xv_funding_high_conviction_long · strategy

173

closed trades

46%

win rate

-158.22

total pnl ($)

1.700

weight

7d window — n=38 wr=55% pnl=+82.92 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-19 16:09:32 (38.2d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: xv_funding_robust_siblings

n: 175 · wr: 48.0% · total_bps: -2081.2 · mean_bps: -11.89 · sharpe: -0.12 · max_dd_bps: -3011.5

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-26 19:16	INJ	Buy	4.72228→4.87338	+31.07	take_profit
06-26 19:09	BTC	Buy	59112→59838	+11.32	timeout
06-26 17:27	ATOM	Buy	1.599→1.6035	+1.93	timeout
06-26 16:30	LTC	Buy	40.4221→41.7096	+30.91	take_profit
06-26 14:13	OP	Buy	0.102696→0.105934	+30.63	take_profit
06-26 11:57	APT	Buy	0.591048→0.582554	-15.23	timeout
06-26 11:50	ETH	Buy	1569.96→1540.48	-19.66	stop_loss
06-26 11:46	BNB	Buy	560.07→562.739	+3.79	timeout
06-26 11:45	ARB	Buy	0.0727882→0.0714064	-19.96	stop_loss
06-26 10:24	LTC	Buy	41.1753→41.3067	+2.31	timeout
06-26 07:17	SUI	Buy	0.676359→0.697686	+30.61	take_profit
06-26 02:21	XRP	Buy	1.03286→1.01314	-19.97	stop_loss
06-26 02:13	ATOM	Buy	1.605→1.57382	-20.33	stop_loss
06-26 02:13	OP	Buy	0.103916→0.101904	-20.31	stop_loss
06-26 02:12	ADA	Buy	0.143386→0.140565	-20.48	stop_loss
06-26 02:12	SUI	Buy	0.68009→0.66677	-20.48	stop_loss
06-26 00:55	APT	Buy	0.60155→0.589957	-20.06	stop_loss
06-25 21:01	AVAX	Buy	6.10533→6.14076	+4.96	timeout
06-25 21:01	LTC	Buy	40.2991→40.7488	+10.20	timeout
06-25 20:17	LINK	Buy	7.15769→7.2053	+5.68	timeout
06-25 20:04	NEAR	Buy	1.85286→1.83084	-12.86	timeout
06-25 20:00	XRP	Buy	1.02126→1.03404	+11.73	timeout
06-25 12:43	ETH	Buy	1652.67→1636.04	-10.93	timeout
06-25 12:13	AVAX	Buy	6.49702→6.37352	-19.93	stop_loss
06-25 12:13	SUI	Buy	0.694394→0.690577	-6.40	timeout
06-25 12:12	XRP	Buy	1.08697→1.07003	-16.48	timeout
06-25 10:53	LTC	Buy	41.5074→41.5746	+0.69	timeout
06-25 07:09	INJ	Buy	4.26417→4.18266	-20.03	stop_loss
06-25 05:01	XRP	Buy	1.07047→1.07943	+7.54	timeout
06-25 04:57	ETH	Buy	1614.96→1633.94	+10.83	timeout
06-25 04:00	INJ	Buy	4.23036→4.14769	-20.50	stop_loss
06-25 03:04	APT	Buy	0.625456→0.625544	-0.76	timeout
06-25 03:04	ADA	Buy	0.144956→0.147843	+19.19	timeout
06-24 22:00	LTC	Buy	39.7559→41.0167	+30.88	take_profit
06-24 21:55	DOGE	Buy	0.0735194→0.075854	+30.81	take_profit
06-24 20:49	LINK	Buy	7.17639→7.40385	+30.81	take_profit
06-24 20:07	AVAX	Buy	6.05241→6.24304	+30.59	take_profit
06-24 20:06	SOL	Buy	65.3278→67.3989	+30.83	take_profit
06-10 21:50	BTC	Buy	62373.1→61146.4	-20.58	stop_loss
06-10 20:50	ATOM	Buy	1.79725→1.76198	-20.59	stop_loss
06-10 20:15	ETH	Buy	1644.16→1626.04	-11.87	timeout
06-10 17:32	APT	Buy	0.649662→0.637022	-20.30	stop_loss
06-10 16:45	SUI	Buy	0.754709→0.740324	-19.94	stop_loss
06-10 15:15	NEAR	Buy	2.12043→2.07974	-20.10	stop_loss
06-10 14:21	BTC	Buy	61596.1→61859.9	+3.37	timeout
06-10 14:20	DOGE	Buy	0.083928→0.084127	+1.44	timeout
06-10 14:20	ATOM	Buy	1.80575→1.78985	-9.74	timeout
06-10 13:44	ARB	Buy	0.0785396→0.0810197	+30.71	take_profit
06-10 13:37	ADA	Buy	0.1589→0.163909	+30.68	take_profit
06-10 09:20	APT	Buy	0.653663→0.641219	-19.90	stop_loss
06-10 08:39	INJ	Buy	5.27742→5.17592	-20.14	stop_loss
06-10 01:03	LINK	Buy	7.85526→7.87193	+1.29	timeout
06-09 22:46	LTC	Buy	42.1755→43.3762	+27.49	timeout
06-09 22:46	AVAX	Buy	6.49972→6.65704	+23.46	timeout
06-09 22:45	BTC	Buy	61325.1→62016.9	+10.43	timeout
06-09 22:45	SOL	Buy	64.1666→65.5232	+20.30	timeout
06-09 18:30	NEAR	Buy	2.08222→2.14806	+30.70	take_profit
06-09 14:20	APT	Buy	0.669067→0.656108	-20.31	stop_loss
06-09 14:19	NEAR	Buy	2.15144→2.10972	-20.34	stop_loss
06-09 12:03	XRP	Buy	1.17219→1.16061	-10.71	timeout
06-09 11:55	ETH	Buy	1687.87→1669.73	-11.59	timeout
06-09 09:37	ARB	Buy	0.0819505→0.0803897	-19.99	stop_loss
06-09 09:12	ATOM	Buy	1.74134→1.75226	+5.37	timeout
06-09 08:39	INJ	Buy	5.52168→5.69618	+30.66	take_profit
06-09 05:47	BNB	Buy	601.59→603.859	+2.87	timeout
06-09 05:34	APT	Buy	0.648962→0.669433	+30.59	take_profit
06-09 05:15	NEAR	Buy	2.05241→2.11707	+30.59	take_profit
06-09 00:49	BTC	Buy	63554.2→62372.7	-19.49	stop_loss
06-09 00:35	ADA	Buy	0.170323→0.167065	-20.02	stop_loss
06-09 00:15	SUI	Buy	0.766342→0.752622	-18.84	timeout
06-09 00:14	NEAR	Buy	2.15914→2.11791	-20.02	stop_loss
06-08 23:32	OP	Buy	0.0974644→0.0955883	-20.13	stop_loss
06-08 23:18	ATOM	Buy	1.80025→1.76418	-20.82	stop_loss
06-08 21:07	BNB	Buy	604.701→607.508	+3.67	timeout
06-08 20:14	SOL	Buy	66.832→67.0749	+2.78	timeout
06-08 19:07	APT	Buy	0.68187→0.684829	+3.36	timeout
06-08 18:02	ADA	Buy	0.166972→0.170717	+21.51	timeout
06-08 18:02	SUI	Buy	0.756309→0.767568	+13.91	timeout
06-08 13:04	BTC	Buy	62857.1→63687.8	+12.30	timeout
06-08 12:39	LTC	Buy	42.6117→43.1392	+11.49	timeout
06-08 11:30	LINK	Buy	7.76754→7.9823	+26.71	timeout
06-08 11:04	DOGE	Buy	0.0849732→0.0855086	+5.33	timeout
06-08 10:58	SUI	Buy	0.740405→0.750122	+12.23	timeout
06-08 06:05	BTC	Buy	63192.2→62842.9	-6.43	timeout
06-08 05:19	XRP	Buy	1.15219→1.13732	-13.79	timeout
06-08 05:03	LTC	Buy	42.7867→42.2514	-13.43	timeout
06-08 04:30	BNB	Buy	604.161→598.03	-11.06	timeout
06-08 04:06	SUI	Buy	0.76065→0.74613	-19.98	stop_loss
06-07 04:21	DOGE	Buy	0.0814123→0.0831082	+19.88	timeout
06-07 01:19	OP	Buy	0.0930132→0.095946	+30.66	take_profit
06-07 00:33	LINK	Buy	7.32713→7.41185	+10.59	timeout
06-07 00:32	APT	Buy	0.649062→0.659835	+15.63	timeout
06-07 00:04	ATOM	Buy	1.6102→1.62899	+11.06	timeout
06-06 22:09	SOL	Buy	62.1253→61.5808	-9.59	timeout
06-06 20:59	BTC	Buy	60776→60691	-2.27	timeout
06-06 17:14	LTC	Buy	42.5456→41.8285	-17.76	timeout
06-06 17:01	ATOM	Buy	1.6107→1.62389	+7.39	timeout
06-06 16:42	LINK	Buy	7.2196→7.33836	+15.68	timeout
06-06 15:16	AVAX	Buy	6.74759→6.61863	-20.01	stop_loss
06-06 14:39	NEAR	Buy	1.88207→1.84611	-20.01	stop_loss

