168
closed trades
43%
win rate
+195.59
total pnl ($)
2.385
weight
7d window — n=45 wr=44% pnl=+174.60
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 17:48 (39.3d ago) · src: backtest-gate-results.jsonl
verdict: ERROR
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
strategies_batch_alm
n: 0
· wr: 0.0%
· total_bps: +0.0
· mean_bps: +0.00
· sharpe: +0.00
· max_dd_bps: +0.0
gate: min_trades=5 min_wr=0.45 min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=227.73
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 20:28 | ETH | Sell | 1577.04→1580.66 | -1.63 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:20 | ETH | Sell | 1578.24→1589.56 | -4.01 | timeout |
| 06-27 18:18 | ETH | Sell | 1578.34→1592.36 | -4.88 | timeout |
| 06-27 17:10 | ETH | Sell | 1583.44→1593.26 | -3.56 | timeout |
| 06-27 07:31 | ETH | Sell | 1580.74→1581.76 | -0.88 | timeout |
| 06-26 18:23 | ETH | Sell | 1569.64→1581.56 | -4.13 | timeout |
| 06-26 17:25 | ETH | Sell | 1568.04→1583.26 | -5.16 | timeout |
| 06-26 16:24 | ETH | Sell | 1572.64→1575.86 | -1.32 | timeout |
| 06-26 15:20 | ETH | Sell | 1558.64→1570.36 | -4.06 | timeout |
| 06-26 06:39 | ETH | Sell | 1530.85→1568.74 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:16 | ETH | Sell | 1589.04→1519.25 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:49 | ETH | Sell | 1642.54→1570.56 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | ETH | Sell | 1646.24→1573.76 | +21.53 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | ETH | Sell | 1647.74→1575.46 | +21.46 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | ETH | Sell | 1650.03→1577.66 | +21.46 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:48 | ETH | Sell | 1652.33→1579.66 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-25 06:56 | ETH | Sell | 1619.54→1659.6 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 06:56 | ETH | Sell | 1618.74→1658.89 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 06:56 | ETH | Sell | 1618.94→1658.99 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 06:41 | ETH | Sell | 1614.84→1654.79 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:07 | ETH | Sell | 1609.24→1649.09 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 22:00 | ETH | Sell | 1583.84→1623.07 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:06 | ETH | Sell | 1570.14→1608.96 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:06 | ETH | Sell | 1569.04→1608.06 | -12.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 17:20 | ETH | Sell | 1642.04→1569.96 | +21.48 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:16 | ETH | Sell | 1653.33→1580.86 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ETH | Sell | 1664.63→1590.16 | +21.90 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ETH | Sell | 1669.73→1596.26 | +21.53 | take_profit |
| 06-24 16:51 | ETH | Sell | 1679.53→1605.66 | +21.53 | take_profit |
| 06-24 12:10 | ETH | Sell | 1657.73→1677.17 | -6.29 | timeout |
| 06-24 11:09 | ETH | Sell | 1652.83→1659.57 | -2.48 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:05 | ETH | Sell | 1656.33→1665.47 | -3.18 | timeout |
| 06-24 09:04 | ETH | Sell | 1649.04→1668.77 | -6.39 | timeout |
| 06-24 08:04 | ETH | Sell | 1677.83→1673.07 | +1.06 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | ETH | Sell | 1710.13→1635.16 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:15 | ETH | Sell | 1740.93→1663.27 | +21.72 | take_profit |
| 06-23 08:13 | ETH | Sell | 1753.42→1676.57 | +21.23 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:21 | ETH | Sell | 1762.62→1685.37 | +21.39 | take_profit |
| 06-23 06:20 | ETH | Sell | 1774.02→1696.17 | +21.42 | take_profit |
| 06-23 01:41 | ETH | Sell | 1745.43→1727.47 | +4.67 | timeout |
| 06-22 11:33 | ETH | Sell | 1718.23→1760.76 | -12.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 07:02 | ETH | Sell | 1733.93→1735.17 | -0.78 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:03 | ETH | Sell | 1732.53→1733.87 | -0.83 | timeout |
| 06-22 03:12 | ETH | Sell | 1734.53→1732.27 | +0.32 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:00 | ETH | Sell | 1736.23→1727.27 | +2.27 | timeout |
| 06-18 22:04 | ETH | Sell | 1728.83→1706.07 | +6.25 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:53 | ETH | Sell | 1764.62→1687.27 | +21.25 | take_profit |
| 06-18 15:51 | ETH | Sell | 1768.02→1690.37 | +21.28 | take_profit |
