325
closed trades
46%
win rate
-448.77
total pnl ($)
2.500
weight
7d window — n=46 wr=57% pnl=+265.39
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 16:09:32 (41.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 315
· wr: 43.8%
· total_bps: -4109.9
· mean_bps: -13.05
· sharpe: -0.12
· max_dd_bps: -4656.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 09:51 | NEAR | Sell | 1.81155→1.79665 | +10.93 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:00 | ARB | Buy | 0.0753088→0.0745314 | -16.75 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:57 | BNB | Sell | 567.908→564.711 | +7.20 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:02 | LTC | Sell | 41.7965→42.2806 | -18.95 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:23 | XRP | Sell | 1.04564→1.0656 | -30.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 02:02 | BTC | Buy | 59810→59904 | +0.99 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:04 | INJ | Buy | 4.74329→4.89358 | +46.15 | take_profit |
| 06-26 21:54 | LINK | Sell | 7.30417→7.33353 | -7.32 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:15 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5968→1.5844 | +10.25 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:51 | LTC | Buy | 41.1313→41.8335 | +24.21 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:16 | INJ | Buy | 4.72688→4.87708 | +46.25 | take_profit |
| 06-26 15:08 | ATOM | Sell | 1.6069→1.5993 | +5.76 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:02 | ETH | Sell | 1561.44→1560.36 | -0.28 | timeout |
| 06-26 13:19 | APT | Buy | 0.586947→0.575668 | -30.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:39 | LTC | Buy | 41.4884→40.6865 | -30.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:19 | NEAR | Buy | 1.84526→1.80964 | -30.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 08:02 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6002→1.6189 | +16.06 | timeout |
| 06-26 06:46 | LINK | Buy | 7.04626→7.26918 | +46.05 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:43 | APT | Sell | 0.589253→0.60075 | -30.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:38 | ETH | Sell | 1536.35→1565.24 | -29.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:02 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0746653→0.0722991 | +46.18 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143336→0.140565 | -30.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | BTC | Buy | 60154→59033.5 | -29.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 01:26 | APT | Buy | 0.596549→0.585161 | -29.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 21:10 | BNB | Buy | 551.338→556.261 | +11.93 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:02 | APT | Buy | 0.588147→0.592952 | +11.11 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:00 | AVAX | Buy | 6.11933→6.13677 | +3.04 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:16 | LINK | Buy | 7.14369→7.1998 | +10.32 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:48 | DOGE | Sell | 0.076112→0.0736694 | +46.76 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:46 | ETH | Sell | 1635.34→1583.26 | +46.41 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:45 | SOL | Sell | 68.3008→66.1329 | +46.26 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:42 | NEAR | Buy | 1.93788→1.90107 | -29.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:45 | SUI | Buy | 0.694234→0.689847 | -10.81 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:40 | ETH | Buy | 1649.66→1634.74 | -14.88 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:18 | ATOM | Sell | 1.66918→1.6157 | +46.49 | take_profit |
| 06-25 10:22 | AVAX | Buy | 6.57474→6.44916 | -30.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 06:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.07497→1.08393 | +11.27 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:03 | APT | Sell | 0.629842→0.630558 | -3.01 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:03 | LTC | Buy | 41.1203→41.8945 | +26.90 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:50 | ETH | Buy | 1619.06→1645.24 | +22.85 | timeout |
| 06-24 22:00 | LTC | Buy | 39.7559→41.0167 | +46.31 | take_profit |
| 06-24 22:00 | ETH | Buy | 1571.56→1621.54 | +46.37 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:45 | ADA | Sell | 0.141795→0.144498 | -29.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:02 | OP | Buy | 0.0978945→0.100985 | +45.97 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:26 | INJ | Buy | 4.16594→4.29863 | +46.43 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:25 | APT | Sell | 0.596351→0.608056 | -30.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 21:46 | BTC | Buy | 62815.1→62887.9 | +0.47 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:32 | APT | Buy | 0.623656→0.643339 | +45.92 | take_profit |
| 06-18 20:28 | ARB | Buy | 0.0820205→0.0846388 | +46.48 | take_profit |
