xlm_top_trader_contrarian_wide_sl_tp · strategy

192

closed trades

38%

win rate

-87.56

total pnl ($)

1.163

weight

7d window — n=38 wr=37% pnl=-10.10 · venues=(unknown) · horizon=— · SL=— · TP=— · class=? in ?

Backtest evidence run: 2026-05-21 10:04:46 (37.3d ago) · src: canon

verdict: REJECT · strict: STRICT-FAIL · batch: asd

n: 61 · wr: 37.7% · total_bps: -2007.5 · mean_bps: -32.91 · sharpe: -0.15 · max_dd_bps: -4018.9

gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—

Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)

Last 100 trades

time	sym	side	entry→exit	pnl	close
06-27 04:04	TRX	Buy	0.322761→0.32038	-4.14	timeout
06-26 22:04	SOL	Buy	73.281→71.4635	-12.86	stop_loss
06-26 13:57	HYPE	Sell	62.0925→63.6467	-12.97	stop_loss
06-26 12:43	BNB	Buy	568.142→553.764	-13.13	stop_loss
06-26 11:53	ATOM	Buy	1.63521→1.58931	-14.50	stop_loss
06-26 10:39	SOL	Buy	70.4146→68.6663	-12.88	stop_loss
06-26 07:12	UNI	Sell	2.85769→2.9297	-13.05	stop_loss
06-26 03:01	HBAR	Buy	0.0731963→0.0712915	-13.46	stop_loss
06-26 01:30	APT	Buy	0.597749→0.582463	-13.16	stop_loss
06-25 23:27	SOL	Sell	66.348→67.9952	-12.85	stop_loss
06-25 17:59	HYPE	Sell	61.7606→63.3075	-12.97	stop_loss
06-25 14:17	XMR	Sell	313.482→299.765	+21.43	take_profit
06-25 13:59	KAS	Sell	0.0277861→0.0265556	+21.69	take_profit
06-25 13:48	ICP	Sell	2.23624→2.13873	+21.35	take_profit
06-25 10:47	HBAR	Buy	0.0753858→0.0734839	-13.07	stop_loss
06-25 05:24	BTC	Sell	60269→61753.9	-12.79	stop_loss
06-25 05:02	SOL	Sell	67.0039→68.6846	-13.00	stop_loss
06-25 04:57	ETH	Sell	1594.34→1633.78	-12.79	stop_loss
06-24 17:48	BNB	Sell	573.457→548.427	+20.86	take_profit
06-24 17:16	SOL	Sell	69.1886→66.1619	+21.20	take_profit
06-24 16:51	ETH	Sell	1658.93→1585.96	+21.16	take_profit
06-24 15:33	DOGE	Sell	0.0790072→0.0755259	+21.27	take_profit
06-24 13:22	ARB	Buy	0.0788697→0.0768923	-12.88	stop_loss
06-23 08:27	LTC	Sell	45.0057→42.9237	+22.77	take_profit
06-23 06:21	FIL	Sell	0.80026→0.762851	+22.92	take_profit
06-23 06:20	BNB	Buy	594.769→579.845	-12.79	stop_loss
06-23 06:18	BTC	Buy	64644.2→63044.3	-12.72	stop_loss
06-23 06:07	AAVE	Buy	75.3798→73.4769	-13.07	stop_loss
06-22 12:05	HBAR	Sell	0.0805978→0.0802601	+1.65	timeout
06-22 12:00	SUI	Buy	0.708647→0.739645	+21.40	take_profit
06-22 04:07	BTC	Buy	64006.2→63935.8	-1.03	timeout
06-22 01:26	ETH	Sell	1714.63→1757.05	-12.82	stop_loss
06-21 21:09	XLM	Buy	0.215844→0.210402	-13.06	stop_loss
06-21 20:50	NEAR	Sell	2.23394→2.13593	+21.48	take_profit
06-21 16:05	RENDER	Sell	1.74466→1.69412	+14.03	timeout
06-21 12:06	ETC	Sell	7.63769→7.36094	+17.67	timeout
06-21 08:02	HBAR	Sell	0.0802039→0.0803871	-1.59	timeout
06-20 19:05	SAGA	Sell	0.0132467→0.0135902	-13.42	stop_loss
06-20 12:16	ACE	Buy	0.0849212→0.0827379	-13.30	stop_loss
06-20 08:05	BNB	Sell	580.045→587.147	-6.35	timeout
06-19 20:04	LTC	Sell	44.4359→43.973	+4.71	timeout
06-19 20:04	BNB	Sell	588.703→579.925	+6.75	timeout
06-19 12:37	DOT	Buy	0.969382→0.945021	-13.02	stop_loss
06-19 12:13	BTC	Sell	64604.8→62620.1	+14.78	timeout
