xv_funding_pct_top20_both_regime · strategy

352

closed trades

39%

win rate

-688.03

total pnl ($)

0.607

weight

7d window — n=57 wr=39% pnl=-102.02 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-19 13:40:54 (39.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: xv_funding_robust_siblings

n: 315 · wr: 42.9% · total_bps: -2535.8 · mean_bps: -8.05 · sharpe: -0.07 · max_dd_bps: -3480.7

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 09:50	ARB	Buy	0.0753088→0.0742914	-10.09	timeout
06-27 08:34	APT	Buy	0.602851→0.60185	-1.85	timeout
06-27 07:55	DOGE	Sell	0.0753312→0.0757639	-4.68	timeout
06-27 07:43	AVAX	Buy	6.54324→6.55746	+0.85	timeout
06-27 05:36	INJ	Buy	4.86992→4.85399	-2.90	timeout
06-27 03:01	ETH	Buy	1569.86→1581.14	+4.40	timeout
06-27 01:41	LTC	Buy	41.9195→41.9425	-0.21	timeout
06-26 23:47	INJ	Buy	4.7857→4.86988	+11.70	timeout
06-26 23:35	XRP	Buy	1.04696→1.04694	-0.63	timeout
06-26 21:47	ADA	Sell	0.147653→0.147867	-1.64	timeout
06-26 19:52	LTC	Buy	40.8132→41.7866	+16.03	timeout
06-26 16:00	SUI	Buy	0.675849→0.697136	+21.39	take_profit
06-26 15:42	XRP	Sell	1.02884→1.04859	-14.08	stop_loss
06-26 15:40	AVAX	Sell	6.22774→6.34796	-14.13	stop_loss
06-26 14:13	SOL	Buy	68.9873→71.1793	+21.57	take_profit
06-26 12:42	BTC	Buy	60170→59050.5	-13.66	stop_loss
06-26 12:40	AVAX	Sell	6.29273→6.09402	+21.45	take_profit
06-26 11:29	ARB	Buy	0.0728782→0.0714764	-14.12	stop_loss
06-26 08:50	NEAR	Buy	1.85416→1.81844	-14.13	stop_loss
06-26 08:37	INJ	Buy	4.4011→4.54036	+21.56	take_profit
06-26 07:53	DOGE	Sell	0.0739655→0.0749897	-10.27	timeout
06-26 07:32	XRP	Sell	1.03224→1.05209	-14.06	stop_loss
06-26 06:22	ADA	Buy	0.139375→0.143784	+21.52	take_profit
06-26 03:56	OP	Sell	0.102304→0.104398	-14.95	stop_loss
06-26 03:46	ARB	Sell	0.0708523→0.0722041	-13.98	stop_loss
06-26 02:13	INJ	Buy	4.27557→4.18456	-15.49	stop_loss
06-26 02:00	XRP	Sell	1.03394→1.03136	+1.10	timeout
06-26 01:42	ARB	Buy	0.072208→0.0724619	+1.86	timeout
06-26 01:41	BTC	Buy	59343→59311	-1.00	timeout
06-26 00:49	ATOM	Buy	1.5917→1.6104	+7.54	timeout
06-25 21:53	OP	Sell	0.102464→0.104438	-14.11	stop_loss
06-25 19:23	SUI	Buy	0.68194→0.668898	-14.02	stop_loss
06-25 19:22	NEAR	Buy	1.86597→1.83013	-14.09	stop_loss
06-25 19:17	AVAX	Buy	6.20165→6.08154	-14.18	stop_loss
06-25 19:12	OP	Buy	0.102506→0.100495	-14.33	stop_loss
06-25 16:41	INJ	Buy	4.23336→4.15288	-13.94	stop_loss
06-25 14:33	ARB	Sell	0.0723319→0.0737853	-14.70	stop_loss
06-25 13:53	BNB	Sell	567.358→549.247	+21.72	take_profit
06-25 13:49	ADA	Sell	0.147203→0.142436	+22.04	take_profit
06-25 13:42	AVAX	Buy	6.37919→6.25561	-14.19	stop_loss
06-25 13:27	BNB	Sell	570.037→567.852	+2.11	timeout
06-25 13:11	LINK	Sell	7.49882→7.44916	+3.98	timeout
06-25 12:36	ETH	Buy	1648.96→1635.94	-6.14	timeout
06-25 12:26	ADA	Buy	0.149387→0.14651	-14.14	stop_loss
06-25 11:49	DOGE	Buy	0.0771523→0.0756732	-14.03	stop_loss
06-25 06:15	SOL	Sell	68.0848→69.3691	-13.84	stop_loss
06-25 06:13	SUI	Buy	0.686161→0.694216	+7.61	timeout
06-25 06:13	LTC	Buy	41.2363→41.9295	+11.15	timeout
06-25 06:13	ETH	Buy	1625.46→1646.84	+8.54	timeout
06-25 03:15	NEAR	Buy	1.97199→1.93395	-14.16	stop_loss
06-24 22:00	ETH	Buy	1573.36→1623.44	+21.66	take_profit
06-24 20:46	ADA	Sell	0.142064→0.144819	-14.22	stop_loss
