725
closed trades
44%
win rate
-731.64
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=99 wr=40% pnl=-202.65
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 16:09:32 (41.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 489
· wr: 40.7%
· total_bps: -6069.3
· mean_bps: -12.41
· sharpe: -0.12
· max_dd_bps: -6714.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 11:09 | ATOM | Sell | 1.51782→1.52408 | -3.55 | timeout |
| 06-30 11:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.144376→0.144514 | +0.03 | timeout |
| 06-30 10:22 | SOL | Sell | 73.8449→73.7391 | +0.36 | timeout |
| 06-30 10:08 | BNB | Buy | 552.138→549.683 | -3.74 | timeout |
| 06-30 04:35 | AVAX | Buy | 6.69027→6.62834 | -7.13 | timeout |
| 06-30 01:01 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0737834→0.0723677 | -14.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-30 00:32 | SOL | Buy | 75.6573→74.2247 | -13.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-30 00:22 | APT | Buy | 0.587147→0.575968 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 20:47 | BNB | Buy | 549.307→560.18 | +13.17 | timeout |
| 06-29 19:45 | BTC | Buy | 59434→60440 | +11.17 | timeout |
| 06-29 17:15 | ARB | Sell | 0.0762309→0.0776982 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 17:13 | ETH | Sell | 1581.04→1610.67 | -13.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 13:30 | APT | Buy | 0.586347→0.574469 | -14.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 12:01 | BTC | Sell | 60147→59619 | +5.57 | timeout |
| 06-29 10:41 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0724701→0.0729048 | +3.54 | timeout |
| 06-29 10:41 | ETH | Buy | 1574.76→1578.34 | +0.94 | timeout |
| 06-29 10:40 | APT | Sell | 0.575556→0.582145 | -8.59 | timeout |
| 06-29 04:57 | INJ | Sell | 4.60145→4.69092 | -14.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | SUI | Buy | 0.708667→0.695078 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:51 | AVAX | Buy | 6.52633→6.49977 | -3.47 | timeout |
| 06-27 18:05 | ARB | Sell | 0.0747213→0.0744586 | +1.80 | timeout |
| 06-27 17:02 | OP | Buy | 0.103906→0.101924 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 15:08 | XRP | Sell | 1.05634→1.07067 | -10.16 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:40 | ETH | Buy | 1581.96→1580.74 | -1.15 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:29 | ARB | Buy | 0.0745086→0.0740515 | -4.88 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:54 | LTC | Sell | 42.2224→42.6377 | -7.57 | timeout |
| 06-27 08:10 | XRP | Sell | 1.05364→1.05836 | -3.78 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:32 | SOL | Sell | 71.6822→72.1008 | -4.75 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:52 | BNB | Sell | 567.678→565.201 | +2.48 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:30 | ARB | Buy | 0.0737284→0.0752812 | +14.06 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:00 | LTC | Buy | 41.9205→42.0535 | +1.63 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:01 | INJ | Buy | 4.77129→4.85279 | +11.27 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:22 | ADA | Sell | 0.147213→0.146997 | +0.41 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:02 | ARB | Sell | 0.0738915→0.0738985 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 06-26 19:04 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49982→6.37342 | -14.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 16:35 | LTC | Buy | 40.5611→41.8465 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-26 16:00 | BTC | Sell | 59449→60558.3 | -13.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 16:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.01835→1.05074 | +21.65 | take_profit |
| 06-26 15:40 | LINK | Sell | 7.2127→7.35151 | -14.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:45 | ADA | Sell | 0.144794→0.142676 | +9.63 | timeout |
| 06-26 12:43 | LTC | Sell | 41.7266→40.4061 | +21.56 | take_profit |
| 06-26 12:40 | LINK | Buy | 7.25321→7.11446 | -14.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 10:39 | ETH | Buy | 1572.86→1543.27 | -13.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:15 | LINK | Buy | 7.08567→7.30997 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-26 07:02 | SOL | Buy | 68.0542→70.2395 | +21.83 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:54 | AVAX | Sell | 6.13207→6.24988 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:39 | APT | Sell | 0.588753→0.60005 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 04:16 | OP | Sell | 0.102934→0.104929 | -14.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:47 | BTC | Sell | 58678.1→59770.9 | -13.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:45 | ARB | Sell | 0.0707523→0.0721141 | -14.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:05 | AVAX | Sell | 6.15196→5.9939 | +17.32 | timeout |
