xv_funding_pct_top15_both_regime · strategy

372

closed trades

45%

win rate

-157.91

total pnl ($)

2.172

weight

7d window — n=63 wr=52% pnl=+145.83 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-19 13:40:54 (39.8d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: xv_funding_robust_siblings

n: 316 · wr: 46.8% · total_bps: -353.9 · mean_bps: -1.12 · sharpe: -0.01 · max_dd_bps: -1242.1

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 09:17	ATOM	Sell	1.5864→1.5811	+1.62	timeout
06-27 06:29	INJ	Sell	4.87798→4.93593	-8.96	timeout
06-27 06:18	ETH	Sell	1577.84→1576.06	+0.15	timeout
06-27 06:05	SOL	Sell	71.9562→71.7718	+1.12	timeout
06-27 03:52	AVAX	Buy	6.66867→6.54079	-14.06	stop_loss
06-27 03:12	ATOM	Sell	1.5843→1.5869	-1.81	timeout
06-27 02:38	LINK	Sell	7.32247→7.39835	-7.90	timeout
06-27 00:02	SOL	Buy	72.6509→71.9072	-7.84	timeout
06-26 23:04	AVAX	Buy	6.35559→6.55606	+21.43	take_profit
06-26 23:01	BTC	Buy	60049→60004	-1.17	timeout
06-26 20:36	BNB	Buy	562.171→564.829	+2.63	timeout
06-26 20:36	LTC	Buy	41.1503→41.8655	+11.50	timeout
06-26 20:29	LINK	Sell	7.26638→7.36184	-9.82	timeout
06-26 17:28	SUI	Sell	0.686128→0.699264	-14.00	stop_loss
06-26 16:38	NEAR	Sell	1.79625→1.83057	-13.97	stop_loss
06-26 14:12	SOL	Buy	68.8393→71.0263	+21.58	take_profit
06-26 13:57	INJ	Sell	4.49308→4.57863	-13.99	stop_loss
06-26 13:16	DOGE	Sell	0.0750162→0.0735114	+13.46	timeout
06-26 13:16	XRP	Sell	1.04904→1.01935	+19.17	timeout
06-26 11:50	APT	Buy	0.594749→0.582763	-14.72	stop_loss
06-26 11:00	BNB	Buy	560.43→563.849	+3.59	timeout
06-26 09:52	SUI	Buy	0.695904→0.681948	-14.68	stop_loss
06-26 08:37	INJ	Buy	4.3983→4.53936	+21.80	take_profit
06-26 06:46	ARB	Buy	0.0715879→0.0738615	+21.57	take_profit
06-26 06:39	ADA	Buy	0.139645→0.144074	+21.59	take_profit
06-26 06:38	APT	Buy	0.577944→0.596751	+22.17	take_profit
06-26 04:45	BNB	Buy	560.25→560.6	-0.25	timeout
06-26 03:13	OP	Sell	0.102224→0.104418	-15.65	stop_loss
06-26 02:21	BTC	Buy	59461→58351.9	-13.68	stop_loss
06-26 02:13	ATOM	Buy	1.6099→1.57602	-15.37	stop_loss
06-26 02:12	INJ	Buy	4.32538→4.23732	-14.84	stop_loss
06-26 02:11	APT	Sell	0.59975→0.580245	+22.02	take_profit
06-26 01:06	ADA	Buy	0.141355→0.142614	+5.58	timeout
06-25 23:03	INJ	Buy	4.17664→4.30952	+21.63	take_profit
06-25 21:54	OP	Buy	0.101175→0.104514	+22.46	take_profit
06-25 20:15	BTC	Buy	59333→59563	+2.08	timeout
06-25 20:14	LINK	Buy	7.2048→7.1952	-1.62	timeout
06-25 20:10	ARB	Sell	0.0731717→0.0725081	+5.70	timeout
06-25 19:03	OP	Buy	0.102916→0.100854	-14.67	stop_loss
06-25 15:15	APT	Buy	0.591548→0.579765	-14.57	stop_loss
06-25 14:08	LTC	Sell	39.5081→40.2692	-14.11	stop_loss
06-25 13:53	DOGE	Sell	0.0756621→0.0732203	+21.95	take_profit
06-25 13:47	NEAR	Buy	1.90508→1.8684	-14.10	stop_loss
06-25 13:47	ADA	Sell	0.148253→0.143506	+21.79	take_profit
06-25 13:46	LTC	Sell	41.6576→40.5161	+18.56	timeout
06-25 13:42	ETH	Buy	1628.76→1597.94	-13.87	stop_loss
06-25 13:00	INJ	Buy	4.17034→4.31302	+23.31	take_profit
06-25 12:13	DOGE	Sell	0.0772707→0.075898	+11.79	timeout
06-25 11:49	NEAR	Sell	1.96601→1.90378	+21.34	take_profit
06-25 11:11	INJ	Buy	4.24466→4.16298	-14.10	stop_loss
06-25 10:31	ATOM	Buy	1.67202→1.63787	-14.86	stop_loss
06-25 07:02	BNB	Buy	564.521→571.237	+7.67	timeout
