373
closed trades
39%
win rate
-654.00
total pnl ($)
1.155
weight
7d window — n=10 wr=50% pnl=-6.17
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-05-19 16:09:32 (34.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xv_funding_robust_siblings
n: 379
· wr: 42.5%
· total_bps: -4565.5
· mean_bps: -12.05
· sharpe: -0.10
· max_dd_bps: -6490.7
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 21:46 | BTC | Buy | 62718.1→62900.9 | +1.45 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:46 | APT | Buy | 0.624956→0.634541 | +10.05 | timeout |
| 06-18 21:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822206→0.0832962 | +8.50 | timeout |
| 06-18 20:28 | ARB | Buy | 0.0820205→0.0846388 | +21.69 | take_profit |
| 06-18 20:01 | AVAX | Sell | 6.25664→6.37618 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 02:12 | SOL | Buy | 74.7952→73.3823 | -13.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:26 | LINK | Buy | 8.42421→8.2638 | -13.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:12 | BNB | Buy | 628.207→619.755 | -9.96 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:11 | BTC | Buy | 67190.4→66434.7 | -8.52 | timeout |
| 06-15 22:11 | ATOM | Sell | 1.9969→1.95919 | +12.49 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:48 | ADA | Sell | 0.187563→0.181495 | +21.99 | take_profit |
| 06-15 19:19 | AVAX | Buy | 7.02316→6.88923 | -14.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 20:38 | LTC | Sell | 42.4444→41.7474 | +10.83 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:02 | AVAX | Sell | 6.57586→6.45201 | +12.51 | timeout |
| 06-10 18:35 | SOL | Buy | 64.7457→63.5247 | -13.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 17:29 | APT | Buy | 0.650563→0.638021 | -14.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 16:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.164181→0.161009 | -14.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 14:20 | ADA | Buy | 0.16137→0.163199 | +7.38 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | BNB | Sell | 586.813→591.458 | -6.17 | timeout |
| 06-10 14:20 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80325→1.78885 | -6.24 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:43 | AVAX | Sell | 6.52797→6.65219 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 13:43 | BTC | Sell | 61121.9→62269.2 | -13.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-10 09:20 | APT | Buy | 0.654264→0.641818 | -13.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 23:55 | ETH | Buy | 1644.06→1655.63 | +4.27 | timeout |
| 06-09 23:51 | LTC | Buy | 42.7977→43.3762 | +8.78 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | AVAX | Buy | 6.49972→6.65704 | +16.43 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | DOGE | Sell | 0.083968→0.0851093 | -10.11 | timeout |
| 06-09 22:46 | BTC | Buy | 61289.1→62016.9 | +7.72 | timeout |
| 06-09 17:18 | APT | Sell | 0.646338→0.658694 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 17:17 | ARB | Sell | 0.0787203→0.0803002 | -14.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 16:24 | BTC | Sell | 62712.9→61054.1 | +17.92 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:29 | ARB | Buy | 0.0805501→0.0790107 | -14.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 13:39 | APT | Sell | 0.671032→0.668367 | +2.20 | timeout |
| 06-09 13:34 | ATOM | Sell | 1.73297→1.76632 | -14.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 10:41 | ARB | Sell | 0.0816396→0.0804901 | +9.28 | timeout |
| 06-09 10:06 | SOL | Buy | 67.2361→65.9671 | -13.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 09:33 | SUI | Buy | 0.75827→0.743652 | -14.14 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 09:30 | SUI | Buy | 0.75869→0.744122 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 07:03 | BTC | Sell | 62648.9→63369.2 | -8.66 | timeout |
| 06-09 06:36 | ETH | Sell | 1667.13→1688.27 | -9.50 | timeout |
| 06-09 06:18 | ADA | Sell | 0.167698→0.170928 | -14.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 05:34 | XRP | Sell | 1.15331→1.17528 | -13.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 04:36 | LINK | Sell | 7.82184→7.97138 | -14.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 04:13 | BTC | Buy | 63304.2→62909.9 | -4.99 | timeout |
| 06-09 02:51 | APT | Buy | 0.650363→0.637921 | -14.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:32 | AVAX | Buy | 6.76499→6.63422 | -14.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:25 | ADA | Buy | 0.171223→0.167954 | -13.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.171353→0.168094 | -13.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 00:06 | LTC | Buy | 43.3768→42.9932 | -6.76 | timeout |
| 06-08 22:52 | DOGE | Sell | 0.0865873→0.0868807 | -2.99 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.169752→0.173687 | +15.62 | timeout |
