291
closed trades
41%
win rate
-404.71
total pnl ($)
1.216
weight
7d window — n=12 wr=42% pnl=+1.05
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 16:09:32 (34.0d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 315
· wr: 43.8%
· total_bps: -4109.9
· mean_bps: -13.05
· sharpe: -0.12
· max_dd_bps: -4656.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 21:54 | BTC | Buy | 62489.1→62870.9 | +3.68 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:20 | APT | Buy | 0.621355→0.64104 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-18 20:04 | ARB | Buy | 0.0816804→0.0842689 | +21.54 | take_profit |
| 06-18 19:43 | AVAX | Sell | 6.23354→6.35376 | -14.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 04:15 | LTC | Buy | 45.8395→45.7286 | -2.37 | timeout |
| 06-16 02:14 | LINK | Buy | 8.35969→8.20075 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:10 | SOL | Buy | 74.9222→73.5082 | -13.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:31 | OP | Buy | 0.109627→0.107459 | -14.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:06 | BTC | Buy | 67144.4→66397.7 | -8.43 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:06 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9975→1.95969 | +12.53 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:48 | ADA | Sell | 0.188143→0.181725 | +23.22 | take_profit |
| 06-15 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 7.03136→6.89483 | -14.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 21:13 | BTC | Buy | 62601.1→61437.2 | -13.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:29 | BNB | Buy | 592.038→587.983 | -5.42 | timeout |
| 06-10 17:41 | INJ | Sell | 5.27898→5.10588 | +22.32 | take_profit |
| 06-10 16:45 | SUI | Buy | 0.754709→0.740324 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 15:42 | NEAR | Buy | 2.11803→2.07564 | -14.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 14:21 | BNB | Sell | 586.653→591.008 | -5.82 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80575→1.78985 | -6.82 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:43 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52647→6.65079 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 13:40 | ARB | Buy | 0.0785096→0.0809997 | +21.59 | take_profit |
| 06-10 09:20 | APT | Buy | 0.653663→0.641219 | -13.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 01:43 | BNB | Buy | 594.949→596.211 | +0.85 | timeout |
| 06-10 01:02 | LINK | Buy | 7.85606→7.87193 | +0.83 | timeout |
| 06-10 00:30 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77394→1.77576 | +0.03 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49972→6.65704 | +16.42 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:19 | APT | Sell | 0.646938→0.659294 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:17 | ARB | Sell | 0.0787203→0.0803502 | -15.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:07 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0854556→0.0846412 | +5.99 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:29 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13803→2.09653 | -14.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 11:21 | ATOM | Buy | 1.75814→1.72341 | -14.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 11:01 | SOL | Sell | 67.0179→66.399 | +5.79 | timeout |
| 06-09 10:48 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0861495→0.0853803 | +5.61 | timeout |
| 06-09 10:07 | ARB | Buy | 0.0817504→0.0801798 | -14.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 07:04 | ADA | Buy | 0.166902→0.169638 | +10.81 | timeout |
| 06-09 05:33 | INJ | Buy | 5.46217→5.63769 | +21.86 | take_profit |
| 06-09 04:50 | ARB | Sell | 0.0805299→0.0820615 | -14.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 04:40 | OP | Sell | 0.0936866→0.0955416 | -14.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 03:11 | BTC | Sell | 63687.8→62827.1 | +8.82 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:49 | LINK | Sell | 8.07278→7.81685 | +21.52 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:36 | ARB | Sell | 0.0832592→0.0806202 | +21.43 | take_profit |
| 06-09 00:24 | NEAR | Buy | 2.13623→2.09483 | -14.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 22:06 | LTC | Buy | 43.2458→43.4391 | +2.45 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:21 | LINK | Sell | 8.07728→8.09512 | -2.17 | timeout |
| 06-08 20:16 | INJ | Buy | 5.78835→5.67714 | -14.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 18:13 | BTC | Buy | 62958.1→63572.8 | +6.18 | timeout |
| 06-08 18:07 | SUI | Buy | 0.752788→0.767838 | +13.31 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:11 | AVAX | Sell | 6.72582→6.85494 | -14.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 15:05 | ADA | Sell | 0.166528→0.169697 | -13.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:22 | LTC | Sell | 42.4534→43.2734 | -14.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:03 | APT | Buy | 0.658865→0.667733 | +8.74 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0849852→0.0855046 | +3.60 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:03 | AVAX | Buy | 6.60625→6.69163 | +8.40 | timeout |
