109
closed trades
41%
win rate
-171.69
total pnl ($)
1.549
weight
7d window — n=5 wr=80% pnl=+40.05
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 13:40:54 (34.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 100
· wr: 38.0%
· total_bps: -2193.7
· mean_bps: -21.94
· sharpe: -0.19
· max_dd_bps: -2454.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 21:47 | BTC | Buy | 62737.1→62899.9 | +1.22 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:47 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0821445→0.0832962 | +9.16 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:32 | APT | Buy | 0.622856→0.643039 | +22.02 | take_profit |
| 06-18 20:20 | ARB | Buy | 0.0819305→0.0845788 | +21.97 | take_profit |
| 06-18 20:01 | AVAX | Sell | 6.25434→6.37618 | -14.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:10 | SOL | Buy | 74.8822→73.4682 | -13.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:24 | INJ | Buy | 5.71043→5.6018 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:06 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0904134→0.0888652 | +11.31 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:06 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9975→1.95969 | +12.53 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:06 | BTC | Buy | 67127.4→66405.7 | -8.17 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:48 | ADA | Sell | 0.188003→0.181725 | +22.72 | take_profit |
| 06-15 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 7.02756→6.88923 | -14.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:00 | LTC | Buy | 42.2456→42.8023 | +8.63 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:21 | BTC | Buy | 61605.1→61842.9 | +2.06 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80575→1.78985 | -6.81 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | BNB | Sell | 586.823→591.288 | -5.95 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:43 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52997→6.65459 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 09:20 | APT | Buy | 0.654063→0.641519 | -14.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 12:41 | LINK | Buy | 7.97939→7.89892 | -7.70 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:22 | ADA | Sell | 0.166258→0.169427 | -13.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 04:54 | LTC | Sell | 43.2702→42.8687 | +5.78 | timeout |
| 06-09 02:37 | APT | Buy | 0.652663→0.64022 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:38 | XRP | Buy | 1.17499→1.15254 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:27 | SUI | Buy | 0.758039→0.743632 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:24 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13103→2.08793 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.8134→6.68059 | -14.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 04:30 | BNB | Buy | 604.491→597.9 | -8.27 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | AVAX | Sell | 6.7988→6.62986 | +16.78 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | ARB | Sell | 0.0831592→0.0817904 | +10.93 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | APT | Sell | 0.672532→0.662566 | +9.65 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:29 | ATOM | Sell | 1.71447→1.72263 | -3.99 | timeout |
| 06-06 15:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.16017→0.157112 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 14:02 | BNB | Sell | 578.225→575.304 | +2.87 | timeout |
| 06-06 14:02 | LTC | Buy | 42.6847→42.7753 | +0.84 | timeout |
| 06-06 10:30 | ETH | Buy | 1571.26→1541.87 | -13.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 10:30 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0815444→0.079977 | -14.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 10:30 | LINK | Buy | 7.37924→7.23567 | -14.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 15:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.16→0.156922 | -14.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:45 | XRP | Sell | 1.13532→1.11868 | +9.61 | timeout |
| 06-05 13:30 | LINK | Sell | 7.54411→7.5899 | -4.89 | timeout |
| 06-05 13:13 | INJ | Sell | 4.99575→5.09862 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 12:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0846171→0.0830067 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 12:01 | AVAX | Sell | 7.28228→7.05166 | +21.55 | take_profit |
| 06-05 08:37 | APT | Buy | 0.707177→0.693679 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 20:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.188827→0.185231 | -13.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 13:35 | LTC | Sell | 46.3954→46.4746 | -1.88 | timeout |