| 06-08 21:29 | AVAX | Buy | 6.83191→6.85599 | +1.80 | timeout |
| 06-08 20:12 | NEAR | Buy | 2.19475→2.15238 | -14.16 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 17:21 | BNB | Buy | 600.88→603.719 | +2.62 | timeout |
| 06-08 17:21 | ATOM | Sell | 1.74836→1.75624 | -3.98 | timeout |
| 06-08 16:04 | ATOM | Buy | 1.74624→1.76126 | +5.54 | timeout |
| 06-08 15:12 | XRP | Sell | 1.15911→1.18139 | -14.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 15:06 | ADA | Sell | 0.166628→0.169807 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:11 | SOL | Sell | 65.2542→66.4842 | -13.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 11:05 | APT | Buy | 0.658165→0.668133 | +9.92 | timeout |
| 06-08 11:04 | AVAX | Buy | 6.60345→6.69533 | +9.10 | timeout |
| 06-08 10:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.16127→0.164399 | +12.90 | timeout |
| 06-08 09:43 | INJ | Buy | 5.41165→5.5833 | +21.57 | take_profit |
| 06-08 05:41 | SUI | Buy | 0.742596→0.728393 | -14.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 04:31 | ARB | Sell | 0.0827793→0.0818305 | +7.44 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:31 | AVAX | Sell | 6.77641→6.62696 | +14.82 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:31 | BNB | Buy | 603.691→598.01 | -7.23 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:31 | APT | Sell | 0.672232→0.662666 | +9.23 | timeout |
| 06-08 04:30 | ATOM | Sell | 1.71197→1.72283 | -5.10 | timeout |
| 06-07 04:26 | BTC | Buy | 60474→61462.9 | +10.82 | timeout |
| 06-07 03:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.157769→0.16064 | +12.08 | timeout |
| 06-07 02:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.157019→0.16111 | +17.60 | timeout |
| 06-07 00:21 | OP | Sell | 0.0944764→0.0935234 | +6.22 | timeout |
| 06-07 00:02 | APT | Sell | 0.645539→0.657893 | -13.99 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 22:09 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63121→1.618 | -6.27 | timeout |
| 06-06 21:30 | AVAX | Buy | 6.64806→6.63504 | -1.99 | timeout |
| 06-06 20:05 | ADA | Buy | 0.15899→0.155963 | -13.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 19:57 | ADA | Buy | 0.15833→0.157041 | -6.20 | timeout |
| 06-06 18:02 | ARB | Sell | 0.0797401→0.0788397 | +7.23 | timeout |
| 06-06 16:05 | LTC | Buy | 42.6507→42.4424 | -4.09 | timeout |
| 06-06 15:57 | ARB | Sell | 0.0793602→0.0794899 | -1.72 | timeout |
| 06-06 15:16 | APT | Sell | 0.668933→0.647262 | +22.04 | take_profit |
| 06-06 14:11 | APT | Buy | 0.654164→0.675331 | +22.04 | take_profit |
| 06-06 13:25 | AVAX | Sell | 6.68523→6.81501 | -14.22 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 12:08 | LINK | Buy | 7.32023→7.33527 | +0.85 | timeout |
| 06-06 11:48 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6031→1.62779 | +10.21 | timeout |
| 06-06 11:47 | NEAR | Sell | 1.87933→1.91514 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 10:23 | BTC | Buy | 60038→60642 | +6.40 | timeout |
| 06-06 10:01 | APT | Buy | 0.662266→0.649313 | -14.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 09:47 | INJ | Buy | 5.32983→5.22778 | -14.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 08:58 | OP | Buy | 0.0943536→0.0980055 | +26.47 | take_profit |
| 06-06 08:28 | ARB | Sell | 0.0784104→0.0799799 | -14.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 06:05 | SUI | Sell | 0.684859→0.697893 | -13.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 06:04 | LINK | Buy | 7.10067→7.33417 | +22.41 | take_profit |
| 06-06 05:22 | ATOM | Sell | 1.57171→1.6016 | -13.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 05:22 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23556→6.43399 | +21.66 | take_profit |
| 06-06 05:21 | ARB | Sell | 0.0748613→0.0762972 | -14.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 05:02 | OP | Sell | 0.0927968→0.0897624 | +22.24 | take_profit |
| 06-06 04:42 | NEAR | Buy | 1.88237→1.84631 | -14.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 04:19 | ATOM | Sell | 1.64239→1.5902 | +21.60 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
373
closed
39%
win rate
-654.00
total pnl ($)
-25.0 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 50 | 38% | -27.9 | -97.41 |
| ARB | 40 | 30% | -64.7 | -181.40 |
| ATOM | 33 | 39% | -8.2 | -19.18 |
| APT | 31 | 39% | -45.2 | -97.85 |
| AVAX | 29 | 45% | -13.3 | -27.49 |
| BTC | 24 | 38% | -26.4 | -44.22 |
| DOGE | 22 | 41% | -37.7 | -58.42 |
| BNB | 22 | 41% | -48.1 | -74.27 |
| LTC | 19 | 37% | -28.1 | -37.64 |
| LINK | 19 | 53% | +52.9 | +70.19 |
| INJ | 14 | 36% | -16.8 | -16.41 |
| OP | 14 | 50% | +36.7 | +35.59 |
| NEAR | 13 | 38% | -4.7 | -4.19 |
| ETH | 12 | 17% | -43.5 | -36.52 |
| XRP | 12 | 58% | +29.4 | +24.62 |
| SUI | 12 | 33% | -41.2 | -34.57 |
| SOL | 7 | 29% | -112.0 | -54.83 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||