387
closed trades
40%
win rate
-824.70
total pnl ($)
1.800
weight
7d window — n=57 wr=54% pnl=+88.87
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 13:40:54 (39.3d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 299
· wr: 42.8%
· total_bps: -5221.6
· mean_bps: -17.46
· sharpe: -0.17
· max_dd_bps: -5864.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 09:08 | ARB | Buy | 0.0751188→0.0746113 | -5.38 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:02 | OP | Buy | 0.105516→0.104594 | -6.69 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:13 | AVAX | Buy | 6.54524→6.55966 | +0.90 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:02 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5824→1.5934 | +4.40 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:21 | NEAR | Buy | 1.78975→1.81765 | +10.26 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:02 | BTC | Buy | 59812→59904 | +0.44 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:21 | SOL | Buy | 72.7249→72.2152 | -5.50 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:05 | INJ | Buy | 4.76249→4.91267 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-27 00:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.148367→0.148443 | -0.32 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:09 | BNB | Buy | 560.73→564.439 | +3.95 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:02 | SUI | Buy | 0.683731→0.697835 | +13.76 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.50583→6.37831 | -14.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 17:30 | ATOM | Buy | 1.599→1.6069 | +2.81 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:31 | APT | Buy | 0.581445→0.60035 | +22.13 | take_profit |
| 06-26 15:26 | ETH | Buy | 1534.05→1582.84 | +21.62 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:19 | AVAX | Buy | 6.15744→6.03937 | -14.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:40 | LINK | Buy | 7.25071→7.11236 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:50 | APT | Buy | 0.590148→0.584554 | -7.24 | timeout |
| 06-26 11:11 | BNB | Buy | 560.11→564.569 | +4.89 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:22 | LTC | Buy | 41.2113→41.3147 | +1.14 | timeout |
| 06-26 08:36 | NEAR | Buy | 1.85516→1.81983 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:44 | ARB | Buy | 0.0713778→0.0736316 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:39 | ETH | Buy | 1519.35→1567.84 | +21.70 | take_profit |
| 06-26 04:54 | BNB | Buy | 560.34→559.25 | -2.04 | timeout |
| 06-26 02:13 | OP | Buy | 0.103816→0.101844 | -13.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | SUI | Buy | 0.67962→0.6665 | -14.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143396→0.140565 | -14.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | LTC | Buy | 41.2143→40.4187 | -14.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:06 | APT | Buy | 0.60085→0.589358 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 21:34 | ARB | Buy | 0.0727082→0.0732017 | +4.07 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:09 | BNB | Buy | 551.898→556.131 | +4.69 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:01 | LTC | Buy | 40.2991→40.7488 | +7.14 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:00 | AVAX | Buy | 6.11043→6.13667 | +2.39 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:19 | LINK | Buy | 7.12698→7.2082 | +7.29 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:54 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0739925→0.0725735 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | SUI | Buy | 0.689132→0.675743 | -14.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | ETH | Buy | 1629.16→1598.54 | -13.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:27 | SOL | Buy | 69.1094→67.8079 | -13.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.149117→0.14628 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:13 | ETH | Buy | 1647.96→1630.04 | -8.23 | timeout |
| 06-25 11:49 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0771543→0.0756732 | -14.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:49 | APT | Buy | 0.634959→0.622833 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 09:21 | ARB | Buy | 0.0755489→0.0767908 | +10.84 | timeout |
| 06-25 09:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.147397→0.149243 | +8.13 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:30 | ATOM | Buy | 1.64111→1.65599 | +5.92 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:21 | OP | Buy | 0.105426→0.108803 | +21.76 | take_profit |
| 06-25 05:07 | NEAR | Buy | 1.96019→1.96061 | -0.51 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.145106→0.147743 | +12.19 | timeout |
| 06-25 02:42 | INJ | Buy | 4.25626→4.17397 | -14.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 02:39 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0754178→0.0761909 | +6.52 | timeout |
| 06-25 02:15 | SUI | Buy | 0.684321→0.677371 | -7.69 | timeout |
| 06-24 22:00 | LTC | Buy | 39.7559→41.0167 | +21.61 | take_profit |
