212
closed trades
36%
win rate
-547.25
total pnl ($)
0.733
weight
7d window — n=29 wr=38% pnl=-81.23
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 16:09:32 (39.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 148
· wr: 40.5%
· total_bps: -2646.2
· mean_bps: -17.88
· sharpe: -0.10
· max_dd_bps: -3428.9
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 21:57 | ARB | Buy | 0.0739785→0.0734216 | -5.81 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:21 | ADA | Sell | 0.147063→0.148317 | -6.85 | timeout |
| 06-27 14:01 | NEAR | Buy | 1.80275→1.84424 | +15.40 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:38 | APT | Buy | 0.588547→0.59985 | +12.60 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:07 | LTC | Buy | 41.0163→42.8013 | +30.15 | take_profit |
| 06-26 21:02 | BTC | Buy | 59445→59698 | +2.21 | timeout |
| 06-26 16:00 | LINK | Sell | 7.22189→7.40345 | -18.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 14:20 | ARB | Sell | 0.0732617→0.0725581 | +6.30 | timeout |
| 06-26 14:14 | BTC | Buy | 59320→59952 | +6.76 | timeout |
| 06-26 11:53 | NEAR | Buy | 1.82506→1.77896 | -18.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:53 | SUI | Buy | 0.696314→0.678841 | -18.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.140265→0.146373 | +29.86 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:46 | ARB | Sell | 0.0704824→0.0722842 | -18.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:16 | LINK | Buy | 7.2123→7.03072 | -18.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | AVAX | Buy | 6.14894→5.995 | -18.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 20:30 | NEAR | Buy | 1.86107→1.81454 | -18.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:41 | APT | Sell | 0.589253→0.604253 | -18.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:16 | LTC | Sell | 40.062→41.0658 | -18.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:55 | INJ | Sell | 4.24444→4.05901 | +29.89 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:55 | INJ | Buy | 4.16454→4.05616 | -18.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | NEAR | Sell | 1.96831→1.88197 | +30.05 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:45 | ETH | Buy | 1628.76→1588.45 | -17.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:40 | ETH | Buy | 1647.56→1606.84 | -17.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:41 | NEAR | Buy | 1.96539→1.91616 | -17.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:05 | ETH | Buy | 1574.16→1643.14 | +30.02 | take_profit |
| 06-25 03:39 | INJ | Buy | 4.26227→4.15488 | -18.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 01:56 | BNB | Sell | 552.612→566.585 | -18.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:42 | AVAX | Buy | 6.05241→6.31702 | +29.97 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:01 | APT | Sell | 0.596351→0.611458 | -18.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 15:47 | BTC | Buy | 62737.1→63212.8 | +4.80 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:47 | APT | Buy | 0.624156→0.63834 | +15.22 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:47 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822736→0.0832192 | +7.38 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:38 | AVAX | Sell | 6.25983→5.9824 | +30.24 | take_profit |
| 06-19 01:02 | ARB | Buy | 0.0821605→0.0857486 | +29.86 | take_profit |
| 06-16 16:09 | ATOM | Sell | 2.0002→1.9877 | +3.78 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | BTC | Buy | 67164.4→65511 | -17.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | LTC | Buy | 45.8395→44.6945 | -18.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:28 | LINK | Buy | 8.36659→8.15588 | -18.26 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:14 | BNB | Buy | 628.417→612.56 | -18.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 21:08 | AVAX | Buy | 7.03236→6.85556 | -18.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:56 | ADA | Sell | 0.187913→0.179695 | +29.96 | take_profit |
| 06-11 14:25 | BNB | Buy | 592.238→600.08 | +8.43 | timeout |
| 06-11 10:00 | LTC | Buy | 42.2456→42.4994 | +3.50 | timeout |
| 06-11 08:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.16137→0.167338 | +25.12 | timeout |
| 06-10 21:05 | ADA | Buy | 0.163421→0.15928 | -18.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:44 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49482→6.51287 | +1.59 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:37 | ARB | Sell | 0.0787203→0.0807105 | -18.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 11:04 | APT | Buy | 0.654264→0.637921 | -18.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 09:21 | BNB | Buy | 595.589→580.704 | -18.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 08:38 | LINK | Buy | 7.86747→7.67044 | -18.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 06:04 | BNB | Sell | 602.529→596.599 | +6.27 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:55 | LTC | Sell | 43.2702→43.3978 | -2.49 | timeout |
