310
closed trades
47%
win rate
+209.65
total pnl ($)
1.274
weight
7d window — n=46 wr=41% pnl=+3.80
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 13:40:54 (40.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 268
· wr: 46.6%
· total_bps: -1706.6
· mean_bps: -6.37
· sharpe: -0.06
· max_dd_bps: -4077.6
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 08:04 | ATOM | Sell | 1.57811→1.5887 | -5.44 | timeout |
| 06-27 05:20 | ADA | Sell | 0.148613→0.147707 | +3.66 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:34 | OP | Sell | 0.105164→0.105456 | -2.75 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:12 | BNB | Sell | 567.228→567.362 | -0.74 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:30 | ETH | Sell | 1573.74→1576.06 | -1.68 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:04 | OP | Sell | 0.106183→0.105456 | +4.19 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:32 | NEAR | Sell | 1.80835→1.80275 | +1.59 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:06 | ATOM | Sell | 1.596→1.5833 | +4.92 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:04 | ATOM | Sell | 1.6068→1.6003 | +2.15 | timeout |
| 06-26 14:29 | ADA | Sell | 0.143534→0.14627 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:55 | AVAX | Sell | 6.09798→6.21506 | -14.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:19 | LINK | Sell | 7.31167→7.08057 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-26 12:02 | LTC | Sell | 41.1967→40.9352 | +3.86 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:58 | ARB | Sell | 0.0740915→0.0717279 | +21.73 | take_profit |
| 06-26 07:02 | LINK | Sell | 7.23249→7.27452 | -4.74 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:47 | BTC | Sell | 58675.1→59767.9 | -13.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:46 | LTC | Sell | 41.0437→40.9282 | +1.34 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:39 | APT | Sell | 0.572657→0.583938 | -14.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | NEAR | Sell | 1.83444→1.77594 | +21.71 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:13 | ARB | Sell | 0.0734416→0.0710478 | +22.16 | take_profit |
| 06-25 23:28 | ADA | Sell | 0.141515→0.144208 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:22 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0748603→0.0749407 | -1.33 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:53 | OP | Sell | 0.102254→0.104228 | -14.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 20:50 | INJ | Sell | 4.15886→4.24058 | -14.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 20:41 | NEAR | Sell | 1.87093→1.81195 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-25 17:20 | APT | Sell | 0.589053→0.60095 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:13 | AVAX | Sell | 6.08938→6.20595 | -14.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:51 | SUI | Sell | 0.688868→0.667047 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | ETH | Sell | 1631.04→1579.06 | +21.67 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:47 | ADA | Sell | 0.148213→0.143506 | +21.60 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:44 | AVAX | Sell | 6.42149→6.21555 | +21.81 | take_profit |
| 06-25 12:23 | ATOM | Sell | 1.66528→1.6119 | +21.72 | take_profit |
| 06-25 11:06 | OP | Sell | 0.108773→0.105286 | +21.80 | take_profit |
| 06-25 10:27 | BNB | Sell | 564.269→567.342 | -4.39 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:01 | BTC | Sell | 60871→61708.1 | -10.25 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:23 | SUI | Sell | 0.683989→0.694394 | -11.30 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:18 | APT | Sell | 0.630342→0.631458 | -1.85 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:03 | INJ | Sell | 4.27503→4.18425 | +14.29 | timeout |
| 06-25 02:02 | ATOM | Sell | 1.64269→1.64171 | -0.31 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:46 | ADA | Sell | 0.142064→0.144769 | -13.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:31 | BTC | Sell | 59718→60829.4 | -13.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:06 | AVAX | Sell | 6.12567→6.24218 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 18:25 | APT | Sell | 0.596351→0.608056 | -14.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 18:25 | NEAR | Sell | 1.87763→1.91464 | -14.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 18:19 | SUI | Sell | 0.658085→0.670833 | -14.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 18:15 | OP | Sell | 0.0951062→0.0969427 | -14.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 21:44 | ETH | Sell | 1698.03→1706.17 | -3.95 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:20 | LINK | Sell | 7.82764→7.98088 | -14.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 20:01 | AVAX | Sell | 6.25394→6.37618 | -14.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 20:00 | INJ | Sell | 5.13462→5.23232 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:07 | LTC | Sell | 46.0695→45.8014 | +3.50 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:07 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9983→1.95969 | +12.79 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:07 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0903834→0.0888802 | +10.96 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:48 | ADA | Sell | 0.188033→0.182076 | +21.53 | take_profit |
