376
closed trades
44%
win rate
-35.24
total pnl ($)
1.639
weight
7d window — n=46 wr=50% pnl=+68.94
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 16:09:32 (38.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 319
· wr: 43.3%
· total_bps: -2043.7
· mean_bps: -6.41
· sharpe: -0.06
· max_dd_bps: -2745.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 09:11 | ETH | Buy | 1579.26→1581.04 | +0.19 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:29 | NEAR | Buy | 1.79965→1.79905 | -0.85 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:07 | SUI | Buy | 0.702125→0.714511 | +11.72 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:43 | APT | Buy | 0.597749→0.603349 | +5.88 | timeout |
| 06-27 03:06 | LINK | Sell | 7.29388→7.38014 | -8.96 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:04 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0750298→0.0752802 | +1.77 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:06 | ADA | Sell | 0.148913→0.146637 | +10.12 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:04 | AVAX | Buy | 6.43941→6.31716 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 20:49 | BNB | Buy | 562.11→565.009 | +2.93 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:34 | NEAR | Sell | 1.80115→1.81085 | -4.35 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:08 | BTC | Sell | 59484→60125 | -8.13 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:07 | ATOM | Sell | 1.6068→1.5968 | +3.59 | timeout |
| 06-26 14:13 | SOL | Buy | 69.0073→71.2093 | +21.67 | take_profit |
| 06-26 12:40 | LINK | Buy | 7.24771→7.10986 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:58 | SUI | Buy | 0.689192→0.675843 | -14.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 08:37 | INJ | Buy | 4.3959→4.53936 | +22.24 | take_profit |
| 06-26 07:32 | LINK | Buy | 7.09627→7.32237 | +21.65 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:54 | AVAX | Sell | 6.13437→6.25309 | -14.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:43 | LTC | Sell | 40.8978→41.7123 | -14.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 04:41 | BNB | Buy | 560.07→560.48 | -0.17 | timeout |
| 06-26 02:13 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6136→1.58251 | -14.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | NEAR | Buy | 1.81615→1.78166 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 00:59 | LINK | Buy | 7.1921→7.22779 | +2.79 | timeout |
| 06-25 23:28 | ADA | Sell | 0.141505→0.144218 | -14.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 23:27 | SOL | Sell | 67.2669→68.1922 | -10.25 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:24 | INJ | Sell | 4.17626→4.23256 | -10.06 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:11 | BNB | Buy | 550.328→556.391 | +7.03 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:45 | NEAR | Buy | 1.85546→1.82023 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:26 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0727892→0.0750952 | +21.53 | take_profit |
| 06-25 16:10 | ADA | Sell | 0.142424→0.145139 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 15:16 | OP | Buy | 0.103106→0.101024 | -14.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:48 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0761989→0.0737124 | +22.20 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | LTC | Sell | 41.6646→40.5941 | +17.37 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:46 | XRP | Sell | 1.08533→1.05096 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:30 | INJ | Buy | 4.19105→4.32702 | +22.12 | take_profit |
| 06-25 12:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.149017→0.14617 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 06:03 | ETH | Buy | 1621.26→1645.24 | +9.67 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:03 | APT | Sell | 0.629842→0.630558 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:03 | LTC | Buy | 41.1203→41.8945 | +12.52 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:24 | SOL | Sell | 67.9908→69.272 | -13.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:07 | AVAX | Sell | 6.42469→6.55041 | -14.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 22:00 | LTC | Buy | 39.7559→41.0167 | +21.59 | take_profit |
| 06-24 22:00 | ETH | Buy | 1573.46→1623.54 | +21.62 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.05241→6.24304 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:26 | INJ | Buy | 4.16454→4.29823 | +21.84 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:22 | APT | Sell | 0.595451→0.606855 | -14.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 21:44 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0821055→0.0832182 | +8.83 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:44 | APT | Buy | 0.626457→0.634941 | +8.80 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:43 | BTC | Buy | 62676.1→62873.9 | +1.62 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:20 | ARB | Buy | 0.0819105→0.0845788 | +22.15 | take_profit |
