445
closed trades
40%
win rate
-435.84
total pnl ($)
0.876
weight
7d window — n=12 wr=25% pnl=-38.84
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 16:09:32 (34.1d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 454
· wr: 44.7%
· total_bps: -2165.5
· mean_bps: -4.77
· sharpe: -0.07
· max_dd_bps: -2605.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 17:44 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0820935→0.0822454 | +0.66 | timeout |
| 06-18 17:43 | BTC | Buy | 62716.1→62561.9 | -2.32 | timeout |
| 06-18 16:05 | AVAX | Sell | 6.25394→6.31724 | -7.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:57 | ARB | Buy | 0.0822506→0.0814089 | -7.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:53 | APT | Buy | 0.626557→0.620135 | -7.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 00:13 | LTC | Buy | 45.8335→45.8405 | -0.54 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.25071→1.23817 | -7.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:27 | NEAR | Buy | 2.45641→2.43088 | -7.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:26 | LINK | Buy | 8.36029→8.27629 | -7.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 21:10 | SOL | Sell | 75.6487→74.7702 | +7.51 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:27 | INJ | Buy | 5.71513→5.65576 | -7.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:18 | ARB | Sell | 0.0892477→0.087852 | +10.30 | take_profit |
| 06-15 18:07 | AVAX | Buy | 7.03116→7.02094 | -1.66 | timeout |
| 06-15 18:07 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0903834→0.0895994 | +5.41 | timeout |
| 06-15 18:07 | ADA | Sell | 0.188033→0.187677 | +0.69 | timeout |
| 06-15 18:06 | BTC | Buy | 67117.4→66794.7 | -4.01 | timeout |
| 06-15 17:03 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9983→1.94819 | +16.90 | take_profit |
| 06-10 17:31 | BTC | Buy | 62373.1→61771 | -7.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 17:29 | LTC | Sell | 42.7063→42.0715 | +9.76 | take_profit |
| 06-10 16:54 | ETH | Buy | 1640.96→1637.84 | -1.97 | timeout |
| 06-10 16:28 | BNB | Buy | 592.258→594.361 | +1.85 | timeout |
| 06-10 16:28 | LINK | Buy | 7.77894→7.75656 | -2.60 | timeout |
| 06-10 15:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.163431→0.165839 | +9.69 | take_profit |
| 06-10 15:01 | INJ | Sell | 5.26278→5.31638 | -7.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 14:37 | NEAR | Buy | 2.12983→2.10692 | -8.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 12:27 | SOL | Sell | 63.4235→63.4305 | -0.72 | timeout |
| 06-10 12:00 | LTC | Buy | 42.2456→42.0335 | -4.15 | timeout |
| 06-10 10:49 | ETH | Sell | 1618.64→1625.16 | -3.46 | timeout |
| 06-10 10:44 | ARB | Sell | 0.0786803→0.0788397 | -2.05 | timeout |
| 06-10 10:21 | BNB | Sell | 586.653→583.136 | +3.56 | timeout |
| 06-10 10:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80575→1.80615 | -0.49 | timeout |
| 06-10 09:21 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52647→6.42911 | +9.80 | take_profit |
| 06-10 08:40 | APT | Buy | 0.653663→0.647114 | -7.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 08:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.1611→0.15941 | -7.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 21:35 | BNB | Buy | 595.989→596.211 | -0.37 | timeout |
| 06-09 21:03 | LINK | Buy | 7.85526→7.87193 | +0.87 | timeout |
| 06-09 18:45 | BTC | Buy | 61325.1→61636.9 | +2.92 | timeout |
| 06-09 18:37 | ATOM | Buy | 1.75974→1.78665 | +10.07 | take_profit |
| 06-09 17:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.162331→0.164749 | +9.80 | take_profit |
| 06-09 17:16 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49972→6.59425 | +9.55 | take_profit |
| 06-09 17:14 | APT | Sell | 0.646438→0.652989 | -7.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:13 | ARB | Sell | 0.0786703→0.0794796 | -7.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 16:58 | INJ | Sell | 5.43824→5.49802 | -8.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 13:06 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0853607→0.0860295 | -6.12 | timeout |
| 06-09 10:42 | BTC | Sell | 62974.9→62656.1 | +2.91 | timeout |
| 06-09 10:06 | ARB | Buy | 0.0811003→0.0802698 | -7.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 09:37 | APT | Sell | 0.670032→0.663966 | +5.72 | timeout |
| 06-09 09:31 | ADA | Sell | 0.169948→0.167482 | +9.52 | take_profit |
| 06-09 08:10 | XRP | Buy | 1.17319→1.16591 | -4.97 | timeout |
| 06-09 08:03 | BNB | Sell | 602.549→603.651 | -1.90 | timeout |
| 06-09 07:42 | ATOM | Buy | 1.75994→1.76946 | +3.16 | timeout |
| 06-09 07:28 | ETH | Buy | 1693.47→1676.29 | -7.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 06:48 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0861425→0.0865156 | -3.65 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:39 | NEAR | Buy | 2.14174→2.17296 | +9.57 | take_profit |
