336
closed trades
39%
win rate
-745.73
total pnl ($)
0.813
weight
7d window — n=52 wr=42% pnl=-68.40
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 01:49:46 (23.6d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 330
· wr: 43.0%
· total_bps: -7417.3
· mean_bps: -22.48
· sharpe: -0.19
· max_dd_bps: -8676.3
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 11:02 | BTC | Buy | 60371→60396 | -0.38 | timeout |
| 06-27 11:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.075919→0.0752882 | -6.91 | timeout |
| 06-27 10:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.06447→1.05864 | -4.75 | timeout |
| 06-27 05:48 | ADA | Buy | 0.147777→0.147833 | -0.43 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:52 | SOL | Buy | 71.6297→71.9102 | +2.31 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:51 | ETH | Buy | 1573.86→1577.64 | +1.17 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:22 | XRP | Buy | 1.04186→1.04234 | -0.35 | timeout |
| 06-26 20:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0740345→0.0753612 | +12.69 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:39 | ETH | Buy | 1573.46→1543.97 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:39 | XRP | Buy | 1.01955→1.05184 | +23.02 | take_profit |
| 06-26 07:14 | ADA | Buy | 0.142426→0.146933 | +23.11 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:53 | SOL | Buy | 66.0479→68.1428 | +23.10 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ADA | Buy | 0.143516→0.140774 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 02:12 | ETH | Buy | 1574.76→1545.27 | -14.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 17:27 | SOL | Buy | 65.2108→67.2899 | +23.26 | take_profit |
| 06-25 13:44 | XRP | Buy | 1.07517→1.05471 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.148087→0.145231 | -15.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:42 | ETH | Buy | 1628.86→1598.24 | -14.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:01 | BTC | Buy | 61335.1→61205.9 | -2.24 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.147327→0.148763 | +6.63 | timeout |
| 06-25 01:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.05636→1.07493 | +12.56 | timeout |
| 06-24 15:45 | SOL | Buy | 68.7723→67.4561 | -15.03 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:36 | ETH | Buy | 1662.07→1630.92 | -14.73 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:13 | BTC | Buy | 62261.1→61102.4 | -14.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:01 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0780075→0.0765196 | -14.98 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:30 | XRP | Buy | 1.09817→1.09193 | -4.90 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.150458→0.147509 | -15.34 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 09:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0796479→0.0787433 | -9.18 | timeout |
| 06-24 01:39 | ADA | Buy | 0.150638→0.153902 | +15.50 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:33 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0796679→0.0786143 | -10.49 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:47 | BTC | Buy | 62323.1→62563.9 | +2.23 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:23 | ETH | Buy | 1651.57→1662.13 | +4.11 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:16 | SOL | Buy | 68.7453→69.0586 | +2.86 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.15952→0.156393 | -15.35 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:45 | BTC | Buy | 64971.2→64445.8 | -6.75 | timeout |
| 06-22 19:46 | DOGE | Buy | 0.084043→0.0824381 | -15.01 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 15:49 | ADA | Buy | 0.16166→0.158591 | -14.86 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:16 | ADA | Buy | 0.15976→0.16143 | +7.11 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837239→0.0836271 | -1.54 | timeout |
| 06-22 02:08 | BTC | Buy | 63991.2→64515.8 | +5.43 | timeout |
| 06-22 01:57 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0833838→0.0836331 | +1.58 | timeout |
| 06-21 23:33 | ADA | Buy | 0.16044→0.157232 | -15.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 21:09 | ETH | Buy | 1736.97→1704.48 | -14.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 19:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.16167→0.162069 | +1.18 | timeout |
| 06-21 16:27 | SOL | Buy | 73.011→74.0289 | +9.71 | timeout |
| 06-21 12:54 | ADA | Buy | 0.16099→0.16083 | -1.43 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:22 | BTC | Buy | 64431.2→64273.8 | -2.50 | timeout |