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

173

closed

46%

win rate

-158.22

total pnl ($)

-9.2 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
BTC	16	50%	-15.0	-24.21
APT	15	33%	-42.8	-64.11
ATOM	13	38%	-49.4	-63.88
LTC	13	62%	+75.9	+98.60
ADA	12	58%	+68.4	+82.35
ETH	12	33%	-74.9	-89.88
AVAX	12	33%	-53.8	-64.27
ARB	10	20%	-82.0	-82.14
SUI	10	30%	-68.8	-68.88
SOL	9	33%	-14.1	-12.67
LINK	9	100%	+139.3	+125.44
OP	9	56%	+31.2	+28.19
BNB	8	62%	+2.4	+1.66
NEAR	7	29%	-45.5	-32.04
DOGE	6	67%	+28.8	+17.07
INJ	6	50%	+54.0	+32.23
XRP	6	33%	-70.0	-41.67

Recent bounces (last 20 of 15)

time	sym	side	reason
06-26 19:02	SOL	Buy	trigger_already_opened
06-26 13:51	OP	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-26 13:35	LTC	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-26 11:38	ATOM	Buy	trigger_already_opened
06-26 08:33	ETH	Buy	trigger_already_opened
06-26 05:53	BNB	Buy	trigger_already_opened
06-25 22:36	ADA	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 21:03	XRP	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 15:13	LTC	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 15:13	AVAX	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 14:31	LINK	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 14:11	XRP	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 06:45	ETH	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-25 04:55	LTC	Buy	below_min_notional_skip
06-24 23:01	ETH	Buy	below_min_notional_skip

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…