| 06-09 18:20 | APT | Sell | 0.647338→0.663798 | -18.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 18:17 | ARB | Sell | 0.0787803→0.0807906 | -18.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:21 | BNB | Buy | 603.201→588.029 | -18.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:18 | BNB | Buy | 603.551→588.458 | -18.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 10:54 | INJ | Sell | 5.65749→5.80045 | -18.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 05:39 | NEAR | Sell | 2.13257→2.18624 | -18.19 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 23:26 | OP | Buy | 0.0981645→0.0956882 | -18.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 22:30 | BNB | Buy | 604.651→605.049 | -0.38 | timeout |
| 06-08 22:30 | ARB | Sell | 0.0831892→0.0824206 | +5.84 | timeout |
| 06-08 22:30 | AVAX | Sell | 6.8→6.7848 | +1.00 | timeout |
| 06-08 16:18 | APT | Sell | 0.673632→0.690518 | -18.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 12:57 | ATOM | Sell | 1.71447→1.75802 | -18.51 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 07:49 | BNB | Buy | 579.945→588.583 | +9.61 | timeout |
| 06-07 05:13 | SOL | Sell | 62.7616→64.3208 | -18.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 01:23 | LTC | Sell | 41.0367→42.0926 | -18.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 01:18 | LINK | Sell | 7.34516→7.52964 | -18.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 01:08 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0808998→0.0829322 | -18.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 19:20 | LTC | Buy | 42.5856→41.4799 | -18.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 07:20 | INJ | Sell | 5.04404→5.17988 | -19.48 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:27 | INJ | Sell | 5.15101→4.92443 | +30.04 | take_profit |
| 06-06 04:27 | LINK | Sell | 7.42364→7.09917 | +29.92 | take_profit |
| 06-06 04:23 | XRP | Sell | 1.11352→1.06487 | +29.92 | take_profit |
| 06-06 04:19 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0828473→0.0792388 | +29.85 | take_profit |
| 06-06 04:05 | OP | Sell | 0.0992452→0.0948237 | +30.45 | take_profit |
| 06-05 23:26 | APT | Buy | 0.677769→0.659905 | -19.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 23:24 | ARB | Buy | 0.0819305→0.0798801 | -18.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 22:03 | NEAR | Buy | 2.03971→1.98751 | -18.55 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 20:47 | LTC | Sell | 42.4304→43.5046 | -18.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 20:47 | SUI | Buy | 0.67849→0.708003 | +29.82 | take_profit |
| 06-05 20:25 | ADA | Sell | 0.15837→0.162362 | -18.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 20:15 | ETH | Sell | 1553.24→1591.65 | -17.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 20:15 | AVAX | Sell | 6.71622→6.88886 | -18.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 19:48 | OP | Sell | 0.0939265→0.0963522 | -18.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 19:06 | INJ | Sell | 5.03734→4.8161 | +30.11 | take_profit |
| 06-05 18:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.10698→1.07919 | -18.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 18:52 | ATOM | Sell | 1.68718→1.6132 | +30.10 | take_profit |
| 06-05 18:52 | ARB | Sell | 0.0825094→0.0788797 | +30.18 | take_profit |
| 06-05 18:44 | LINK | Buy | 7.43076→7.24237 | -18.38 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:02 | LINK | Sell | 7.56021→7.22891 | +30.08 | take_profit |
| 06-05 15:39 | BNB | Buy | 589.717→574.839 | -18.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 14:06 | SOL | Buy | 65.6969→64.0633 | -18.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:57 | DOGE | Buy | 0.08418→0.0820624 | -18.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:56 | AVAX | Sell | 7.29698→6.97564 | +30.20 | take_profit |
| 06-05 13:17 | INJ | Buy | 4.90723→5.12292 | +30.13 | take_profit |
| 06-05 11:57 | ATOM | Sell | 1.77226→1.69492 | +30.00 | take_profit |
| 06-05 11:44 | ATOM | Buy | 1.75194→1.70782 | -18.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 09:15 | XRP | Sell | 1.11252→1.14045 | -18.23 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 09:15 | SUI | Sell | 0.699175→0.716757 | -18.21 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
212
closed
36%
win rate
-547.25
total pnl ($)
-36.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APT | 23 | 43% | +12.1 | +19.72 |
| ADA | 17 | 41% | -4.9 | -6.40 |
| BNB | 17 | 35% | -77.9 | -92.59 |
| ARB | 17 | 29% | -75.4 | -88.75 |
| AVAX | 17 | 47% | +19.3 | +22.09 |
| ATOM | 15 | 33% | -80.7 | -83.87 |
| NEAR | 14 | 43% | +20.0 | +19.78 |
| INJ | 14 | 29% | -65.1 | -63.89 |
| LTC | 14 | 43% | -41.0 | -39.94 |
| LINK | 13 | 23% | -101.4 | -92.54 |
| BTC | 11 | 45% | +0.1 | -0.25 |
| DOGE | 11 | 55% | +85.5 | +65.73 |
| OP | 9 | 22% | -108.4 | -68.45 |
| ETH | 7 | 14% | -94.0 | -46.22 |
| SUI | 7 | 29% | -62.8 | -30.87 |
| SOL | 3 | 0% | -257.4 | -54.25 |
| XRP | 3 | 33% | -30.7 | -6.54 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||