441
closed trades
38%
win rate
-702.72
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=70 wr=34% pnl=-168.06
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 16:09:32 (39.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 372
· wr: 47.0%
· total_bps: -2409.3
· mean_bps: -6.48
· sharpe: -0.07
· max_dd_bps: -2713.2
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 07:37 | NEAR | Sell | 1.81565→1.80875 | +2.00 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:26 | LINK | Sell | 7.37975→7.38365 | -1.02 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:35 | BTC | Sell | 60272→60286 | -0.78 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:05 | OP | Sell | 0.104644→0.104636 | -0.68 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:06 | INJ | Sell | 4.92627→4.87282 | +6.95 | timeout |
| 06-27 01:52 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5938→1.57911 | -7.07 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:45 | LINK | Sell | 7.31067→7.33033 | -2.52 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:33 | LTC | Buy | 41.8645→41.7396 | -2.69 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:29 | OP | Buy | 0.106437→0.106043 | -3.18 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.04816→1.04384 | -3.52 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:06 | ADA | Sell | 0.149023→0.148237 | +3.05 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:57 | AVAX | Buy | 6.48082→6.38841 | -10.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 18:57 | BNB | Buy | 560.07→564.709 | +5.13 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:03 | INJ | Buy | 4.7847→4.71736 | -10.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 16:35 | APT | Sell | 0.60065→0.609157 | -10.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 16:00 | SUI | Sell | 0.687838→0.697513 | -10.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 15:26 | NEAR | Sell | 1.78315→1.80876 | -10.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:57 | BTC | Sell | 59273→60080 | -10.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:53 | SOL | Buy | 68.7793→70.2715 | +14.53 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:51 | OP | Buy | 0.102086→0.104324 | +14.72 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:19 | AVAX | Buy | 6.13803→6.05206 | -10.43 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:33 | INJ | Sell | 4.48008→4.54641 | -11.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:52 | SUI | Buy | 0.690623→0.680949 | -10.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:51 | ETH | Buy | 1572.76→1551.17 | -10.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:18 | BNB | Buy | 560.42→567.538 | +8.23 | timeout |
| 06-26 08:32 | NEAR | Buy | 1.85266→1.82643 | -10.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 08:25 | INJ | Buy | 4.4179→4.51307 | +14.47 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:46 | XRP | Sell | 1.03094→1.04548 | -10.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:29 | AVAX | Sell | 6.08348→6.16902 | -10.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 05:04 | OP | Buy | 0.104116→0.102653 | -10.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 03:01 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0739945→0.0723921 | +14.53 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:13 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6076→1.58461 | -10.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | INJ | Buy | 4.27527→4.21264 | -10.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | SOL | Buy | 67.3821→66.4468 | -10.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | NEAR | Buy | 1.81445→1.78866 | -10.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 00:09 | ARB | Buy | 0.0725081→0.0732517 | +6.53 | timeout |
| 06-26 00:02 | APT | Sell | 0.597451→0.593848 | +3.52 | timeout |
| 06-25 23:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5845→1.6063 | +8.97 | timeout |
| 06-25 23:00 | SOL | Buy | 66.0889→67.1379 | +10.46 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:58 | ETH | Sell | 1561.14→1582.55 | -10.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 19:17 | NEAR | Buy | 1.86917→1.84292 | -10.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 19:10 | BNB | Buy | 551.338→554.281 | +3.07 | timeout |
| 06-25 16:33 | INJ | Buy | 4.23926→4.17876 | -10.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 16:06 | OP | Buy | 0.102296→0.104584 | +15.02 | take_profit |
| 06-25 15:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.11463→6.02858 | -10.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 14:33 | ATOM | Sell | 1.57061→1.59299 | -10.62 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | SUI | Sell | 0.691167→0.676289 | +14.44 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:45 | NEAR | Buy | 1.91718→1.89028 | -10.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:43 | SOL | Sell | 68.1208→66.642 | +14.56 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:42 | ETH | Sell | 1636.34→1600.46 | +14.71 | take_profit |