06-25 05:45	ETH	Buy	1620.46→1643.44	+9.28	timeout
06-25 05:45	SOL	Sell	68.0668→68.9423	-9.66	timeout
06-25 04:33	NEAR	Buy	1.96539→1.92765	-14.09	stop_loss
06-25 02:41	INJ	Buy	4.26227→4.18006	-14.16	stop_loss
06-25 00:57	BNB	Buy	553.698→563.609	+11.85	timeout
06-24 22:00	LTC	Buy	39.7559→41.0167	+21.61	take_profit
06-24 22:00	ETH	Buy	1573.26→1623.34	+21.66	take_profit
06-24 20:46	ADA	Sell	0.141935→0.144698	-14.28	stop_loss
06-24 20:06	AVAX	Buy	6.04491→6.23594	+21.49	take_profit
06-24 18:25	INJ	Buy	4.16054→4.29233	+21.55	take_profit
06-24 18:22	APT	Sell	0.595451→0.606855	-14.06	stop_loss
06-18 21:47	DOGE	Buy	0.0821445→0.0832962	+9.16	timeout
06-18 21:46	BTC	Buy	62805.1→62899.9	+0.46	timeout
06-18 20:32	APT	Buy	0.622856→0.643039	+22.02	take_profit
06-18 20:20	ARB	Buy	0.0819305→0.0845788	+21.97	take_profit
06-18 20:01	AVAX	Sell	6.25434→6.37618	-14.31	stop_loss
06-16 04:15	LTC	Buy	45.8395→45.7286	-2.37	timeout
06-16 02:27	SUI	Buy	0.79924→0.784012	-14.00	stop_loss
06-16 02:14	LINK	Buy	8.35969→8.20075	-13.94	stop_loss
06-15 22:45	NEAR	Buy	2.46072→2.41389	-13.96	stop_loss
06-15 22:42	INJ	Buy	5.6168→5.51007	-13.96	stop_loss
06-15 22:06	BNB	Buy	627.797→619.025	-10.32	timeout
06-15 22:06	ATOM	Sell	1.9975→1.95969	+12.53	timeout
06-15 22:06	BTC	Buy	67127.4→66405.7	-8.17	timeout
06-15 20:48	ADA	Sell	0.188003→0.181725	+22.72	take_profit
06-15 19:19	AVAX	Buy	7.02756→6.88923	-14.43	stop_loss
06-10 20:52	AVAX	Buy	6.52613→6.43459	-10.40	timeout
06-10 20:51	ETH	Buy	1644.36→1626.44	-8.22	timeout
06-10 20:32	ATOM	Sell	1.78725→1.78205	+1.46	timeout
06-10 19:50	ARB	Sell	0.0807498→0.0780695	+22.57	take_profit
06-10 17:32	ADA	Buy	0.163451→0.16031	-14.10	stop_loss
06-10 16:00	LTC	Buy	42.2456→42.8023	+8.63	timeout
06-10 14:20	ADA	Buy	0.16132→0.163149	+7.38	timeout
06-10 14:20	ATOM	Buy	1.80575→1.78985	-6.81	timeout
06-10 14:20	BNB	Sell	586.823→591.288	-5.95	timeout
06-10 13:43	AVAX	Sell	6.52997→6.65459	-14.02	stop_loss
06-10 09:20	APT	Buy	0.654063→0.641519	-14.03	stop_loss
06-10 00:46	BNB	Buy	593.318→596.251	+2.82	timeout
06-10 00:14	ATOM	Buy	1.75904→1.77576	+5.97	timeout
06-09 22:46	AVAX	Buy	6.49972→6.65704	+16.43	timeout
06-09 22:46	DOGE	Sell	0.083968→0.0851093	-10.10	timeout
06-09 22:45	BTC	Buy	61384.1→62016.9	+6.62	timeout
06-09 17:19	APT	Sell	0.646838→0.659294	-14.13	stop_loss
06-09 17:17	ARB	Sell	0.0787403→0.0802902	-14.42	stop_loss
06-09 14:20	AVAX	Buy	6.70568→6.57786	-13.96	stop_loss
06-09 14:16	NEAR	Buy	2.16214→2.12101	-13.97	stop_loss
06-09 12:03	XRP	Buy	1.17269→1.15761	-9.58	timeout
06-09 11:56	BNB	Sell	603.389→596.759	+7.09	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

372

closed

45%

win rate

-157.91

total pnl ($)

-5.9 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
ADA	37	46%	-21.8	-56.86
APT	33	48%	+15.5	+35.95
BNB	32	44%	-9.2	-21.08
ATOM	30	43%	-29.4	-62.10
AVAX	30	43%	-28.2	-59.60
INJ	23	57%	+82.3	+132.26
NEAR	22	27%	-48.6	-75.31
ARB	22	50%	+2.8	+3.57
BTC	20	40%	-20.7	-29.10
ETH	19	26%	-44.0	-58.27
LINK	19	32%	-36.5	-48.67
DOGE	18	56%	+37.7	+47.39
OP	18	44%	-28.1	-35.69
LTC	17	59%	+67.1	+79.72
SOL	16	69%	+73.0	+80.96
XRP	9	44%	-12.6	-8.00
SUI	7	14%	-169.5	-83.08

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…