371
closed trades
43%
win rate
-258.72
total pnl ($)
1.706
weight
7d window — n=40 wr=48% pnl=+84.54
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 16:09:32 (38.4d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 319
· wr: 43.3%
· total_bps: -2043.7
· mean_bps: -6.41
· sharpe: -0.06
· max_dd_bps: -2745.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 22:06 | ADA | Sell | 0.148913→0.146637 | +14.46 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:04 | AVAX | Buy | 6.43941→6.31716 | -19.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 20:49 | BNB | Buy | 562.11→565.009 | +4.18 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:34 | NEAR | Sell | 1.80115→1.81085 | -6.21 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:08 | BTC | Sell | 59484→60126 | -11.63 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:07 | ATOM | Sell | 1.6068→1.5968 | +5.13 | timeout |
| 06-26 14:13 | SOL | Buy | 69.0073→71.2093 | +30.96 | take_profit |
| 06-26 12:40 | LINK | Buy | 7.24771→7.10986 | -19.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:58 | SUI | Buy | 0.689192→0.675843 | -20.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 08:37 | INJ | Buy | 4.3959→4.53936 | +31.77 | take_profit |
| 06-26 07:32 | LINK | Buy | 7.09627→7.32237 | +30.92 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:54 | AVAX | Sell | 6.13437→6.25309 | -20.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:43 | LTC | Sell | 40.8978→41.7123 | -20.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 04:41 | BNB | Buy | 560.07→560.48 | -0.24 | timeout |
| 06-26 02:13 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6136→1.58251 | -20.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | NEAR | Buy | 1.81615→1.78166 | -19.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 00:59 | LINK | Buy | 7.1921→7.22779 | +3.99 | timeout |
| 06-25 23:28 | ADA | Sell | 0.141505→0.144218 | -20.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 67.2669→68.1922 | -14.64 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:24 | INJ | Sell | 4.17626→4.23256 | -14.37 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:11 | BNB | Buy | 550.328→556.391 | +10.04 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:45 | NEAR | Buy | 1.85546→1.82023 | -19.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:26 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0727892→0.0750952 | +30.76 | take_profit |
| 06-25 16:10 | ADA | Sell | 0.142424→0.145139 | -19.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:16 | OP | Buy | 0.103106→0.101024 | -21.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:48 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0761989→0.0737124 | +31.71 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | LTC | Sell | 41.6646→40.5941 | +24.81 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:46 | XRP | Sell | 1.08533→1.05096 | +30.68 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:30 | INJ | Buy | 4.19105→4.32702 | +31.60 | take_profit |
| 06-25 12:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.149017→0.14617 | -20.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 06:03 | ETH | Buy | 1621.26→1645.24 | +13.82 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:03 | APT | Sell | 0.629842→0.630558 | -1.97 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:03 | LTC | Buy | 41.1203→41.8945 | +17.88 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:24 | SOL | Sell | 67.9908→69.272 | -19.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:07 | AVAX | Sell | 6.42469→6.55041 | -20.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 22:00 | LTC | Buy | 39.7559→41.0167 | +30.85 | take_profit |
| 06-24 22:00 | ETH | Buy | 1573.46→1623.54 | +30.88 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.05241→6.24304 | +30.58 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:26 | INJ | Buy | 4.16454→4.29823 | +31.20 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:22 | APT | Sell | 0.595451→0.606855 | -20.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 21:44 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0821055→0.0832182 | +12.62 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:44 | APT | Buy | 0.626457→0.634941 | +12.57 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:43 | BTC | Buy | 62676.1→62873.9 | +2.31 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:20 | ARB | Buy | 0.0819105→0.0845788 | +31.65 | take_profit |
| 06-18 20:01 | AVAX | Sell | 6.25654→6.37618 | -20.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 04:15 | LTC | Buy | 45.8365→45.7286 | -3.33 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:27 | SUI | Buy | 0.7996→0.784411 | -19.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:14 | LINK | Buy | 8.35969→8.20075 | -19.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:45 | NEAR | Buy | 2.46072→2.41369 | -20.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:24 | INJ | Buy | 5.71043→5.6018 | -19.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:06 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0903764→0.0888652 | +15.75 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:06 | BTC | Buy | 67113.4→66397.7 | -11.59 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:06 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9975→1.95969 | +17.90 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:48 | ADA | Sell | 0.187993→0.181935 | +31.29 | take_profit |
| 06-15 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 7.03036→6.89203 | -20.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:53 | ETH | Buy | 1640.26→1625.24 | -10.00 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:53 | AVAX | Buy | 6.54554→6.42048 | -19.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 19:50 | ARB | Sell | 0.0806898→0.0780695 | +31.53 | take_profit |