| 06-18 20:05 | AVAX | Sell | 6.26603→6.38579 | -30.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 04:15 | LTC | Buy | 45.8365→45.7286 | -4.99 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:14 | LINK | Buy | 8.35969→8.20075 | -29.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:10 | SOL | Buy | 74.9332→73.5212 | -29.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:25 | INJ | Buy | 5.70663→5.5979 | -29.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:06 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9975→1.95969 | +26.85 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:06 | BTC | Buy | 67113.4→66405.7 | -17.21 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:48 | ADA | Sell | 0.188003→0.181935 | +47.01 | take_profit |
| 06-15 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 7.02756→6.88923 | -30.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 21:13 | BTC | Buy | 62604.1→61440.2 | -29.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:27 | BNB | Buy | 592.548→588.283 | -12.15 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:42 | AVAX | Buy | 6.54734→6.42238 | -29.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 17:41 | INJ | Sell | 5.27898→5.10588 | +47.82 | take_profit |
| 06-10 15:42 | NEAR | Buy | 2.11333→2.07284 | -30.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 14:20 | BNB | Sell | 586.813→591.458 | -13.22 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80325→1.78885 | -13.37 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | BTC | Buy | 61591.1→61883.9 | +5.76 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:43 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52797→6.65219 | -29.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 01:06 | LINK | Buy | 7.86267→7.87193 | +0.55 | timeout |
| 06-10 00:30 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77394→1.77576 | +0.07 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49972→6.65704 | +35.22 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:45 | BTC | Buy | 61397.1→62016.9 | +13.87 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:19 | APT | Sell | 0.646638→0.659294 | -30.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:17 | ARB | Sell | 0.0787203→0.0803502 | -32.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 15:31 | INJ | Sell | 5.77026→5.57839 | +48.61 | take_profit |
| 06-09 14:29 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13803→2.09653 | -30.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:05 | ADA | Sell | 0.169078→0.168272 | +5.85 | timeout |
| 06-09 10:09 | ARB | Buy | 0.0816504→0.0800999 | -29.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 09:02 | INJ | Buy | 5.56729→5.74376 | +46.13 | take_profit |
| 06-09 08:58 | AVAX | Buy | 6.64636→6.71242 | +13.45 | timeout |
| 06-09 07:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.166832→0.169648 | +23.89 | timeout |
| 06-09 07:03 | BTC | Sell | 62671.9→63379.2 | -18.24 | timeout |
| 06-09 04:40 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0847378→0.0863647 | -30.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 02:38 | LINK | Sell | 8.05779→7.80225 | +46.16 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:34 | BTC | Buy | 63505.2→62714.9 | -20.04 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:24 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13693→2.09363 | -31.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:13 | SUI | Buy | 0.765911→0.753871 | -25.04 | timeout |
| 06-08 22:06 | LTC | Buy | 43.2458→43.4391 | +5.25 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:22 | LINK | Sell | 8.07048→8.09512 | -5.92 | timeout |
| 06-08 18:07 | SUI | Buy | 0.752788→0.767838 | +28.53 | timeout |
| 06-08 18:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0863646→0.0868743 | +7.49 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:12 | AVAX | Sell | 6.72982→6.86164 | -30.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 15:05 | ADA | Sell | 0.166528→0.169697 | -29.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:39 | LTC | Sell | 42.4954→43.3105 | -30.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:04 | AVAX | Buy | 6.60165→6.69183 | +19.11 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:04 | APT | Buy | 0.657964→0.667933 | +21.26 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:04 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0849792→0.0854926 | +7.60 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:41 | SUI | Buy | 0.741285→0.727184 | -29.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 04:30 | AVAX | Sell | 6.7872→6.62796 | +33.87 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | ATOM | Sell | 1.71197→1.72283 | -10.93 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830292→0.0818305 | +20.40 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
325
closed
46%
win rate
-448.77
total pnl ($)
-9.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAX | 36 | 53% | -11.0 | -60.15 |
| APT | 32 | 38% | -48.4 | -232.10 |
| ADA | 26 | 50% | +3.2 | +11.38 |
| ATOM | 26 | 54% | +16.1 | +62.09 |
| BNB | 25 | 56% | -3.2 | -12.90 |
| BTC | 22 | 45% | -10.9 | -36.09 |
| NEAR | 21 | 29% | -95.7 | -301.81 |
| ETH | 20 | 40% | +4.1 | +12.47 |
| ARB | 19 | 37% | -26.6 | -76.08 |
| LTC | 19 | 42% | +9.3 | +26.10 |
| LINK | 15 | 33% | -43.3 | -97.89 |
| OP | 14 | 43% | -28.6 | -60.46 |
| INJ | 14 | 57% | +91.5 | +191.92 |
| DOGE | 12 | 75% | +114.3 | +205.39 |
| SOL | 10 | 50% | -2.9 | -4.35 |
| XRP | 9 | 56% | -6.3 | -8.62 |
| SUI | 5 | 20% | -89.9 | -67.67 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||