361
closed trades
36%
win rate
-1237.28
total pnl ($)
0.447
weight
7d window — n=48 wr=42% pnl=-116.94
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 01:58:06 (26.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 342
· wr: 44.7%
· total_bps: -6048.1
· mean_bps: -17.68
· sharpe: -0.14
· max_dd_bps: -6809.1
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 12:48 | LINK | Buy | 7.28782→7.14854 | -15.00 | stop_loss |
| 06-30 12:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.144986→0.142233 | -14.89 | stop_loss |
| 06-30 12:06 | AVAX | Buy | 6.61295→6.48533 | -15.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-29 23:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.145666→0.145674 | -0.70 | timeout |
| 06-29 17:13 | SOL | Buy | 72.9929→75.3087 | +23.04 | take_profit |
| 06-29 08:51 | XRP | Buy | 1.04086→1.04514 | +2.40 | timeout |
| 06-29 08:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0728852→0.0726578 | -3.08 | timeout |
| 06-29 03:05 | AVAX | Buy | 6.37759→6.58095 | +23.24 | take_profit |
| 06-28 19:47 | SOL | Buy | 71.7728→70.4162 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-28 15:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.144556→0.145024 | +1.78 | timeout |
| 06-28 15:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0735684→0.0737296 | +1.00 | timeout |
| 06-28 15:34 | XRP | Buy | 1.04866→1.05624 | +4.75 | timeout |
| 06-28 15:34 | LINK | Buy | 7.28522→7.32167 | +3.06 | timeout |
| 06-28 12:50 | AVAX | Buy | 6.4029→6.31262 | -11.32 | timeout |
| 06-27 19:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.7309→71.3566 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 18:42 | AVAX | Buy | 6.63166→6.50512 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 17:14 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0753398→0.075788 | +3.71 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:19 | SOL | Buy | 72.0828→72.6741 | +5.42 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.147497→0.148643 | +5.08 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:50 | XRP | Buy | 1.06097→1.05854 | -2.35 | timeout |
| 06-27 00:30 | AVAX | Buy | 6.66167→6.5352 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 20:36 | SOL | Buy | 73.435→72.0541 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.142426→0.146933 | +23.04 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:22 | SOL | Buy | 66.938→69.0676 | +23.16 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143516→0.140774 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 22:32 | SOL | Buy | 65.9709→67.0909 | +12.06 | timeout |
| 06-25 21:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.02116→1.03954 | +12.91 | timeout |
| 06-25 13:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0749297→0.0735038 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.147487→0.144631 | -15.20 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | AVAX | Buy | 6.37339→6.25201 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 12:49 | SOL | Buy | 68.0042→68.4327 | +4.03 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.147507→0.148763 | +5.70 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:34 | AVAX | Buy | 6.60745→6.48184 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 05:47 | LINK | Buy | 7.43456→7.50242 | +6.17 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.05616→1.07493 | +12.71 | timeout |
| 06-24 21:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.141755→0.146243 | +23.14 | take_profit |
| 06-24 17:21 | AVAX | Buy | 6.15464→6.03657 | -15.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:45 | SOL | Buy | 68.8153→67.5161 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:44 | LINK | Buy | 7.52798→7.38426 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0779195→0.0764386 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 10:32 | AVAX | Buy | 6.44831→6.4044 | -5.80 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:19 | LINK | Buy | 7.6186→7.5784 | -4.62 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.150618→0.147739 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 06:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.151798→0.151092 | -4.15 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:08 | AVAX | Buy | 6.42581→6.4089 | -2.72 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.10148→1.10472 | +1.53 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.151198→0.149953 | -6.81 | timeout |
| 06-23 19:22 | LINK | Buy | 7.5998→7.56371 | -4.15 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:17 | SOL | Buy | 68.7493→69.0426 | +2.63 | timeout |
| 06-23 14:18 | XRP | Buy | 1.11428→1.10722 | -5.37 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.12318→1.11082 | -8.86 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:21 | AVAX | Buy | 6.26036→6.14109 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:18 | LINK | Buy | 7.90177→7.75118 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0820355→0.0804756 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.16035→0.157292 | -14.85 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 22:28 | XRP | Buy | 1.14509→1.12316 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 19:10 | AVAX | Buy | 6.35309→6.23022 | -15.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 18:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0844541→0.0828478 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 17:35 | LINK | Buy | 8.06572→7.90707 | -15.49 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:45 | ADA | Buy | 0.16021→0.162659 | +10.73 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837259→0.0836241 | -1.58 | timeout |
| 06-22 07:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.12798→1.13722 | +5.43 | timeout |
| 06-22 00:44 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832738→0.0829233 | -3.82 | timeout |
| 06-21 21:09 | LINK | Buy | 7.94219→7.78915 | -15.17 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:47 | AVAX | Buy | 6.31438→6.19435 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 20:28 | ADA | Buy | 0.16061→0.1613 | +2.51 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.14609→1.14481 | -1.57 | timeout |
| 06-21 13:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.16042→0.16133 | +3.56 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:53 | LINK | Buy | 7.94359→7.93582 | -1.48 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:39 | SOL | Buy | 73.6891→73.133 | -6.41 | timeout |
| 06-21 09:06 | AVAX | Buy | 6.26527→6.27313 | +0.26 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:24 | SOL | Buy | 73.491→73.189 | -3.77 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.163051→0.15995 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 00:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.162241→0.163229 | +3.85 | timeout |
| 06-20 18:25 | SOL | Buy | 71.5917→71.7012 | +0.40 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:03 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084111→0.0834991 | -6.17 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:15 | LINK | Buy | 7.96909→7.81763 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.163101→0.15997 | -15.06 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 09:06 | XRP | Buy | 1.13838→1.14681 | +4.89 | timeout |
| 06-20 07:15 | AVAX | Buy | 5.91208→6.09967 | +23.16 | take_profit |
| 06-20 03:54 | SOL | Buy | 69.0784→69.9975 | +9.26 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | LINK | Buy | 7.82836→7.89992 | +6.17 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822105→0.0829882 | +6.38 | timeout |
| 06-19 18:36 | AVAX | Buy | 6.03231→5.91756 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 18:30 | AVAX | Buy | 6.05731→5.94164 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 13:09 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0826887→0.0826143 | -1.31 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.164001→0.160879 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 03:15 | AVAX | Buy | 6.29907→6.17736 | -15.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 00:26 | AVAX | Buy | 6.31128→6.30442 | -1.39 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.13988→1.14671 | +3.77 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:17 | ADA | Buy | 0.165761→0.162608 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 14:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.16649→1.15981 | -4.94 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.165651→0.164369 | -6.31 | timeout |
| 06-17 21:46 | SOL | Buy | 72.6979→71.5533 | -12.51 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:29 | XRP | Buy | 1.2047→1.18161 | -15.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:06 | LINK | Buy | 8.13713→8.22394 | +7.27 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:06 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0858024→0.0869103 | +8.93 | timeout |
| 06-17 11:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.2111→1.18801 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 09:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.171213→0.168708 | -11.68 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:31 | AVAX | Buy | 6.96194→6.82898 | -15.00 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
361
closed
36%
win rate
-1237.28
total pnl ($)
-45.6 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 76 | 38% | -46.7 | -265.61 |
| XRP | 63 | 37% | -33.8 | -159.15 |
| AVAX | 60 | 33% | -51.6 | -232.25 |
| SOL | 59 | 42% | -34.0 | -151.23 |
| LINK | 54 | 33% | -57.1 | -232.33 |
| DOGE | 49 | 29% | -53.3 | -196.71 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||