186
closed trades
42%
win rate
-337.32
total pnl ($)
1.494
weight
7d window — n=29 wr=59% pnl=+39.48
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 01:49:46 (24.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 159
· wr: 42.1%
· total_bps: -4366.7
· mean_bps: -27.46
· sharpe: -0.21
· max_dd_bps: -4823.0
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 22:53 | ETH | Buy | 1580.66→1551.07 | -14.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-28 19:00 | SOL | Buy | 71.5257→71.1093 | -4.97 | timeout |
| 06-28 16:36 | BTC | Buy | 60228→59627 | -8.17 | timeout |
| 06-28 15:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.04936→1.05564 | +3.81 | timeout |
| 06-28 15:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.144456→0.144764 | +0.96 | timeout |
| 06-28 06:17 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0742986→0.0732187 | -11.57 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:56 | ADA | Buy | 0.147857→0.148613 | +3.08 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:42 | SOL | Buy | 72.2548→71.6063 | -7.37 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.06447→1.05864 | -4.75 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:51 | ETH | Buy | 1573.86→1577.64 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:51 | BTC | Buy | 60202→60033 | -2.79 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0740345→0.0753612 | +12.69 | timeout |
| 06-26 07:39 | XRP | Buy | 1.01955→1.05184 | +23.02 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.140075→0.144494 | +22.99 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:53 | SOL | Buy | 66.0479→68.1428 | +23.10 | take_profit |
| 06-25 22:02 | ETH | Buy | 1557.56→1580.44 | +10.33 | timeout |
| 06-25 22:02 | BTC | Buy | 58706.9→60117 | +17.32 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.147327→0.148763 | +6.63 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.05636→1.07493 | +12.56 | timeout |
| 06-24 15:45 | SOL | Buy | 68.7723→67.4561 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:36 | ETH | Buy | 1662.07→1630.92 | -14.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0767802→0.0753025 | -15.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 62261.1→61102.4 | -14.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 01:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.150638→0.153902 | +15.50 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0796679→0.0786143 | -10.49 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:47 | BTC | Buy | 62323.1→62563.9 | +2.23 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:23 | ETH | Buy | 1651.57→1662.13 | +4.11 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:16 | SOL | Buy | 68.7453→69.0586 | +2.86 | timeout |
| 06-22 15:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.16166→0.158591 | -14.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 01:57 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833838→0.0836331 | +1.58 | timeout |
| 06-21 22:55 | BTC | Buy | 64077.2→63814.8 | -3.73 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:11 | XRP | Buy | 1.14939→1.14471 | -3.79 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.16167→0.162069 | +1.18 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:27 | SOL | Buy | 73.011→74.0289 | +9.71 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:48 | BTC | Buy | 63858.2→64226.8 | +3.65 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:36 | ETH | Buy | 1715.57→1742.83 | +11.18 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.15978 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0842231→0.08262 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 13:47 | SOL | Buy | 71.5837→71.1263 | -5.53 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.13858→1.14811 | +5.63 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | ETH | Buy | 1685.67→1706.03 | +8.38 | timeout |
| 06-19 12:29 | ADA | Buy | 0.16091→0.15923 | -8.38 | timeout |
| 06-19 06:05 | SOL | Buy | 69.4164→68.7657 | -7.76 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0830067→0.0834681 | +3.45 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:34 | BTC | Buy | 63239.2→62879.9 | -4.90 | timeout |
| 06-18 12:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.166362→0.164789 | -7.81 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:20 | XRP | Buy | 1.2124→1.18881 | -15.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:05 | ETH | Buy | 1760.08→1767.32 | +2.37 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:22 | BTC | Buy | 65474.3→64908.8 | -7.17 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.548→72.1531 | -14.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 05:13 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0877229→0.0873672 | -3.73 | timeout |
