369
closed trades
38%
win rate
-1003.93
total pnl ($)
0.250
weight
7d window — n=64 wr=41% pnl=-241.47
· venues=(unknown)
· horizon=—
· SL=—
· TP=—
· class=? in ?
Backtest evidence
run: 2026-06-04 01:49:46 (23.9d ago) · src: canon
verdict: REJECT
· strict: STRICT-FAIL
· batch:
xasset_basis_rank_siblings
n: 361
· wr: 43.2%
· total_bps: -8770.9
· mean_bps: -24.30
· sharpe: -0.20
· max_dd_bps: -9713.8
gate: min_trades=— min_wr=— min_total_bps=— min_sharpe=— effective_days=—
Cumulative P&L (last 100 closed)
Last 100 trades
| time | sym | side | entry→exit | pnl | close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 22:16 | ETH | Buy | 1595.86→1565.56 | -14.90 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 21:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.147337→0.144532 | -14.83 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | DOGE | Buy | 0.076189→0.0747239 | -15.11 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | XRP | Buy | 1.07527→1.05481 | -14.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 19:25 | SOL | Buy | 72.7399→71.3536 | -14.97 | stop_loss |
| 06-27 16:32 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0755819→0.076051 | +3.90 | timeout |
| 06-27 15:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.147757→0.148593 | +3.49 | timeout |
| 06-27 12:49 | XRP | Buy | 1.06087→1.05854 | -2.29 | timeout |
| 06-27 02:07 | ADA | Buy | 0.148617→0.147883 | -4.36 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:51 | ETH | Buy | 1573.36→1577.64 | +1.29 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:51 | SOL | Buy | 71.7348→71.9022 | +1.00 | timeout |
| 06-26 23:00 | XRP | Buy | 1.03706→1.04744 | +6.81 | timeout |
| 06-26 22:29 | BTC | Buy | 60127→59884 | -3.74 | timeout |
| 06-26 10:39 | ETH | Buy | 1574.16→1544.67 | -14.71 | stop_loss |
| 06-26 07:39 | XRP | Buy | 1.01955→1.05174 | +22.98 | take_profit |
| 06-26 06:43 | ADA | Buy | 0.140095→0.144534 | +23.10 | take_profit |
| 06-26 03:56 | SOL | Buy | 66.1009→68.2198 | +23.36 | take_profit |
| 06-26 02:12 | ETH | Buy | 1574.16→1544.67 | -14.68 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:48 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0750378→0.0736088 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:45 | XRP | Buy | 1.07187→1.05151 | -14.91 | stop_loss |
| 06-25 13:26 | ETH | Buy | 1646.56→1633.44 | -6.63 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:56 | XRP | Buy | 1.08007→1.07293 | -5.63 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:56 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0766121→0.075884 | -7.77 | timeout |
| 06-25 12:56 | BTC | Buy | 61301.1→61154.9 | -2.46 | timeout |
| 06-25 10:52 | ADA | Buy | 0.147327→0.148033 | +2.90 | timeout |
| 06-25 04:01 | BTC | Buy | 60163→60871 | +8.16 | timeout |
| 06-25 00:52 | XRP | Buy | 1.05566→1.07493 | +13.08 | timeout |
| 06-24 17:13 | SOL | Buy | 67.4301→66.162 | -14.78 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 16:51 | ADA | Buy | 0.143696→0.140894 | -15.30 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:45 | ETH | Buy | 1652.47→1621.53 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 15:37 | BTC | Buy | 61763.1→60607.6 | -14.70 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 14:02 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0779315→0.0764386 | -15.04 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | ETH | Buy | 1678.57→1647.11 | -14.75 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 13:22 | BTC | Buy | 63055.2→61881.9 | -14.63 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 12:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.10058→1.09073 | -7.34 | timeout |
| 06-24 10:10 | ADA | Buy | 0.152288→0.149128 | -16.18 | stop_loss |
| 06-24 07:15 | BTC | Buy | 62538.1→62756.9 | +1.92 | timeout |
| 06-24 02:11 | SOL | Buy | 68.8523→69.9105 | +11.03 | timeout |
| 06-23 21:32 | XRP | Buy | 1.10188→1.10472 | +1.26 | timeout |
| 06-23 20:50 | ADA | Buy | 0.151288→0.149833 | -7.85 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:30 | BTC | Buy | 62173.1→62557.9 | +3.98 | timeout |
| 06-23 16:16 | SOL | Buy | 68.8503→69.0576 | +1.68 | timeout |
| 06-23 06:08 | ADA | Buy | 0.15938→0.156353 | -14.88 | stop_loss |
| 06-23 06:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0822636→0.0806455 | -15.42 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 20:38 | BTC | Buy | 64985.2→64440.8 | -6.97 | timeout |
| 06-22 17:30 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0845351→0.0829278 | -14.94 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 16:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.16158→0.158461 | -15.10 | stop_loss |
| 06-22 13:42 | ADA | Buy | 0.16008→0.162109 | +8.77 | timeout |
| 06-22 10:00 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0837319→0.0836271 | -1.63 | timeout |
