326
closed trades
40%
win rate
-713.43
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=41 wr=29% pnl=-170.06
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 01:49:46 (24.2d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 331
· wr: 43.2%
· total_bps: -7518.4
· mean_bps: -22.71
· sharpe: -0.19
· max_dd_bps: -8676.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 19:25 | ADA | Buy | 0.148387→0.145531 | -15.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | XRP | Buy | 1.07297→1.05231 | -15.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.7299→71.3536 | -14.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0755819→0.076051 | +3.90 | timeout |
| 06-27 16:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.147497→0.148643 | +5.08 | timeout |
| 06-27 09:02 | ADA | Buy | 0.147867→0.147123 | -4.35 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.03766→1.04764 | +6.59 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:28 | BTC | Buy | 60108→59897 | -3.30 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0740195→0.0753612 | +12.84 | timeout |
| 06-26 06:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.139925→0.144354 | +23.04 | take_profit |
| 06-25 21:55 | XRP | Buy | 1.02356→1.03944 | +11.03 | timeout |
| 06-25 15:15 | ETH | Buy | 1571.76→1542.37 | -14.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:59 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0727442→0.0713624 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:04 | ETH | Buy | 1640.06→1635.94 | -2.51 | timeout |
| 06-25 08:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.148237→0.149233 | +4.37 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:09 | XRP | Buy | 1.05746→1.07433 | +11.34 | timeout |
| 06-24 20:48 | SOL | Buy | 65.5928→67.6748 | +23.14 | take_profit |
| 06-24 15:38 | BTC | Buy | 61739.1→60590.7 | -14.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0778235→0.0763427 | -14.92 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | ETH | Buy | 1678.47→1647.01 | -14.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | BTC | Buy | 63064.2→61890.9 | -14.59 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 09:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0796339→0.0787433 | -9.03 | timeout |
| 06-24 04:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.150118→0.152222 | +10.10 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0795889→0.0786193 | -9.85 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.150428→0.150332 | -1.15 | timeout |
| 06-23 08:24 | BTC | Buy | 63282.2→62104.8 | -14.60 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.154409→0.151366 | -15.45 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 08:17 | XRP | Buy | 1.12788→1.10647 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0815124→0.079961 | -14.87 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 04:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.15913→0.15888 | -1.77 | timeout |
| 06-22 19:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.14799→1.12992 | -12.40 | timeout |
| 06-22 18:55 | BTC | Buy | 65483.3→64265.6 | -14.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:01 | ETH | Buy | 1773.08→1739.86 | -14.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.16031→0.162619 | +10.16 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:26 | SOL | Buy | 72.5399→74.8388 | +23.09 | take_profit |
| 06-21 21:09 | ETH | Buy | 1735.27→1702.78 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | ADA | Buy | 0.162261→0.159051 | -15.36 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:08 | SOL | Buy | 74.5342→73.1294 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 19:29 | XRP | Buy | 1.14619→1.14501 | -1.40 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 64226.2→64263.8 | -0.20 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:53 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833238→0.0832522 | -1.35 | timeout |
| 06-21 06:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.14799→1.14321 | -3.87 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:45 | BTC | Buy | 64004.2→64269.8 | +2.37 | timeout |
| 06-21 04:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.16125→0.16162 | +1.12 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:03 | ETH | Buy | 1734.07→1742.73 | +3.00 | timeout |
| 06-20 19:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.162731→0.16079 | -9.66 | timeout |
| 06-20 15:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.14879→1.14931 | -0.41 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0842231→0.08262 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 12:43 | SOL | Buy | 70.8566→71.5293 | +6.37 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.13128→1.14691 | +9.75 | timeout |
| 06-19 18:10 | BTC | Buy | 62514.1→63084.8 | +6.16 | timeout |
