628
closed trades
43%
win rate
-737.49
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=101 wr=36% pnl=-237.89
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 13:40:54 (39.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 622
· wr: 41.5%
· total_bps: -5819.6
· mean_bps: -9.36
· sharpe: -0.12
· max_dd_bps: -5920.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 05:33 | ARB | Buy | 0.0750388→0.0746513 | -4.27 | timeout |
| 06-27 05:32 | BTC | Sell | 60236→60166 | +0.18 | timeout |
| 06-27 05:04 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0754351→0.0755659 | -1.87 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:30 | APT | Buy | 0.59825→0.604149 | +6.25 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:20 | AVAX | Sell | 6.54046→6.63217 | -10.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 02:20 | XRP | Sell | 1.04724→1.0621 | -10.57 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 01:46 | BNB | Sell | 567.228→566.101 | +0.77 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:35 | BTC | Sell | 59866→59876 | -0.74 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:24 | NEAR | Buy | 1.79495→1.79885 | +0.87 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:12 | INJ | Buy | 4.74229→4.84479 | +14.49 | take_profit |
| 06-26 22:37 | ARB | Sell | 0.0744114→0.0737384 | +5.71 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:51 | APT | Sell | 0.602649→0.59845 | +4.23 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:24 | ETH | Sell | 1579.04→1572.26 | +2.39 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.04796→1.04534 | -2.39 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:22 | ADA | Sell | 0.147123→0.147697 | -3.36 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:36 | AVAX | Buy | 6.51433→6.42298 | -10.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 18:13 | BNB | Buy | 561.56→567.578 | +6.84 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.04336→1.04984 | +3.72 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:09 | INJ | Buy | 4.71998→4.82339 | +14.70 | take_profit |
| 06-26 15:40 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0742484→0.0753064 | -10.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 15:37 | APT | Sell | 0.593552→0.602051 | -10.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 14:00 | LINK | Sell | 7.1847→7.28676 | -10.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:57 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5949→1.61861 | -11.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:55 | INJ | Sell | 4.49308→4.55852 | -10.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:19 | AVAX | Buy | 6.14454→6.05745 | -10.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:20 | INJ | Sell | 4.53147→4.49192 | +5.45 | timeout |
| 06-26 12:04 | ATOM | Sell | 1.6068→1.5991 | +2.74 | timeout |
| 06-26 11:53 | ARB | Buy | 0.072138→0.0711166 | -10.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:52 | APT | Buy | 0.590548→0.582163 | -10.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:53 | SUI | Buy | 0.688412→0.678571 | -10.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:49 | LINK | Buy | 7.31723→7.20959 | -10.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:06 | ARB | Buy | 0.0737684→0.0727254 | -10.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 08:58 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0744516→0.0743364 | -1.74 | timeout |
| 06-26 08:12 | NEAR | Buy | 1.85736→1.83133 | -10.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:14 | ADA | Sell | 0.144604→0.14668 | -10.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:38 | APT | Sell | 0.588453→0.597348 | -11.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:29 | AVAX | Sell | 6.08338→6.16902 | -10.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.140415→0.143594 | +15.23 | take_profit |
| 06-26 05:43 | AVAX | Buy | 6.03221→6.09648 | +6.83 | timeout |
| 06-26 05:28 | LINK | Buy | 7.08457→7.2009 | +10.84 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0728282→0.0743944 | +14.42 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:12 | ARB | Sell | 0.0704824→0.0714936 | -10.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:41 | INJ | Sell | 4.21565→4.27741 | -10.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:23 | BNB | Buy | 558.059→550.207 | -10.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | ETH | Sell | 1557.44→1523.25 | +14.74 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | OP | Buy | 0.103726→0.102203 | -10.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:59 | ARB | Buy | 0.0731383→0.0724219 | -7.47 | timeout |
| 06-26 01:55 | BNB | Buy | 560.14→558.03 | -3.29 | timeout |
| 06-26 01:42 | LINK | Buy | 7.24211→7.15831 | -8.76 | timeout |
| 06-26 01:23 | AVAX | Buy | 6.24706→6.15838 | -10.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:31 | ATOM | Buy | 1.594→1.6079 | +5.45 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:47 | BTC | Buy | 59180→59769 | +6.33 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:33 | APT | Buy | 0.603351→0.594754 | -10.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:25 | OP | Buy | 0.103896→0.106143 | +14.51 | take_profit |
