458
closed trades
36%
win rate
-1296.07
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=77 wr=26% pnl=-435.86
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 01:58:06 (23.5d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 464
· wr: 42.7%
· total_bps: -9903.2
· mean_bps: -21.34
· sharpe: -0.16
· max_dd_bps: -10876.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 13:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.147297→0.147583 | +0.83 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:28 | AVAX | Buy | 6.56694→6.44217 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 10:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.06487→1.05864 | -5.02 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:26 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5836→1.57731 | -3.45 | timeout |
| 06-27 06:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.146947→0.147383 | +1.52 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:50 | ETH | Buy | 1582.06→1577.84 | -2.67 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:50 | BTC | Buy | 60373→60045 | -4.76 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:50 | SOL | Buy | 72.0308→71.9112 | -2.00 | timeout |
| 06-26 21:09 | ATOM | Buy | 1.587→1.5837 | -2.12 | timeout |
| 06-26 12:43 | ATOM | Buy | 1.6124→1.58031 | -15.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 12:40 | LTC | Buy | 41.3093→40.4986 | -15.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 11:29 | AVAX | Buy | 6.24066→6.12211 | -14.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 06:43 | BTC | Buy | 58460.9→60326 | +23.25 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:22 | SOL | Buy | 66.95→69.0766 | +23.12 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143486→0.140565 | -15.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:13 | ATOM | Buy | 1.5832→1.6029 | +8.61 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:08 | LINK | Buy | 7.17609→7.26278 | +8.31 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.04586→1.02543 | -15.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | BTC | Buy | 61329.1→60188.9 | -14.61 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:41 | SOL | Buy | 68.2702→66.9864 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:40 | ETH | Buy | 1636.16→1605.54 | -14.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:02 | BTC | Buy | 61447.1→61173.9 | -4.00 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.147337→0.148053 | +2.95 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:20 | AVAX | Buy | 6.59755→6.47164 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 09:59 | ATOM | Buy | 1.63791→1.65449 | +7.04 | timeout |
| 06-25 05:47 | LINK | Buy | 7.43366→7.50242 | +6.26 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:01 | BTC | Buy | 60186→60872 | +7.88 | timeout |
| 06-24 17:22 | AVAX | Buy | 6.14474→6.02788 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:57 | SOL | Buy | 67.4651→66.1969 | -14.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | LTC | Buy | 40.8852→39.97 | -17.47 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | BNB | Buy | 567.312→556.522 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:37 | ETH | Buy | 1661.77→1630.62 | -14.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:35 | LINK | Buy | 7.56759→7.42213 | -15.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 62291.1→61130.4 | -14.65 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:01 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0780125→0.0765196 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | LINK | Buy | 7.63391→7.48888 | -15.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 09:22 | ATOM | Buy | 1.69962→1.66635 | -15.33 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 08:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.10888→1.09893 | -7.42 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:32 | LTC | Buy | 42.0295→42.0585 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 06-24 06:14 | SOL | Buy | 69.6604→69.8765 | +1.78 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:24 | ATOM | Buy | 1.71523→1.68154 | -15.31 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 20:41 | LINK | Buy | 7.5925→7.5806 | -1.73 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:22 | ETH | Buy | 1651.97→1662.23 | +3.97 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:17 | SOL | Buy | 68.7083→69.0136 | +2.77 | timeout |
| 06-23 15:00 | LTC | Buy | 43.2748→42.4511 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:28 | BNB | Buy | 581.645→570.562 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:24 | AVAX | Buy | 6.16514→6.04746 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78335→1.74899 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78565→1.74899 | -16.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0819435→0.0803427 | -15.32 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 05:57 | AVAX | Buy | 6.23896→6.24144 | -0.36 | timeout |
| 06-23 03:27 | ADA | Buy | 0.15834→0.15901 | +2.60 | timeout |