| 06-16 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.24701→1.22328 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 04:55 | ETH | Buy | 1790.88→1757.05 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0895564→0.0878461 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.180375→0.176917 | -15.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 16:14 | SOL | Buy | 73.553→75.8846 | +23.11 | take_profit |
| 06-15 06:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.17019→1.1834 | +7.83 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:32 | ETH | Buy | 1702.47→1719.53 | +6.82 | timeout |
| 06-15 05:21 | BTC | Buy | 64746.2→65711.7 | +10.50 | timeout |
| 06-15 00:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0865806→0.0889078 | +19.44 | timeout |
| 06-14 21:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.167072→0.172547 | +23.86 | take_profit |
| 06-14 07:48 | SOL | Buy | 68.9273→68.1238 | -9.40 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:31 | XRP | Buy | 1.14599→1.14471 | -1.45 | timeout |
| 06-14 05:13 | ETH | Buy | 1674.37→1676.53 | +0.28 | timeout |
| 06-14 00:06 | BTC | Buy | 64026.2→64441.8 | +4.20 | timeout |
| 06-13 22:45 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0882601→0.087874 | -4.03 | timeout |
| 06-13 17:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.175384→0.171951 | -15.28 | stop_loss |
| 06-13 04:03 | XRP | Buy | 1.13088→1.13322 | +0.93 | timeout |
| 06-12 22:30 | ADA | Buy | 0.169712→0.169748 | -0.55 | timeout |
| 06-12 22:00 | ETH | Buy | 1658.77→1663.23 | +1.36 | timeout |
| 06-12 21:30 | BTC | Buy | 63303.2→63490.8 | +1.53 | timeout |
| 06-12 15:14 | SOL | Buy | 66.598→68.7227 | +23.24 | take_profit |
| 06-12 06:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0869447→0.085281 | -15.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-11 21:19 | SOL | Buy | 65.3508→66.942 | +17.51 | timeout |
| 06-11 19:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.11298→1.14821 | +23.07 | take_profit |
| 06-11 17:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.166722→0.164959 | -8.68 | timeout |
| 06-11 10:12 | BTC | Buy | 62107.1→62886.9 | +8.67 | timeout |
| 06-10 13:37 | ADA | Buy | 0.15911→0.164139 | +23.08 | take_profit |
| 06-10 01:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.14099→1.14301 | +0.77 | timeout |
| 06-09 14:21 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0861725→0.0845286 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 14:18 | SOL | Buy | 66.1529→64.9078 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-09 11:04 | BTC | Buy | 62791.1→62569.9 | -3.29 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:37 | XRP | Buy | 1.16719→1.15491 | -8.39 | timeout |
| 06-09 00:36 | ETH | Buy | 1695.27→1663.5 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-08 23:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.169612→0.172037 | +10.12 | timeout |
| 06-07 22:14 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837559→0.0864124 | +23.11 | take_profit |
| 06-07 18:49 | BTC | Buy | 62383.1→62166.9 | -3.25 | timeout |
| 06-07 16:31 | ETH | Buy | 1616.86→1629.74 | +5.37 | timeout |
| 06-07 09:15 | XRP | Buy | 1.13298→1.16891 | +23.13 | take_profit |
| 06-07 08:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.15829→0.162889 | +21.24 | timeout |
| 06-07 05:13 | SOL | Buy | 62.3303→64.3204 | +23.33 | take_profit |
| 06-07 03:09 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0812623→0.0833202 | +18.25 | timeout |
| 06-06 18:30 | BTC | Buy | 60404→60578 | +1.51 | timeout |
| 06-05 14:04 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0832388→0.0816537 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 14:01 | ADA | Buy | 0.162→0.158911 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 13:49 | BTC | Buy | 62537.1→61373.2 | -14.64 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 06:22 | ETH | Buy | 1678.97→1647.21 | -14.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 06:21 | SOL | Buy | 66.0499→64.8089 | -14.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-05 05:56 | XRP | Buy | 1.14429→1.12246 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-04 19:04 | BTC | Buy | 62580.1→63649.8 | +12.14 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
186
closed
42%
win rate
-337.32
total pnl ($)
-24.1 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 34 | 41% | -26.1 | -66.31 |
| BTC | 32 | 50% | -0.7 | -2.15 |
| ETH | 31 | 42% | -44.2 | -103.25 |
| XRP | 31 | 42% | -16.1 | -36.69 |
| DOGE | 30 | 33% | -50.6 | -114.34 |
| SOL | 28 | 46% | -6.8 | -14.58 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 22:08 | ETH | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||