| 06-10 21:10 | LINK | Sell | 7.78635→7.53738 | +21.64 | take_profit |
| 06-10 19:50 | ARB | Sell | 0.0806898→0.0780695 | +22.07 | take_profit |
| 06-10 17:32 | OP | Sell | 0.0955961→0.0924831 | +22.16 | take_profit |
| 06-10 16:49 | INJ | Sell | 5.31977→5.15109 | +21.56 | take_profit |
| 06-10 14:21 | BNB | Sell | 586.653→591.008 | -5.82 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | LINK | Sell | 7.75726→7.76944 | -1.73 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:43 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52647→6.65079 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 13:37 | OP | Sell | 0.0956761→0.0975831 | -14.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 00:46 | AVAX | Sell | 6.63644→6.66036 | -3.26 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | DOGE | Sell | 0.083968→0.0851093 | -10.10 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:19 | APT | Sell | 0.647138→0.659995 | -14.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:17 | ARB | Sell | 0.0787403→0.0803502 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:01 | BTC | Sell | 62719.9→61439.1 | +13.69 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:05 | ADA | Sell | 0.169038→0.168272 | +2.57 | timeout |
| 06-09 13:01 | AVAX | Sell | 6.76231→6.72678 | +3.04 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:02 | SOL | Sell | 66.901→66.2739 | +5.88 | timeout |
| 06-09 10:54 | BTC | Sell | 63293.8→62743.1 | +5.44 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:34 | ADA | Sell | 0.166878→0.170077 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 04:50 | OP | Sell | 0.0938765→0.0957818 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 04:35 | ARB | Sell | 0.08008→0.0816112 | -14.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 03:06 | BTC | Sell | 63561.8→62819.1 | +7.54 | timeout |
| 06-09 03:05 | ETH | Sell | 1697.33→1664.77 | +12.68 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:36 | ARB | Sell | 0.0832592→0.0806202 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:31 | SOL | Sell | 67.9378→65.7719 | +21.63 | take_profit |
| 06-08 20:51 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0864674→0.0865776 | -1.51 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:58 | ETH | Sell | 1680.13→1683.77 | -2.21 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:10 | AVAX | Sell | 6.7831→6.8044 | -2.83 | timeout |
| 06-08 17:20 | ATOM | Sell | 1.74616→1.75624 | -4.87 | timeout |
| 06-08 12:29 | NEAR | Sell | 2.12837→2.16933 | -14.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 12:01 | BTC | Sell | 62851.9→63286.2 | -5.46 | timeout |
| 06-08 12:01 | INJ | Sell | 5.57821→5.68976 | -14.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:11 | AVAX | Sell | 6.61625→6.74506 | -14.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 10:00 | SOL | Sell | 65.2102→66.4432 | -13.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 09:16 | ADA | Sell | 0.16108→0.164163 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 05:59 | NEAR | Sell | 2.03439→2.07365 | -14.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 04:30 | ARB | Sell | 0.0831892→0.0818305 | +10.85 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | AVAX | Sell | 6.8→6.63146 | +16.73 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | APT | Sell | 0.673632→0.662566 | +10.77 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:29 | ATOM | Sell | 1.71447→1.72263 | -3.99 | timeout |
| 06-07 01:07 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0809668→0.0825108 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 01:03 | APT | Sell | 0.649238→0.661596 | -13.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 01:02 | ETH | Sell | 1556.04→1566.06 | -5.13 | timeout |
| 06-06 22:04 | XRP | Sell | 1.09853→1.08327 | +9.05 | timeout |
| 06-06 21:09 | ATOM | Sell | 1.62079→1.6188 | +0.20 | timeout |
| 06-06 19:00 | LTC | Sell | 42.8223→42.1815 | +9.80 | timeout |
| 06-06 18:27 | LINK | Sell | 7.30637→7.35294 | -5.14 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
310
closed
47%
win rate
+209.65
total pnl ($)
+9.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 29 | 38% | -27.7 | -56.56 |
| APT | 27 | 44% | +0.6 | +0.68 |
| ETH | 26 | 50% | +59.1 | +107.56 |
| BTC | 25 | 48% | -1.2 | -1.84 |
| AVAX | 25 | 44% | -21.6 | -37.98 |
| ATOM | 24 | 42% | -0.7 | -1.71 |
| OP | 19 | 32% | -42.9 | -57.35 |
| LINK | 16 | 56% | +80.7 | +90.23 |
| LTC | 16 | 69% | +32.5 | +36.37 |
| SOL | 16 | 56% | +23.8 | +26.22 |
| ARB | 16 | 56% | +59.1 | +65.95 |
| BNB | 14 | 50% | +37.2 | +36.48 |
| INJ | 13 | 38% | -15.1 | -13.92 |
| XRP | 13 | 54% | +1.5 | +1.35 |
| DOGE | 12 | 33% | -2.0 | -1.59 |
| NEAR | 10 | 50% | +24.5 | +17.18 |
| SUI | 9 | 56% | -2.2 | -1.43 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||