| 06-09 04:35 | SOL | Buy | 65.9649→66.936 | +9.68 | take_profit |
| 06-09 04:34 | AVAX | Buy | 6.62045→6.71932 | +9.84 | take_profit |
| 06-09 04:05 | ARB | Sell | 0.0806098→0.08021 | +2.78 | timeout |
| 06-09 03:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.166512→0.166988 | +1.39 | timeout |
| 06-09 02:37 | APT | Buy | 0.648962→0.642018 | -8.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 02:20 | OP | Buy | 0.0941435→0.0932001 | -7.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 01:51 | XRP | Sell | 1.16631→1.14919 | +9.61 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:30 | INJ | Sell | 5.62799→5.54389 | +9.84 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:25 | LTC | Sell | 43.2972→42.6467 | +9.86 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:24 | BNB | Buy | 602.981→596.852 | -7.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:24 | NEAR | Sell | 2.12987→2.09622 | +10.43 | take_profit |
| 06-08 23:49 | ATOM | Sell | 1.78595→1.75974 | +9.60 | take_profit |
| 06-08 23:27 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0872688→0.0863952 | -7.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 23:26 | LINK | Sell | 8.11507→7.997 | +9.55 | take_profit |
| 06-08 23:07 | ETH | Sell | 1703.53→1708.27 | -2.60 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:32 | SOL | Sell | 67.6509→67.7402 | -1.56 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:10 | OP | Sell | 0.0970357→0.0980535 | -7.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 20:28 | BTC | Buy | 63617.2→63156.8 | -5.70 | timeout |
| 06-08 20:17 | ADA | Sell | 0.171577→0.169072 | +9.58 | take_profit |
| 06-08 20:17 | AVAX | Buy | 6.82→6.74674 | -8.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 19:56 | SUI | Buy | 0.766342→0.758671 | -7.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 18:50 | BNB | Buy | 604.731→606.978 | +1.95 | timeout |
| 06-08 18:32 | NEAR | Buy | 2.19365→2.17157 | -7.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 18:03 | INJ | Buy | 5.67342→5.75566 | +9.51 | take_profit |
| 06-08 17:59 | XRP | Sell | 1.16051→1.17218 | -7.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 17:51 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0870142→0.0866116 | +2.61 | timeout |
| 06-08 16:59 | LTC | Buy | 43.2578→42.9892 | -4.99 | timeout |
| 06-08 16:06 | ARB | Buy | 0.0834209→0.083909 | +3.45 | timeout |
| 06-08 16:06 | OP | Buy | 0.0982746→0.0982254 | -1.00 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:36 | SOL | Buy | 66.872→67.2309 | +3.12 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:03 | LINK | Sell | 8.0063→8.09187 | -8.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 13:30 | XRP | Sell | 1.16001→1.16199 | -1.82 | timeout |
| 06-08 13:30 | APT | Buy | 0.68187→0.674894 | -7.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 13:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.167492→0.165816 | -7.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 13:00 | AVAX | Sell | 6.75571→6.82351 | -7.66 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 12:39 | BNB | Buy | 598.51→600.22 | +1.36 | timeout |
| 06-08 12:30 | INJ | Sell | 5.65019→5.71799 | -9.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 12:04 | SUI | Buy | 0.75966→0.752066 | -7.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:34 | NEAR | Sell | 2.13377→2.15532 | -7.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 10:26 | LINK | Buy | 7.88997→7.86213 | -3.11 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:00 | ATOM | Buy | 1.72363→1.74866 | +9.53 | take_profit |
| 06-08 07:49 | ADA | Sell | 0.162089→0.163713 | -7.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 07:05 | APT | Buy | 0.658165→0.661235 | +2.66 | timeout |
| 06-08 07:04 | BTC | Buy | 62770.1→62865.9 | +0.43 | timeout |
| 06-08 06:33 | BNB | Sell | 597.611→596.639 | +0.50 | timeout |
| 06-08 06:33 | ARB | Buy | 0.0816104→0.0820295 | +2.95 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
445
closed
40%
win rate
-435.84
total pnl ($)
-13.9 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 42 | 38% | -14.5 | -42.84 |
| BNB | 35 | 49% | -10.9 | -26.79 |
| AVAX | 35 | 40% | -21.3 | -52.33 |
| ARB | 33 | 33% | -31.0 | -71.71 |
| BTC | 32 | 38% | -20.3 | -45.54 |
| APT | 30 | 43% | -7.1 | -14.84 |
| ATOM | 30 | 47% | +9.6 | +19.91 |
| DOGE | 25 | 36% | -34.8 | -60.99 |
| LINK | 24 | 38% | -27.9 | -46.84 |
| SOL | 22 | 36% | -7.8 | -12.13 |
| OP | 22 | 41% | +5.0 | +7.51 |
| ETH | 21 | 43% | -15.7 | -23.12 |
| LTC | 21 | 48% | +21.0 | +30.64 |
| INJ | 21 | 38% | -14.2 | -20.97 |
| NEAR | 20 | 45% | -9.7 | -13.60 |
| XRP | 18 | 39% | -5.4 | -6.85 |
| SUI | 14 | 21% | -56.4 | -55.38 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||