| 06-16 12:16 | ETH | Sell | 1776.82→1821.39 | -12.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 11:26 | ETH | Sell | 1720.93→1763.56 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:40 | ETH | Sell | 1675.03→1716.53 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:40 | ETH | Sell | 1674.53→1716.03 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:25 | ETH | Sell | 1662.93→1704.62 | -12.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 11:03 | ETH | Sell | 1672.73→1672.67 | -0.42 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:54 | ETH | Sell | 1672.83→1677.57 | -1.87 | timeout |
| 06-14 08:48 | ETH | Sell | 1675.13→1677.07 | -1.11 | timeout |
| 06-14 01:40 | ETH | Sell | 1667.63→1684.67 | -5.50 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:40 | ETH | Sell | 1666.83→1682.67 | -5.14 | timeout |
| 06-13 09:25 | ETH | Sell | 1676.83→1673.97 | +0.55 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:19 | ETH | Sell | 1679.83→1666.97 | +3.34 | timeout |
| 06-12 20:19 | ETH | Sell | 1678.43→1664.77 | +3.60 | timeout |
| 06-12 19:17 | ETH | Sell | 1681.43→1667.67 | +3.61 | timeout |
| 06-12 18:10 | ETH | Sell | 1678.33→1665.77 | +3.24 | timeout |
| 06-12 08:30 | ETH | Sell | 1660.03→1673.87 | -4.55 | timeout |
| 06-11 17:49 | ETH | Sell | 1651.13→1692.01 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 17:49 | ETH | Sell | 1650.53→1691.41 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 17:49 | ETH | Sell | 1646.94→1687.71 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 17:48 | ETH | Sell | 1642.74→1685.01 | -13.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 14:16 | ETH | Sell | 1644.74→1644.86 | -0.43 | timeout |
| 06-11 11:51 | ETH | Sell | 1628.54→1669.2 | -12.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 08:14 | ETH | Sell | 1635.84→1657.27 | -6.85 | timeout |
| 06-11 03:55 | ETH | Sell | 1615.34→1655.99 | -13.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 01:41 | ETH | Sell | 1607.54→1647.29 | -12.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 19:44 | ETH | Sell | 1650.83→1631.26 | +5.37 | timeout |
| 06-10 18:42 | ETH | Sell | 1648.44→1626.96 | +5.95 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:40 | ETH | Sell | 1646.34→1625.36 | +5.92 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:36 | ETH | Sell | 1613.34→1653.29 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:22 | ETH | Sell | 1681.83→1648.06 | +9.55 | timeout |
| 06-09 16:20 | ETH | Sell | 1695.63→1621.26 | +21.40 | take_profit |
| 06-09 16:19 | ETH | Sell | 1696.43→1622.06 | +21.38 | take_profit |
| 06-09 16:00 | ETH | Sell | 1689.53→1636.66 | +15.31 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:09 | ETH | Sell | 1667.63→1708.92 | -12.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 21:09 | ETH | Sell | 1667.43→1708.72 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 21:07 | ETH | Sell | 1666.43→1708.02 | -13.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:14 | ETH | Sell | 1632.04→1672.7 | -12.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:14 | ETH | Sell | 1632.34→1672.7 | -12.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:14 | ETH | Sell | 1629.84→1670.4 | -12.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:13 | ETH | Sell | 1609.14→1649.09 | -12.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 22:13 | ETH | Sell | 1607.34→1647.09 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 08:46 | ETH | Sell | 1589.14→1628.48 | -12.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 05:18 | ETH | Sell | 1570.14→1608.96 | -12.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 05:13 | ETH | Sell | 1566.84→1605.76 | -12.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 03:19 | ETH | Sell | 1561.34→1599.96 | -12.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 03:19 | ETH | Sell | 1559.34→1597.96 | -12.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 01:29 | ETH | Sell | 1557.54→1596.06 | -12.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 06:21 | ETH | Sell | 1541.65→1580.15 | -12.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 05:22 | ETH | Sell | 1522.05→1559.74 | -12.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:38 | ETH | Sell | 1581.74→1511.45 | +21.74 | take_profit |
| 06-06 04:31 | ETH | Sell | 1593.04→1523.15 | +21.35 | take_profit |
| 06-06 04:31 | ETH | Sell | 1593.74→1523.85 | +21.36 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
168
closed
43%
win rate
+195.59
total pnl ($)
+23.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
2
closed
100%
win rate
+4.64
total pnl ($)
-184.1 bps
avg bps net
Live: 2 trades (insufficient sample, <5)
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 137 | 40% | +29.3 | +192.21 |
| BTC | 31 | 55% | +3.8 | +3.38 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 21:39 | ETH | Sell | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||