| 06-21 10:13 | SOL | Buy | 73.203→74.0179 | +7.60 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:03 | ETH | Buy | 1731.37→1732.63 | -0.15 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:48 | BTC | Buy | 63858.2→64226.8 | +3.65 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:36 | ETH | Buy | 1715.57→1742.83 | +11.18 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:33 | SOL | Buy | 71.8068→74.0889 | +23.09 | take_profit |
| 06-20 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.15978 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 14:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0842231→0.08262 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 13:47 | SOL | Buy | 71.5837→71.1263 | -5.53 | timeout |
| 06-20 11:35 | XRP | Buy | 1.13858→1.14811 | +5.63 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:26 | ADA | Buy | 0.162951→0.162889 | -1.03 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0824376→0.0830032 | +4.44 | timeout |
| 06-19 20:51 | ETH | Buy | 1685.67→1706.03 | +8.38 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:45 | BTC | Buy | 62532.1→63232.8 | +7.77 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:35 | ADA | Buy | 0.15957→0.16158 | +8.81 | timeout |
| 06-19 06:05 | SOL | Buy | 69.4164→68.7657 | -7.76 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.164001→0.160879 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 23:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0830067→0.0834681 | +3.45 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:34 | BTC | Buy | 63239.2→62879.9 | -4.90 | timeout |
| 06-18 14:02 | XRP | Buy | 1.16609→1.15881 | -5.32 | timeout |
| 06-18 12:06 | ADA | Buy | 0.166362→0.164789 | -7.81 | timeout |
| 06-17 21:45 | SOL | Buy | 72.6219→71.5853 | -11.42 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:20 | XRP | Buy | 1.2124→1.18881 | -15.27 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 19:05 | ETH | Buy | 1760.08→1767.32 | +2.37 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:05 | BTC | Buy | 64592.2→65355.7 | +8.15 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0859445→0.0872152 | +10.35 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:22 | BTC | Buy | 65474.3→64908.8 | -7.17 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.548→72.1531 | -14.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 06:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.22→1.2192 | -1.19 | timeout |
| 06-17 05:13 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0877229→0.0873672 | -3.73 | timeout |
| 06-17 01:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.174504→0.171142 | -15.08 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 16:32 | ETH | Buy | 1784.38→1775.32 | -4.55 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178335→0.174899 | -15.13 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.24701→1.22328 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 11:48 | SOL | Buy | 73.594→74.4638 | +8.16 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:55 | ETH | Buy | 1790.88→1757.05 | -14.84 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0895564→0.0878461 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:31 | ADA | Buy | 0.180375→0.176917 | -15.05 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 20:30 | BTC | Buy | 66261.3→66537.7 | +2.42 | timeout |
| 06-15 20:24 | ADA | Buy | 0.186227→0.184374 | -8.12 | timeout |
| 06-15 16:14 | SOL | Buy | 73.553→75.8846 | +23.11 | take_profit |
| 06-15 13:11 | ETH | Buy | 1737.97→1793.32 | +23.20 | take_profit |
| 06-15 12:24 | XRP | Buy | 1.1989→1.23679 | +23.02 | take_profit |
| 06-15 05:21 | BTC | Buy | 64746.2→65711.7 | +10.50 | timeout |
| 06-15 02:16 | XRP | Buy | 1.15499→1.1914 | +22.95 | take_profit |
| 06-14 23:52 | SOL | Buy | 69.0264→71.2163 | +23.10 | take_profit |
| 06-14 21:48 | XRP | Buy | 1.13428→1.17001 | +23.00 | take_profit |
| 06-14 20:38 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0865136→0.0868013 | +1.87 | timeout |
| 06-14 20:38 | BTC | Buy | 64318.2→64028.8 | -4.07 | timeout |
| 06-14 17:06 | ETH | Buy | 1675.17→1663.73 | -5.84 | timeout |
| 06-14 14:38 | SOL | Buy | 68.2042→66.9195 | -14.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-14 09:45 | BTC | Buy | 64555.2→64526.8 | -1.03 | timeout |
| 06-14 09:33 | XRP | Buy | 1.15419→1.14511 | -6.43 | timeout |
| 06-14 07:48 | SOL | Buy | 68.9273→68.1238 | -9.40 | timeout |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
336
closed
39%
win rate
-745.73
total pnl ($)
-29.5 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 62 | 29% | -62.8 | -291.35 |
| BTC | 57 | 42% | -11.6 | -50.59 |
| XRP | 56 | 41% | -13.6 | -56.80 |
| SOL | 55 | 49% | +3.7 | +14.56 |
| ETH | 54 | 35% | -56.2 | -228.02 |
| DOGE | 52 | 37% | -34.0 | -133.53 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 0)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| no bounces recorded | |||
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||