06-24 20:09	BNB	Sell	552.612→563.843	-14.90	stop_loss
06-24 20:07	AVAX	Buy	6.05241→6.24304	+21.41	take_profit
06-24 20:06	BTC	Sell	59588→60712.4	-13.85	stop_loss
06-24 18:26	INJ	Buy	4.16454→4.29863	+21.91	take_profit
06-24 18:25	APT	Sell	0.596351→0.608056	-14.39	stop_loss
06-18 21:46	DOGE	Buy	0.0822296→0.0832962	+8.43	timeout
06-18 21:46	APT	Buy	0.624956→0.634541	+10.05	timeout
06-18 21:46	BTC	Buy	62794.1→62888.9	+0.46	timeout
06-18 20:28	ARB	Buy	0.0820205→0.0846388	+21.69	take_profit
06-18 20:01	AVAX	Sell	6.25664→6.37618	-14.05	stop_loss
06-15 22:42	INJ	Buy	5.62181→5.51166	-14.37	stop_loss
06-15 22:11	BNB	Buy	628.297→619.585	-10.25	timeout
06-15 22:11	ATOM	Sell	1.9969→1.95919	+12.49	timeout
06-15 22:11	BTC	Buy	67216.4→66427.7	-8.86	timeout
06-15 20:48	ADA	Sell	0.187703→0.181725	+21.64	take_profit
06-15 19:19	AVAX	Buy	7.02876→6.89483	-13.99	stop_loss
06-10 20:46	AVAX	Buy	6.53433→6.43339	-11.39	timeout
06-10 20:09	ADA	Buy	0.162761→0.15965	-14.04	stop_loss
06-10 19:17	OP	Sell	0.0951962→0.092103	+22.08	take_profit
06-10 17:41	SOL	Buy	64.8027→63.5836	-13.78	stop_loss
06-10 16:01	LTC	Buy	42.2236→42.7393	+8.02	timeout
06-10 14:20	ADA	Buy	0.16137→0.163199	+7.37	timeout
06-10 14:20	BNB	Sell	586.823→591.288	-5.95	timeout
06-10 14:20	ATOM	Buy	1.80385→1.78885	-6.47	timeout
06-10 13:43	AVAX	Sell	6.52997→6.65459	-14.02	stop_loss
06-10 09:20	APT	Buy	0.654264→0.641818	-13.92	stop_loss
06-10 01:02	LINK	Buy	7.85606→7.87193	+0.84	timeout
06-09 23:59	ATOM	Buy	1.75814→1.77576	+6.33	timeout
06-09 22:46	AVAX	Buy	6.49972→6.65704	+16.43	timeout
06-09 22:46	DOGE	Sell	0.083968→0.0851093	-10.11	timeout
06-09 22:45	BTC	Buy	61435.1→62016.9	+6.04	timeout
06-09 17:19	APT	Sell	0.646938→0.659294	-14.02	stop_loss
06-09 17:17	ARB	Sell	0.0787203→0.0803502	-15.13	stop_loss
06-09 16:05	DOGE	Buy	0.0854284→0.0837991	-13.92	stop_loss
06-09 14:16	NEAR	Buy	2.16074→2.11961	-13.98	stop_loss
06-09 14:11	OP	Sell	0.0952662→0.0955239	-2.60	timeout
06-09 13:38	APT	Sell	0.670632→0.667767	+2.40	timeout
06-09 12:03	ADA	Sell	0.169458→0.167772	+6.32	timeout
06-09 09:53	DOGE	Buy	0.0851623→0.0853077	+0.55	timeout
06-09 09:30	SUI	Buy	0.75896→0.744541	-13.95	stop_loss
06-09 08:04	ETH	Sell	1669.93→1676.47	-3.44	timeout
06-09 07:31	OP	Buy	0.0940935→0.0956561	+11.01	timeout
06-09 06:09	ARB	Sell	0.0819095→0.0818505	-0.22	timeout
06-09 05:35	BNB	Buy	602.711→604.869	+1.87	timeout
06-09 02:40	APT	Buy	0.651763→0.63912	-14.20	stop_loss
06-09 00:37	INJ	Sell	5.68348→5.48537	+23.78	take_profit
06-09 00:35	ADA	Buy	0.170423→0.167065	-14.42	stop_loss
06-09 00:31	OP	Sell	0.0973956→0.0943036	+21.55	take_profit

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

352

closed

39%

win rate

-688.03

total pnl ($)

-27.8 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
ADA	45	44%	-17.6	-56.44
AVAX	35	34%	-57.0	-140.47
BNB	33	39%	-27.9	-64.53
ATOM	32	44%	-26.8	-60.32
ARB	30	33%	-44.3	-93.40
APT	29	41%	-23.5	-47.86
BTC	19	37%	-18.3	-24.43
DOGE	19	37%	-80.4	-106.96
OP	19	42%	+8.2	+10.40
LTC	19	47%	+69.7	+92.52
ETH	16	31%	-53.5	-60.00
INJ	13	38%	-19.3	-17.54
LINK	12	75%	+87.9	+73.78
XRP	10	10%	-111.1	-77.87
NEAR	8	12%	-139.2	-78.06
SUI	7	43%	-54.0	-26.50
SOL	6	33%	-24.0	-10.37

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…