| 06-23 01:52 | LTC | Buy | 44.9182→44.4189 | -9.00 | timeout |
| 06-22 20:27 | BNB | Buy | 598.82→589.483 | -12.31 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:55 | LINK | Buy | 8.04291→7.89008 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 17:36 | AVAX | Buy | 6.39→6.2673 | -15.09 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 15:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.16184→0.158701 | -15.21 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 14:10 | LINK | Buy | 7.96549→8.10327 | +12.30 | timeout |
| 06-22 12:43 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78925→1.83054 | +16.64 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:38 | AVAX | Buy | 6.25176→6.24904 | -1.01 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837239→0.0836271 | -1.55 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:02 | SOL | Buy | 73.016→73.8999 | +8.38 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:17 | BNB | Buy | 588.507→585.913 | -4.06 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | XRP | Buy | 1.14529→1.12256 | -15.56 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | ETH | Buy | 1735.87→1703.28 | -14.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | LINK | Buy | 7.9884→7.83162 | -15.44 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 18:16 | LTC | Buy | 45.1143→45.1347 | -0.30 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:58 | AVAX | Buy | 6.27777→6.26953 | -1.59 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:48 | ATOM | Buy | 1.77844→1.77346 | -2.77 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833238→0.0832522 | -1.38 | timeout |
| 06-21 07:27 | AVAX | Buy | 6.25056→6.21974 | -4.45 | timeout |
| 06-21 07:26 | ETH | Buy | 1741.67→1732.43 | -4.65 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:25 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79865→1.77906 | -8.80 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:31 | BTC | Buy | 63869.2→64290.8 | +4.28 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:09 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78365→1.79915 | +5.78 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:04 | ETH | Buy | 1735.07→1742.73 | +2.57 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.14879→1.14931 | -0.39 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.15978 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:11 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084206→0.082598 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:01 | ATOM | Buy | 1.79545→1.76118 | -14.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 08:06 | AVAX | Buy | 6.22206→6.10352 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 07:59 | ATOM | Buy | 1.80755→1.79375 | -6.47 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:15 | AVAX | Buy | 5.91068→6.09847 | +23.20 | take_profit |
| 06-20 06:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0829607→0.083872 | +7.58 | timeout |
| 06-20 01:54 | ATOM | Buy | 1.81275→1.79245 | -8.99 | timeout |
| 06-19 21:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.162581→0.1607 | -9.23 | timeout |
| 06-19 18:36 | AVAX | Buy | 6.0198→5.89917 | -15.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 16:45 | ATOM | Buy | 1.82476→1.81515 | -4.39 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 62476.1→63216.8 | +8.26 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.16023→0.16164 | +5.97 | timeout |
| 06-19 04:51 | AVAX | Buy | 6.14804→6.03027 | -15.02 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 04:33 | BNB | Buy | 581.865→570.572 | -15.25 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 03:23 | ATOM | Buy | 1.78455→1.80055 | +6.21 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:18 | ADA | Buy | 0.164201→0.161029 | -15.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 02:12 | XRP | Buy | 1.14179→1.14941 | +4.29 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:51 | ATOM | Buy | 1.82646→1.79166 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:29 | BNB | Buy | 591.848→580.564 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:17 | SOL | Buy | 71.5847→70.2393 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 14:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0845851→0.083974 | -6.17 | timeout |
| 06-18 12:08 | LTC | Buy | 44.3631→43.986 | -7.09 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
458
closed
36%
win rate
-1296.07
total pnl ($)
-37.8 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATOM | 87 | 31% | -44.0 | -284.48 |
| LTC | 53 | 38% | -15.6 | -62.08 |
| ADA | 47 | 38% | -48.5 | -170.43 |
| BNB | 42 | 38% | -38.8 | -122.84 |
| BTC | 38 | 45% | -16.0 | -46.19 |
| SOL | 37 | 46% | -25.6 | -70.88 |
| XRP | 37 | 32% | -38.5 | -106.73 |
| AVAX | 33 | 30% | -54.7 | -135.21 |
| LINK | 32 | 38% | -50.6 | -122.05 |
| ETH | 31 | 35% | -34.9 | -81.50 |
| DOGE | 21 | 29% | -59.2 | -93.67 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 14:21 | AVAX | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 11:10 | BNB | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||