329
closed trades
33%
win rate
-1020.27
total pnl ($)
1.182
weight
7d window — n=8 wr=62% pnl=-3.15
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 13:40:54 (34.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 294
· wr: 45.6%
· total_bps: -3872.6
· mean_bps: -13.17
· sharpe: -0.13
· max_dd_bps: -4607.5
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 23:00 | SOL | Buy | 69.0474→69.4686 | +3.59 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:46 | APT | Buy | 0.627757→0.634541 | +6.88 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0823756→0.0832542 | +6.81 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:45 | BTC | Buy | 62835.1→62891.9 | +0.04 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:32 | ARB | Buy | 0.0823006→0.0848988 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-18 16:00 | SUI | Buy | 0.72062→0.70684 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0888102→0.0871216 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:26 | INJ | Buy | 5.69142→5.58321 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:10 | BNB | Buy | 628.707→619.515 | -10.78 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:10 | BTC | Buy | 67230.4→66417.7 | -9.11 | timeout |
| 06-15 21:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.27192→1.24776 | -13.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.185396→0.181864 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 7.03446→6.89932 | -14.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:19 | LINK | Buy | 8.55154→8.38581 | -14.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 18:52 | SUI | Buy | 0.823486→0.807824 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 21:50 | BTC | Buy | 62429.1→61261.3 | -13.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:51 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79085→1.75628 | -14.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:15 | ETH | Buy | 1646.46→1625.84 | -9.36 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:41 | APT | Buy | 0.648262→0.635123 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:42 | SUI | Buy | 0.755689→0.741344 | -13.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 15:42 | NEAR | Buy | 2.11533→2.07494 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 14:21 | BTC | Buy | 61610.1→61838.9 | +1.96 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.083928→0.084127 | +1.01 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80575→1.78985 | -6.81 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:40 | ARB | Buy | 0.0785096→0.0809997 | +21.59 | take_profit |
| 06-10 13:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.1589→0.163909 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-10 09:20 | APT | Buy | 0.653663→0.641219 | -13.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 08:39 | INJ | Buy | 5.27802→5.17592 | -14.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 01:46 | BNB | Buy | 594.469→596.211 | +1.41 | timeout |
| 06-10 01:04 | LINK | Buy | 7.86747→7.87193 | -0.18 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:44 | SOL | Buy | 64.0596→65.5232 | +15.40 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:44 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49482→6.65704 | +16.96 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:43 | BTC | Buy | 61100.1→62016.9 | +9.91 | timeout |
| 06-09 19:32 | LTC | Buy | 42.1125→43.4471 | +21.53 | take_profit |
| 06-09 18:31 | NEAR | Buy | 2.09032→2.15716 | +21.74 | take_profit |
| 06-09 14:29 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13963→2.09863 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 11:57 | ETH | Buy | 1687.37→1670.83 | -7.46 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:17 | OP | Buy | 0.0957939→0.0945464 | -9.71 | timeout |
| 06-09 09:30 | SUI | Buy | 0.75927→0.744821 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 09:12 | ATOM | Buy | 1.74214→1.75166 | +3.22 | timeout |
| 06-09 09:02 | INJ | Buy | 5.56439→5.74016 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-09 05:49 | BNB | Buy | 601.37→603.909 | +2.32 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:15 | NEAR | Buy | 2.05141→2.11617 | +21.46 | take_profit |
| 06-09 04:50 | APT | Buy | 0.644461→0.665134 | +21.82 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:39 | BTC | Buy | 63481.2→62565.9 | -10.72 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.170383→0.167065 | -14.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.17689→1.15453 | -13.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0867457→0.0850901 | -13.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 23:32 | OP | Buy | 0.0975044→0.0955883 | -14.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 23:18 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80035→1.76418 | -14.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 21:48 | AVAX | Buy | 6.83351→6.84939 | +0.97 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:40 | SOL | Buy | 66.606→67.4179 | +7.93 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:03 | APT | Buy | 0.682271→0.685629 | +2.76 | timeout |