| 06-10 17:41 | APT | Buy | 0.648262→0.635123 | -21.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 17:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.163401→0.16028 | -20.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:00 | LTC | Buy | 42.2456→42.8023 | +12.34 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | BNB | Sell | 586.823→591.288 | -8.50 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80385→1.78885 | -9.25 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.16136→0.163319 | +11.34 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:43 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52817→6.65459 | -20.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 09:20 | APT | Buy | 0.654264→0.641818 | -19.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 01:03 | BNB | Buy | 593.688→596.251 | +3.41 | timeout |
| 06-10 00:22 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77164→1.77576 | +1.35 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | DOGE | Sell | 0.083962→0.0851093 | -14.51 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | BTC | Buy | 61263.1→62016.9 | +11.46 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49972→6.65704 | +23.48 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:18 | APT | Sell | 0.646338→0.658694 | -20.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:17 | ARB | Sell | 0.0786703→0.0803502 | -22.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.70518→6.57786 | -19.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:05 | ADA | Sell | 0.169298→0.167992 | +6.85 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:05 | APT | Sell | 0.666933→0.667167 | -1.18 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.75994→1.7265 | -19.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 11:02 | SOL | Sell | 66.915→66.2799 | +8.52 | timeout |
| 06-09 08:52 | AVAX | Buy | 6.62226→6.72542 | +14.62 | timeout |
| 06-09 07:04 | BTC | Sell | 62605.9→63339.2 | -12.59 | timeout |
| 06-09 07:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.166832→0.169648 | +15.92 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:32 | ARB | Sell | 0.0806098→0.0822116 | -20.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 04:40 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0847648→0.0863938 | -20.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 02:40 | APT | Buy | 0.652363→0.63972 | -20.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:49 | SOL | Sell | 67.4889→65.3458 | +30.71 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:38 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830592→0.0804201 | +30.71 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:33 | LINK | Sell | 8.11637→7.85916 | +30.73 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.8207→6.69068 | -19.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:13 | SUI | Buy | 0.765911→0.753871 | -16.69 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:15 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77024→1.79945 | +15.83 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:33 | SOL | Buy | 66.626→67.5999 | +13.77 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:04 | APT | Buy | 0.68177→0.685229 | +4.10 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:00 | INJ | Buy | 5.69582→5.87603 | +30.72 | take_profit |
| 06-08 17:34 | SUI | Buy | 0.75902→0.75883 | -1.22 | timeout |
| 06-08 16:42 | BNB | Buy | 597.859→604.489 | +10.11 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:06 | ADA | Sell | 0.166668→0.169847 | -19.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 12:30 | NEAR | Sell | 2.13147→2.17283 | -20.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 12:30 | INJ | Sell | 5.599→5.70908 | -20.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:11 | SOL | Sell | 65.2412→66.4802 | -19.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:04 | APT | Buy | 0.657864→0.668133 | +14.63 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
371
closed
43%
win rate
-258.72
total pnl ($)
-6.9 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APT | 36 | 39% | -27.0 | -96.73 |
| ADA | 32 | 53% | +2.1 | +5.62 |
| AVAX | 32 | 44% | -39.1 | -125.61 |
| ATOM | 31 | 42% | -17.4 | -54.42 |
| BNB | 28 | 46% | -10.4 | -29.60 |
| ARB | 26 | 50% | +50.6 | +130.85 |
| LINK | 22 | 36% | -30.9 | -68.44 |
| BTC | 21 | 38% | -29.4 | -61.55 |
| NEAR | 20 | 40% | +18.1 | +36.19 |
| SOL | 20 | 35% | -41.5 | -83.34 |
| INJ | 20 | 55% | +71.5 | +142.60 |
| LTC | 19 | 47% | +41.7 | +79.29 |
| OP | 17 | 35% | -48.3 | -82.24 |
| DOGE | 17 | 47% | +9.8 | +16.36 |
| ETH | 11 | 36% | +15.1 | +16.51 |
| SUI | 10 | 20% | -103.8 | -104.04 |
| XRP | 9 | 44% | +22.1 | +19.86 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 18)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 00:48 | NEAR | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-27 00:28 | SUI | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-26 22:57 | APT | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-26 17:38 | AVAX | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-26 16:21 | ADA | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-26 09:23 | ATOM | Sell | stale_intent |
| 06-26 09:17 | LINK | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-26 02:49 | LINK | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-26 01:11 | LTC | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 23:20 | NEAR | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 19:00 | LINK | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
| 06-25 17:19 | NEAR | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 15:36 | INJ | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 15:36 | DOGE | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 15:31 | INJ | Sell | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 15:31 | DOGE | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 15:21 | BNB | Buy | trigger_already_opened |
| 06-25 10:11 | ADA | Buy | below_min_notional_skip |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||