| 06-25 11:11 | INJ | Buy | 4.22216→4.16298 | -10.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 10:51 | SOL | Sell | 69.4656→68.3272 | +10.87 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:41 | ETH | Buy | 1649.76→1639.44 | -5.01 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:35 | NEAR | Sell | 1.97091→1.93708 | +11.25 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:35 | SUI | Buy | 0.693773→0.691757 | -2.68 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:33 | AVAX | Buy | 6.57834→6.48563 | -10.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:05 | INJ | Sell | 4.18215→4.24278 | -10.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 04:15 | SOL | Sell | 68.0318→67.5551 | +4.25 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:05 | LTC | Buy | 41.1113→41.2317 | +1.42 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:05 | ETH | Buy | 1622.56→1617.64 | -2.76 | timeout |
| 06-25 02:19 | NEAR | Buy | 1.96799→1.94024 | -10.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 01:18 | SUI | Buy | 0.686562→0.676832 | -10.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:06 | BNB | Sell | 552.322→560.1 | -10.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:05 | BTC | Sell | 59596→60409.2 | -10.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:01 | LINK | Sell | 7.1857→7.28646 | -10.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:01 | AVAX | Buy | 6.03311→6.16566 | +14.75 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:27 | ARB | Sell | 0.0734516→0.0745058 | -10.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 18:21 | INJ | Buy | 4.16004→4.24944 | +14.42 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:19 | APT | Sell | 0.594851→0.603452 | -10.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:48 | ETH | Buy | 1573.46→1551.87 | -10.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 19:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0823756→0.0828773 | +3.62 | timeout |
| 06-18 19:45 | BTC | Buy | 62835.1→62943.9 | +0.62 | timeout |
| 06-18 19:44 | AVAX | Sell | 6.26983→6.35867 | -10.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:57 | ARB | Buy | 0.0823006→0.0811491 | -10.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:53 | APT | Buy | 0.627757→0.618936 | -10.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:26 | SOL | Buy | 74.8272→73.785 | -10.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:21 | INJ | Buy | 5.71043→5.62998 | -10.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:10 | ADA | Sell | 0.187883→0.185766 | +7.24 | timeout |
| 06-15 19:20 | BTC | Buy | 67230.4→66314.5 | -10.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:19 | APT | Sell | 0.698425→0.682971 | +14.87 | take_profit |
| 06-15 19:19 | BNB | Buy | 628.707→619.835 | -10.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:18 | AVAX | Buy | 7.03446→6.9337 | -10.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 17:03 | ATOM | Sell | 2.0002→1.95249 | +16.04 | take_profit |
| 06-10 18:40 | XRP | Sell | 1.12642→1.10218 | +14.43 | take_profit |
| 06-10 18:28 | BNB | Buy | 592.678→588.763 | -5.26 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:38 | AVAX | Buy | 6.52593→6.43457 | -10.41 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 17:29 | LINK | Buy | 7.78945→7.68024 | -10.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:25 | SUI | Buy | 0.755689→0.744771 | -10.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 15:25 | INJ | Sell | 5.27898→5.35401 | -10.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 14:37 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13213→2.10142 | -10.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 14:00 | LTC | Buy | 42.2456→42.7573 | +7.84 | timeout |
| 06-10 12:21 | BNB | Sell | 586.653→583.676 | +2.91 | timeout |
| 06-10 12:20 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52647→6.45251 | +7.27 | timeout |
| 06-10 11:25 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80575→1.77827 | -11.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 09:21 | BTC | Buy | 61610.1→60752.6 | -10.37 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 09:12 | APT | Buy | 0.653663→0.644117 | -10.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 23:06 | LINK | Buy | 7.86527→7.87193 | -0.00 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:58 | BNB | Buy | 594.419→596.211 | +1.48 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:18 | ATOM | Buy | 1.76754→1.77576 | +2.59 | timeout |
| 06-09 20:46 | BTC | Buy | 61257.1→62016.9 | +8.07 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
441
closed
38%
win rate
-702.72
total pnl ($)
-22.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVAX | 39 | 44% | -14.6 | -40.25 |
| BNB | 37 | 49% | -13.5 | -35.41 |
| ATOM | 34 | 32% | -30.3 | -72.19 |
| NEAR | 29 | 34% | -25.9 | -52.88 |
| APT | 29 | 48% | -13.8 | -28.09 |
| ARB | 28 | 39% | -28.1 | -55.45 |
| ADA | 27 | 41% | -15.4 | -29.59 |
| LINK | 27 | 30% | -29.7 | -56.24 |
| OP | 26 | 38% | +2.9 | +4.82 |
| INJ | 26 | 42% | -3.4 | -6.31 |
| BTC | 25 | 28% | -47.9 | -83.84 |
| ETH | 24 | 21% | -44.1 | -74.22 |
| SOL | 24 | 46% | -6.2 | -10.61 |
| LTC | 20 | 50% | -0.5 | -0.90 |
| DOGE | 19 | 32% | -36.0 | -48.01 |
| SUI | 15 | 13% | -76.1 | -79.91 |
| XRP | 12 | 33% | -40.1 | -33.66 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||