| 06-08 05:41 | SUI | Buy | 0.741205→0.727094 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 04:29 | AVAX | Sell | 6.7929→6.62746 | +16.43 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:29 | APT | Sell | 0.671932→0.662866 | +8.72 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:29 | ARB | Sell | 0.0830792→0.0817904 | +10.27 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:29 | ATOM | Sell | 1.71537→1.72263 | -3.62 | timeout |
| 06-07 01:07 | OP | Sell | 0.0930467→0.0948411 | -14.24 | stop_loss |
| 06-07 00:31 | APT | Buy | 0.649362→0.660335 | +11.15 | timeout |
| 06-06 23:47 | BTC | Sell | 60568→60817 | -3.53 | timeout |
| 06-06 22:28 | ETH | Sell | 1556.24→1552.36 | +1.08 | timeout |
| 06-06 20:06 | BNB | Buy | 576.394→572.727 | -5.07 | timeout |
| 06-06 17:55 | INJ | Buy | 5.11738→5.01873 | -14.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 17:13 | BTC | Sell | 60573→60715 | -2.27 | timeout |
| 06-06 16:19 | NEAR | Buy | 1.90578→1.8694 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 15:11 | OP | Buy | 0.0965841→0.0947189 | -14.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 14:08 | ARB | Sell | 0.0791702→0.0807005 | -14.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 13:52 | BNB | Buy | 579.955→574.496 | -7.17 | timeout |
| 06-06 13:46 | XRP | Sell | 1.08203→1.10273 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 10:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.156909→0.153885 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 10:30 | ETH | Buy | 1574.36→1544.27 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 10:01 | SUI | Buy | 0.710928→0.697357 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 08:28 | LINK | Sell | 7.30117→7.44318 | -14.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 06:03 | LTC | Buy | 40.9422→42.2354 | +21.49 | take_profit |
| 06-06 05:58 | ARB | Buy | 0.0750288→0.0774206 | +21.69 | take_profit |
| 06-06 05:21 | APT | Sell | 0.622544→0.634576 | -14.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 05:21 | XRP | Sell | 1.05454→1.07661 | -15.29 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:15 | BNB | Buy | 576.694→565.685 | -14.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:05 | NEAR | Buy | 1.94919→1.91217 | -13.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.58014→6.44696 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 03:05 | APT | Sell | 0.674831→0.653163 | +21.75 | take_profit |
| 06-06 02:59 | XRP | Sell | 1.11522→1.09587 | +11.51 | timeout |
| 06-06 02:31 | LTC | Buy | 43.3118→43.2292 | -1.84 | timeout |
| 06-06 01:48 | BNB | Buy | 568.862→577.546 | +10.00 | timeout |
| 06-05 22:28 | ARB | Buy | 0.0818205→0.0802098 | -14.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 21:15 | SOL | Sell | 63.8804→65.0833 | -13.81 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 20:50 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6161→1.66808 | +21.87 | take_profit |
| 06-05 20:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0795179→0.0820545 | +21.70 | take_profit |
| 06-05 20:09 | ETH | Sell | 1552.74→1581.95 | -13.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 19:46 | OP | Sell | 0.0936666→0.0954616 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 18:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.10278→1.08179 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 18:52 | BTC | Sell | 61374.9→59415 | +21.73 | take_profit |
| 06-05 18:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.16074→0.157682 | -13.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 18:21 | LINK | Buy | 7.48987→7.34709 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:15 | APT | Sell | 0.663434→0.676107 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 16:02 | AVAX | Sell | 7.04614→6.82381 | +21.45 | take_profit |
| 06-05 15:48 | SOL | Buy | 64.9427→63.7226 | -13.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 15:47 | LTC | Buy | 43.5469→42.7179 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:56 | OP | Buy | 0.102106→0.100125 | -14.19 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
291
closed
41%
win rate
-404.71
total pnl ($)
-19.7 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APT | 32 | 44% | -21.7 | -48.74 |
| AVAX | 30 | 50% | -14.4 | -30.36 |
| ARB | 23 | 43% | +18.1 | +28.69 |
| ATOM | 23 | 48% | -0.7 | -1.34 |
| BTC | 22 | 45% | +14.1 | +21.55 |
| ADA | 20 | 45% | +8.4 | +11.25 |
| NEAR | 20 | 20% | -93.1 | -130.65 |
| LTC | 19 | 26% | -31.4 | -41.77 |
| BNB | 18 | 50% | +3.5 | +3.90 |
| ETH | 16 | 38% | -30.5 | -34.19 |
| OP | 14 | 36% | -51.4 | -50.70 |
| INJ | 11 | 45% | +13.7 | +10.48 |
| LINK | 11 | 18% | -87.8 | -67.69 |
| DOGE | 10 | 80% | +85.0 | +59.38 |
| SOL | 9 | 33% | -102.7 | -64.70 |
| XRP | 8 | 38% | -48.2 | -27.01 |
| SUI | 5 | 20% | -122.2 | -42.80 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||