0752652→0.0756369 | -4.12 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:00 | APT | Buy | 0.59905→0.602849 | +3.76 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:30 | ARB | Buy | 0.0737184→0.0752912 | +14.26 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:08 | BNB | Sell | 566.608→567.602 | -1.80 | timeout |
| 06-27 03:52 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5938→1.5823 | -5.67 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.148627→0.148693 | -0.35 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.04816→1.04724 | -1.21 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:15 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5968→1.5844 | +4.79 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:43 | LTC | Buy | 40.9982→41.8265 | +13.49 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:33 | AVAX | Buy | 6.48652→6.36223 | -14.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 17:07 | BTC | Sell | 59506→60083 | -7.39 | timeout |
| 06-26 16:37 | NEAR | Sell | 1.78915→1.82337 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 16:00 | SUI | Sell | 0.684779→0.697833 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 14:12 | SOL | Buy | 68.7673→70.9634 | +21.70 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:56 | OP | Buy | 0.102086→0.105314 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-26 12:39 | LTC | Buy | 41.4294→40.6135 | -14.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:50 | ETH | Buy | 1572.46→1542.97 | -13.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:37 | BNB | Buy | 561.14→563.899 | +2.76 | timeout |
| 06-26 09:58 | SUI | Buy | 0.689352→0.676183 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:52 | NEAR | Buy | 1.83756→1.80265 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:03 | LINK | Buy | 7.05966→7.28198 | +21.39 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:43 | APT | Sell | 0.589053→0.60035 | -14.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:42 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0727102→0.0750022 | +21.40 | take_profit |
| 06-26 04:59 | BNB | Buy | 560.38→559.7 | -1.53 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:56 | BTC | Sell | 58861.1→59961 | -13.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:21 | INJ | Sell | 4.29693→4.38669 | -15.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6053→1.57382 | -14.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | NEAR | Buy | 1.81225→1.77777 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | OP | Buy | 0.103896→0.101904 | -14.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:14 | ETH | Sell | 1558.04→1563.86 | -3.26 | timeout |
| 06-25 23:28 | ADA | Sell | 0.141515→0.144208 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:22 | SOL | Sell | 66.2971→67.5469 | -13.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 21:55 | AVAX | Sell | 6.13327→6.25169 | -14.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 21:32 | INJ | Sell | 4.17886→4.25879 | -14.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 20:51 | SOL | Sell | 66.471→66.1689 | +2.53 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:50 | ADA | Sell | 0.142824→0.141255 | +7.08 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:49 | ETH | Sell | 1572.34→1555.26 | +6.98 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:05 | OP | Buy | 0.102716→0.100764 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:24 | ATOM | Sell | 1.57591→1.607 | -14.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:15 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0735804→0.0721708 | -14.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:33 | ARB | Sell | 0.0730017→0.0744158 | -14.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:59 | SUI | Sell | 0.673991→0.652663 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:58 | INJ | Sell | 4.17596→4.04421 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:54 | AVAX | Buy | 6.14934→6.03187 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:38 | ETH | Buy | 1649.26→1634.54 | -6.86 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:08 | INJ | Sell | 4.21795→4.18034 | +5.66 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:49 | NEAR | Sell | 1.96591→1.90378 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-25 11:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.08747→1.0668 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:31 | ATOM | Buy | 1.67042→1.63787 | -14.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:46 | ATOM | Buy | 1.64941→1.67018 | +8.28 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:45 | XRP | Buy | 1.07517→1.08293 | +4.47 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:07 | AVAX | Sell | 6.42539→6.54981 | -14.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:33 | NEAR | Buy | 1.96579→1.92765 | -14.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 02:42 | INJ | Buy | 4.25626→4.17397 | -14.