06-18 15:53	SOL	Sell	71.8232→68.6803	+21.55	take_profit
06-18 15:45	ETH	Sell	1773.42→1695.67	+21.39	take_profit
06-18 03:57	DOT	Sell	1.02654→0.981485	+21.50	take_profit
06-18 03:25	KAS	Buy	0.031918→0.0310997	-13.27	stop_loss
06-17 20:06	LINK	Sell	8.28513→8.04871	+13.92	timeout
06-17 19:29	SUI	Buy	0.796499→0.776557	-13.05	stop_loss
06-17 16:28	BTC	Sell	64830.8→66427.5	-12.75	stop_loss
06-17 12:09	UNI	Sell	3.1965→3.27746	-13.11	stop_loss
06-17 10:03	XMR	Buy	351.928→343.133	-12.95	stop_loss
06-17 01:46	DOT	Sell	1.00115→1.02637	-13.05	stop_loss
06-16 21:16	BCH	Sell	218.245→223.718	-12.99	stop_loss
06-16 17:49	SAGA	Buy	0.0129932→0.0135666	+21.61	take_profit
06-16 14:23	DOGE	Buy	0.0887452→0.0864951	-13.15	stop_loss
06-16 12:04	LTC	Sell	45.3307→45.5144	-2.57	timeout
06-16 08:45	AVAX	Sell	6.81949→6.99084	-13.03	stop_loss
06-16 05:22	XLM	Sell	0.209977→0.215251	-13.01	stop_loss
06-16 02:18	SOL	Buy	75.1193→73.2524	-12.88	stop_loss
06-16 01:55	XRP	Buy	1.25961→1.22808	-13.01	stop_loss
06-15 22:24	ETH	Buy	1840.68→1795.12	-12.84	stop_loss
06-15 13:16	ETH	Buy	1728.07→1804.32	+21.57	take_profit
06-15 13:08	ETC	Buy	7.28082→7.5997	+21.45	take_profit
06-15 12:24	XRP	Buy	1.1836→1.23529	+21.39	take_profit
06-15 03:44	DOT	Sell	0.978425→1.00305	-13.03	stop_loss
06-14 23:52	SOL	Buy	68.2722→71.2663	+21.58	take_profit
06-14 23:31	AAVE	Sell	66.7003→68.3883	-13.10	stop_loss
06-14 21:36	ONDO	Buy	0.345686→0.36089	+21.54	take_profit
06-14 21:25	ADA	Sell	0.167098→0.171368	-13.19	stop_loss
06-14 16:08	LTC	Buy	43.2788→44.073	+8.86	timeout
06-14 12:30	ADA	Buy	0.173373→0.169043	-12.73	stop_loss
06-13 18:12	XLM	Buy	0.190388→0.185631	-12.94	stop_loss
06-13 12:56	XRP	Sell	1.12622→1.15457	-12.90	stop_loss
06-13 09:34	FIL	Buy	0.750668→0.783654	+21.52	take_profit
06-13 08:01	TRX	Buy	0.312288→0.315211	+4.23	timeout
06-13 06:10	OP	Sell	0.100385→0.103037	-13.79	stop_loss
06-12 20:04	BNB	Buy	598.81→603.779	+3.59	timeout
06-12 16:03	BTC	Buy	62604.1→63580.8	+7.23	timeout
06-12 15:13	ADA	Buy	0.166362→0.173657	+21.37	take_profit
06-12 14:20	DOGE	Sell	0.0864774→0.0886725	-13.09	stop_loss
06-12 00:04	LTC	Buy	42.0455→42.4074	+4.04	timeout
06-11 18:00	ARB	Buy	0.0802→0.0837291	+21.47	take_profit
06-11 03:55	SUI	Sell	0.734216→0.752804	-13.06	stop_loss
06-11 03:55	FIL	Sell	0.737226→0.75998	-15.88	stop_loss
06-11 03:55	LINK	Sell	7.57221→7.77543	-13.88	stop_loss
06-11 01:42	SOL	Sell	63.4755→65.0623	-12.91	stop_loss
06-10 21:50	HBAR	Buy	0.0790198→0.0770192	-13.11	stop_loss
06-10 16:47	ADA	Buy	0.164581→0.16046	-12.97	stop_loss
06-10 16:46	ARB	Buy	0.0807802→0.0787109	-13.26	stop_loss
06-10 16:06	ETC	Sell	6.95906→7.02916	-5.49	timeout
06-10 13:49	BTC	Sell	60951→62453.3	-12.76	stop_loss
06-10 13:30	APT	Sell	0.636641→0.65309	-13.39	stop_loss
06-10 11:54	KAS	Buy	0.031838→0.0309718	-14.05	stop_loss
06-09 18:18	DOT	Sell	0.936846→0.961591	-13.66	stop_loss
06-09 16:38	XRP	Sell	1.17181→1.12048	+21.43	take_profit
06-09 14:04	KAS	Sell	0.0325899→0.0310888	+22.58	take_profit
06-09 13:23	BTC	Buy	63819.2→62249.7	-12.72	stop_loss
06-09 12:10	FIL	Buy	0.768192→0.773237	+2.83	timeout

