72
closed trades
49%
win rate
-137.07
total pnl ($)
0.705
weight
7d window — n=23 wr=35% pnl=-52.89
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 10:33:29 (18.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
x3485392_76905
n: 72
· wr: 33.3%
· total_bps: -3728.6
· mean_bps: -51.79
· sharpe: -0.46
· max_dd_bps: -3940.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 72 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 13:13 | BTC | Buy | 63858.2→65141.7 | +9.53 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:08 | BTC | Buy | 64143.2→64052.8 | -1.16 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:07 | BTC | Buy | 64119.2→63941.8 | -1.86 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:55 | BTC | Buy | 64265.2→64141.8 | -1.39 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:47 | BTC | Buy | 64227.2→64022.8 | -2.01 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:00 | BTC | Buy | 64060.2→64395.8 | +2.17 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:24 | BTC | Buy | 63696.2→63870.8 | +0.91 | timeout |
| 06-20 01:26 | BTC | Buy | 62728.1→63372.8 | +4.69 | timeout |
| 06-19 19:22 | BTC | Buy | 62757.1→62987.9 | +1.38 | timeout |
| 06-19 13:20 | BTC | Buy | 63017.2→62690.9 | -2.99 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:17 | BTC | Buy | 62686.1→62765.9 | +0.21 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:51 | BTC | Buy | 64144.2→62565.6 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:40 | BTC | Buy | 64355.2→62768.5 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 13:18 | BTC | Buy | 64642.2→64357.8 | -2.66 | timeout |
| 06-18 07:11 | BTC | Buy | 65100.3→64015.8 | -8.78 | timeout |
| 06-18 01:09 | BTC | Buy | 64984.2→64690.8 | -2.76 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:09 | BTC | Buy | 65583.3→65276.7 | -2.83 | timeout |
| 06-17 13:02 | BTC | Buy | 65762.3→65026.7 | -6.07 | timeout |
| 06-17 07:01 | BTC | Buy | 65803.3→65562.7 | -2.29 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:00 | BTC | Buy | 66397.3→65688.7 | -5.82 | timeout |
| 06-16 18:59 | BTC | Buy | 66411.3→65810.7 | -5.01 | timeout |
| 06-16 09:25 | BTC | Buy | 66519.3→66629.7 | +0.38 | timeout |
| 06-15 23:56 | BTC | Buy | 66190.3→66319.7 | +0.45 | timeout |
| 06-15 17:50 | BTC | Buy | 65753.3→66881.7 | +8.07 | timeout |
| 06-15 09:20 | BTC | Buy | 64769.2→65729.7 | +6.97 | timeout |
| 06-14 23:18 | BTC | Buy | 64528.2→65582.7 | +7.70 | timeout |
| 06-14 17:16 | BTC | Buy | 64348.2→63943.8 | -3.63 | timeout |
| 06-14 11:14 | BTC | Buy | 64435.2→64539.8 | +0.36 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:13 | BTC | Buy | 63957.2→64315.8 | +2.37 | timeout |
| 06-13 23:07 | BTC | Buy | 63853.2→64424.8 | +4.01 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:50 | BTC | Buy | 63625.2→63901.8 | +1.72 | timeout |
| 06-13 09:14 | BTC | Buy | 63574.2→63776.8 | +1.09 | timeout |
| 06-12 23:48 | BTC | Buy | 63800.2→63497.8 | -2.84 | timeout |
| 06-12 17:44 | BTC | Buy | 63372.2→63801.8 | +2.93 | timeout |
| 06-12 11:44 | BTC | Buy | 63616.2→63760.8 | +0.65 | timeout |
| 06-12 05:43 | BTC | Buy | 63315.2→63367.8 | -0.06 | timeout |
| 06-11 23:05 | BTC | Buy | 63159.2→63403.8 | +1.42 | timeout |
| 06-11 04:02 | BTC | Buy | 62503.1→62623.9 | +0.45 | timeout |
| 06-10 20:18 | BTC | Buy | 61681.1→61771.9 | +0.26 | timeout |
| 06-10 03:09 | BTC | Buy | 61614.1→62016.9 | +2.87 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:21 | BTC | Buy | 63168.2→61615.1 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 08:22 | BTC | Buy | 63232.2→62873.9 | -3.29 | timeout |
| 06-09 02:11 | BTC | Buy | 63745.2→62721.9 | -8.47 | timeout |
| 06-08 20:05 | BTC | Buy | 63167.2→63350.8 | +0.99 | timeout |
| 06-08 14:01 | BTC | Buy | 63108.2→63705.8 | +4.26 | timeout |
| 06-08 01:59 | BTC | Buy | 61719.1→63148.8 | +11.10 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:15 | BTC | Buy | 61487.1→64187.8 | +21.51 | take_profit |
| 06-07 19:49 | BTC | Buy | 62213.1→61283.9 | -7.89 | timeout |
| 06-07 13:48 | BTC | Buy | 61488.1→61725.9 | +1.47 | timeout |
| 06-07 07:39 | BTC | Buy | 60556→62220.9 | +13.31 | timeout |
| 06-07 01:34 | BTC | Buy | 60756→61515.9 | +5.77 | timeout |
| 06-06 04:20 | BTC | Buy | 61466.1→59951 | -12.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-06 03:15 | BTC | Buy | 60497→60889 | +2.78 | timeout |
| 06-05 13:52 | BTC | Buy | 62588.1→61046.4 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:49 | BTC | Buy | 63004.2→61454.2 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 06:01 | BTC | Buy | 63717.2→62148.8 | -12.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 03:45 | BTC | Buy | 63784.2→62655.9 | -9.27 | timeout |
| 06-04 21:40 | BTC | Buy | 62890.1→63218.8 | +2.17 | timeout |
| 06-04 09:27 | BTC | Buy | 64363.2→62779.5 | -12.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 00:26 | BTC | Buy | 65235.3→63631 | -12.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 20:45 | BTC | Buy | 66755.3→65113.2 | -12.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-03 16:40 | BTC | Buy | 66335.3→65859.7 | -4.06 | timeout |
| 06-03 11:16 | BTC | Buy | 66731.3→67302.6 | +3.76 | timeout |
| 06-03 03:48 | BTC | Buy | 67322.4→65794.7 | -11.80 | timeout |
| 06-02 14:10 | BTC | Buy | 70049.5→68326.4 | -12.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 07:03 | BTC | Buy | 71461.6→69700.6 | -12.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-02 04:47 | BTC | Buy | 71377.6→70950.5 | -3.52 | timeout |
| 06-01 15:25 | BTC | Buy | 72997.6→71098.9 | -13.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-01 03:49 | BTC | Buy | 73630.7→73868.3 | +1.13 | timeout |
| 05-31 19:30 | BTC | Buy | 73871.7→73498.3 | -3.02 | timeout |
| 05-29 19:48 | BTC | Buy | 73375.7→73618.3 | +1.18 | timeout |
| 05-29 02:39 | BTC | Buy | 72929.6→73443.3 | +3.00 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
72
closed
49%
win rate
-137.07
total pnl ($)
-37.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 72 | 49% | -37.8 | -137.07 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 01:28 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
| 06-22 01:28 | BTC | Buy | stale_intent |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||