| 06-04 13:17 | INJ | Buy | 5.89917→5.77567 | -15.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 12:29 | SUI | Sell | 0.764969→0.779584 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 09:29 | LINK | Sell | 8.11987→7.86347 | +21.47 | take_profit |
| 06-04 09:29 | ARB | Sell | 0.0898175→0.0869317 | +21.82 | take_profit |
| 06-04 09:22 | APT | Buy | 0.76199→0.747439 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 09:07 | XRP | Buy | 1.17739→1.15503 | -13.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 07:46 | NEAR | Buy | 2.42361→2.37722 | -14.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 14:40 | BTC | Buy | 66959.3→66883.7 | -1.44 | timeout |
| 06-03 14:34 | ETH | Buy | 1876.49→1853.01 | -9.41 | timeout |
| 06-03 14:27 | LTC | Buy | 48.3641→47.6841 | -10.46 | timeout |
| 06-03 14:27 | AVAX | Sell | 8.29703→8.24436 | +3.78 | timeout |
| 06-03 14:26 | LINK | Sell | 8.51657→8.45231 | +4.70 | timeout |
| 06-02 13:18 | AVAX | Sell | 8.74101→8.71088 | +1.63 | timeout |
| 06-02 13:18 | BNB | Sell | 685.799→675.939 | +9.49 | timeout |
| 06-02 13:17 | ETH | Sell | 1988.6→1977.8 | +3.14 | timeout |
| 06-02 13:17 | APT | Buy | 0.909627→0.912972 | +2.01 | timeout |
| 06-02 13:00 | BTC | Buy | 70212.5→68890.1 | -13.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 20:19 | ADA | Sell | 0.227763→0.230778 | -9.93 | timeout |
| 06-01 20:18 | ATOM | Buy | 1.91568→1.90842 | -3.27 | timeout |
| 06-01 17:43 | AVAX | Sell | 8.75421→8.92329 | -14.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 16:55 | ARB | Sell | 0.0991852→0.101076 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 16:54 | APT | Sell | 0.908873→0.927195 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 05-28 22:58 | BNB | Buy | 640.08→638.48 | -2.43 | timeout |
| 05-28 22:58 | LINK | Buy | 9.01045→8.97905 | -3.12 | timeout |
| 05-28 22:58 | ARB | Buy | 0.103546→0.103954 | +2.08 | timeout |
| 05-28 22:58 | ETH | Buy | 2013.7→2005.8 | -3.40 | timeout |
| 05-28 22:58 | AVAX | Buy | 8.96504→8.90867 | -5.05 | timeout |
| 05-27 22:22 | DOGE | Sell | 0.102014→0.100745 | +8.07 | timeout |
| 05-27 22:22 | ETH | Sell | 2063.29→2026 | +12.03 | timeout |
| 05-27 22:21 | BNB | Buy | 656.384→648.618 | -8.96 | timeout |
| 05-27 21:47 | ARB | Sell | 0.109933→0.106467 | +21.46 | take_profit |
| 05-27 21:44 | AVAX | Buy | 9.1985→9.02383 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 05-26 22:22 | ADA | Sell | 0.24142→0.23978 | +4.03 | timeout |
| 05-26 22:22 | ARB | Buy | 0.109127→0.108433 | -5.09 | timeout |
| 05-26 22:22 | AVAX | Buy | 9.25501→9.14461 | -8.96 | timeout |
| 05-26 22:21 | APT | Sell | 0.980555→0.968442 | +8.04 | timeout |
| 05-26 18:31 | ATOM | Sell | 2.25784→2.18605 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 05-23 03:09 | APT | Sell | 0.953961→0.946136 | +5.02 | timeout |
| 05-23 03:08 | ADA | Sell | 0.245889→0.243691 | +5.54 | timeout |
| 05-23 03:08 | BNB | Sell | 652.117→650.433 | +1.14 | timeout |
| 05-23 03:08 | AVAX | Sell | 9.24649→9.1904 | +3.43 | timeout |
| 05-23 02:32 | ATOM | Sell | 2.08988→2.1318 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 05-19 20:08 | SOL | Buy | 84.4847→84.3443 | -1.85 | timeout |
| 05-19 20:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.249622→0.248478 | -3.89 | timeout |
| 05-19 20:08 | ATOM | Buy | 2.04141→2.04789 | +1.54 | timeout |
| 05-19 16:35 | NEAR | Sell | 1.62219→1.65264 | -13.82 | stop_loss |
| 05-19 16:35 | INJ | Buy | 4.89092→5.04644 | +21.69 | take_profit |
| 05-18 20:08 | AVAX | Buy | 9.12728→9.1831 | +3.62 | timeout |
| 05-18 20:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.248482→0.250717 | +5.61 | timeout |
| 05-18 20:08 | APT | Sell | 0.929967→0.938935 | -7.35 | timeout |
| 05-18 20:08 | ATOM | Sell | 2.02539→2.03991 | -5.59 | timeout |
| 05-18 15:30 | ARB | Buy | 0.116019→0.113825 | -13.88 | stop_loss |
| 05-15 13:51 | AVAX | Sell | 9.78905→9.47437 | +21.78 | take_profit |
| 05-15 13:51 | ADA | Sell | 0.267533→0.259025 | +21.65 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
109
closed
41%
win rate
-171.69
total pnl ($)
-22.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAX | 15 | 47% | -24.7 | -26.55 |
| ADA | 13 | 46% | -4.6 | -4.29 |
| APT | 12 | 50% | -11.5 | -9.75 |
| ARB | 9 | 67% | +106.7 | +67.08 |
| BNB | 8 | 38% | -46.2 | -26.04 |
| ATOM | 8 | 38% | +2.7 | +1.29 |
| ETH | 7 | 29% | -33.1 | -16.30 |
| BTC | 7 | 29% | -60.2 | -29.53 |
| LINK | 6 | 33% | -9.0 | -3.81 |
| DOGE | 5 | 60% | +1.7 | +0.44 |
| LTC | 5 | 60% | +8.6 | +2.90 |
| INJ | 4 | 25% | -80.9 | -22.56 |
| NEAR | 3 | 0% | -202.8 | -42.65 |
| XRP | 3 | 33% | -87.2 | -18.27 |
| SOL | 2 | 0% | -111.7 | -15.68 |
| SUI | 2 | 0% | -199.6 | -27.96 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||