| 06-22 06:02 | SOL | Buy | 73.031→73.8999 | +8.22 | timeout |
| 06-22 05:13 | XRP | Buy | 1.13088→1.13572 | +2.52 | timeout |
| 06-22 02:33 | ETH | Buy | 1732.57→1741.03 | +2.91 | timeout |
| 06-21 23:55 | ADA | Buy | 0.15968→0.156523 | -15.46 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 22:34 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0834118→0.0826743 | -7.30 | timeout |
| 06-21 20:10 | SOL | Buy | 73.26→74.3618 | +10.53 | timeout |
| 06-21 19:29 | XRP | Buy | 1.14619→1.14501 | -1.51 | timeout |
| 06-21 18:44 | ADA | Buy | 0.162111→0.16165 | -2.81 | timeout |
| 06-21 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 64186.2→64266.8 | +0.29 | timeout |
| 06-21 11:06 | SOL | Buy | 73.39→73.7869 | +3.31 | timeout |
| 06-21 07:26 | ETH | Buy | 1741.37→1732.43 | -4.52 | timeout |
| 06-21 05:15 | ADA | Buy | 0.163021→0.15989 | -15.07 | stop_loss |
| 06-21 04:41 | ADA | Buy | 0.16121→0.16167 | +1.45 | timeout |
| 06-21 03:31 | BTC | Buy | 63870.2→64290.8 | +4.27 | timeout |
| 06-21 01:36 | XRP | Buy | 1.14069→1.14781 | +4.00 | timeout |
| 06-20 23:20 | SOL | Buy | 72.3889→73.482 | +10.58 | timeout |
| 06-20 22:46 | ETH | Buy | 1729.47→1741.53 | +4.49 | timeout |
| 06-20 17:08 | XRP | Buy | 1.14759→1.14621 | -1.65 | timeout |
| 06-20 14:11 | ADA | Buy | 0.162921→0.15978 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-20 08:41 | XRP | Buy | 1.13968→1.14591 | +3.45 | timeout |
| 06-20 08:34 | ETH | Buy | 1713.37→1723.53 | +3.70 | timeout |
| 06-20 06:12 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0829607→0.083872 | +7.58 | timeout |
| 06-20 05:10 | SOL | Buy | 69.9165→72.1392 | +23.15 | take_profit |
| 06-19 21:46 | ADA | Buy | 0.162491→0.16071 | -8.77 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:44 | BTC | Buy | 62488.1→63237.8 | +8.37 | timeout |
| 06-19 15:13 | ADA | Buy | 0.16024→0.16164 | +5.93 | timeout |
| 06-19 08:19 | BTC | Buy | 62865.1→62592.9 | -3.86 | timeout |
| 06-19 03:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.164001→0.160879 | -14.96 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 23:41 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0824376→0.0834361 | +8.34 | timeout |
| 06-18 23:41 | BTC | Buy | 62756.1→62900.9 | +1.09 | timeout |
| 06-18 15:19 | ADA | Buy | 0.165431→0.162238 | -15.15 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:18 | XRP | Buy | 1.17029→1.14774 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 15:17 | SOL | Buy | 71.5527→70.1744 | -15.12 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 14:50 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0845851→0.083974 | -6.05 | timeout |
| 06-18 13:18 | BTC | Buy | 63943.2→64378.8 | +4.44 | timeout |
| 06-18 05:38 | ADA | Buy | 0.166872→0.163697 | -14.80 | stop_loss |
| 06-18 05:08 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0854964→0.0838671 | -14.93 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 21:46 | SOL | Buy | 72.6709→71.5323 | -12.45 | timeout |
| 06-17 19:29 | BTC | Buy | 65483.3→64261.6 | -14.67 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 17:36 | BTC | Buy | 64962.2→65908.7 | +10.21 | timeout |
| 06-17 16:54 | XRP | Buy | 1.1966→1.2116 | +8.75 | timeout |
| 06-17 09:22 | ADA | Buy | 0.171213→0.168708 | -11.68 | timeout |
| 06-17 08:31 | SOL | Buy | 73.8361→72.4469 | -14.76 | stop_loss |
| 06-17 06:21 | XRP | Buy | 1.22041→1.2192 | -1.43 | timeout |
| 06-16 14:23 | ADA | Buy | 0.178425→0.175029 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 14:16 | SOL | Buy | 75.0062→73.5921 | -14.82 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:53 | XRP | Buy | 1.24691→1.22318 | -14.95 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 13:11 | ETH | Buy | 1824.78→1790.63 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-16 11:49 | SOL | Buy | 73.7701→74.3948 | +5.65 | timeout |
| 06-16 04:55 | ETH | Buy | 1790.48→1756.95 | -14.72 | stop_loss |
| 06-15 22:31 | DOGE | Buy | 0.0896484→0.087888 | -15.36 | stop_loss |
Paper vs Live
Paper (trades.jsonl)
369
closed
38%
win rate
-1003.93
total pnl ($)
-36.2 bps
avg bps net
Live (dry_run=0)
0
closed
—
win rate
—
total pnl ($)
—
avg bps net
Live: 0 trades, insufficient sample
Per-symbol breakdown (paper)
| symbol | n | wr | net bps | total pnl ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | 73 | 33% | -55.3 | -301.53 |
| XRP | 68 | 41% | -19.5 | -99.14 |
| BTC | 62 | 40% | -13.5 | -63.57 |
| SOL | 59 | 47% | -28.4 | -126.15 |
| ETH | 56 | 34% | -50.8 | -214.12 |
| DOGE | 51 | 29% | -52.0 | -199.42 |
Recent bounces (last 20 of 1)
| time | sym | side | reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 22:22 | XRP | Buy | circuit_breaker |
Postmortem feed (last 10)
| time | sym | side | pnl | narrative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no postmortems | ||||