| 06-26 02:21 | BTC | Buy | 59455→58346.9 | -13.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | OP | Buy | 0.103826→0.101844 | -14.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ARB | Buy | 0.0727982→0.0714064 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 21:00 | AVAX | Buy | 6.11933→6.13677 | +1.42 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:21 | ARB | Sell | 0.0733817→0.0727382 | +5.49 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:16 | BTC | Buy | 58880.9→59594 | +7.84 | timeout |
| 06-25 20:14 | LINK | Buy | 7.2123→7.1952 | -2.34 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:51 | LTC | Sell | 41.4896→40.143 | +22.09 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | BNB | Buy | 563.091→552.056 | -14.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:47 | NEAR | Buy | 1.90498→1.8686 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:30 | INJ | Buy | 4.19305→4.32702 | +21.73 | take_profit |
| 06-25 11:49 | APT | Buy | 0.634959→0.622833 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:24 | LTC | Buy | 41.2593→41.7156 | +7.09 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:06 | BNB | Sell | 564.979→568.462 | -4.89 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:01 | SOL | Buy | 67.6772→68.8087 | +11.02 | timeout |
| 06-25 09:33 | APT | Buy | 0.623856→0.633542 | +10.26 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:24 | APT | Buy | 0.625956→0.623944 | -2.89 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:13 | SOL | Buy | 67.4701→67.5369 | +0.09 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:09 | INJ | Sell | 4.26743→4.18235 | +13.38 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:06 | LTC | Sell | 40.7088→41.2613 | -10.18 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:49 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0743414→0.0757668 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:17 | ETH | Buy | 1562.06→1611.84 | +21.70 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:06 | NEAR | Sell | 1.90142→1.93975 | -14.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:02 | OP | Buy | 0.0978445→0.100985 | +21.82 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:21 | BNB | Sell | 568.278→550.278 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | LTC | Sell | 41.4676→40.03 | +23.65 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ARB | Buy | 0.0751188→0.0736747 | -14.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:47 | SUI | Buy | 0.684791→0.671766 | -13.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:45 | SOL | Buy | 68.8433→67.5441 | -13.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:14 | SOL | Buy | 69.3254→68.8927 | -5.01 | timeout |
| 06-24 13:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.148027→0.145201 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:23 | BTC | Buy | 62812.1→61643.1 | -13.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:23 | ARB | Buy | 0.0780095→0.0764426 | -14.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.10298→1.08139 | -14.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 11:05 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0791242→0.0785486 | +4.46 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.151968→0.149008 | -14.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 08:02 | SOL | Sell | 70.0285→69.3804 | +5.76 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:23 | BNB | Buy | 579.455→579.655 | -0.44 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:32 | OP | Buy | 0.100355→0.099805 | -4.28 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:24 | NEAR | Buy | 1.9891→1.95134 | -13.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 01:33 | ADA | Sell | 0.150972→0.153845 | -13.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 23:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.150818→0.151332 | +1.76 | timeout |
| 06-23 22:33 | OP | Sell | 0.099915→0.100355 | -3.68 | timeout |
| 06-23 22:28 | NEAR | Sell | 1.9904→1.989 | -0.12 | timeout |
| 06-23 22:03 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0787183→0.0787907 | -1.35 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:17 | NEAR | Sell | 1.993→1.9908 | +0.15 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:01 | ADA | Sell | 0.152722→0.150968 | +7.46 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:44 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0789413→0.0786377 | +2.03 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:04 | OP | Buy | 0.0969442→0.100015 | +21.51 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
725
closed
44%
win rate
-731.64
total pnl ($)
-14.3 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APT | 60 | 48% | +15.8 | +66.52 |
| OP | 58 | 36% | -18.8 | -76.91 |
| ETH | 54 | 48% | -9.7 | -36.84 |
| INJ | 52 | 42% | +2.9 | +9.86 |
| BTC | 51 | 41% | -25.3 | -90.36 |
| ARB | 49 | 31% | -65.0 | -223.00 |
| LINK | 46 | 39% | -32.2 | -104.36 |
| LTC | 46 | 61% | +28.1 | +90.15 |
| BNB | 46 | 46% | +5.9 | +18.57 |
| SOL | 45 | 40% | -50.1 | -158.63 |
| AVAX | 44 | 45% | -18.4 | -57.02 |
| ADA | 39 | 54% | -7.6 | -21.38 |
| DOGE | 37 | 38% | -65.8 | -170.64 |
| XRP | 32 | 44% | +17.4 | +38.61 |
| ATOM | 31 | 52% | +32.1 | +69.42 |
| NEAR | 21 | 43% | -1.2 | -1.81 |
| SUI | 14 | 29% | -85.3 | -83.81 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||