337
closed trades
43%
win rate
-296.14
total pnl ($)
1.344
weight
7d window — n=46 wr=48% pnl=+20.31
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 16:09:32 (38.7d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 319
· wr: 43.3%
· total_bps: -2043.7
· mean_bps: -6.41
· sharpe: -0.06
· max_dd_bps: -2745.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 07:19 | OP | Sell | 0.104404→0.104796 | -3.41 | timeout |
| 06-27 04:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0754209→0.0756191 | +1.26 | timeout |
| 06-27 03:06 | ATOM | Sell | 1.5825→1.5884 | -3.25 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:24 | XRP | Sell | 1.04674→1.0667 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 00:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.148277→0.148423 | +0.01 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:53 | INJ | Buy | 4.75799→4.85409 | +13.51 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:10 | ATOM | Sell | 1.6031→1.583 | +8.12 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:00 | SUI | Sell | 0.690997→0.704168 | -13.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 16:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.01795→1.05004 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-26 16:00 | AVAX | Sell | 6.27553→6.39509 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 13:56 | OP | Buy | 0.102106→0.105404 | +21.98 | take_profit |
| 06-26 13:56 | INJ | Sell | 4.48008→4.57613 | -15.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:39 | LTC | Buy | 41.4344→40.6135 | -14.53 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:00 | ADA | Buy | 0.142736→0.143244 | +1.84 | timeout |
| 06-26 11:50 | ETH | Buy | 1572.56→1543.07 | -13.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 09:57 | SUI | Buy | 0.691173→0.677951 | -14.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:14 | XRP | Sell | 1.03014→1.04979 | -13.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:54 | OP | Buy | 0.104326→0.107653 | +21.68 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:44 | ARB | Buy | 0.0714379→0.0737116 | +21.62 | take_profit |
| 06-26 04:57 | BNB | Buy | 560.38→559.58 | -1.68 | timeout |
| 06-26 03:47 | BTC | Sell | 58654.1→59748.8 | -13.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | SOL | Buy | 67.3351→66.063 | -13.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:13 | NEAR | Sell | 1.82944→1.77114 | +21.69 | take_profit |
| 06-26 01:48 | ARB | Buy | 0.072068→0.0724319 | +2.94 | timeout |
| 06-26 00:37 | AVAX | Buy | 6.16294→6.22154 | +6.03 | timeout |
| 06-25 23:22 | SUI | Sell | 0.671802→0.684603 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.143056→0.143684 | +2.42 | timeout |
| 06-25 19:22 | NEAR | Buy | 1.86597→1.83013 | -14.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 19:13 | OP | Buy | 0.102376→0.100335 | -14.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 16:55 | INJ | Buy | 4.17544→4.09553 | -14.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:51 | SUI | Sell | 0.689768→0.667607 | +21.86 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:46 | NEAR | Buy | 1.91668→1.88009 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:46 | XRP | Sell | 1.08593→1.05166 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:43 | ARB | Sell | 0.0771907→0.0747287 | +21.67 | take_profit |
| 06-25 11:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0771773→0.0757022 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 11:41 | NEAR | Sell | 1.97311→1.91088 | +21.34 | take_profit |
| 06-25 06:21 | APT | Sell | 0.629942→0.631158 | -1.97 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:17 | SUI | Buy | 0.685041→0.694606 | +9.16 | timeout |
| 06-25 06:13 | ETH | Buy | 1625.46→1646.84 | +8.54 | timeout |
| 06-25 03:15 | NEAR | Buy | 1.97199→1.93395 | -14.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 22:00 | ETH | Buy | 1573.36→1623.44 | +21.66 | take_profit |
| 06-24 20:46 | ADA | Sell | 0.141845→0.144558 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:09 | BNB | Sell | 553.052→563.843 | -14.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 20:07 | AVAX | Buy | 6.05241→6.24304 | +21.41 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:26 | INJ | Buy | 4.16454→4.29863 | +21.91 | take_profit |
| 06-24 18:25 | APT | Sell | 0.596351→0.608056 | -14.39 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 21:46 | APT | Buy | 0.624956→0.634541 | +10.05 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:46 | BTC | Buy | 62794.1→62888.9 | +0.46 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:28 | ARB | Buy | 0.0820205→0.0846388 | +21.69 | take_profit |
| 06-18 20:01 | AVAX | Sell | 6.25664→6.37618 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:24 | INJ | Buy | 5.71043→5.6018 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:11 | BNB | Buy | 628.297→619.585 | -10.25 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:11 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9969→1.95919 | +12.49 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:48 | ADA | Sell | 0.187703→0.181725 | +21.64 | take_profit |