| 06-08 18:00 | SUI | Buy | 0.7595→0.767038 | +6.27 | timeout |
| 06-08 18:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.167572→0.170127 | +10.04 | timeout |
| 06-08 14:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0853523→0.0864564 | +8.37 | timeout |
| 06-08 13:01 | BTC | Buy | 62958.1→63747.8 | +8.14 | timeout |
| 06-08 12:41 | LTC | Buy | 42.5226→43.1072 | +9.00 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:33 | LINK | Buy | 7.76524→7.96741 | +17.57 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:20 | XRP | Buy | 1.13758→1.15651 | +11.02 | timeout |
| 06-08 07:38 | SUI | Buy | 0.736264→0.75945 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-08 06:06 | BTC | Buy | 63180.2→62841.9 | -4.38 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.15449→1.13722 | -11.09 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.69727→6.56787 | -14.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 05:03 | LTC | Buy | 42.7877→42.2514 | -9.41 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | BNB | Buy | 604.651→598.06 | -8.27 | timeout |
| 06-08 01:30 | SUI | Buy | 0.76169→0.747089 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 04:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0813603→0.0831142 | +14.42 | timeout |
| 06-07 02:12 | ETH | Buy | 1553.16→1589.54 | +15.79 | timeout |
| 06-07 01:29 | XRP | Buy | 1.07977→1.11392 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-07 00:28 | APT | Buy | 0.652063→0.655236 | +2.72 | timeout |
| 06-07 00:04 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6102→1.62899 | +7.74 | timeout |
| 06-06 22:09 | SOL | Buy | 62.0703→61.5278 | -6.70 | timeout |
| 06-06 20:06 | BNB | Buy | 576.634→572.687 | -5.41 | timeout |
| 06-06 19:57 | ADA | Buy | 0.15846→0.157121 | -6.42 | timeout |
| 06-06 17:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6107→1.62389 | +5.18 | timeout |
| 06-06 16:19 | NEAR | Buy | 1.90488→1.8687 | -13.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 16:04 | ETH | Buy | 1561.06→1563.14 | +0.31 | timeout |
| 06-06 15:43 | BTC | Buy | 61057.1→60836 | -3.16 | timeout |
| 06-06 13:52 | BNB | Buy | 579.955→574.496 | -7.17 | timeout |
| 06-06 13:48 | INJ | Buy | 5.16829→5.0676 | -14.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 13:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.08367→1.09513 | +6.78 | timeout |
| 06-06 10:30 | SOL | Buy | 62.6054→61.3911 | -14.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 10:01 | SUI | Buy | 0.710928→0.697357 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 09:28 | OP | Buy | 0.0955339→0.0985853 | +21.75 | take_profit |
| 06-06 06:04 | LINK | Buy | 7.11518→7.34026 | +21.53 | take_profit |
| 06-06 06:02 | LTC | Buy | 40.9302→42.2264 | +21.55 | take_profit |
| 06-06 05:22 | APT | Buy | 0.617754→0.637341 | +21.57 | take_profit |
| 06-06 04:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.080134→0.078596 | -14.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:15 | BNB | Buy | 576.694→565.486 | -14.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.09047→1.0696 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:12 | INJ | Buy | 5.06197→4.96557 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.57444→6.44916 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:05 | SUI | Buy | 0.703586→0.690142 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 02:31 | LTC | Buy | 43.3118→43.2292 | -1.84 | timeout |
| 06-06 02:18 | ATOM | Buy | 1.67282→1.64097 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 01:59 | ETH | Buy | 1574.16→1582.94 | +3.31 | timeout |
| 06-06 01:48 | BNB | Buy | 569.242→577.366 | +9.31 | timeout |
| 06-05 23:30 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0825846→0.0810152 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 23:25 | OP | Buy | 0.0991048→0.0971271 | -14.60 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
329
closed
33%
win rate
-1020.27
total pnl ($)
-44.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 24 | 42% | -4.7 | -8.17 |
| ADA | 23 | 22% | -65.5 | -105.41 |
| NEAR | 23 | 43% | +20.0 | +32.35 |
| SUI | 22 | 14% | -109.3 | -168.69 |
| BNB | 22 | 32% | -58.2 | -89.51 |
| XRP | 22 | 23% | -77.8 | -119.50 |
| ATOM | 21 | 29% | -66.8 | -97.48 |
| LINK | 20 | 25% | -78.2 | -109.55 |
| APT | 20 | 45% | -48.4 | -67.66 |
| OP | 20 | 35% | -31.2 | -43.41 |
| AVAX | 20 | 35% | -69.1 | -97.01 |
| DOGE | 18 | 39% | -45.8 | -57.89 |
| LTC | 16 | 31% | -47.7 | -53.40 |
| ARB | 15 | 33% | -18.9 | -19.96 |
| INJ | 15 | 33% | -30.4 | -31.97 |
| ETH | 14 | 50% | -2.9 | -2.74 |
| SOL | 14 | 50% | +19.8 | +19.73 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||