Paper vs Live

Paper (trades.jsonl)

192

closed

38%

win rate

-87.56

total pnl ($)

-9.1 bps

avg bps net

Live (dry_run=0)

closed

—

win rate

—

total pnl ($)

—

avg bps net

Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample

Per-symbol breakdown (paper)

symbol	n	wr	net bps	total pnl ($)
SOL	15	47%	-6.7	-4.44
XRP	10	40%	+15.1	+7.95
ETH	10	70%	+193.6	+96.24
BTC	10	30%	-67.9	-33.88
BNB	9	56%	+84.2	+37.42
LINK	7	29%	-73.7	-25.73
LTC	7	57%	+33.0	+11.85
KAS	7	43%	+27.4	+9.60
ADA	7	29%	-41.5	-14.93
SUI	7	43%	+34.4	+11.97
DOT	7	14%	-128.0	-44.81
ARB	6	33%	-31.1	-9.05
DOGE	6	33%	-31.2	-9.35
APT	5	40%	-59.1	-14.74
UNI	5	20%	-92.4	-23.11
FIL	5	60%	+73.5	+18.38
HBAR	5	20%	-158.3	-39.58
ONDO	4	75%	+257.4	+51.48
TRX	4	50%	+20.2	+4.04
ATOM	4	25%	-72.1	-14.40
ACE	4	50%	+96.7	+19.34
RENDER	4	50%	+45.0	+9.00
HYPE	4	0%	-259.5	-51.89
ETC	4	50%	+101.4	+20.27
XLM	4	0%	-262.1	-52.42
NEAR	3	100%	+433.4	+64.99
INJ	3	33%	-30.1	-4.76
ICP	3	33%	-37.3	-5.59
BCH	3	33%	-27.6	-4.14
SAGA	3	33%	-34.5	-5.17
AVAX	3	0%	-260.3	-39.03
AAVE	3	0%	-262.0	-39.29
GOAT	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
BLUR	2	50%	+80.9	+8.09
OP	2	0%	-267.4	-26.86
ZEREBRO	2	0%	-14.0	-1.40
XMR	2	50%	+84.8	+8.48
CHILLGUY	1	0%	-14.0	-0.70

Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)

time	sym	side	reason
no bounces recorded

Postmortem feed (last 10)

time	sym	side	pnl	narrative
no postmortems

More…