| 06-15 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 7.02876→6.89483 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:55 | AVAX | Buy | 6.54103→6.41609 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.162551→0.16025 | -10.56 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:33 | BNB | Buy | 591.258→587.623 | -4.93 | timeout |
| 06-10 16:01 | LTC | Buy | 42.2236→42.7393 | +8.02 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | BNB | Sell | 586.823→591.288 | -5.95 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80385→1.78885 | -6.47 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:43 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52997→6.65459 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 09:20 | APT | Buy | 0.654264→0.641818 | -13.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 01:02 | BNB | Buy | 593.838→596.251 | +2.21 | timeout |
| 06-10 00:22 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77164→1.77576 | +0.94 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49972→6.65704 | +16.42 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:45 | BTC | Buy | 61384.1→62016.9 | +6.62 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:19 | APT | Sell | 0.646838→0.659294 | -14.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:17 | ARB | Sell | 0.0787403→0.0802902 | -14.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:05 | APT | Sell | 0.666533→0.668267 | -2.40 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:21 | ARB | Buy | 0.0815004→0.07995 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 11:01 | SOL | Sell | 66.9999→66.36 | +6.01 | timeout |
| 06-09 11:00 | INJ | Buy | 5.6207→5.79825 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-09 07:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.166902→0.169638 | +10.81 | timeout |
| 06-09 07:03 | BTC | Sell | 62672.9→63362.2 | -8.31 | timeout |
| 06-09 04:48 | LTC | Sell | 43.2892→42.8987 | +5.60 | timeout |
| 06-09 04:40 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0847648→0.0863938 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:49 | SOL | Sell | 67.4509→65.3098 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:32 | APT | Sell | 0.68023→0.658765 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.8212→6.69068 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 22:06 | LTC | Buy | 43.2458→43.4391 | +2.45 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:03 | APT | Buy | 0.68177→0.685129 | +2.77 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:03 | ADA | Buy | 0.167732→0.171677 | +15.87 | timeout |
| 06-08 19:00 | INJ | Buy | 5.69682→5.87653 | +21.44 | take_profit |
| 06-08 16:42 | BNB | Buy | 597.929→604.489 | +7.00 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:12 | XRP | Sell | 1.15911→1.18139 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 12:29 | NEAR | Sell | 2.12717→2.16933 | -14.54 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 12:01 | INJ | Sell | 5.5919→5.69847 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:04 | AVAX | Buy | 6.60165→6.69183 | +8.92 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:04 | APT | Buy | 0.657964→0.667933 | +9.92 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:00 | SOL | Sell | 65.1882→66.4272 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 09:43 | INJ | Buy | 5.41165→5.5833 | +21.56 | take_profit |
| 06-08 05:41 | SUI | Buy | 0.742846→0.728633 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 04:30 | AVAX | Sell | 6.7831→6.62736 | +15.45 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | ATOM | Sell | 1.71197→1.72283 | -5.10 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830292→0.0818305 | +9.52 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | APT | Sell | 0.672432→0.662566 | +9.54 | timeout |
| 06-07 01:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.08247→1.11662 | +21.46 | take_profit |
| 06-07 01:17 | NEAR | Buy | 1.85846→1.91722 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-07 01:07 | ATOM | Sell | 1.618→1.64984 | -14.45 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
337
closed
43%
win rate
-296.14
total pnl ($)
-12.4 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APT | 34 | 38% | -32.5 | -77.17 |
| AVAX | 30 | 53% | -5.8 | -12.64 |
| ATOM | 27 | 37% | -27.7 | -52.66 |
| ADA | 26 | 62% | +19.6 | +34.88 |
| BNB | 26 | 35% | -38.1 | -69.58 |
| NEAR | 22 | 41% | +14.4 | +21.80 |
| INJ | 21 | 48% | +25.2 | +36.66 |
| ARB | 20 | 55% | +39.2 | +54.53 |
| OP | 19 | 37% | -21.9 | -29.25 |
| BTC | 17 | 41% | -25.8 | -30.86 |
| SOL | 17 | 29% | -69.4 | -83.02 |
| LTC | 17 | 53% | +9.9 | +11.62 |
| DOGE | 15 | 53% | +9.4 | +9.74 |
| LINK | 15 | 33% | -32.8 | -34.57 |
| XRP | 12 | 33% | -34.1 | -28.64 |
| SUI | 10 | 30% | -94.7 | -66.23 |
| ETH | 9 | 44% | +30.5 | +19.26 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||