| 06-18 20:01 | AVAX | Sell | 6.25654→6.37618 | -14.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 04:15 | LTC | Buy | 45.8365→45.7286 | -2.33 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:27 | SUI | Buy | 0.7996→0.784411 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:14 | LINK | Buy | 8.35969→8.20075 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:45 | NEAR | Buy | 2.46072→2.41369 | -14.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:26 | INJ | Buy | 5.68842→5.57991 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:06 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0903764→0.0888652 | +11.02 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:06 | BTC | Buy | 67113.4→66397.7 | -8.11 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:06 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9975→1.95969 | +12.53 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:48 | ADA | Sell | 0.187993→0.181935 | +21.90 | take_profit |
| 06-15 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 7.03036→6.89203 | -14.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:53 | AVAX | Buy | 6.52593→6.42369 | -11.54 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:53 | ETH | Buy | 1640.26→1625.24 | -7.00 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:41 | APT | Buy | 0.648262→0.635123 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 17:32 | ADA | Buy | 0.163401→0.16028 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:46 | SUI | Buy | 0.753968→0.739565 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 14:20 | BNB | Sell | 586.823→591.288 | -5.95 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80385→1.78885 | -6.47 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.16136→0.163319 | +7.94 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | BTC | Buy | 61601.1→61884.9 | +2.59 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:43 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52817→6.65459 | -14.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 00:50 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76764→1.77576 | +2.53 | timeout |
| 06-09 23:25 | ADA | Buy | 0.165171→0.168578 | +13.75 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | DOGE | Sell | 0.083962→0.0851093 | -10.16 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | BTC | Buy | 61263.1→62016.9 | +8.02 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49972→6.65704 | +16.43 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:18 | APT | Sell | 0.646338→0.658694 | -14.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:17 | ARB | Sell | 0.0786703→0.0803502 | -15.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.70518→6.57786 | -13.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:05 | ADA | Sell | 0.169298→0.167992 | +4.79 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:05 | APT | Sell | 0.666933→0.667167 | -0.83 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.75994→1.7265 | -13.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 11:02 | SOL | Sell | 66.915→66.2799 | +5.96 | timeout |
| 06-09 08:52 | AVAX | Buy | 6.62226→6.72542 | +10.23 | timeout |
| 06-09 07:04 | BTC | Sell | 62605.9→63339.2 | -8.81 | timeout |
| 06-09 07:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.166832→0.169648 | +11.15 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:32 | ARB | Sell | 0.0806098→0.0822116 | -14.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 04:40 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0847648→0.0863938 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 02:40 | APT | Buy | 0.652363→0.63972 | -14.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:49 | SOL | Sell | 67.4889→65.3458 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:38 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830592→0.0804201 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:33 | LINK | Sell | 8.11637→7.85916 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.8207→6.69068 | -13.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:13 | SUI | Buy | 0.765911→0.753871 | -11.69 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:15 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77024→1.79945 | +11.08 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:33 | SOL | Buy | 66.626→67.5999 | +9.64 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:04 | APT | Buy | 0.68177→0.685229 | +2.87 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:00 | INJ | Buy | 5.69582→5.87603 | +21.50 | take_profit |
| 06-08 17:34 | SUI | Buy | 0.75902→0.75883 | -0.85 | timeout |
| 06-08 16:42 | BNB | Buy | 597.859→604.489 | +7.08 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
376
closed
44%
win rate
-35.24
total pnl ($)
-1.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 35 | 54% | +4.2 | +9.56 |
| APT | 35 | 46% | -4.9 | -12.00 |
| AVAX | 32 | 41% | -48.7 | -109.50 |
| ATOM | 30 | 40% | -19.7 | -41.62 |
| BNB | 27 | 44% | -6.7 | -13.15 |
| BTC | 23 | 43% | -19.5 | -31.37 |
| NEAR | 23 | 39% | +19.8 | +31.86 |
| LINK | 23 | 39% | -16.1 | -26.40 |
| ARB | 23 | 43% | +18.3 | +29.08 |
| SOL | 21 | 52% | +16.4 | +23.39 |
| INJ | 20 | 60% | +106.8 | +149.30 |
| LTC | 19 | 47% | +39.1 | +51.91 |
| DOGE | 18 | 50% | +16.3 | +20.41 |
| OP | 14 | 36% | -50.7 | -49.78 |
| ETH | 12 | 33% | -7.8 | -6.61 |
| SUI | 12 | 25% | -88.2 | -74.20 |
| XRP | 9 | 44% | +22.1 | +13.88 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||