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 00:21 | OP | Sell | 0.104444→0.10655 | -14.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 21:55 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0734664→0.075801 | +21.59 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:49 | ETH | Buy | 1568.86→1618.74 | +21.65 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:09 | BNB | Sell | 553.212→563.823 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:06 | AVAX | Buy | 6.04101→6.23124 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:01 | ATOM | Sell | 1.6084→1.64033 | -14.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 18:22 | APT | Sell | 0.594351→0.606154 | -14.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:59 | ETH | Buy | 1642.56→1629.84 | -6.01 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:58 | AVAX | Buy | 6.53473→6.43489 | -11.27 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:26 | BNB | Buy | 592.448→588.403 | -5.41 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.162641→0.15954 | -14.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 19:50 | ARB | Sell | 0.0806198→0.0780695 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-10 16:00 | LTC | Buy | 42.2456→42.8023 | +8.63 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | BNB | Sell | 586.823→591.288 | -5.95 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80385→1.78885 | -6.47 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | BTC | Buy | 61589.1→61885.9 | +2.73 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:43 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52817→6.65329 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 09:20 | APT | Buy | 0.654264→0.641818 | -13.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 01:06 | LINK | Buy | 7.86527→7.87193 | +0.02 | timeout |
| 06-10 00:18 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76494→1.77576 | +3.61 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49992→6.65704 | +16.41 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | DOGE | Sell | 0.083968→0.0851093 | -10.11 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | BTC | Buy | 61316.1→62016.9 | +7.41 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:19 | APT | Sell | 0.647138→0.659995 | -14.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:17 | ARB | Sell | 0.0787903→0.0802902 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.70358→6.57427 | -14.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:05 | APT | Sell | 0.666533→0.668267 | -2.40 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:05 | ADA | Sell | 0.169308→0.168062 | +4.55 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:01 | SOL | Sell | 67.0229→66.393 | +5.90 | timeout |
| 06-09 10:36 | INJ | Buy | 5.6013→5.77856 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-09 08:52 | AVAX | Buy | 6.62226→6.72542 | +10.23 | timeout |
| 06-09 07:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.166832→0.169648 | +11.15 | timeout |
| 06-09 06:37 | BTC | Buy | 62580.1→63355.8 | +8.03 | timeout |
| 06-09 04:55 | LTC | Sell | 43.2672→42.8687 | +5.73 | timeout |
| 06-09 04:40 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0847248→0.0863647 | -14.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 02:40 | APT | Buy | 0.652263→0.63972 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:36 | SOL | Sell | 67.6509→65.5018 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:35 | ADA | Sell | 0.171787→0.166282 | +21.73 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.83061→6.68798 | -15.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:12 | SUI | Buy | 0.766031→0.753961 | -11.71 | timeout |
| 06-08 22:44 | BNB | Buy | 604.491→604.829 | -0.29 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:01 | APT | Buy | 0.68107→0.684129 | +2.46 | timeout |
| 06-08 18:56 | INJ | Buy | 5.68732→5.86653 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-08 18:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.167082→0.172347 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-08 17:40 | SUI | Buy | 0.763011→0.75966 | -3.75 | timeout |
| 06-08 16:42 | BNB | Buy | 597.819→604.829 | +7.52 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
192
closed
38%
win rate
-292.98
total pnl ($)
-21.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAX | 20 | 40% | -32.6 | -45.70 |
| ADA | 18 | 61% | +76.7 | +96.35 |
| BTC | 16 | 31% | -29.6 | -33.17 |
| ATOM | 16 | 25% | -95.7 | -107.16 |
| BNB | 14 | 29% | -12.0 | -11.97 |
| ETH | 13 | 23% | -32.6 | -29.58 |
| APT | 13 | 31% | -90.6 | -82.55 |
| INJ | 12 | 42% | -10.2 | -8.45 |
| ARB | 10 | 40% | -40.3 | -28.37 |
| NEAR | 9 | 22% | -97.5 | -61.77 |
| DOGE | 8 | 38% | +17.7 | +9.86 |
| OP | 8 | 25% | -47.4 | -26.66 |
| SOL | 8 | 50% | +13.0 | +6.92 |
| LTC | 8 | 75% | +125.9 | +70.32 |
| SUI | 7 | 14% | -82.0 | -40.36 |
| LINK | 6 | 83% | +123.6 | +52.04 |
| XRP | 6 | 17% | -125.7 | -52.73 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||