| 06-19 07:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.162091→0.158881 | -15.50 | stop_loss |
| 06-19 06:05 | SOL | Buy | 69.4164→68.7657 | -7.76 | timeout |
| 06-19 01:28 | ETH | Buy | 1674.87→1709.73 | +14.89 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:36 | SOL | Buy | 70.8956→69.5618 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:25 | ADA | Buy | 0.165331→0.162178 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 14:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0845961→0.083893 | -6.85 | timeout |
| 06-18 13:18 | BTC | Buy | 63934.2→64390.8 | +4.68 | timeout |
| 06-18 12:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.166262→0.164759 | -7.50 | timeout |
| 06-18 03:31 | ETH | Buy | 1744.07→1746.13 | +0.16 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.169022→0.165676 | -15.58 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:05 | BTC | Buy | 64589.2→65347.7 | +8.09 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:05 | ETH | Buy | 1760.08→1766.62 | +2.08 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859255→0.0871972 | +10.36 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.598→72.213 | -14.77 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 07:01 | BTC | Buy | 65807.3→65562.7 | -3.48 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0884191→0.0867359 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.175029 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:13 | SOL | Buy | 75.1013→73.6821 | -14.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:11 | ETH | Buy | 1827.58→1793.32 | -14.74 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 11:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.7701→74.3948 | +5.65 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:31 | ETH | Buy | 1793.58→1760.04 | -14.69 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.180405→0.176977 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 19:06 | BTC | Buy | 65953.3→66820.7 | +9.14 | timeout |
| 06-15 16:10 | SOL | Buy | 73.284→75.6197 | +23.24 | take_profit |
| 06-15 15:42 | XRP | Buy | 1.22821→1.26688 | +22.95 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:24 | ETH | Buy | 1765.18→1821.42 | +23.22 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.180915→0.186853 | +23.91 | take_profit |
| 06-15 06:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.17019→1.1834 | +7.83 | timeout |
| 06-15 01:58 | ADA | Buy | 0.183406→0.179905 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.13418→1.17001 | +23.07 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:43 | BTC | Buy | 64355.2→65181.7 | +8.94 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:40 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859995→0.0887198 | +23.06 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.167092→0.172387 | +23.04 | take_profit |
| 06-14 14:38 | SOL | Buy | 68.2102→66.9195 | -14.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 10:44 | ADA | Buy | 0.172523→0.170097 | -11.09 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:45 | BTC | Buy | 64568.2→64529.8 | -1.15 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.15419→1.14511 | -6.43 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:48 | SOL | Buy | 68.9203→68.1238 | -9.33 | timeout |
| 06-14 01:01 | XRP | Buy | 1.14679→1.14871 | +0.70 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.173613→0.171307 | -10.53 | timeout |
| 06-13 20:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.087914→0.0875421 | -3.86 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:05 | XRP | Buy | 1.14369→1.14551 | +0.56 | timeout |
| 06-13 16:15 | SOL | Buy | 67.3751→68.1328 | +7.70 | timeout |
| 06-13 09:07 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0862946→0.0872282 | +7.49 | timeout |
| 06-13 08:34 | ADA | Buy | 0.169582→0.172827 | +13.60 | timeout |
| 06-12 22:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.169712→0.169748 | -0.55 | timeout |
| 06-12 18:13 | BTC | Buy | 63741.2→63876.8 | +0.92 | timeout |
| 06-12 16:03 | SOL | Buy | 68.3062→67.0194 | -14.79 | stop_loss |
| 06-12 14:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0872348→0.0900115 | +23.19 | take_profit |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
326
closed
40%
win rate
-713.43
total pnl ($)
-29.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 71 | 39% | -29.6 | -156.72 |
| XRP | 58 | 41% | -17.5 | -75.56 |
| BTC | 52 | 44% | -12.2 | -48.42 |
| DOGE | 51 | 39% | -24.1 | -93.11 |
| ETH | 50 | 40% | -56.0 | -210.59 |
| SOL | 44 | 39% | -39.0 | -129.03 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 2)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 06:13 | ADA | Buy | circuit_breaker |
| 06-27 23:19 | SOL | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||