| 06-24 22:00 | ETH | Buy | 1572.66→1622.74 | +21.67 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:06 | AVAX | Buy | 6.04951→6.24014 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:06 | SOL | Buy | 65.3118→67.3899 | +21.66 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:01 | OP | Buy | 0.0976644→0.100775 | +21.65 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:26 | INJ | Buy | 4.16594→4.29863 | +21.67 | take_profit |
| 06-18 21:54 | SUI | Buy | 0.713508→0.72106 | +6.76 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:54 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0819905→0.0832362 | +9.98 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:53 | BTC | Buy | 62509.1→62870.9 | +3.46 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:20 | APT | Buy | 0.621355→0.64104 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-18 20:04 | ARB | Buy | 0.0816804→0.0842689 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-16 02:14 | LINK | Buy | 8.35969→8.20075 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:12 | SOL | Buy | 74.7942→73.3823 | -13.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:01 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0888242→0.0877261 | -9.29 | timeout |
| 06-15 23:22 | ETH | Buy | 1818.38→1784.33 | -13.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:11 | BNB | Buy | 628.097→619.755 | -9.84 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:05 | BTC | Buy | 67137.4→66405.7 | -8.28 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.185466→0.181544 | -15.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:19 | LINK | Buy | 8.53923→8.37691 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 7.03136→6.89483 | -14.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:18 | SUI | Buy | 0.822015→0.806395 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:50 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79445→1.76018 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:16 | ETH | Buy | 1645.06→1626.04 | -8.68 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:09 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0843371→0.0826989 | -14.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 17:41 | APT | Buy | 0.648262→0.635123 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:46 | INJ | Buy | 5.26932→5.16652 | -14.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 14:21 | BTC | Buy | 61605.1→61842.9 | +2.06 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:21 | ADA | Buy | 0.16112→0.162919 | +7.26 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | DOGE | Buy | 0.083928→0.084127 | +1.01 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80575→1.78985 | -6.82 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:40 | ARB | Buy | 0.0785096→0.0809997 | +21.59 | take_profit |
| 06-10 09:20 | APT | Buy | 0.653663→0.641219 | -13.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 01:03 | LINK | Buy | 7.85526→7.87193 | +0.91 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | LTC | Buy | 42.1755→43.3762 | +19.24 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49972→6.65704 | +16.42 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:45 | BTC | Buy | 61325.1→62016.9 | +7.30 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:45 | SOL | Buy | 64.1666→65.5232 | +14.21 | timeout |
| 06-09 18:30 | NEAR | Buy | 2.08222→2.14806 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-09 14:29 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13823→2.09653 | -14.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:20 | APT | Buy | 0.669767→0.656108 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 12:36 | LTC | Buy | 42.9537→42.5834 | -6.60 | timeout |
| 06-09 12:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.17219→1.16061 | -7.49 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:21 | SOL | Buy | 67.1671→65.9051 | -13.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 08:52 | AVAX | Buy | 6.62045→6.72532 | +10.41 | timeout |
| 06-09 08:10 | ATOM | Buy | 1.74094→1.75576 | +5.28 | timeout |
| 06-09 06:33 | BTC | Buy | 62607.1→63377.8 | +7.97 | timeout |
| 06-09 06:20 | INJ | Buy | 5.48047→5.65609 | +21.80 | take_profit |
| 06-09 05:34 | APT | Buy | 0.648962→0.669433 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:39 | LTC | Buy | 43.0057→42.1704 | -14.22 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
387
closed
40%
win rate
-824.70
total pnl ($)
-30.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APT | 27 | 41% | -30.3 | -57.07 |
| ARB | 27 | 44% | +2.2 | +3.93 |
| AVAX | 27 | 44% | -38.5 | -72.91 |
| BTC | 26 | 58% | +12.1 | +21.67 |
| SUI | 26 | 15% | -110.6 | -201.75 |
| LINK | 26 | 38% | -56.7 | -103.33 |
| OP | 26 | 46% | +11.0 | +20.21 |
| ADA | 25 | 40% | -29.6 | -51.45 |
| LTC | 24 | 33% | -49.3 | -82.86 |
| ATOM | 24 | 50% | -15.7 | -25.66 |
| BNB | 23 | 30% | -54.6 | -88.08 |
| INJ | 21 | 33% | -31.8 | -46.76 |
| DOGE | 20 | 30% | -87.8 | -123.04 |
| NEAR | 20 | 45% | +29.7 | +41.51 |
| ETH | 16 | 50% | +20.4 | +22.82 |
| XRP | 16 | 25% | -91.8 | -102.61 |
| SOL | 13 | 46% | +22.4 | +20.68 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||