| 06-25 21:33 | SUI | Sell | 0.671322→0.68077 | -10.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 21:33 | INJ | Sell | 4.20085→4.2676 | -11.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 20:24 | LTC | Buy | 40.9622→40.9488 | -0.89 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:17 | APT | Buy | 0.60005→0.591656 | -10.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 19:13 | ARB | Buy | 0.0733183→0.0722758 | -10.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 19:13 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0748593→0.0732183 | +14.72 | take_profit |
| 06-25 18:39 | BTC | Sell | 59269→59413 | -2.34 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:41 | ADA | Sell | 0.142714→0.144748 | -10.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:16 | LINK | Buy | 7.17509→7.26178 | +7.80 | timeout |
| 06-25 17:15 | APT | Sell | 0.589253→0.598148 | -11.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 16:09 | NEAR | Buy | 1.84046→1.88003 | +14.41 | take_profit |
| 06-25 15:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.11823→6.03247 | -10.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:14 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0734774→0.0724346 | -10.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:33 | ARB | Sell | 0.0733817→0.0744258 | -10.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:21 | INJ | Sell | 4.17286→4.23207 | -10.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:10 | ADA | Sell | 0.141205→0.143187 | -10.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | DOGE | Sell | 0.076129→0.0744866 | +14.46 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:45 | ARB | Sell | 0.075971→0.0742986 | +14.77 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:43 | APT | Sell | 0.626043→0.612353 | +14.69 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:40 | AVAX | Sell | 6.42419→6.28597 | +14.43 | take_profit |
| 06-25 11:05 | ARB | Sell | 0.0771707→0.076129 | +8.81 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:00 | INJ | Buy | 4.25356→4.21225 | -7.42 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:49 | LTC | Sell | 41.6416→41.5524 | +0.88 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:32 | ATOM | Buy | 1.65581→1.63178 | -10.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:00 | ATOM | Sell | 1.66998→1.65551 | +5.39 | timeout |
| 06-25 07:56 | BTC | Sell | 61293.9→61840.1 | -6.87 | timeout |
| 06-25 07:09 | INJ | Buy | 4.23056→4.17017 | -10.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 07:08 | AVAX | Buy | 6.60885→6.51581 | -10.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 06:28 | APT | Buy | 0.624056→0.630042 | +6.07 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:02 | ETH | Sell | 1617.24→1639.48 | -10.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:31 | LINK | Buy | 7.40055→7.38595 | -2.03 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:26 | LTC | Sell | 41.1237→41.2393 | -2.60 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:07 | XRP | Buy | 1.07527→1.07113 | -3.30 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:42 | BTC | Buy | 60833→60780 | -1.24 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:26 | LINK | Buy | 7.42936→7.39415 | -3.97 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:06 | BNB | Buy | 564.041→563.869 | -0.87 | timeout |
| 06-24 23:42 | SUI | Buy | 0.684121→0.685239 | +0.54 | timeout |
| 06-24 22:01 | BNB | Buy | 553.668→565.699 | +14.61 | take_profit |
| 06-24 22:00 | AVAX | Sell | 6.31772→6.4102 | -10.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 21:57 | NEAR | Sell | 1.94161→1.96888 | -10.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:17 | ADA | Sell | 0.141795→0.143788 | -10.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:01 | AVAX | Buy | 6.04951→6.18025 | +14.49 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:01 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0737626→0.0747971 | -10.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 18:22 | INJ | Buy | 4.16594→4.26033 | +15.23 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:20 | APT | Sell | 0.595551→0.604353 | -11.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 18:10 | OP | Sell | 0.0950562→0.0964923 | -11.21 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
628
closed
43%
win rate
-737.49
total pnl ($)
-16.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APT | 58 | 52% | -4.7 | -19.44 |
| ARB | 57 | 33% | -42.0 | -167.71 |
| ADA | 52 | 35% | -35.6 | -129.75 |
| BTC | 49 | 53% | +2.4 | +8.28 |
| ATOM | 48 | 58% | +4.2 | +14.15 |
| AVAX | 44 | 41% | -14.9 | -45.97 |
| BNB | 41 | 34% | -25.1 | -72.36 |
| NEAR | 40 | 32% | -48.4 | -135.65 |
| DOGE | 39 | 33% | -39.2 | -107.10 |
| INJ | 36 | 44% | +16.3 | +40.93 |
| ETH | 32 | 47% | -26.4 | -59.17 |
| LTC | 30 | 43% | -4.7 | -10.16 |
| SUI | 28 | 39% | -20.7 | -40.81 |
| LINK | 28 | 39% | -25.1 | -49.32 |
| OP | 18 | 50% | +17.7 | +22.10 |
| XRP | 18 | 39% | -13.9 | -17.48 |
| SOL | 10 | 70% | +45.8 | +31.98 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||